First Pitch: 6:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Surface: Natural Grass
Probable Pitchers:
- TBR — Shane McClanahan (LHP)
- BAL — Kyle Bradish (RHP)
Weather Outlook (Baltimore, MD)
- Temperature: 74–77°F at first pitch
- Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to right‑center
- Humidity: ~60%
- Precipitation: <15% — low delay risk
- Ballpark Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly for RH pull hitters and LHB with lift; warm air + outbound breeze boosts extra‑base hit probability
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
- Wander Franco — OUT (administrative leave)
- Josh Lowe — Day‑to‑day (quad tightness)
- Brandon Lowe — OUT (back)
- Pete Fairbanks — Probable (shoulder fatigue; expected available)
- Jeffrey Springs — OUT (elbow recovery)
Baltimore Orioles
- Adley Rutschman — Day‑to‑day (hand contusion; likely to play)
- Cedric Mullins — OUT (groin strain)
- John Means — OUT (elbow)
- Danny Coulombe — OUT (biceps)
- Ryan Mountcastle — Probable (illness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays (33–15)
- Last 10: 8–2
- Road Record: 17–9
- Run Differential: +54
- Trend: Elite pitching + timely power; McClanahan’s return has stabilized rotation
- Key Note: Rays have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 7 of last 10
Baltimore Orioles (23–29)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 12–14
- Run Differential: -22
- Trend: Offense inconsistent; bullpen overworked
- Key Note: Orioles have scored 2 runs or fewer in 5 of last 7 losses
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
TBR — Shane McClanahan (LHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~3.21
- WHIP: 1.11
- K/9: 11.2
- HR/9: 0.8
- Profile: Power lefty; elite fastball/changeup combo; wipeout slider
- Strengths: Dominant vs. RHB; excellent road ERA; high whiff rate
- Weaknesses: Occasionally elevated pitch counts early
- Matchup Fit: Orioles rank bottom‑10 in MLB OPS vs. LHP in 2026
BAL — Kyle Bradish (RHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~4.08
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/9: 9.1
- HR/9: 1.1
- Profile: Four‑pitch mix; slider is his best weapon
- Strengths: Generates soft contact when ahead in count
- Weaknesses: Struggles vs. LHB; vulnerable early in games
- Matchup Fit: Rays’ left‑handed core (Arozarena hits RHP better, plus Siri/Mead platoon) matches up well
Key Player Matchups
Rays Hitters vs. Bradish
- Randy Arozarena: .290 career vs. BAL; thrives vs. RHP with sliders
- Isaac Paredes: .380 OBP in May; excellent vs. breaking balls
- Yandy Díaz: Contact machine; .310 career vs. Bradish‑type profiles
Orioles Hitters vs. McClanahan
- Gunnar Henderson: Best matchup for BAL; .520 SLG vs. LHP in 2026
- Adley Rutschman: If healthy, elite plate discipline but reduced power vs. LHP
- Anthony Santander: Power threat but high K% vs. high‑velocity lefties
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Rays lead 18–14
- At Camden Yards: Rays have won 6 of last 9
- Scoring Trend: 5 of last 7 meetings have gone UNDER
Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays
- 7–1 last 8 as a road favorite
- UNDER 9–3 last 12 games
- McClanahan: Rays are 7–2 in his starts
Baltimore Orioles
- 3–7 last 10 vs. AL East
- UNDER 6–2 last 8 home games
- Bradish: Orioles are 3–5 in his starts
Head‑to‑Head
- Rays 5–2 last 7 meetings
- UNDER 6–1 last 7 in Baltimore
GAME ODDS
Tampa Bay Rays – 132
Baltimore Orioles 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 24, 2026
