MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (22-30) vs. Miami Marlins (24-29)

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Miami Marlins logo

Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida

First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET

Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida, SNY, MLB.TV

The Mets and Marlins wrap up their NL East weekend series with both clubs trying to climb out of early-season holes. New York sends Christian Scott, one of their most promising young arms, while Miami counters with Trevor Phillips, who has shown flashes but remains inconsistent. With both teams struggling to find rhythm, Sunday’s matchup becomes a key momentum game heading into Memorial Day.

Venue & Weather

loanDepot Park — Miami, FL (Retractable Roof)

Weather Outside:

  • Temperature: 86–89°F
  • Humidity: 70–75%
  • Wind: 10–14 mph
  • Rain: 40%
  • Roof Status: Almost certainly closed

Impact:

  • Roof closed → neutral-to-slightly pitcher-friendly
  • Limits home run carry
  • Emphasizes line-drive hitting and speed

Injury Report

New York Mets

  • Francisco Lindor — Active
  • Pete Alonso — Active
  • Starling Marte — Day-to-day (quad)
  • Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
  • Brooks Raley — OUT (elbow)

Miami Marlins

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Active
  • Jake Burger — Day-to-day (wrist)
  • Jesús Luzardo — OUT (forearm)
  • Max Meyer — Active
  • A.J. Puk — OUT (back)

Team Records & Recent Form

New York Mets (22–30)

  • Last 10: 4–6
  • Trend: Offense inconsistent, pitching improving
  • Strength: Top-of-order power (Alonso, Lindor)
  • Weakness: Bullpen depth, bottom-of-order production

Miami Marlins (24–29)

  • Last 10: 5–5
  • Trend: Offense streaky, pitching stabilizing
  • Strength: Athletic lineup, improved defense
  • Weakness: Rotation depth, bullpen volatility

Probable Pitching Matchup

New York — RHP Christian Scott (2–3, 3.94 ERA)

  • Profile:
    • Four-seam/slider/changeup mix
    • Strong strikeout ability
    • Still learning to pitch deep into games
  • Splits:
    • Vs RHB: .238 AVG
    • Vs LHB: .262 AVG
    • Road ERA: 4.20
  • Matchup Notes:
    • Must keep the ball down vs Jazz Chisholm
    • Miami’s left-handed bats could challenge him

Miami — RHP Trevor Phillips (3–4, 4.58 ERA)

  • Profile:
    • Sinker/slider righty
    • Generates ground balls when sharp
    • Prone to command lapses
  • Splits:
    • Vs RHB: .271 AVG
    • Vs LHB: .254 AVG
    • Home ERA: 4.33
  • Matchup Notes:
    • Mets’ right-handed power (Alonso, Lindor from right side) is a concern
    • Phillips must avoid early walks

Key Player Matchups

1. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Trevor Phillips

  • Alonso crushes sinkers and sliders left up
  • Phillips’ command inconsistency is dangerous Advantage: Mets

2. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Christian Scott

  • Jazz’s power/speed combo is a problem for young pitchers
  • Scott must avoid predictable fastballs Advantage: Miami

3. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Phillips

  • Lindor has been heating up in May
  • Phillips struggles vs switch-hitters Advantage: Mets

4. Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. Scott

  • De La Cruz handles velocity well Advantage: Even

Series History

  • 2025 Season: Mets won 8–5
  • 2026 Season: Mets lead season series 3–2 entering Sunday
  • At loanDepot Park (last 12): Mets lead 7–5
  • Trend: Mets’ pitching has generally controlled the matchup

Betting Trends

New York Mets

  • Under is 6–3 in last 9 games
  • Mets are 2–6 in last 8 road games
  • Mets are 4–1 in Scott’s last 5 starts

Miami Marlins

  • Marlins are 5–2 in last 7 home games
  • Over is 5–2 in last 7 Marlins games
  • Miami is 3–7 in Phillips’ last 10 starts

Game Odds

New York Mets                 – 112

Miami Marlins                  8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 23, 2026