First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida, SNY, MLB.TV
Venue & Weather
loanDepot Park is a retractable-roof stadium, meaning weather rarely impacts gameplay. However, Miami’s outdoor conditions still matter for roof decisions.
Miami Weather Forecast:
- Temperature: 84–87°F
- Humidity: 70–75%
- Wind: 10–14 mph out to right field
- Rain Chance: 40% (roof likely closed)
Impact:
- Roof closed: Neutral-to-slightly pitcher-friendly
- Roof open: Boost for left-handed power hitters
Injury Report
New York Mets
- Francisco Alvarez — OUT (thumb surgery)
- Starling Marte — Day-to-day (quad tightness)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Tylor Megill — OUT (lat strain)
- Pete Alonso — Active
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Day-to-day (ankle)
- Jake Burger — OUT (oblique)
- Edward Cabrera — OUT (shoulder)
- Sixto Sánchez — Active (bullpen)
- Tim Anderson — Active
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Mets (22–29)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Trend: Offense inconsistent, pitching stabilizing
- Strength: Power from Alonso, Lindor heating up
- Weakness: Bullpen volatility, lack of depth
Miami Marlins (23–29)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend: Offense improving, pitching still uneven
- Strength: Contact hitting, athleticism
- Weakness: Lack of power, rotation injuries
Probable Pitching Matchup
New York — RHP Freddy Peralta (3–4, 3.92 ERA)
- Profile:
- Four-seam fastball 94–96
- Devastating slider/curve combo
- High strikeout rate, occasional walk issues
- Splits:
- Vs RHB: .198 AVG
- Vs LHB: .247 AVG
- Road ERA: 4.21
- Matchup Notes:
- Miami’s lefties (Chisholm if active, Sánchez, Bell) are key
- Peralta’s swing-and-miss stuff plays well in Miami
Miami — RHP Max Meyer (2–3, 4.33 ERA)
- Profile:
- Mid-90s fastball
- Sharp slider, improving changeup
- Still building consistency after injury recovery
- Splits:
- Vs RHB: .256 AVG
- Vs LHB: .271 AVG
- Home ERA: 3.98
- Matchup Notes:
- Mets’ right-handed power (Alonso, Lindor, Baty) is a concern
- Meyer must keep the ball down to avoid HR damage
Key Player Matchups
1. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Max Meyer
- Alonso’s power vs Meyer’s fastball-heavy approach
- Meyer struggles vs elite right-handed sluggers Advantage: Mets
2. Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Freddy Peralta
- Arraez’s elite contact vs Peralta’s strikeout-first style
- Peralta must avoid falling behind in counts Advantage: Marlins
3. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Meyer
- Lindor has been heating up in May
- Meyer’s slider must be sharp Advantage: Mets
4. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Peralta (if active)
- Chisholm’s power/speed combo is a threat
- Peralta’s high fastball can be punished Advantage: Even
Series History
- 2025 Season: Mets won 8–5
- 2026 Season: Marlins lead 1–0 (Friday’s opener)
- At loanDepot Park (last 12): Mets lead 7–5
- Trend: Mets have historically hit well in Miami
Betting Trends
New York Mets
- Under is 6–2 in last 8 games
- Mets are 7–3 in last 10 vs Miami
- Peralta starts: Under is 5–2
Miami Marlins
- Marlins are 4–1 in last 5 home games
- Over is 5–1 in last 6 Meyer starts
- Marlins are 2–8 in last 10 vs NL East
Game Odds
New York Mets – 112
Miami Marlins 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 22, 2026
