First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
Venue & Weather Conditions
Fenway Park is one of MLB’s most unique and hitter‑friendly environments, especially for right-handed hitters who can pepper the Green Monster.
Boston Forecast (7–10 p.m. ET):
- Temperature: 63–66°F
- Wind: 8–11 mph blowing out to left field
- Humidity: ~60%
- Precipitation: <10% — clear and dry
- Impact:
- Boost for right-handed power hitters
- Fly balls to left carry well
- Slight lean toward overs unless both starters dominate early
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
- Bryce Harper — Healthy
- Trea Turner — OUT (hamstring)
- J.T. Realmuto — Healthy
- Brandon Marsh — Day-to-day (ankle)
- Andrew Painter — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Seranthony Domínguez — Healthy
Boston Red Sox
- Rafael Devers — Healthy
- Triston Casas — OUT (rib)
- Tyler O’Neill — Day-to-day (wrist)
- Trevor Story — OUT (shoulder)
- Sonny Gray — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Kenley Jansen — Healthy
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (20–22)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 9–12
- Run Differential: -5
- Trend: Rotation stabilizing; offense inconsistent without Turner; bullpen improving.
- Yesterday: Lost 4–3 — stranded runners late.
Boston Red Sox (17–24)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Home Record: 8–13
- Run Differential: -31
- Trend: Pitching struggling; lineup streaky; bullpen unreliable.
- Yesterday: Won 4–3 — rare late-inning execution.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Phillies — RHP Andrew Painter (2–3, 3.68 ERA)
- 2026 form: Electric stuff; elite velocity; improving command.
- Strengths: High-spin fastball; wipeout slider; strong vs. righties.
- Weaknesses: Occasional walk issues; vulnerable to left-handed power.
- Matchup notes: Fenway’s dimensions challenge young pitchers — Devers is a major threat.
Red Sox — RHP Sonny Gray (3–4, 4.22 ERA)
- 2026 form: Still effective but inconsistent; struggles with deep lineups.
- Strengths: Curveball/changeup mix; induces ground balls; strong vs. righties.
- Weaknesses: Gives up hard contact when behind in counts; HR-prone at Fenway.
- Matchup notes: Phillies’ lefties (Harper, Stott) match up well.
Pitching Edge: Phillies (slightly) — Painter’s upside > Gray’s inconsistency.
Key Player Matchups
Phillies Hitters vs. Sonny Gray
- Bryce Harper: Excellent vs. breaking balls; HR threat with wind blowing out
- Alec Bohm: Monster vs. curveballs; ideal Fenway profile
- Bryson Stott: High-contact; can exploit Gray’s occasional command lapses
Red Sox Hitters vs. Andrew Painter
- Rafael Devers: Elite vs. high velocity; biggest threat
- Masataka Yoshida: Patient approach; can force long at-bats
- Tyler O’Neill: Power vs. righties if healthy
Matchup Edge: Phillies lineup
Series History
- 2026 Season: First meeting
- Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 6–4
- At Fenway Park (last 5 years): Even split — 50/50
Interleague matchups between these clubs often produce high-scoring, unpredictable games.
Betting Trends
Phillies
- 5–2 in last 7 vs. AL East
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 road games
- 4–1 in Painter’s last 5 starts
Red Sox
- 3–7 in last 10 overall
- 1–5 in last 6 home games
- Over is 5–2 in last 7 at Fenway
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies 9
Boston Red Sox – 131
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
