First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. CT
Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field — Chicago, Illinois
Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
Capacity: 40,615
Weather Forecast (Chicago, IL)
Guaranteed Rate Field is open-air; weather will influence run environment.
- Temperature: 64–67°F at first pitch
- Wind: 12–16 mph blowing out to left-center
- Humidity: ~58%
- Rain: 0% — clear, breezy spring evening
- Weather Impact:
- Boost for right-handed power hitters
- Fly balls carry well in this wind pattern
- Slightly hitter-friendly overall
Injury Report
Kansas City Royals
- Bobby Witt Jr. — Healthy
- Vinnie Pasquantino — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- MJ Melendez — OUT (wrist fracture)
- Brady Singer — OUT (forearm strain)
- Cole Ragans — Healthy (normal rest)
Chicago White Sox
- Luis Robert Jr. — Probable (quad tightness, expected to play)
- Eloy Jiménez — OUT (hamstring strain)
- Yoán Moncada — OUT (back injury)
- Garrett Crochet — Healthy (available)
- Michael Kopech — Day-to-day (shoulder fatigue)
Team Records & Recent Form
Kansas City Royals (19–22)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Road Record: 8–13
- Run Differential: -11
- Recent Form:
- Offense inconsistent, averaging 3.9 runs over last 10
- Bullpen improving after rough early stretch
- Rotation has been solid but lacks depth without Singer
Chicago White Sox (19–21)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 10–9
- Run Differential: -7
- Recent Form:
- Offense showing signs of life despite injuries
- Pitching staff allowing just 3.7 runs per game over last 7
- Bullpen has been excellent in late innings
Probable Starting Pitchers
Kansas City — LHP Cole Ragans (3–3, 3.62 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/BB: 52/15
- Strengths:
- Power fastball/slider combo
- Excellent vs LHB
- Weaknesses:
- Can be homer-prone when behind in counts
- Matchup Outlook:
- White Sox RH bats (Robert, Vaughn) are the key challenge
- Wind blowing out increases HR risk
Chicago — LHP Garrett Crochet (2–3, 3.94 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.14
- K/BB: 49/10
- Strengths:
- High-velo lefty with elite strikeout ability
- Dominant vs LH hitters
- Weaknesses:
- Can struggle with pitch count efficiency
- Vulnerable to RH power when slider flattens
- Matchup Outlook:
- Royals’ RH bats (Perez, Garcia, Frazier) match up well
- Wind favors RH hitters
Key Player Matchups
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) vs. Garrett Crochet
- Witt hitting .301 vs LHP
- Crochet allows 1.1 HR/9 to RH hitters
- Advantage: Witt
Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) vs. Cole Ragans
- Robert crushes lefties (.317 vs LHP)
- Ragans’ fastball can be punished if elevated
- Advantage: Robert
Salvador Perez (KC) vs. White Sox Bullpen
- Perez hitting .333 in high-leverage spots
- Chicago bullpen has been elite late
- Advantage: Even
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) vs. Ragans
- Vaughn’s power plays well with wind blowing out
- Ragans’ slider must stay sharp
- Advantage: Vaughn
Series History
- 2025 Season: Royals won 7 of 13
- Last 10 Meetings: Royals lead 6–4
- At Guaranteed Rate Field: White Sox lead 12–10 since 2020
- Trend: Games tend to be higher scoring in Chicago
Betting Trends
Kansas City
- 3–7 in last 10 road games
- Over is 6–2 in last 8 Ragans starts
- Royals 2–6 in last 8 vs AL Central
Chicago
- 5–1 in last 6 home games
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 Crochet starts
- White Sox 4–1 in last 5 vs sub-.500 teams
Head-to-Head
- Over is 5–1 in last 6 meetings in Chicago
- Home team has won 7 of last 10
Game Odds
Kansas City Royals – 127
Chicago White Sox 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 11, 2026
