Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Broadcast: MASN, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.TV
VENUE — LOANDEPOT PARK
Location: Miami, FL
Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, especially for home runs
Roof: Often closed due to heat/humidity
Surface: Turf/grass hybrid
Roof Status: Expected closed due to humidity and early‑evening thunderstorms in the area.
A closed roof neutralizes weather and keeps run scoring moderate.
WEATHER FORECAST (Miami, FL — May 7, 2026)
(Roof expected closed — minimal impact on play)
Outside Temperature: 82°F
Humidity: 74%
Wind: 10–14 mph (irrelevant with roof closed)
Conditions: Scattered thunderstorms
Impact: With the roof closed, conditions will be stable and pitcher‑friendly.
INJURY REPORT
Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson — OUT (ankle sprain)
John Means — OUT (elbow)
Cedric Mullins — Day‑to‑day (quad tightness)
Tyler Wells — OUT (forearm)
Ryan Mountcastle — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — OUT (hamstring)
Jesús Luzardo — OUT (elbow)
Jake Burger — OUT (shoulder)
A.J. Puk — OUT (back)
Bryan De La Cruz — Day‑to‑day (knee)
Impact: Both teams are missing cornerstone hitters. Baltimore’s lineup is weakened without Henderson and Mullins; Miami’s offense loses explosiveness without Jazz and Burger.
RECENT TEAM FORM
Baltimore Orioles
Last 10: 4–6
Road Record: 7–11
Runs/Game: 4.3
Team ERA: 4.51
Trend: Pitching has been inconsistent, and the offense has cooled without Henderson.
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 9–10
Runs/Game: 4.1
Team ERA: 4.47
Trend: Miami has been competitive but lacks late‑inning execution.
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Baltimore Orioles — RHP Grayson Rodriguez
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.12 ERA
Strengths: Power fastball, swing‑and‑miss changeup
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses
Park Fit: Excellent — fly‑ball suppression environment
Miami Marlins — RHP Edward Cabrera
2026 Season: 1–2, 4.58 ERA
Strengths: Electric stuff, elite strikeout potential
Weaknesses: Walk rate, pitch count inefficiency
Park Fit: Strong — minimizes HR damage
Pitching Edge: Orioles (slightly)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs. Edward Cabrera (MIA)
Rutschman excels vs. high‑velocity arms
Cabrera’s walks could put him in trouble Edge: Orioles
Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Grayson Rodriguez (BAL)
Arraez thrives vs. power pitchers
Rodriguez must avoid middle‑middle fastballs Edge: Marlins
Anthony Santander (BAL) vs. Marlins Bullpen
Santander’s switch‑hitting power plays well in big parks
Miami’s bullpen ERA is bottom‑third Edge: Orioles
Josh Bell (MIA) vs. Orioles Pitching
Bell has been Miami’s most consistent run producer
Rodriguez’s changeup could neutralize him Edge: Even
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season: Orioles won season series 3–2
At loanDepot Park: Teams have split last 6
2026 Series: Tied 1–1 entering this game
Trend: Games tend to be low‑scoring in Miami
BETTING TRENDS
Baltimore Orioles
Orioles are 3–7 in last 10 road games
Under is 5–2 in last 7 Rodriguez starts
Orioles are 2–5 in last 7 vs. NL opponents
Miami Marlins
Marlins are 4–2 in last 6 home games
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Marlins games
Miami is 5–1 in last 6 vs. teams under .500
Head‑to‑Head
Under is 6–3 in last 9 meetings
Home team is 5–4 in last 9
Average combined score: 7.4 runs
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Miami Marlins – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, May 6, 2026
