Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — MIAMI
loanDepot Park features a retractable roof.
Roof Status: Expected closed due to humidity
Temperature (inside): 72–74°F
Humidity: Controlled
Wind: Not applicable
Ballpark Impact:
Closed‑roof games favor pitching and contact hitters
Home‑run suppression slightly higher
Run scoring tends to be moderate
INJURY REPORT
Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper (1B) — Probable, minor back tightness
Trea Turner (SS) — Out, hamstring strain
Ranger Suárez (SP) — Out, elbow inflammation
José Alvarado (RP) — Probable, workload management
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (CF) — Probable, ankle soreness
Jake Burger (3B) — Questionable, wrist soreness
Jesús Luzardo (SP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
A.J. Puk (RP) — Out, lat strain
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Philadelphia Phillies (14–20)
Run Differential: -22
Road Record: 6–12
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense: 4.09 runs/game
Pitching: 4.72 ERA
Bullpen: 4.51 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
Miami Marlins (16–18)
Run Differential: -11
Home Record: 9–8
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense: 4.31 runs/game
Pitching: 4.28 ERA
Bullpen: 4.02 ERA (middle‑tier)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Philadelphia Phillies
Offense inconsistent: 3.8 runs/game over last 8
Rotation struggling without Suárez
Bullpen unreliable in leverage spots
Harper and Bohm carrying most of the production
Miami Marlins
Offense improving: 4.6 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff stabilizing despite injuries
Chisholm and Arraez producing strong top‑of‑order numbers
Bullpen trending upward
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Philadelphia — Taijuan Walker (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–3, 4.77 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
Strengths: Splitter effectiveness, induces weak contact
Weaknesses: Command volatility, HR issues vs. lefties
Vs. Marlins: 3.88 career ERA
Miami — Edward Cabrera (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Strengths: Electric fastball/changeup combo, high strikeout upside
Weaknesses: Walk rate, pitch efficiency
Vs. Phillies: 3.60 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Edward Cabrera (MIA)
Harper handles high‑velocity fastballs well
Cabrera must avoid middle‑in locations Edge: Phillies
2. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Taijuan Walker (PHI)
Chisholm thrives vs. splitters left up
Walker must keep the ball down Edge: Marlins
3. Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Phillies Bullpen
Arraez’s contact profile is ideal vs. Philly’s inconsistent relief Edge: Marlins
4. Alec Bohm (PHI) vs. Miami’s Right‑Handed Pitching
Bohm’s gap‑to‑gap power plays well in Miami Edge: Phillies (slight)
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Marlins lead 4–3
Last 10 Meetings: Marlins lead 6–4
At loanDepot Park: Marlins have won 5 of last 7
Games often low‑scoring due to park factors and pitching matchups.
BETTING TRENDS
Philadelphia Phillies
3–7 in last 10 road games
Under is 6–3 in last 9
2–6 in last 8 vs. NL East
Miami Marlins
6–2 in last 8 home games
Over is 4–1 in last 5
7–3 in last 10 vs. teams below .500
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies – 115
Miami Marlins 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
