Venue: Tropicana Field — St. Petersburg, Florida
First Pitch: 6:50 PM ET / 3:50 PM PT
Surface: Artificial turf
Broadcast: Sportsnet, Bally Sports Sun, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — TROPICANA FIELD
Tropicana Field is a fully enclosed, climate‑controlled dome.
Temperature: 72°F (controlled)
Humidity: Moderate, controlled
Wind: None (indoor)
Ballpark Impact:
Dome conditions favor pitching consistency
Turf surface increases ground‑ball speed
Home‑run suppression slightly higher than league average
INJURY REPORT
Toronto Blue Jays
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) — Probable, minor wrist soreness
Bo Bichette (SS) — Questionable, hamstring tightness
Kevin Gausman (SP) — Out, shoulder fatigue
Jordan Romano (CL) — Out, elbow inflammation
Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco (SS) — Out, administrative leave
Shane McClanahan (SP) — Out, Tommy John recovery
Brandon Lowe (2B) — Probable, back tightness
Pete Fairbanks (CL) — Probable, workload management
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Toronto Blue Jays (16–18)
Run Differential: -9
Road Record: 7–10
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense: 4.18 runs/game
Pitching: 4.41 ERA
Bullpen: 4.32 ERA (middle‑tier)
Tampa Bay Rays (21–12)
Run Differential: +31
Home Record: 12–5
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense: 4.92 runs/game
Pitching: 3.78 ERA
Bullpen: 3.44 ERA (top‑10 MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Toronto Blue Jays
Offense improving: 4.6 runs/game over last 7
Rotation inconsistent without Gausman
Bullpen shaky in late innings
Guerrero and Springer driving production
Tampa Bay Rays
Offense surging: 5.1 runs/game over last 8
Pitching staff stabilizing despite injuries
Bullpen excellent in leverage spots
Arozarena and Paredes leading the charge
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Toronto — José Berríos (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–3, 3.88 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
Strengths: Curveball command, ground‑ball generation
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. lefties
Vs. Rays: 3.71 career ERA
Tampa Bay — Taj Bradley (RHP)
2026 Season: 4–1, 3.44 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: High‑velocity fastball, elite strikeout ability
Weaknesses: Walk rate can spike
Vs. Blue Jays: 3.60 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Taj Bradley (TB)
Guerrero handles high‑velocity fastballs well
Bradley must avoid middle‑in locations Edge: Toronto (slight)
2. Randy Arozarena (TB) vs. José Berríos (TOR)
Arozarena thrives vs. breaking balls
Berríos’ curveball must stay down Edge: Tampa Bay
3. Isaac Paredes (TB) vs. Toronto Bullpen
Paredes excels in late‑inning leverage spots
Toronto’s bullpen has struggled vs. right‑handed power Edge: Tampa Bay
4. George Springer (TOR) vs. Tropicana Field Dimensions
Springer’s pull power plays well in the dome Edge: Toronto (slight)
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Rays lead 4–2
Last 10 Meetings: Rays lead 7–3
At Tropicana Field: Rays have won 6 of last 8
Tampa Bay’s pitching depth has consistently controlled Toronto’s offense.
BETTING TRENDS
Toronto Blue Jays
4–6 in last 10 road games
Under is 5–3 in last 8
3–7 in last 10 vs. AL East
Tampa Bay Rays
8–2 in last 10 home games
Over is 6–3 in last 9
7–3 in last 10 vs. teams below .500
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 8
Tampa Bay Rays – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
