UFC Perth MMA Match Preview: Tim Elliott (13-4-0) vs. Steve Erceg (22-13-1)

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Event & Venue

Event: UFC Perth: Della Maddalena vs. Prates

Bout: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg

Division: Flyweight (125 lbs)

Venue: RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia

Local Bout Time: 7:00 PM AWST (11:00 UTC)

U.S. Broadcast: Prelims 1:00 AM PT / 4:00 AM ET; main card 4:00 AM PT / 7:00 AM ET

Indoor arena — no weather impact.

Injury Report

No reported injuries for either fighter

Both cleared for competition

Fighter Profiles & Recent Form

Steve “AstroBoy” Erceg

Record: 13–4

Age: 30

Country: Australia

Style: Well‑rounded grappler/striker with strong finishing instincts

Recent Win: UD over Ode Osbourne (Aug 2025)

Stat Profile

2 KOs, 6 submissions, 5 first‑round finishes

46% significant strike accuracy

52% striking defense

28% takedown accuracy / 63% TDD

Strengths

Slick grappling transitions

Strong home‑crowd advantage

High finishing rate

Composed, technical striking

Weaknesses

Can be low‑volume at times

Has not faced many elite scramblers like Elliott

Tim Elliott

Record: 22–13–1

Age: 39

Country: USA

Style: Chaotic scramble‑heavy wrestler with unorthodox striking

Recent Win: R1 submission over Sumudaerji (Dec 2023)

Stat Profile

8 submissions, 3 KOs, 6 first‑round finishes

45% significant strike accuracy

58% striking defense

48% takedown accuracy / 59% TDD

Strengths

Elite scrambling

High fight IQ from 14 years in UFC

Awkward rhythm disrupts technical fighters

Weaknesses

Age and durability concerns

Can be reversed in grappling exchanges

Prone to losing minutes despite activity

Matchup Breakdown

Striking

Erceg: Cleaner mechanics, better accuracy

Elliott: Chaotic, unpredictable, but less efficient Edge: Erceg

Grappling

Erceg: Strong submission game

Elliott: Better scrambler, more creative Edge: Even

Cardio

Erceg: Reliable 3‑round engine

Elliott: Still strong but slowing with age Edge: Erceg

Experience

Elliott: Former title challenger, 20+ UFC fights

Erceg: Rising contender Edge: Elliott

Betting Trends

Sharp money favors Erceg due to youth, momentum, and home advantage.

Elliott attracts underdog bettors because of his scrambling and upset history.

Fight likely to feature grappling exchanges, making method props attractive.

Erceg’s finishing rate pushes markets toward ITD (inside‑the‑distance) props.

FIGHT ODDS

Tim Elliott           + 145

Steve Erceg         – 175

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026