MLB Game Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks (5-6) vs. New York Mets (7-4)

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First Pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET
Venue:
Citi Field, Flushing, New York (Mets home)
TV/Streaming: SNY (Mets), DBacks.TV, MLB.TV

This is Game 2 of a three-game interleague series. The Mets took Game 1 in extra innings (4-3 on April 7).

Weather Updates

Cold and clear early-April conditions in Queens. Game-time forecast calls for 47–56°F (high around 49–55°F during the afternoon start), humidity ~29–58%, and a 0% chance of precipitation. Winds will blow at 9–10 mph (direction variable but generally light-to-moderate). The chill and breeze should suppress offense and fly-ball distance at Citi Field, creating a classic pitcher-friendly environment with no weather delays expected.

Team Recent Form

Arizona Diamondbacks (5-6, 2nd in NL West, 0-4 on the road): Arizona has dropped four straight away games and sits at 1-4 in its last five overall. Offense has been quiet (.211–.213 AVG early), though the staff ERA is respectable. The D-backs are desperate to snap the road skid and even the series.

New York Mets (7-4, 1st in NL East, strong home mark): The Mets have won four of their last five and own the best record in the NL East early. They erased a late deficit in Game 1 for the extra-innings victory and are rolling with timely hitting and solid bullpen work at Citi Field.

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks (key absences):

1B/DH Pavin Smith (10-Day IL; eligible/possible return window around today — monitor final lineup)

LF Jordan Lawlar (10-Day IL, fractured right wrist)

Additional long-term: SP Blake Walston (60-Day IL, elbow), SP Cristian Mena (60-Day IL, shoulder), SP Corbin Burnes (60-Day IL, Tommy John), RP Justin Martinez (60-Day IL, Tommy John), RP A.J. Puk (60-Day IL, Tommy John)

New York Mets (key absences):

RF Juan Soto (10-Day IL, calf strain; expected return ~April 21)

RP A.J. Minter (15-Day IL; expected ~May 1)

RP Brandon Waddell (7-Day IL; out today)

RP Nate Lavender (7-Day IL; out through April 9)

No major last-minute changes reported beyond Smith’s status. Soto’s absence is the biggest offensive hit for New York.

Starting Pitchers & Player Matchups

Diamondbacks: RHP Ryne Nelson (0-1, 5.79 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.1 IP, 7 K, 6 BB, 4 HR allowed)
Nelson has been hittable early with four home runs allowed in two starts. Command has been an issue; Citi Field’s dimensions and cold air could help, but he must limit hard contact.

Mets: LHP David Peterson (0-1, 4.66 ERA, 1.97 WHIP, 9.2 IP, 8 K, 4 BB, 0 HR allowed)
Peterson has avoided homers but issued too many hits. Strong home splits historically; his arsenal should play well against Arizona’s righty-leaning lineup in the cold.

Key Position Player Matchups:

Diamondbacks’ speed/power threats (Corbin Carroll, Eugenio Suárez, Josh Naylor, Geraldo Perdomo) vs. Peterson’s lefty stuff — Carroll’s speed on the bases could be key in a low-scoring game.

Mets’ core without Soto (Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, Mark Vientos, Jeff McNeil, Brett Baty) vs. Nelson’s fastball — Lindor and Alonso have provided recent pop and are the primary run producers.

Defensive notes: Citi Field rewards strong outfield play and infield range; both teams feature above-average defenders up the middle, but cold weather may affect grip and tracking.

Probable lineups favor righty-lefty balance with possible DH usage. Monitor Smith’s availability for Arizona’s lineup depth.

Series History

Mets lead the 2026 head-to-head 1-0 after Tuesday’s extra-innings win. All-time regular season: Roughly even in recent years, with low-scoring affairs common at Citi Field in April. Early 2026 games have trended competitive and slightly under the total.

Betting Trends

New York is 4-1 SU in its last five and strong as home favorites.

UNDER with the Cold temps, wind, and two starters allowing hard contact but in a pitcher-friendly park point lower scoring. Arizona is 0-7 SU on the road recently.

Other Trends: Mets 4-1 SU in last five; Diamondbacks 0-4 on the road and 5-11 SU in last 16 overall. Total has gone Under in several early Wednesday and cold-weather Citi Field games.

Game Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks                 7.5

New York Mets                                 – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, April 7, 2026