NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Preview: United Rentals 300

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Race Details

  • Flag drop is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET (2:00 p.m. PT, 4:00 p.m. CT).
  • Venue: Daytona International Speedway, 1801 W International Speedway Blvd, Daytona Beach, Florida 32114.
  • TV/Streaming: The CW, Fubo, NASCAR.com (live stream), MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.

The United Rentals 300 kicks off the 2026 NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series (formerly Xfinity Series) season at the “World Center of Racing.” This 120-lap (300-mile) superspeedway event on the 2.5-mile tri-oval is known for pack racing, high speeds (averaging 150-180 mph), and multi-car crashes (“The Big One”). With 42 entries for 38 spots, four drivers will miss the race via qualifying. The race format includes two stages of 30 laps each, followed by a 60-lap final stage, emphasizing strategy on fuel and tires.

Expected Weather Conditions

Daytona Beach will see mild conditions on race day with a high of 70°F and low of 57°F. Expect partly cloudy skies, winds from the E at 2-10 mph, humidity around 87%, and no significant precipitation (0 inches expected). Sunrise at 7:04 a.m., sunset at 6:13 p.m. These conditions favor a smooth race without delays, though high humidity could slightly affect tire grip.

Track Conditions

Daytona’s 2.5-mile asphalt tri-oval with 31-degree banking in turns is expected to be Fast and dry, promoting high-speed drafting packs. No recent resurfacing reported, so tire wear will be moderate on Goodyear Eagles. If unexpected showers hit, the track could turn Good, slowing laps by 1-2 seconds and emphasizing handling over raw power.

Race History

The United Rentals 300, formerly the DRIVE4COPD 300 (2010-2014) and others, has been the Xfinity season opener at Daytona since 1982. It’s known for chaotic finishes, with 15 of the last 20 races decided by less than 0.2 seconds. Past winners include Jesse Love (2025), Austin Hill (2024, 2023, 2022), Cole Custer (2021), Noah Gragson (2020), Michael Annett (2019), Tyler Reddick (2018), Ryan Reed (2017, 2015), Regan Smith (2014), Tony Stewart (2013), and James Buescher (2012). Average winners start from 8th position, with 10 cautions typical (lasting 35 laps). Race record: 1:59:53 by Joe Gibbs Racing’s Ty Gibbs in 2022. Trends favor Chevrolet (won 8 of last 10) and Richard Childress Racing (4 straight wins 2022-2025).

Recent Driver Forms

The 2026 season opener follows the 2025 campaign, where Justin Allgaier won the championship. Key drivers’ recent forms (based on 2025 end-of-season and preseason testing):

  • Austin Hill (Richard Childress Racing, #21 Chevrolet): Won 4 races in 2025, including Daytona opener for 3rd straight year. Last 5: 1st, 3rd, 2nd, 5th, 1st. Dominant on superspeedways (7 wins career).
  • Jesse Love (Richard Childress Racing, #2 Chevrolet): 2025 Daytona winner as rookie; 2 wins overall. Last 5: 1st, 4th, 6th, 2nd, 8th. Strong closer.
  • Sheldon Creed (Haas Factory Team, #00 Chevrolet): 3 wins in 2025. Last 5: 2nd, 1st, 3rd, 5th, 1st. Excellent drafter.
  • Justin Allgaier (JR Motorsports, #7 Chevrolet): 2025 champion with 5 wins. Last 5: 1st, 2nd, 1st, 3rd, 4th. Veteran superspeedway master (2 Daytona wins career).
  • Sam Mayer (JR Motorsports, #1 Chevrolet): 4 wins in 2025. Last 5: 3rd, 1st, 5th, 2nd, 6th. Aggressive in packs.
  • Cole Custer (Stewart-Haas Racing, #00 Ford): 3 wins in 2025. Last 5: 4th, 1st, 3rd, 5th, 2nd. Solid but inconsistent at Daytona.
  • Chandler Smith (Joe Gibbs Racing, #81 Toyota): 2 wins in 2025. Last 5: 5th, 3rd, 1st, 4th, 6th. Rising star.
  • AJ Allmendinger (Kaulig Racing, #16 Chevrolet): Road course ace but 1 superspeedway win. Last 5: 6th, 2nd, 4th, 1st, 3rd.
  • Riley Herbst (Stewart-Haas Racing, #98 Ford): 1 win in 2025. Last 5: 7th, 5th, 4th, 6th, 3rd. Plate track specialist.
  • Brandon Jones (JR Motorsports, #9 Chevrolet): No wins in 2025 but strong finisher. Last 5: 8th, 4th, 6th, 5th, 7th. Sneaky good at Daytona.

Driver Matchups

  • Austin Hill vs. Jesse Love (RCR Teammates): Hill (3 straight Daytona wins) vs. Love (2025 winner). Hill’s experience edges Love’s youth; Hill 1.5x more likely to lead laps.
  • Justin Allgaier vs. Cole Custer: Allgaier (veteran with 2 Daytona wins) vs. Custer (consistent but 0 Daytona wins). Allgaier favors in head-to-head (65% win probability).
  • Sam Mayer vs. Chandler Smith (JR Motorsports vs. JGR): Mayer’s aggression vs. Smith’s drafting skill; Mayer edges in pack racing (recent top-5 rate 60% vs. 50%).
  • AJ Allmendinger vs. Riley Herbst: Allmendinger (road ace but plate solid) vs. Herbst (superspeedway specialist); Herbst favored at Daytona (average finish 12th vs. Allmendinger’s 18th).
  • Rookie Watch: Corey Day vs. Gio Ruggiero: Day (Hendrick) vs. Ruggiero (JGR); both debuting, Ruggiero edges with ARCA experience.

Driver                                                   Odds

Austin Hill                                           + 450

Jesse Love                                           + 550

Justin Allgaier                                   + 800

Sammy Smith                                    + 1000

Sheldon Creed                                  + 1200

Ryan Sieg                                            + 1400

Carson Hocevar                                 + 1400

Sam Mayer                                         + 1600

Carson Kvapil                                    + 1600

Rajah Caruth                                      + 1800

Taylor Gray                                         + 2200

Brandon Jones                                  + 2500

William Sawalich                             + 2800

Jeb Burton                                          + 2800

Harrison Burton                                + 2800

Giovanni Ruggiero                          + 2800

Nicholas Sanchez                             + 3500

Corey Day                                            + 3500

Jordan Anderson                             + 5500

Dean Thompson                               + 5500

Daniel Dye                                          + 5500

Anthony Alfredo                              + 5500

Patrick Staropoli                              + 6500

Parker Retzlaff                                  + 7000

Brennan Poole                                  + 8000

Jeremy Clements                             + 9000

Ryan Ellis                                             + 10000

Natalie Decker                                  + 10000

Luke Fenhaus                                    + 10000

Kyle Sieg                                              + 10000

Blaine Perkins                                   + 10000

Josh Bilicki                                          + 15000

David Starr                                          + 15000

Patrick Emerling                               + 20000

Mason Maggio                                  + 20000

Lavar Scott                                          + 20000

Josh Williams                                    + 20000

Joey Gase                                            + 20000

Garrett Smithley                              + 20000

Carson Ware                                      + 20000

Caesar Bacarella                               + 20000

Austin Green                                     + 20000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, February 13, 2026