Venue: Friends Arena — Solna, Stockholm, Sweden
Kickoff Time: 8:45 PM CET (11:45 AM PDT for you in East Los Angeles)
Weather & Pitch Conditions
Forecast: Clear to partly cloudy
Temperature: ~18°C / 64°F
Wind: Light westerly breeze (7–12 mph)
Rain Probability: <10%
Pitch: Natural grass, expected firm
Impact:
France’s technical midfield thrives on a fast, firm surface.
Sweden’s defensive structure benefits from predictable footing and low moisture.
Expect a high‑tempo match with clean passing lanes.
Team Overview & Recent Form
France
Record (Last 6): 4W – 1D – 1L Recent Results:
W 3–1 vs Austria
W 2–0 vs Greece
D 1–1 vs Belgium
L 0–1 vs Spain
W 4–0 vs Finland
Form Summary: France enters with elite form, driven by a deep midfield rotation and world‑class attacking options. Their defensive line remains one of the most stable in Europe, though they occasionally struggle against compact low blocks.
Sweden
Record (Last 6): 2W – 2D – 2L Recent Results:
D 1–1 vs Slovenia
W 2–0 vs Albania
L 0–2 vs Denmark
W 3–1 vs Cyprus
L 1–3 vs Switzerland
Form Summary: Sweden is in a transitional phase, blending veteran leadership with emerging young talent. Their attack is functional but lacks France’s dynamism. Defensive discipline is their strongest asset, especially at home.
Injury Report & Squad Notes
France
Kylian Mbappé — FIT
Antoine Griezmann — QUESTIONABLE (minor calf tightness)
Aurélien Tchouaméni — OUT (foot fracture recovery)
William Saliba — FIT
Squad Notes:
Expect a 4‑3‑3 with Mbappé, Kolo Muani, and Coman.
Camavinga likely anchors midfield with Rabiot and Zaïre‑Emery.
Sweden
Alexander Isak — FIT
Dejan Kulusevski — FIT
Victor Lindelöf — OUT (hamstring)
Kristoffer Olsson — QUESTIONABLE
Squad Notes:
Sweden likely deploys a 4‑4‑2 or 4‑2‑3‑1 depending on France’s shape.
Isak and Kulusevski remain the primary attacking engines.
Key Player Matchups
Kylian Mbappé (FRA) vs. Emil Holm (SWE)
Mbappé’s pace and diagonal runs will test Holm’s positioning. Sweden must avoid isolating Holm in 1v1 situations.
Eduardo Camavinga (FRA) vs. Kristoffer Olsson (SWE)
Camavinga’s press resistance vs. Olsson’s distribution. If Camavinga controls tempo, France will dominate possession.
Alexander Isak (SWE) vs. Dayot Upamecano (FRA)
Isak’s movement and finishing threaten France’s high line. Upamecano must avoid overcommitting.
Dejan Kulusevski (SWE) vs. Theo Hernández (FRA)
Kulusevski’s creativity vs. Hernández’s aggressive overlapping. This flank could decide Sweden’s attacking success.
Series History
All‑Time Meetings: 23
Record: France 12W – Sweden 7W – 4D
Last Meeting: France 4–2 Sweden (2020 UEFA Nations League)
Trend:
France typically wins when matches become open and high‑tempo.
Sweden performs better in low‑scoring, structured contests.
Betting Trends
France last 10 matches: 7–2–1
Sweden last 10 matches: 4–3–3
France matches over 2.5 goals: 6 of last 10
Sweden matches under 2.5 goals: 7 of last 10
France vs Nordic teams: France has won 5 of last 6
Sweden home friendlies: 3 straight unders
MATCH ODDS
France – 390
Sweden + 1000
Draw + 550
Over 3.5 + 115 Under 3.5 – 145
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 29, 2026
