Tip-off: 9:30 PM ET (6:30 PM PT)
Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Capacity: ~12,000)
Broadcast: ESPN / WNBA League Pass
Injury Report
Seattle Storm:
Katie Lou Samuelson – Out for season (knee)
No other major injuries reported
Las Vegas Aces:
No major injuries listed
Key Player Matchups
A’ja Wilson (Aces) vs. Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)
Wilson is averaging 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks this season. Ogwumike leads Seattle in scoring at 18.3 PPG and anchors their paint attack.
Jackie Young (Aces) vs. Skylar Diggins-Smith (Storm)
Young is averaging 16.9 PPG over her last 10 games. Diggins-Smith scored 26 in Game 2, proving she can swing the series.
Chelsea Gray (Aces) vs. Erica Wheeler (Storm)
Gray’s playmaking vs. Wheeler’s perimeter shooting (2.5 made threes per game in her last 10) will be pivotal.
Recent Team Form
Seattle Storm (23–21, 12–12 Western Conf.)
Last 10: 6–4
Averaging 82.4 PPG, allowing 81.8 PPG
Game 2: Defeated Aces 86–83 behind Diggins-Smith’s 26 points
Las Vegas Aces (30–14, 16–8 Western Conf.)
Last 10: 9–1
Averaging 89.1 PPG, allowing 74.3 PPG
Game 1: Dominated Seattle 102–77 with hot 3-point shooting (48.3%)
Series History
2025 Playoffs: Series tied 1–1
Game 1 (Sept. 14): Aces 102, Storm 77
Game 2 (Sept. 16): Storm 86, Aces 83
Regular Season 2025: Split 3–3
All-time (since 1997): Aces lead 56–50
Betting Trends
Seattle Storm:
4–1 ATS in last 5 games
3 of last 5 games have gone under the total
2–3 SU in last 5 road games
Las Vegas Aces:
7–3 ATS in last 10 games
4 of last 5 games have gone over the total
8–2 SU in last 10 overall
Head-to-Head: Home team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Historical Betting Results
Seattle: Profitable ATS as a playoff underdog; unders common when Ogwumike controls the paint.
Las Vegas: Strong ATS at home; overs frequent when Wilson and Young combine for 40+.
Playoff Trends: In WNBA first-round Game 3s, home teams cover ~62% of the time.
GAME ODDS
Seattle Storm 159
Las Vegas Aces – 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, September 17, 2025
