WNBA Game Preview: Phoenix Mercury (14-6) vs. Minnesota Lynx (19-4)

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Minnesota Lynx logo

Matchup: Phoenix Mercury (15–6) vs. Minnesota Lynx (19–4)
Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Target Center — Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: FDSN, AZFamily, Merc+

Team Overview & Standings

TeamRecordPoints/GameOpp. Points/GameStanding
Minnesota Lynx19–484.975.31st in WNBA
Phoenix Mercury15–684.279.32nd in West

Minnesota is unbeaten at home (11–0) and leads the league in defensive efficiency

Phoenix has won 3 straight, including a 79–71 win over Minnesota on July 9

Recent Form Snapshot

TeamLast 5 GamesPoints ScoredPoints Allowed
Minnesota LynxW-L-W-W-W85.077.0
Phoenix MercuryW-W-W-L-L89.080.5

Lynx defeated Chicago 91–78 behind Napheesa Collier’s 29 points

Mercury edged Golden State 78–77 with DeWanna Bonner (22 PTS, 11 REB) and Alyssa Thomas (17 PTS, 11 AST) leading the way

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Lynx

Napheesa Collier — 23.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.5 APG; MVP frontrunner

Courtney Williams — 14.1 PPG, 6.0 APG, 5.2 RPG; floor general

Kayla McBride — 14.1 PPG, 41.3% FG; clutch perimeter shooter

Alanna Smith — 9.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.2 BPG; rim protector

Phoenix Mercury

Alyssa Thomas — 15.4 PPG, 9.6 APG, 7.4 RPG; triple-double threat

Satou Sabally — 19.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG; questionable (injury)

DeWanna Bonner — 14.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG; veteran spark plug

Sami Whitcomb — 10.9 PPG, 36.9% 3PT; top perimeter threat

Tactical Breakdown

Minnesota Lynx

Strengths: Ball movement (23.7 APG), elite defense, paint scoring

Weaknesses: Occasional slow starts, perimeter defense lapses

Style: Balanced attack with Collier as centerpiece, strong rebounding

Phoenix Mercury

Strengths: Fast-paced offense, 3-point shooting (10.1 makes/game)

Weaknesses: Turnovers, foul trouble, depth issues due to injuries

Style: High-tempo, spacing-heavy offense led by Thomas and Sabally

Injury Report

TeamPlayerStatus
Minnesota LynxKarlie SamuelsonOUT (foot)
Phoenix MercuryAlexa HeldOUT (chest)
Satou SaballyQuestionable
Kahleah CopperOUT (knee)

Minnesota is 14–1 as a moneyline favorite of -350 or shorter

Phoenix has covered +8.5 in 17 of last 20 games

Over 160.5 has hit in 12 of Mercury’s 21 games

GAME ODDS

Phoenix Mercury             160.5

Minnesota Lynx                – 8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 15, 2025