Venue, Date & Time
Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
Tip‑off: 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
Venue: T‑Mobile Arena, 3780 S. Las Vegas Blvd., Las Vegas, NV 89158
Surface: Indoor hardwood
Broadcast: Amazon Prime Video, FDSN, Vegas 34
Injury Report
Minnesota Lynx
Kayla McBride (G) – Out (Sep 4)
Las Vegas Aces
Cheyenne Parker‑Tyus (F) – Out (personal)
Minnesota: League’s best record, top scoring offense, No. 2 in points allowed.
Las Vegas: Red‑hot with a 12‑game win streak, surging into playoff form.
Recent Form
Minnesota Lynx – Last 5
8/30: W 94‑70 @ Connecticut
8/28: L 79‑93 vs. Seattle
8/24: W 97‑84 vs. Indiana
8/22: W 95‑90 @ Indiana
8/21: L 73‑75 @ Atlanta
Las Vegas Aces – Last 5
8/27: W 81‑75 @ Atlanta
8/25: W 79‑74 @ Chicago
8/23: W 91‑81 @ Washington
8/21: W 83‑61 vs. Phoenix
8/19: W 74‑72 vs. Atlanta
Key Player Matchups
Napheesa Collier (MIN) vs. A’ja Wilson (LV)
Collier: 23.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 3.3 APG, 53.4% FG — efficient scorer, defensive presence (1.7 SPG, 1.6 BPG).
Wilson: 23.4 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 3.1 APG, 49.5% FG — dominant two‑way force, leads Aces in steals (1.6) and blocks (2.2).
Impact: Two MVP candidates head‑to‑head; whoever controls the paint could swing the game.
Courtney Williams (MIN) vs. Chelsea Gray (LV)
Williams: 13.9 PPG, 6.3 APG — Minnesota’s primary facilitator.
Gray: 11.1 PPG, 5.3 APG — veteran floor general, clutch shot‑maker.
Impact: Tempo control and turnover battle will be key.
Jessica Shepard (MIN) vs. Jackie Young (LV)
Shepard: 7.8 RPG, 62.8% FG — elite rebounder and efficient finisher.
Young: 16.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 4.8 APG — versatile scorer who can stretch the floor.
Series History
2025 Season Series: Minnesota leads 2‑1
Aug 2: MIN 111‑58 (in Minneapolis) – McBride 24 pts
Jun 15: LV 88‑82 (in Las Vegas) – Wilson 29 pts
May 20: MIN 85‑80 (in Minneapolis) – Collier 27 pts
Trend: Home team has won 2 of 3; Minnesota’s blowout win in August was the largest margin in series history.
Betting Trends
Minnesota Lynx
30‑7 SU as favorite this season (81.1%).
Under is 4‑1 in last 5 games.
8‑2 ATS in last 10 vs. Aces.
Las Vegas Aces
4‑8 SU as underdog this season.
12‑0 SU last 12 games overall.
Over is 3‑2 in last 5 games.
Head‑to‑Head Totals:
Over has hit in 2 of 3 meetings this season (avg. combined score: 170.3 PPG).
Suggested Wagering Model
Model Inputs:
Minnesota’s No. 1 offense vs. Las Vegas’ elite rebounding and current win streak.
Both teams have top‑tier stars capable of 30+ point nights.
Pace and efficiency suggest a tight, high‑level contest.
GAME ODDS
Minnesota Lynx – 1.5
Las Vegas Aces 164.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025
