| Game Overview | |
| Venue | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Time | 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT |
| Broadcast | WNBA League Pass, KPIX+ (Bay Area), KMAX (Sacramento) |
| Win Probability | Lynx 75% – Valkyries 25% |
Team Form & Storylines
Minnesota Lynx (15–2)
Streak: Coming off a 92–75 win over Washington after losing the Commissioner’s Cup Final to Indiana
Home Record: Undefeated in regular season at Target Center
Key Stat: League-best in offensive rating (107.9), defensive rating (93.9), and net rating (14.0)
Golden State Valkyries (9–7)
Streak: 2-game win streak, including a 27-point blowout of Seattle
Road Record: 3–4, starting a 4-game road trip
Key Stat: 7–3 in their last 10 games; 11–5 ATS on the season
Tactical Breakdown
Minnesota Lynx
Offensive Engine: Napheesa Collier (24.4 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 1.8 SPG, 1.5 BPG) – top-5 in all four categories
Supporting Cast:
Kayla McBride: 15.2 PPG, elite 3-point shooter
Courtney Williams: 6.1 APG, floor general
Style: Half-court execution, elite spacing, and rim protection
Golden State Valkyries
Core Strength: Defense (2nd in WNBA in defensive rating)
Key Players:
Tiffany Hayes: 21 points in last game vs. Seattle
Temi Fagbenle & Cecilia Zandalasini: Recently reintegrated from EuroBasket, add depth and experience
Style: Slower pace, physical defense, balanced scoring
Key Matchups
| Matchup | Edge |
| Napheesa Collier vs. Valkyries Frontcourt | Lynx – MVP-caliber dominance |
| Hayes/Zandalasini vs. McBride/Williams | Even – depends on perimeter shooting |
| Coaching & Execution | Lynx – Cheryl Reeve’s system is humming |
X-Factors
Janelle Salaün (Valkyries): Her length and mobility could be key in slowing Collier.
Courtney Williams (Lynx): If she controls tempo and limits turnovers, Minnesota will dictate the game.
Advanced Metrics Snapshot
| Team | OFFRTG | DEFRTG | NETRTG | Pace |
| Lynx | 107.9 | 93.9 | +14.0 | 9th |
| Valkyries | 98.4 | 95.1 | +3.3 | 11th |
Both teams play at a slower pace, so expect a methodical, physical contest.
GAME ODDS
Golden State Valkyries 154.5
Minnesota Lynx – 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 4, 2025








