Venue & Game Information
Series: WNBA Finals (best-of-seven), Aces lead 2–0
Tip-off Time: 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT local)
Location: Footprint Center (formerly PHX Arena), Phoenix, Arizona
Broadcast: ESPN / ABC / WNBA League Pass
Injury Report
Las Vegas Aces:
Chelsea Gray (ankle) – probable, expected to play limited minutes if needed
A’ja Wilson – healthy, no restrictions
Jackie Young – healthy, coming off career-best Finals performance
Phoenix Mercury:
Alyssa Thomas – healthy, but playing through minor shoulder soreness
Satou Sabally – healthy, expected to start
Kahleah Copper – healthy, leading scorer for Mercury in Finals so far
Key Player Matchups
Frontcourt Battle:
A’ja Wilson (Aces) – Averaging 26.0 PPG, 12.5 RPG in Finals; already with her 25th career playoff double-double.
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) – Known for versatility, but has struggled to match Wilson’s dominance inside.
Backcourt Duel:
Jackie Young (Aces) – Dropped 32 points in Game 2, including a Finals-record scoring quarter.
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) – Leading Phoenix with 21.5 PPG in Finals, but needs more support from teammates.
X-Factors:
Chelsea Gray (Aces) – Floor general, her health and playmaking could swing momentum.
Satou Sabally (Mercury) – Needs to step up offensively to prevent a 3–0 series hole.
Recent Team Form
Las Vegas Aces (2-0 in Finals, 30-14 regular season):
Game 1: Won 87–84 (narrow 3-point win)
Game 2: Won 91–78 (dominant 13-point win)
Strength: Depth, Finals experience, Wilson’s MVP-level play
Weakness: Occasional slow starts, reliance on Wilson/Young scoring bursts
Phoenix Mercury (0-2 in Finals, 27-17 regular season):
Game 1: Lost 84–87 (led early, faded late)
Game 2: Lost 78–91 (outscored in 3rd quarter, defensive lapses)
Strength: Copper’s scoring, home-court advantage in Game 3
Weakness: Inconsistent secondary scoring, rebounding disadvantage
Series History
2025 Finals: First-ever Finals meeting between Aces and Mercury.
Playoff History: Aces have won 4 of last 5 postseason meetings.
Regular Season 2025: Teams split 2–2, each winning once on the road.
Betting Trends
Las Vegas Aces:
7-1 SU in last 8 playoff games
5-3 ATS in last 8 playoff games
4 of last 6 games have gone Over
Phoenix Mercury:
2-5 SU in last 7 playoff games vs. Aces
3-4 ATS in last 7 playoff games
3 of last 5 games have gone Under
Historical Betting Results
Aces: Consistently profitable in Finals play, covering 6 of last 9 Finals games since 2022.
Mercury: Historically strong at home in playoffs, but just 2-6 ATS in last 8 Finals games.
Totals: Matchups between these teams in 2025 have leaned Over (3 of 5).
GAME ODDS
Las Vegas Aces – 6.5
Phoenix Mercury 168.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, October 7, 2025
