NWSL Match Preview: Portland Thorns (8-7-7) vs. Bay FC (4-7-11)

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Portland Thorns logo

Venue & Event Details

Match: Portland Thorns FC vs. Bay FC

Competition: NWSL Regular Season, Week 23

Time: Kickoff 7:00 p.m. PT (10:00 p.m. ET / 02:00 UTC, Oct. 5)

Venue: Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Broadcast: ION (U.S.), NWSL+ (international)

Weather Update (Portland, OR)

Forecast: Clear skies, crisp fall evening

Temperature at Kickoff: ~66°F (19°C)

Humidity: ~60%

Wind: Light, 5–7 mph

Impact: Ideal soccer conditions; no weather disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Portland Thorns

OUT: Sophia Smith (ankle, day-to-day, unlikely to feature)

OUT: Becky Sauerbrunn (hamstring, long-term)

QUESTIONABLE: Sam Coffey (knock, late fitness test)

Bay FC

RETURNING: Penelope Hocking (stress injury, returned last week with 24 minutes off the bench)

OUT: Scarlett Camberos (knee, season-ending)

OUT: Asisat Oshoala (international duty)

Key Player Matchups

Olivia Moultrie (POR) vs. Caprice Dydasco (BAY):
Moultrie leads the league in chances created (45) and has scored 3 times in the second half of the season. Dydasco, named to the NWSL Best XI of September, has been an ironwoman defender, playing every minute this season.

Christine Sinclair (POR) vs. Bay FC Midfield:
The veteran Sinclair’s ability to dictate tempo will be tested against Bay’s Dorian Bailey, who just signed a contract extension and anchors their midfield.

Morgan Weaver (POR) vs. Caprice Dydasco (BAY):
Weaver’s pace and directness will challenge Bay’s backline, which has conceded 1.8 goals per game this season.

Team Records & Recent Form

Portland Thorns

Record: 8‑7‑7 (31 points, 6th place – playoff line)

Last 5: 1‑2‑2 (W‑L‑D)

Last Match: Lost 3‑0 at Gotham FC (Sept. 26)

Home Form: 5‑2‑3 at Providence Park

Bay FC

Record: 4‑7‑11 (19 points, 13th place)

Last 5: 0‑3‑2 (W‑L‑D)

Last Match: Lost 2‑0 to Utah Royals (Sept. 27)

Road Form: 2‑3‑6 away from home

Series History

All-time: Bay FC leads 2‑1‑0 (W‑D‑L) against Portland.

Last Meeting: June 7, 2025 – Bay FC 2, Portland 1 (Hocking scored, plus an assist).

Bay FC also won 3‑1 at Providence Park in Oct. 2024, making them unbeaten in Portland.

Betting Trends

Portland has scored in 7 of last 9 home matches.

Bay FC has conceded in 11 straight matches.

3 of last 4 Thorns games have gone Under 2.5 goals.

Bay FC is 2‑0‑0 all-time at Providence Park, a surprising trend despite their poor overall record.

MATCH ODDS

Portland Thorns – 150                    Draw + 260                         Bay FC + 350

Over 2.5 – 125                   Under 2.5 + 105

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025