Venue & Game Info
Stadium: KeyBank Center, 1 Seymour H. Knox III Plaza, Buffalo, NY
Puckdrop: 7:00 PM ET
Broadcast: MSG Network (Buffalo), Sportsnet Ontario (Toronto), ESPN+
Injury Report
Toronto Maple Leafs:
Morgan Rielly (D) – questionable (undisclosed)
Dakota Mermis (D) – recalled from AHL, depth option
Buffalo Sabres:
Jason Zucker (LW) – out (upper body)
Jack Quinn (RW) – active, coming off 1G, 2A vs Detroit
Team Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs:
Last 5: L 5-2 vs NJD, L 4-3 vs SEA, W 2-1 vs NYR, W 7-4 vs NSH, L 3-2 vs DET
Offense: 24 goals scored (3.4 GPG) – top 10 in NHL
Defense: 25 goals allowed (3.6 GAA) – struggling in net
Buffalo Sabres:
Last 5: W 4-2 vs DET, L 4-2 @MTL, W 3-0 vs FLA, W 8-4 vs OTT, L 3-1 vs COL
Offense: 19 goals scored (2.7 GPG) – middle of the pack
Defense: 20 goals allowed (2.9 GAA) – steadier than Toronto
Key Player Matchups
John Tavares (TOR) vs Jack Quinn (BUF): Tavares leads Toronto with 9 points; Quinn is heating up with 3 points last game.
William Nylander (TOR) vs Zach Benson (BUF): Nylander’s playmaking (11 assists) vs Benson’s emerging two-way game.
Anthony Stolarz (TOR, G) vs Colten Ellis (BUF, G): Stolarz (.894 SV%) has struggled; Ellis (.935 SV%) has been sharp.
Series History
All-time: Toronto leads the rivalry.
Recent: Leafs have won 3 of last 5.
At Buffalo: Sabres have split last 4, often playing spoiler at home.
Betting Trends
Toronto:
3-4 overall, 3-3 as favorites this season
5 of 7 games have gone OVER 6 goals
Buffalo:
2 upset wins as underdogs this season
3 of 7 games OVER 6 goals
Suggested Wagering Model
Best Bet: Over 6 goals – both teams trending high-scoring.
Lean: Maple Leafs moneyline (-210) – Toronto’s offense should rebound.
Prop Angle: John Tavares Over 0.5 points – consistent production.
Final Score Projection: Maple Leafs 4 – Sabres 3 (OT)
Game Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs – 125
Buffalo Sabres 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, October 23, 2025
