NHL Game Preview: Toronto Maple Leafs (25-21-9) vs. Calgary Flames (22-26-6)

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (25-21-9, 6th in Atlantic Division) visit the Calgary Flames (22-26-6, 7th in Pacific Division) in an interconference clash on Monday night. The Maple Leafs are coming off a shootout victory to end a six-game skid, aiming to build momentum on the road. The Flames, losers of four straight before a recent win, look to capitalize on home ice and complete a season sweep. This is the second and final meeting this season, with Toronto winning the first 4-3 on October 28, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena.

Venue Location

Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alberta.

Puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET (8:00 p.m. MT).

The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, Sportsnet, TVAS, TSN4, with radio on SN 590 and Sportsnet 960 The Fan.

Injury Report

Toronto’s defense is solid but depth-tested, while Calgary deals with key absences up front.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusReason
Maple LeafsMorgan RiellyDDay-To-DayUpper Body
Maple LeafsChristopher TanevDOutGroin
Maple LeafsDakota JoshuaCOutKidney
FlamesBlake ColemanLWOutUpper Body
FlamesMartin PospisilFDay-To-DayUndisclosed
FlamesCullen PotterLWOutUndisclosed
FlamesJohn BeecherCIRUndisclosed

Rielly’s status is crucial for Toronto’s blue line; if out, more minutes for McCabe and Timmins.

Coleman’s absence hurts Calgary’s physicality and penalty kill.

Key

Player Matchups

Calgary’s grit could challenge Toronto’s skill, but the Leafs’ depth favors them. Projected starting lineups (based on recent rotations and injuries):

PositionMaple LeafsFlames
LWMatthew KniesYegor Sharangovich
CAuston MatthewsNazem Kadri
RWMitch MarnerJonathan Huberdeau
DMorgan Rielly (or Benoit if out)Rasmus Andersson
DJake McCabeMacKenzie Weegar
GJoseph WollDustin Wolf

Key matchups to watch:

Auston Matthews vs. Nazem Kadri: Matthews (26G, team leader) exploded recently (projects 2+ points); Kadri’s agitating style (18G projection) could disrupt, but Matthews dominates inside.

Mitch Marner vs. Rasmus Andersson: Marner’s playmaking (projects 1+ assist) tests Andersson’s shutdown ability (high ice time).

William Nylander vs. MacKenzie Weegar: Nylander (17G in 38GP, back from injury) brings speed; Weegar’s physicality could limit him.

Overall: Leafs’ power play vs. Flames’ penalty kill: Toronto’s PP (20%) exploits Calgary’s middling PK (78%); goaltending duel Woll (.921 SV%) vs. Wolf (.888 SV%).

Recent Team Forms

Toronto snapped a slide but remains inconsistent; Calgary shows flashes but lacks finishing.

Maple Leafs’ Last 10 Games (4-5-1 record):

1/31 at VAN: W 3-2 (SO)

1/29 vs SEA: L 2-5

1/27 vs BUF: L 4-7

1/25 vs COL: L 0-5

1/24 at VGK: L 3-4 (OT)

Overall: 4-6 ATS in last 10, Over in 5 of last 10. Toronto averages 3.0 GPG but allows 4.2 in losses.

Flames’ Last 10 Games (3-5-2 record):

1/31 vs SJS: W 3-2

1/29 at MIN: L 1-4

1/27 vs ANA: L 3-4 (OT)

1/25 vs WSH: L 1-3

1/23 vs PIT: L 1-4

Overall: 3-7 ATS in last 10, Under in 6 of last 10. Calgary averages 2.5 GPG, allowing 3.3 in skid.

Series History

Toronto leads the all-time series 75-69-12-2 in 158 regular-season meetings.

The Maple Leafs have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-heads, including this season’s 4-3 victory (Matthews GWG). Flames are 2-5-3 in their last 10 vs. Toronto. Under has hit in 4 of the last 4 meetings.

Betting Trends

Puck Line (ATS): Toronto 25-30 ATS (10-17 on road), Calgary 24-30 ATS (11-17 at home).

Over/Under: Over has hit in 27 of Toronto’s 55 games and 25 of Calgary’s 54; Under in 6 of last 10 head-to-heads.

Other trends: Toronto 8-2 SU last 10 vs. Calgary; Flames 1-4 SU last 5 at home

Game Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs      – 115

Calgary Flames                 6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, February 1, 2026