NHL Game Preview: Toronto Maple Leafs (23-16-7) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (22-11-12)

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Vegas Golden Knights logo

The Toronto Maple Leafs (23-16-7, 53 points, 5th in Atlantic Division) visit the Vegas Golden Knights (22-11-12, 56 points, 1st in Pacific Division) in an interconference clash. Toronto aims to rebound from a lopsided loss that snapped a 10-game point streak, while Vegas rides a five-game win streak, including a 3-2 OT victory over the Kings on Jan. 14. This matchup features Toronto’s high-powered offense against Vegas’ balanced attack and home dominance, with playoff implications for both squads.

Venue Location

T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV (Capacity: 17,500).

Puckdrop is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET (Broadcast: ESPN, TSN4).

Injury Report

Both teams are managing multiple absences, with Vegas particularly thin in goaltending and defense, while Toronto deals with key defensive and forward injuries affecting depth.

Toronto Maple Leafs:

LW Nicholas Robertson (lower body): Day-to-day; expected back Jan. 15 or shortly after.

D Dakota Mermis (lower body): IR; conditioning assignment, expected back Jan. 25.

G Anthony Stolarz (upper body): IR; facing shots, expected back Jan. 17.

D Chris Tanev (groin): IR; significant time, mulling surgery, expected out until at least Jan. 31.

D Jake McCabe (lower body): Out; expected back around Jan. 15 (out a week from Jan. 5).

RW William Nylander (lower body): Recently returned (played Jan. 10, scored); probable.

Vegas Golden Knights:

C Brett Howden (lower body): Day-to-day; missed Jan. 14, expected back Jan. 17.

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LW Brandon Saad (undisclosed): Day-to-day; missed Jan. 14, expected back Jan. 17.

G Adin Hill (lower body): IR; nearing return, possible Jan. 15 (skated Jan. 14, traveled).

C William Karlsson (lower body): IR-LT; setback, out until March 10.

D Brayden McNabb (upper body): Out; expected back Jan. 19.

G Carter Hart (lower body): Out; week-to-week.

Key

Player Matchups to Watch

This interconference tilt features dynamic forwards against stout defenses, with star power on display.

C Auston Matthews (TOR) vs. C Jack Eichel (VGK): Matthews (leading TOR with 22 goals, 37 points) is a sniper with elite shot volume (~4.3 SOG/G). Eichel (16 goals, 51 points, 3 assists in Jan. 14 win) drives VGK’s offense with playmaking (35 assists).

RW William Nylander (TOR) vs. RW Mark Stone (VGK): Nylander (recent return, goal in Jan. 10 win; ~40 points) brings speed and finishing. Stone (8 goals in 7-game streak, goal+assist in Jan. 14 OT win; 14 points in 9 games) extends his point streak with two-way play.

LW Mitch Marner (TOR) vs. D Shea Theodore (VGK): Marner (~40 points, goal in 700th game Jan. 10) excels in transition. Theodore (returned Jan. 10, goal; ~30 points) quarterbacks VGK’s power play with mobility.

G Dennis Hildeby (TOR) vs. G Akira Schmid (VGK): Hildeby (recent call-up, 25 saves in Jan. 13 loss) faces volume. Schmid (3 straight wins, 22 saves in Jan. 14 OT win; 14-4-5) anchors VGK amid Hill’s absence.

Recent Team Forms

Toronto Maple Leafs (7-1-2 in last 10 games, +10 goal differential):

The Leafs snapped a 10-game point streak (8-0-2) with a 1-6 loss to Utah on Jan. 13, averaging 3.8 goals/game in their last 10 while allowing 2.8. Road form: 7-11-2.

DateOpponentResult
Jan 13@ UTAL 1-6
Jan 12@ COLW 4-3 (OT)
Jan 10vs VANW 5-0
Jan 8@ PHIW 2-1 (OT)
Jan 6vs FLAW 4-1
Jan 3@ NYIL 3-4
Jan 1vs WPGW 6-5
Dec 31vs PHIW 139-136 (OT)
Dec 29vs SAW 106-105
Dec 27@ MEML 104-125

Vegas Golden Knights (5-3-2 in last 10 games, +8 goal differential):

The Golden Knights are hot, on a 5-game win streak (including 3-2 OT vs LA on Jan. 14), averaging 3.7 goals/game in their last 10 while allowing 2.9. Home form: 10-6-6.

DateOpponentResult
Jan 14@ LAKW 3-2 (OT)
Jan 11vs SJSW 7-2
Jan 10vs STLW 4-2
Jan 8vs CBJW 5-3
Jan 6@ WPGW 4-3
Jan 4@ CHIL 3-2
Jan 2@ STLL 4-3
Dec 31vs NSHL 3-4
Dec 29vs ANAL 2-3
Dec 27vs EDMW 6-3

Series History

Toronto holds an 8-5-1 all-time edge over Vegas in 14 meetings (57.1% win rate for TOR). In regular-season games, it’s 8-5-1 for Toronto. Vegas is 2-5 at home vs. Toronto. The Maple Leafs won the most recent 3-0 on Nov. 20, 2024. Recent matchups average 5.8 goals, trending over in 5 of last 8.

Betting Trends

Moneyline: VGK is 10-6-6 as home favorites; TOR is 7-11-2 as road underdogs.

Puck Line (Spread): VGK covers 50% as favorites; TOR covers 45% as underdogs.

Total (Over/Under): Over has hit in 5 of TOR’s last 10 (avg. 6.5 goals/game) and 5 of VGK’s last 10 (avg. 6.7).

Trends: TOR is 7-1-2 in last 10 but 1-4 on road lately; VGK is 5-3-2 in last 10, 5W streak. TOR is 1-1 vs VGK this season; over in 4 of last 5 head-to-head.

Game Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs                      6.5

Vegas Golden Knights                    – 135

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, January 14, 2026