NHL Game Preview: Tampa Bay Lightning (48-24-6) vs. Montréal Canadiens (46-22-10)

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Montreal Canadiens logo

Faceoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET
Venue:
Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec (home of the Canadiens; capacity ~21,000)
Broadcast: ESPN+ (U.S.); RDS, TSN2, The Spot (Canada/international streams available).

This late-season Atlantic Division clash features two playoff-bound teams with identical 102-point totals but starkly different momentum. The visiting Lightning are coming off a back-to-back road trip and recent defensive lapses, while the surging home Canadiens have been one of the NHL’s hottest teams and will look to exploit any remaining Lightning injuries in front of a raucous Bell Centre crowd.

Team

Recent Team Forms (Last 10 Games)

Lightning (5-5-0 in last 10; offense potent but defense leaky on the road):

Apr 7: L 6-2 @ Ottawa Senators

Apr 6: L 4-2 @ Buffalo Sabres

Apr 4: W 3-1 vs. Boston Bruins

Apr 2: W 6-3 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 31: L 4-1 vs. Montréal Canadiens
They are 2-3-0 in their last 5, with goaltending and special teams showing vulnerability after a strong mid-season stretch.

Canadiens (9-1-0 in last 10; elite scoring and goaltending surge):

Apr 7: W 4-3 (SO) vs. Florida Panthers

Apr 5: L 3-0 vs. New Jersey Devils

Apr 4: W 4-3 (SO) @ New Jersey Devils

Apr 2: W 3-2 @ New York Rangers

Mar 31: W 4-1 @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal has won 9 of 10, outscoring opponents by +14, with strong special teams and a red-hot Jakub Dobes in net.

Injury Report

Lightning (depth tested on the blue line and forward group):

Brandon Hagel (LW) – Day-to-day (lower body)

Anthony Cirelli (C) – Day-to-day (undisclosed)

Pontus Holmberg (RW) – Day-to-day / expected out until at least Apr 15 (upper body)

Victor Hedman (D) – Long-term IR (personal)

Max Crozier (D) – IR (abdomen)

Declan Carlile (D) – IR (lower body)

Canadiens (relatively healthy but key pieces still sidelined):

Joseph Veleno (C) – Day-to-day (illness)

Alexandre Carrier (D) – Out until at least Apr 14 (upper body)

Patrik Laine (RW) – Out / IR (abdomen)

Lightning are thinner up front and on defense heading into this matchup, which could force heavier minutes for stars like Kucherov and Guentzel.

Key Player Matchups

Elite Wingers: Nikita Kucherov (TBL, 43G/84A/127P) & Jake Guentzel (86P) vs. Cole Caufield (MTL, ~47G) & Juraj Slafkovsky (29G + playmaking). Kucherov remains the league’s top point producer, but Montreal’s young stars have dominated recent head-to-heads (Caufield and Slafkovsky combined for 4 points in the Mar 31 win).

Center Battle: Anthony Cirelli / Nick Paul (TBL) vs. Nick Suzuki / Phillip Danault (MTL). Suzuki anchors Montreal’s top line and penalty kill.

Goaltending: Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) vs. Jakub Dobes (MTL). Dobes has been stellar lately (6 straight wins, .973 SV% in recent sample), while Vasilevskiy has faced heavy workloads on the road.

Secondary/Defense: Montreal’s Ivan Demidov and Mike Matheson have generated offense against Tampa’s depleted blueline; Lightning will rely on Kucherov’s line to carry the load.

Series History

2025-26 Season: Lightning lead 2-1 (Dec 9: TBL 6-1 @ MTL; Dec 28: TBL 5-4 vs. MTL; Mar 31: MTL 4-1 @ TBL). Montreal has won the most recent meeting convincingly.

All-Time: Lightning hold a historical edge (~75-53-6-7 overall), but the Canadiens have owned the last matchup and are 1-1-0 at home vs. TBL this year.

Betting Trends

Canadiens are 9-1-0 straight up and strong ATS lately; Lightning are 5-5-0 in last 10 and 1-4 ATS in recent road games. Over has hit in several Lightning contests, but Montreal’s hot goaltending and Tampa’s injuries point to a lower-scoring, structured game. Canadiens have covered well as home underdogs/favorites against divisional foes.

Game Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning                      – 115

Montréal Canadiens                       6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, April 8, 2026