NHL Game Preview: New York Islanders (16-10-3) vs. Florida Panthers (13-12-2)

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The New York Islanders (16-10-3) head to South Florida riding a three-game win streak, including a gritty 2-0 shutout at Tampa Bay on Saturday, as they aim to extend their strong road form (9-4-1) against a slumping Florida Panthers squad (13-12-2). The Panthers, fresh off a chaotic 7-6 overtime thriller against Columbus on Saturday, have dropped four straight before that win, struggling at 4-6-0 on the road but holding a middling 9-6-2 mark at home. This Metropolitan-Atlantic matchup at Amerant Bank Arena features the Islanders’ stingy defense (2.47 GA/G) clashing with Florida’s opportunistic attack (3.07 GF/G), but injuries have ravaged both rosters—particularly the Panthers’ star power up front. New York looks to build on their third-place standing in the Metro, while Florida fights to stay above .500 in the loaded Atlantic.

Game Details

Puckdrop: 5:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida (capacity: 19,250)

Broadcast: MSGSN (Islanders), SCRIPPS (Panthers), SN, ESPN+

This back-to-back finale for both teams caps a busy weekend, with the Islanders wrapping a Florida road trip and the Panthers kicking off a five-game homestand. The Sunrise crowd will be electric, but fatigue could lead to a low-scoring affair given New York’s elite goaltending.

Injury Report

Injuries are decimating both lineups, with Florida missing nearly their entire top-six forward core and key blue-liners, forcing heavy minutes on depth pieces. The Islanders’ absences hit their bottom-six and backup net, but Ilya Sorokin has shouldered the load admirably.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusInjuryEstimated ReturnNotes
New York IslandersJean-Gabriel PageauCDay-to-Day (Possible)Upper BodyDecember 7Missed 7 games; full participant in morning skate Saturday—could return to center third line.
New York IslandersJonathan DrouinLWDay-to-DayBackDecember 9Late scratch Thursday; did not travel to Florida—monitor for activation.
New York IslandersKyle PalmieriRWInjured ReserveKneeSeptember 15, 2026Long-term; 6G-5A in 15GP before injury; major scoring depth loss.
New York IslandersPierre EngvallLWInjured Reserve (LTIR)AnkleJanuary 2026Out since November; 4G-6A in 20GP.
New York IslandersAlexander RomanovDInjured ReserveShoulder (Surgery)March 20265-6 months sidelined; key shutdown defender (23:15 TOI/GP).
New York IslandersEthan BearDInjured ReserveUndisclosedDecember 14Depth piece; no games played this season.
New York IslandersSemyon VarlamovGInjured ReserveKneeJanuary 2026Backup; Ilya Sorokin (10-8-2, .912 SV%) starts back-to-back.
Florida PanthersAleksander BarkovCOutKneeJanuary 2026Captain missed 26 games; 5G-12A in 10GP before injury—huge void on top line.
Florida PanthersMatthew TkachukLWOutGroinDecember 15Missed 26 games; skating but no contact—14G-15A last season’s pace disrupted.
Florida PanthersTomas NosekLWInjured ReserveKneeJanuary 4Missed 26 games; bottom-six grinder essential for faceoffs (52%).
Florida PanthersDmitry KulikovDOutUpper Body (Surgery)March 2026Missed 23 games; veteran leader (22:45 TOI/GP); 0P in 2GP return attempt.
Florida PanthersJonah GadjovichLWInjured ReserveUpper BodyDecember 18Missed 15 games; physical enforcer (102 PIM projected).
Florida PanthersEetu LuostarinenCOutLower BodyDecember 10Week-to-week; missed 7 games—versatile two-way center.
Florida PanthersCole SchwindtRWInjured ReserveArmJanuary 12Missed 6 games; 2G in 10GP—young depth forward.

Impact: Florida’s absences (127 man-games lost) cripple their offense (down to 3.07 GF/G from 3.23 last year), leaning on Sam Reinhart (14G). Islanders’ D is thin without Romanov, but Sorokin’s .912 SV% masks it.

Key Player Matchups

With stars sidelined, this boils down to depth battles and goaltending. The Islanders’ structured play could exploit Florida’s depleted lines, but the Panthers’ home rush remains dangerous.

Bo Horvat (NYI, C) vs. Sam Reinhart (FLA, C): Horvat (17G-12A-29P in 29GP) leads NYI with 5G in last 10, centering the top line—expect heavy minutes vs. Reinhart (14G-10A-24P), who’s carried Florida sans Barkov/Tkachuk. Edge: Horvat—better two-way game.

Mathew Barzal (NYI, C) vs. Brad Marchand (FLA, LW): Barzal (8G-13A-21P) thrives on speed (21:03 TOI); Marchand (15G-12A-27P) brings agitator energy but -9 rating exposes Florida’s chaos. Edge: Barzal—quicker, less penalties.

Matthew Schaefer (NYI, D) vs. Gustav Forsling (FLA, D): Schaefer (8G-12A-20P) logs 23:29 TOI as NYI’s breakout star; Forsling anchors Florida’s depleted blue (team-high +5). Edge: Even—Forsling’s positioning vs. Schaefer’s offense.

Goalie Duel: Ilya Sorokin (NYI) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA): Sorokin (10-8-2, 2.47 GAA, .912 SV%) shines in back-to-backs (7-3-1); Bobrovsky (10-8-1, 2.83 GAA, .886 SV%) struggles lately (1-4 in last 5). Edge: Sorokin—elite road form.

Projected Lines (Subject to change):
Islanders:
Heineman-Horvat-Shabanov | Lee-Barzal-Tsyplakov | Clutterbuck-Dobson-Palmieri (if active) | Pelech-Toews | Reilly-Dobson

Panthers: Verhaeghe-Bennett-Barker | Marchand-Reinhart-Bobkov | Luostarinen-Stolarz-Forsling (if active) | Ekblad-Salminen | Schmidt-Balinskis

Team Records and Standings

TeamRecordPointsGoal Diff.Home/AwayDivision Rank
New York Islanders16-10-335+127-6-2 Home / 9-4-1 Away3rd Metro
Florida Panthers13-12-228-59-6-2 Home / 4-6-0 Away7th Atlantic

Islanders rank top-5 in GA/G (2.47) and PK (82.1%); Panthers mid-pack in GF/G (3.07) but leaky defensively (3.26 GA/G, 24th PK at 78.5%).

Recent Team Forms

The Islanders are surging with shutdown wins, while Florida’s inconsistency shows in a skid broken only by Saturday’s barnburner.

Islanders Last 5 Games (3-2-0):

DateOpponentResultKey Notes
Dec. 6@ TBLW 2-0Sorokin 29 saves for shutout; Horvat GWG.
Dec. 4vs. COLW 6-3Offensive outburst; Barzal 2A.
Dec. 2vs. TBLW 2-1Strong PK (3/3); timely goals.
Nov. 30vs. WSHL 4-1Defensive breakdown; Sorokin pulled.
Nov. 28vs. PHIL 4-3 (SO)Shootout loss; 38 SOG.

Panthers Last 5 Games (1-4-0):

DateOpponentResultKey Notes
Dec. 6vs. CBJW 7-6 (OT)Wild comeback; Reinhart hat trick.
Dec. 4vs. NSHL 1-2Bobrovsky .907 SV%; low-event loss.
Dec. 2vs. TORL 1-5Defensive collapse; 28 SOG allowed.
Nov. 28vs. CGYL 3-5Secondary scoring absent.
Nov. 26vs. PHIL 2-4PP woes (0/3); Ekblad -2.

Islanders 6-3-1 last 10 (1.6 GA/G); Panthers 4-5-1 (3.3 GA/G).

Series History

These Atlantic-Metro foes have met 124 times (regular season + playoffs), with Florida holding a 62-45-8-9 edge overall (53.2% win rate). In regular season alone, it’s 59-38-8-9 for the Panthers (55.3%). Recent form favors Florida: 7-3 in last 10, including 6-3 wins on Feb. 2 and Oct. 26, 2025. Islanders lead at home (32-18-6-5) but struggle in Sunrise (30-27-2-4 all-time). Playoff history: Panthers 3-7 vs. NYI, but no recent meetings.

Betting Trends

Puck Line: NYI covers 70% as road dogs.

Total (O/U): Under 5-0 in Islanders’ last 5 road games; 4-1 Under for Panthers last 5 home.

Trends: Islanders 8-2 SU last 10 road; Panthers 1-4 SU last 5 overall. Florida 8-2 in last 10 H2H, but NYI 4-1 as +140 or longer dogs. Sharp on Islanders ML due to Florida’s man-games lost.

Game Odds

New York Islanders         6.5

Florida Panthers               – 170

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, December 6, 2025