NHL Game Preview: Detroit Red Wings (41-30-9) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (49-25-6)

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Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Faceoff is scheduled for 4:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET

Benchmark International Arena — Tampa, Florida

Injury Report

Detroit Red Wings

Mason Appleton (C): Day‑to‑day, expected return Apr 13

Michael Rasmussen (C): OUT, expected return Apr 15

Tampa Bay Lightning

Zemgus Girgensons (C): Day‑to‑day, expected return Apr 13

Darren Raddysh (D): Day‑to‑day, expected return Apr 13

Pontus Holmberg (RW): OUT, expected return Apr 15

Victor Hedman (D): IR‑LT, out until Apr 15

Maxwell Crozier (D): IR‑LT, out until Apr 29

Recent Team Form

Detroit Red Wings — Last 5 Games

L 5–3 vs NJ (Apr 11)

W 6–3 vs PHI (Apr 9)

L 4–3 SO vs CBJ (Apr 7)

L 5–4 vs MIN (Apr 5)

L 4–1 @ NYR (Apr 4)

Summary: Detroit is 1‑3‑1 in their last five, scoring 32 goals and allowing 34 over their last 10 games. Their power play has been hot (34.6% over last 10).

Tampa Bay Lightning — Last 5 Games

W 2–1 @ BOS (Apr 11)

L 2–1 @ MTL (Apr 9)

L 6–2 @ OTT (Apr 7)

L 4–2 @ BUF (Apr 6)

W 3–1 vs BOS (Apr 4)

Summary: Tampa Bay is 2‑3‑0 in their last five but remains one of the league’s most efficient scoring teams (3.50 GF/G).

Goaltending Matchup

Detroit — John Gibson (Projected Starter)

Record: 29‑21‑4

GAA: 2.67

SV%: .903

Tampa Bay — Andrei Vasilevskiy (Projected Starter)

Record: 38‑15‑4

GAA: 2.30

SV%: .913

Edge: Tampa Bay — Vasilevskiy remains one of the NHL’s elite goaltenders.

Key Player Matchups

1. Alex DeBrincat (DET) vs. Nikita Kucherov (TB)

DeBrincat: 83 points (40G, 43A)

Kucherov: 128 points (43G, 85A)

Advantage: Lightning — Kucherov is having an MVP‑caliber season.

2. Detroit Power Play vs. Tampa Penalty Kill

Detroit PP: 23.1%

Tampa PK: 82.5%

Detroit’s PP has been hot lately, but Tampa’s PK is top‑tier.

3. Tampa’s Scoring Depth vs. Detroit’s Defensive Consistency

Tampa GF/G: 3.50

Detroit GA/G: 3.03

Tampa’s ability to roll multiple scoring lines is a major factor.

Series History & Trends

Tampa Bay is dominant at home (25‑13‑1).

Detroit struggles in one‑goal games (11‑9‑20 in OT/SO).

Lightning have scored 3+ goals in 51 games this season (42‑7‑2 record).

Detroit has been outshot in 37 games but still holds a strong 23‑11‑3 record in those contests.

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay

27‑12‑5 when outshooting opponents.

42‑7‑2 when scoring 3+ goals.

Detroit

3‑6‑1 in last 10 games.

16‑5‑5 in one‑goal games.

20‑11‑3 when scoring exactly one PP goal.

Game Odds

Detroit Red Wings           6.5

Tampa Bay Lightning      – 205

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, April 12, 2026