NHL Game Preview: Dallas Stars (6-3-1) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Benchmark International Arena (Amalie Arena), Tampa, FL

Capacity: ~19,000

Puckdrop: 7:00 PM ET

Broadcast: TNT / Sportsnet (Canada)

Injury Report

Dallas Stars:

Tyler Seguin (shoulder) – probable

Roope Hintz (foot) – probable

Tampa Bay Lightning:

Oliver Bjorkstrand (lower body) – probable

Brandon Hagel (upper body) – probable

Both teams are relatively healthy, with top-line talent expected to play.

Key Player Matchups

Mikko Rantanen (DAL) vs. Nikita Kucherov (TB): Rantanen leads Dallas with 12 points (4G, 8A), while Kucherov has 10 points (4G, 6A). Both are elite playmakers who drive their respective offenses.

Wyatt Johnston (DAL) vs. Anthony Cirelli (TB): Johnston has 6 goals, including 3 on the power play, while Cirelli leads Tampa with 5 goals and strong two-way play.

Jake Oettinger (DAL) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB): Oettinger (.909 SV%, 2.61 GAA) is coming off a shutout vs. Washington. Vasilevskiy (.893 SV%, 2.98 GAA) has been inconsistent but is trending upward.

Special Teams: Dallas owns the 3rd-best power play in the NHL (31.4%), while Tampa Bay’s penalty kill has been more reliable than its power play (14.3%).

Team Recent Form

Dallas Stars:

Last 5: W-W-W-L-L

Last Game: 1-0 win vs. Washington

Strength: Power play dominance, defensive structure

Weakness: Even-strength scoring (just 17 goals at 5v5)

Tampa Bay Lightning:

Last 5: W-W-W-L-L

Last Game: 5-2 win vs. Nashville

Strength: Depth scoring, penalty kill

Weakness: Power play struggles (14.3%, 28th in NHL)

Series History

Recent Meetings: Last 5 games split 2-2-1

Trend: Tight, low-scoring affairs; 3 of last 5 stayed Under 6 goals

Note: Dallas has not won in Tampa since 2022

Betting Trends

Dallas: 2-8 on the puck line this season; 6 of 10 games have gone Under.

Tampa Bay: 3-7 on the puck line; 5 of 10 games Over, 5 Under.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 meetings averaged 5.7 goals per game.

Projected Score: Lightning 3, Stars 2 (OT)

Game Odds

Dallas Stars                         5.5

Tampa Bay Lightning      – 148

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, October 29, 2025