Venue & Game Info
Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida
Puckdrop: 7:00 PM ET
Capacity: ~19,092
Broadcast: ESPN+ / Bally Sports Sun / Sportsnet West
Injury Report
Calgary Flames:
Andrew Mangiapane (F) – upper body, day-to-day
Oliver Kylington (D) – lower body, out indefinitely
Jacob Markström (G) – healthy, expected starter
Tampa Bay Lightning:
Victor Hedman (D) – ankle soreness, questionable
Brandon Hagel (F) – upper body, probable
Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) – healthy, expected starter
Key Player Matchups
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) vs. Jonathan Huberdeau (CGY): Kucherov’s elite scoring and playmaking against Huberdeau’s creativity on the wing.
Steven Stamkos (TBL) vs. Nazem Kadri (CGY): Veteran leaders who thrive in clutch situations.
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) vs. Jacob Markström (CGY): Goaltending duel; Vasilevskiy’s consistency vs. Markström’s need to rebound from recent struggles.
Team Recent Form
Calgary Flames:
L vs Florida Panthers (8–3)
L vs Carolina Hurricanes (4–2)
W vs Washington Capitals (3–2 OT)
L vs New Jersey Devils (5–3)
L vs NY Islanders (4–1)
Form: 1–4 in last 5, struggling defensively, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
Tampa Bay Lightning:
L vs New Jersey Devils (4–3)
W vs NY Rangers (3–2)
W vs Ottawa Senators (5–2)
W vs Buffalo Sabres (4–1)
L vs Toronto Maple Leafs (5–3)
Form: 3–2 in last 5, strong offense averaging 3.3 goals per game.
Series History
Tampa Bay leads the all-time series 25–18–2.
Lightning won both meetings in the 2024–25 season.
Last meeting: Tampa Bay 4–2 win in Calgary (March 2025).
Betting Trends
Lightning are 7–3 ATS in last 10 games.
Flames are 3–7 ATS in last 10 games.
Lightning games trend over (offense-heavy).
Flames games trend under (struggling offense, inconsistent defense).
Projected Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4 – Calgary Flames 2
Reasoning: Tampa Bay’s offensive firepower and Vasilevskiy’s stability in net should control the game. Calgary’s upset potential hinges on Markström’s performance and Kadri’s scoring, but the Lightning’s depth and home record make them strong favorites.
Final Take: Expect Tampa Bay to capitalize on Calgary’s defensive struggles and extend their strong start. The Flames will need a near-perfect effort to steal points on the road, while the Lightning’s balanced attack makes them the clear betting favorite.
Game Odds
Calgary Flames 5.5
Tampa Bay Lightning – 180
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, November 25, 2025
