NHL Game Preview: Buffalo Sabres (9-9-4) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (10-6-5)

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Venue & Game Info

Location: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Puckdrop: 7:00 PM ET

Capacity: ~18,387

Broadcast: ESPN+ / SportsNet Pittsburgh / MSG Buffalo

Injury Report

Buffalo Sabres:

Tage Thompson (C) – upper body, day-to-day

Owen Power (D) – lower body, questionable

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) – healthy, expected starter

Pittsburgh Penguins:

Kris Letang (D) – groin strain, out until December

Bryan Rust (F) – ankle soreness, questionable

Tristan Jarry (G) – healthy, expected starter

Key Player Matchups

Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) vs. Sidney Crosby (PIT): Dahlin anchors Buffalo’s blue line, while Crosby continues to drive Pittsburgh’s offense with veteran leadership.

Alex Tuch (BUF) vs. Jake Guentzel (PIT): Tuch’s power-forward style against Guentzel’s scoring touch on Crosby’s wing.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) vs. Tristan Jarry (PIT): Goaltending duel; Luukkonen’s athleticism vs. Jarry’s consistency at home.

Team Recent Form

Buffalo Sabres:

W vs Ottawa (3–2 OT)

L vs Toronto (4–1)

L vs Boston (3–0)

W vs Montreal (5–2)

L vs Florida (4–2)

Form: 2–3 in last 5, inconsistent scoring, averaging 2.7 goals per game.

Pittsburgh Penguins:

W vs Carolina (3–2 OT)

L vs New Jersey (4–3)

W vs Detroit (5–3)

L vs Rangers (3–2)

W vs Philadelphia (4–1)

Form: 3–2 in last 5, strong home play, averaging 3.2 goals per game.

Series History

Penguins lead all-time series 144–92–28.

Pittsburgh won 2 of 3 meetings in the 2024–25 season.

Last meeting: Penguins 4–2 win in Buffalo (March 2025).

Betting Trends

Penguins are 6–4 ATS in last 10 games.

Sabres are 4–6 ATS in last 10 games.

Penguins games trend over (offense-driven).

Sabres games trend under (defense-first, inconsistent scoring).

Projected Score: Pittsburgh Penguins 4 – Buffalo Sabres 2

Reasoning: Penguins’ offensive depth (Crosby, Guentzel, Malkin) and Jarry’s stability in net should secure a home win. Buffalo’s upset potential hinges on Dahlin’s defensive play and Luukkonen’s goaltending, but Pittsburgh’s pace and scoring make them strong favorites.

Final Take: Expect Pittsburgh to continue their strong home form at PPG Paints Arena. Buffalo will compete but remain inconsistent offensively, making the Penguins the safer betting side in this Metropolitan vs. Atlantic clash.

Game Odds

Buffalo Sabres                   6.5

Pittsburgh Penguins       – 117

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, November 25, 2025