Venue & Game Details
Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Broadcast: CBS: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green, Melanie Collins (field reporter)
Weather Updates
Forecast: Cloudy skies, 48°F, winds 10–13 mph.
Impact: Cooler conditions with moderate wind may favor New England’s run-heavy approach with Henderson.
Injury Report
New England Patriots:
QB Drake Maye – healthy, coming off 281-yard performance vs. Jets.
RB TreVeyon Henderson – probable, scored 2 TDs last week.
WR Stefon Diggs – healthy, 105 yards last game.
TE Hunter Henry – questionable (ankle).
Cincinnati Bengals:
QB Joe Burrow – out (season-ending injury).
QB Joe Flacco – starting, 199 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT vs. Steelers.
WR Ja’Marr Chase – suspended, unavailable.
WR Tee Higgins – probable, 63 yards and 1 TD last week.
Key Player Matchups
Drake Maye (NE QB) vs. Bengals Secondary: Maye’s accuracy (25/34 completions last week) challenges a defense allowing over 240 passing YPG.
TreVeyon Henderson (NE RB) vs. Bengals Front Seven: Henderson’s explosiveness could exploit a unit surrendering 130+ rushing YPG.
Joe Flacco (CIN QB) vs. Patriots Defense: Flacco’s veteran savvy faces a defense ranked top-10 in sacks and turnovers.
Tee Higgins (CIN WR) vs. Patriots Coverage: Higgins must step up with Chase out, but faces CB Christian Gonzalez in coverage.
Team Recent Forms
New England Patriots:
1st in AFC East.
Road Record: 5–0.
Last Game: 27–14 win vs. Jets.
Offense: 27.8 PPG, Defense: 18.9 PPG.
Cincinnati Bengals:
3rd in AFC North.
Home Record: 2–3.
Last Game: 34–12 loss vs. Steelers.
Offense: 19.2 PPG, Defense: 29.1 PPG.
Series History
All-Time: Patriots lead 18–11.
Recent: Patriots won last meeting in 2022 (22–18).
Betting Trends
Patriots: 5–0 ATS on the road; 7–2 ATS overall.
Bengals: 1–4 ATS in last 5; offense has failed to score 20+ in three straight games.
Totals: Patriots games lean UNDER when defense dominates; Bengals games lean OVER when defense collapses.
Final Score Projection: New England Patriots 30, Cincinnati Bengals 17
Reasoning: Maye’s efficiency and Henderson’s rushing attack should overwhelm Cincinnati’s defense. Flacco and Higgins will keep the Bengals competitive early, but New England’s depth and defensive pressure tilt the matchup. Expect the Patriots to cover, with the UNDER slightly favored.
PATRIOTS NOTES:
• PATRIOTS have won 8 consecutive games in 2025, longest win streak since Weeks 1-8 in 2019 & tied longest active sreak (Denver Broncos) in the NFL this season. • QB DRAKE MAYE completed 25 of 34 att. (73.5 pct.) for 281 yards, TD & 107.6 passer rating in Week 11. Can become 4th player ever under the age of 24 with 10 games of 200+ pass yards & 100+ passer rating . Only player to record 9 games of 100+ passer rating & 11 games of 200+ pass yards in the NFL this season. • RB TREVEYON HENDERSON (rookie) had 93 scrimmage yards (62 rush, 31 rec.) & 3 TDs in Week 10. Ranks 4th among rookies with 492 rushing yards. Ranks tied-4th among rookies with 6 scrimmage TDs. Is 1-of-5 rookies to record 3+ scrimmage TDs in a game in 2025. • WR STEFON DIGGS had 9 catches for 105 yards in Week 10. Needs 2 TD catches to become 7th player all-time with 900+ receptions, 11,000 receiving yards & 75 TD receptions in his first 11 career seasons. Has TD catch in 3 of his past 4 games. • WR MACK HOLLINS had 4 catches for 64 yards in Week 11. Has 4+ catches & 60+ receiving yards in 2 of his past 3 games. • TE HUNTER HENRY had 4 catches for 45 yards last week. • DT CHRISTIAN BARMORE had 3 tackles & 1st sack of the season in Week 11. • LB JACK GIBBENS had 6 tackles & TFL last week. Aims for 3rd in row with 6+ tackles & TFL. Had 10 tackles & PD in last game vs. Cin. (10/1/23 w/Ten.). • LB ROBERT SPILLANE had 9 tackles & PD in Week 11. Aims for 3rd in row with 9+ tackles & PD. Is only player with 90+ tackles (90) & 5+ PDs (5) in 2025. Aims for 3rd in row with TFL. • CB CHRISTIAN GONZALEZ had 5 tackles & PD last week. Aims for 5th in row with PD.
BENGALS NOTES:
• QB JOE FLACCO passed for 199 yards & TD in his 200th career start in Week 11. Aims for 6th in row with pass TD. Aims for 4th in row at home with 220+ pass yards. Had 262 pass yards & 3 TDs in last meeting (11/09/20, w/ NYJ). • RB CHASE BROWN had 127 scrimmage yards (99 rush, 28 rec.) in Week 11. Has 4 consecutive games with 100+ scrimmage yards, longest active streak in the NFL. Aims for 2,500 career scrimmage yards (2,433). • WR TEE HIGGINS led team with 63 rec. yards on 3 catches & TD in Week 11. Has TD rec. in 9 straight games & is 3rd player (HOFer Cris Carter & Jerry Rice) all-time with TD rec. in 9 consecutive home games. Had 8 rec. for 128 yards & TD in last meeting. Ranks tied for 3rd in rec. TDs (7) this season. • WR ANDREI IOSIVAS had 5 catches for 66 yards • TE NOAH FANT has rec. TD in 2 of his past 3 at home. • DE MYLES MURPHY had 7 tackles, TFL & sack in Week 11. Aims for 3rd in row with 6+ tackles. • DE JOSEPH OSSAI has TFL in 3 of his past 4 at home. • LB OREN BURKS tied for team-high with 8 tackles last week. Aims for 3rd in row with 5+ tackles. • LB BARRETT CARTER ranks 4th among rookies in tackles this season (58). • LB DEMETRIUS KNIGHT has PD in 3 straight games, tied for the longest active streak among rookies in 2025. Ranks 2nd among rookies in tackles (70). • CB DAXTON HILL had 6 tackles, TFL & PD last week. • CB DJ TURNER has career-high 14 PD this season, tied-most in NFL in 2025. • S JORDAN BATTLE had 7 tackles & TFL last week. Aims for 9th in row with 5+ tackles. • S GENO STONE tied for team-high with 8 tackles in Week 11. Aims for 3rd in row with 7+ tackles.
Game Odds
New England Patriots – 7
Cincinnati Bengals 51.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 22, 2025
