Venue & Game Details
Location: Raymond James Stadium, 4201 N Dale Mabry Hwy, Tampa, FL 33607
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Broadcast: CBS: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson (field reporter)
Weather Forecast (Tampa, FL)
Conditions: Mostly sunny, humid
Temperature: Low-to-mid 80s °F at kickoff
Wind: 8–12 mph, light coastal breeze
Factor: Heat and humidity could test conditioning, but no rain expected
Injury Report
Patriots:
WR Kayshon Boutte – questionable
RB Rhamondre Stevenson – questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez – questionable
LB Christian Elliss – questionable
Buccaneers:
WR Mike Evans – OUT (season-ending)
WR Chris Godwin – questionable (hamstring)
RB Bucky Irving – expected to return from injury
Depth at WR remains thin
Key Player Matchups
Drake Maye (Patriots QB) vs. Bucs secondary – Maye has thrown for 2,285 yards, 17 TDs, 4 INTs through nine games. Tampa’s pass defense allows 228.8 ypg, middle of the pack.
Patriots run game vs. Bucs run defense – New England averages 3.9 ypc, while Tampa allows just 3.9 ypc; strength vs. strength battle.
Baker Mayfield (Bucs QB) vs. Patriots secondary – Mayfield has only 2 INTs all season, but faces a defense ranked top-5 against the run and opportunistic in coverage.
Cade Otton (Bucs TE) vs. Patriots linebackers – With Evans out and Godwin limited, Otton could be Mayfield’s top target.
Recent Team Form
Patriots: Riding a 6-game win streak, most recently edging Atlanta 24-23. Defense ranks #1 vs. the run (75.4 ypg allowed) but has shown red-zone vulnerability.
Buccaneers: Coming off a bye week after beating New Orleans 23-3. Defense ranks top-10 in sacks and has been stout at home.
Series History
All-time: Patriots lead 7-3
Last meeting: Buccaneers won 19-17 in 2021 (Tom Brady’s return to Foxborough)
Betting Trends
Patriots: 6-3 ATS; 4-0 ATS on the road; OVER 5-4 this season
Buccaneers: 5-3 ATS; 1-2 ATS at home; OVER 4-4 this season
Totals: OVER has hit in all 3 Bucs home games this year
Historical Betting Results
Patriots games: 55% OVER rate in 2025
Buccaneers games: 50% OVER rate in 2025
Patriots have covered every road game this season (4-0 ATS)
Projected Final Score: Buccaneers 24 – Patriots 21
PATRIOTS NOTES:
• QB DRAKE MAYE had 259 pass yards & 2 TDs vs. 1 INT with a 102.5 passer rating in Week 9, his 8th consecutive game with 200+ pass yards & 100.0+ passer rating, the 4th player in NFL history to do so and 1st under age of 24. Ranks 2nd in passer rating (116.9), tied for 3rd in pass TDs (17) & 4th in pass yards (2,285) in NFL this season. Aims for 3rd consecutive road game with multiple TD passes. • RB TREVEYON HENDERSON ranks 4th in league among rookies in yards per rush this season (4.2), min. 65 rushes. • WR KAYSHON BOUTTE has averaged 14.4 yards per target this season, the most in the NFL, among WRs with 30+ targets, per Next Gen Stats. • WR STEFON DIGGS recorded his 900th career rec. in Week 9 finishing with 3 rec. for 38 yards & 1 TD. Ranks 5th in last 10 seasons (2016-25) with 72 rec. TDs. Aims for 3rd in row with TD rec. • WR DEMARIO DOUGLAS had season-high 4 rec. for 100 yards & 1 TD in Week 9, including career-high 58-yard rec. • TE HUNTER HENRY had 4 rec. for 51 yards in Week 9. His 424 rec. rank 6th in the NFL among TEs since 2016. Had 1 rec. TD in last matchup (10/03/21). • LB HAROLD LANDRY had 9 tackles & sack in last meeting (11/12/23, w/ TEN). Tied for 6th in NFL in sacks among LBs this season (5.5). • LB ROBERT SPILLANE 1 of 6 in AFC with 10+ tackles in 4+ games this season. 7th in AFC in tackles (72). 1 of 6 in AFC with 70+ tackles & sack. • CB CARLTON DAVIS had six tackles & PD in Week 9. His 87 PDs since 2018 are the 4th most in the league. • CB CHRISTIAN GONZALEZ had season-high 7 tackles & 2 PDs in Week 9. Has 5+ tackles in 3 road games this season. Aims for 3rd in row with 2+ PDs. • CB MARCUS JONES has TFL & 1+ PD in 4 of last 5. 1 of 3 players in league with 6+ TFL & 2 INT this season. Aims for career-high 3 INT in a season.
BUCCANEERS NOTES:
• QB BAKER MAYFIELD has 2+ TD passes in 2 of last 3 home games & 90+ passer rating in 5 games this season. Aims for 2nd consecutive game with pass TD vs. NE (11/14/21). • RB RACHAAD WHITE aims for 2nd consecutive home game with rush TD. Has 10+ carries & 2+ rec. in last 4. 1 of 8 RBs with 20+ rec., 115+ rec. yards, 75 carries, 2+ rush TDs & 2+ rec. TDs this season. • WR EMEKA EGBUKA leads team in rec. yards (562) & rec. TDs (5). Only player with 500+ receiving yards & 5 touchdowns and 2 rec. of 50+ yards this season. • WR TEZ JOHNSON (rookie) has rec. TD in 2 of past 3 games. • TE CADE OTTON had 4 rec. for 40 yards in Week 9. Aims for 5th in row with 40+ rec. yards. • LB ANTHONY NELSON recorded career-high 2 sacks, FF & INT-TD in Week 8, becoming third player to do so in a game since 2000. Aims for 3rd in row with sack. • LB SIRVOCEA DENNIS recorded 7 tackles, 1 TFL & 1.0 sack in Week 8. Aims for 3rd in row with 1.0 sack. • LB LAVONTE DAVID recorded 10 tackles and a FR in Week 8. 1 of 5 LBs to do so in a single game. • LB DEION JONES had 2 ST tackles Week 8, his 3rd game with multiple ST tackles. • LB YAYA DIABY has recorded sack & multiple TFL in 2 of 3 home matchups. Has sack in last 2 of 3 games. • DT VITA VEA has 3 TFL & FR in 2025, 1 of 9 in AFC to do so. • S ANTOINE WINFIELD JR had 6 tackles, FR & INT in Week 9. • S TYKEE SMITH has recorded a PD in past 5 of 6. Ranks 2nd among safeties in PDs (8) & 2nd among all DBs tackles (66).
Game Odds
New England Patriots 48.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 2.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 8, 2025
