The 2025 NFL Week 17 matchup features the New England Patriots (12-3) traveling to face the New York Jets (3-12) in an AFC East rivalry game at MetLife Stadium. The Patriots, with a strong 12-3 record and already clinching a playoff spot, look to maintain momentum and potentially improve seeding as they chase the top AFC position, while the Jets aim to play spoiler in a lost season marred by injuries and poor form. New England has dominated the series recently, winning nine straight games against New York, but the Jets’ defense could keep it competitive in a low-pressure environment for the home team. Below is a fully detailed preview covering all aspects.
Venue Location
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey. This outdoor NFL venue, shared by the Jets and Giants, seats approximately 82,500 fans and features a FieldTurf CORE surface, known for its fast track but occasional wind and weather challenges in winter games.
Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET (12:00 p.m. CT / 10:00 a.m. PT).
Broadcast: FOX: Adam Amin, Drew Brees, Kristina Pink (field reporter)
Weather Updates
Expect cold and blustery conditions in East Rutherford. Daytime highs will reach around 39-43°F, dropping to 31-32°F by kickoff, with a feels-like temperature in the low 20s due to wind chill. Winds will gust up to 10-15 mph from the SSW, with overcast skies and a 90% chance of precipitation, including rain transitioning to snow (1-3 inches possible). The FieldTurf surface should drain well, but slick conditions could affect footing, favoring run-heavy strategies and limiting deep passes—players from warmer climates may struggle with the chill.
Injury Report
Both teams are battling injuries, with the Patriots dealing with concussions that could sideline key offensive players, potentially forcing backups into action, while the Jets’ quarterback situation is in flux with multiple players on IR.
New England Patriots: Wide receiver Kayshon Boutte (concussion) is questionable. Defensive tackle Khyiris Tonga (foot) is doubtful. Running back TreVeyon Henderson (concussion) is questionable. Guard Jared Wilson (concussion) is questionable. Offensive tackle Will Campbell (knee) is questionable. Defensive tackle Milton Williams (ankle) is questionable. These absences could limit the run game and pass protection if not cleared.
New York Jets: Quarterback Justin Fields (knee) is on IR and out for the season. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson (knee) is shut down for the remainder of the year. Running back Breece Hall (knee) is questionable. Defensive end Jermaine Johnson II (undisclosed) is questionable. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor (groin/knee) is questionable. These losses severely thin the offense, with Brady Cook potentially starting at QB.
Player Matchups
With injuries depleting both rosters, this game could turn on backup performances, but key starters like Maye and the Patriots’ defense hold edges against a Jets team missing playmakers.
NE QB Drake Maye vs. NYJ S Camryn Bracha: Maye’s dual-threat ability (over 3,500 passing yards) tests Bracha’s coverage—Bracha must spy to contain scrambles amid Jets’ injuries.
NYJ QB Brady Cook vs. NE LB Ja’Whaun Bentley: Cook’s debut start faces Bentley’s tackling—Bentley could exploit inexperience for turnovers if Tonga sits.
NE RB Rhamondre Stevenson vs. NYJ DL Quinnen Williams: Stevenson’s power run vs. Williams’ interior disruption—key if Hall sits, shifting focus to Jets’ front.
NYJ WR Allen Lazard vs. NE CB Christian Gonzalez: Lazard’s size vs. Gonzalez’s man coverage—potential for red-zone plays if Cook connects.
NE WR Kendrick Bourne vs. NYJ CB Sauce Gardner: Bourne’s routes vs. Gardner’s elite skills—could open underneath if Maye is protected.
These matchups favor New England’s talent and depth, especially with Jets’ QB woes.
Recent Team Forms
New England Patriots (last 5 games): W-W-W-L-W. Recent wins include a 28-24 victory over Baltimore in Week 16, with a loss sandwiched in—form shows offensive balance (27.3 PPG overall) and defensive strength (top-10 in points allowed).
New York Jets (last 5 games): L-L-L-L-L. On a prolonged losing streak, with defensive breakdowns allowing high scores—form highlights struggles across the board, averaging under 19 PPG in losses.
Series History
The New England Patriots lead the all-time series 76-56-1 in 133 meetings, including a 1-0 playoff edge. The Patriots have won 17 of the last 20 games, with a 9-1 record in the last 10 meetings at MetLife Stadium. New York’s last win over New England was in 2023, but the Pats are on a nine-game winning streak in the series. Games average moderate scoring, with New England’s largest margin a 55-3 win in 1973.
Betting Trends
Patriots: 10-5 ATS overall, 7-1 ATS on the road, 8-7 O/U with unders in recent blowouts. Jets: 7-8 ATS overall, 4-4 ATS at home, 7-8 O/U trending under vs. AFC East foes. Game-Specific: Patriots 17-3 SU in last 20 vs. Jets; Jets 1-4 ATS in last 5; unders in 5 of last 7 meetings; public on Jets +13.5 (rivalry upset potential), sharps on Patriots due to form and series dominance.
PATRIOTS NOTES:
• PATRIOTS clinched first playoff berth since 2021. • QB DRAKE MAYE completed 31 of 44 atts. (70.5 pct.) for career-high 380 yards & 2 TDs vs. INT with 102.5 rating in Week 16. Passed for 220+ yards & 2+ TDs in 4 of his past 5 on road. Has 70+ comp. pct., 230+ pass yards & 100+ rating in 3 of his 4 starts vs. division this season, incl. completing 25 of 34 atts. (73.5 pct.) for 281 yards & TD with 107.6 rating in Week 11 meeting. • RB RHAMONDRE STEVENSON had 78 scrimmage yards (51 rush, 27 rec.) & rush TD last week. Aims for his 4th in row with 75+ scrimmage yards. Has rush TD in 2 of his past 3 on road. Had 65 scrimmage yards (48 rush, 17 rec.) & 2 rush TDs in his last game vs. NYJ (10/27/24). • RB TREVEYON HENDERSON had 93 scrimmage yards (62 rush, 31 rec.), 2 rush TDs & TD catch in Week 13 meeting. • WR STEFON DIGGS had 9 catches for 138 yards in Week 16. Has 5+ catches in 3 of his past 4 on road. Had 9 catches for 105 yards in Week 11 meeting. • WR KYLE WILLIAMS (rookie) had TD catch in Week 16. Has TD catch in 2 of his past 3 on road. • TE HUNTER HENRY had 6 catches & TD catch last week. Aims for his 3rd in row on road with 6+ catches & TD catch. • LB K’LAVON CHAISSON had TFL & FF in Week 16. Has TFL in 3 of his past 4 on road. Had PD in Week 11 meeting. • LB ANFERNEE JENNINGS had sack last week. Has TFL in 2 of his past 3. Had FR in Week 11 meeting. • LB JACK GIBBENS led team with 10 tackles & had TFL in Week 16. Aims for his 3rd in row with 9+ tackles & TFL. Has 6 tackles & TFL in Week 11 meeting. • CB CARLTON DAVIS had 8 tackles & TFL last week. Aims for his 4th in row with TFL. • CB CHRISTIAN GONZALEZ had 7 tackles & PD in Week 16. Has PD in 7 of his past 8 overall. Has 5+ tackles & PD in each of his 3 games vs. division this season.
JETS NOTES:
• QB BRADY COOK completed 22 of 35 atts. (62.9 pct.) for 188 yards in Week 16. Aims for his 3rd in row with 60+ comp. pct. • RB BREECE HALL had 63 scrimmage yards (54 rush, 9 rec.) last week. Has 75+ scrimmage yards & TD in 2 of his past 3 at MetLife Stadium. Aims for his 5th in row vs. NE with 60+ scrimmage yards. • RB ISAIAH DAVIS had 60 scrimmage yards (career-high 52 rec., 8 rush) in Week 16. Aims for his 3rd in row with 60+ scrimmage yards. • WR ADONAI MITCHELL had 43 rec. yards last week. • WR JOHN METCHIE had 45 rec. yards & rec. TD in Week 11 meeting. • LB QUINCY WILLIAMS had 11 tackles in Week 16. Has TFL in 2 of his past 3 overall & has sack in 2 of his past 3 at MetLife Stadium. Has 5+ tackles in each of his 3 games vs. division this season, incl. 8 tackles & TFL in Week 11 meeting. • LB JAMIEN SHERWOOD had 11 tackles, 2 TFL & sack last week. Has 10+ tackles & TFL in 2 of his past 3. Aims for his 5th in row vs. NE with 5+ tackles. • LB MYKAL WALKER had 7 tackles in Week 16. • DE WILL MCDONALD had 4 tackles & sack last week. Has TFL in 2 of his past 3 at MetLife Stadium. • DE JOWON BRIGGS had sack in Week 16. Has TFL in 4 of his past 5. • DT HARRISON PHILLIPS had 5 tackles last week. Had 5 tackles & TFL in Week 11 meeting. • CB BRANDON STEPHENS had 5 tackles in Week 16. Aims for his 3rd in row with 5+ tackles. Had 8 tackles & PD in Week 11 meeting. • CB JORDAN CLARK (rookie) had 5 tackles last week. • CB QWAN’TEZ STIGGERS had 5 tackles, 2 PD & 1st-career FR in Week 16. • S MALACHI MOORE (rookie) had 8 tackles & FF last week. Aims for his 6th in row with 5+ tackles.
Game Odds
New England Patriots – 13.5
New York Jets 42.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, December 27, 2025
