NFL Game Preview: Miami Dolphins (5-7) vs. New York Jets (3-9)

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The Miami Dolphins aim to extend a three-game winning streak and solidify their tenuous AFC wild-card positioning with a season sweep of the New York Jets, who snapped a three-game skid with a gritty home win over Atlanta but remain mired in the East cellar. Miami’s resurgence hinges on Tua Tagovailoa’s efficiency and De’Von Achane’s explosiveness post-injury, but rainy conditions at MetLife could neutralize their speed-based attack. The Jets, leaning on Justin Fields’ dual-threat ability amid Garrett Wilson’s continued absence, boast a top-10 rush defense but struggle to protect their QB (league-high 3.1 sacks/game allowed). This divisional rubber match—after Miami’s 27-21 Week 4 victory—could devolve into a sloppy, low-scoring affair, with the Dolphins’ momentum clashing against New York’s home desperation.

Venue and Game Details

Location: MetLife Stadium, 50 Route 120, East Rutherford, NJ 07073. The open-air stadium seats 82,500 and is shared with the Giants, known for its modern amenities but vulnerability to Northeast weather.

Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET.

Broadcast: CBS: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta, Aditi Kinkhabwala (field reporter

Local radio on WINZ 940 AM (MIA) and WABC 770 AM (NYJ).

Weather: Messy and cold—100% chance of moderate rain with temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s°F (high 41°F, low 37°F). Expect around a half-inch of accumulation and winds from the north at 10-15 mph, potentially gusting higher; slick field could favor the Jets’ power run game over Miami’s finesse.

Injury Report

Injuries hit both passing games, but the Jets’ WR corps takes the bigger blow without Wilson. Miami’s O-line questions could expose Tagovailoa to pressure. Latest from Tuesday, December 2 practice reports:

TeamPlayerPositionInjuryPractice StatusEst. Game Status
DolphinsAustin JacksonOLToeLP (Mon/Tue)Questionable; limited snaps last week, protects Tua’s blindside.
Benito JonesDTAnkleLP (Mon/Tue)Questionable; rotational DT, run D depth tested.
Jalen RamseyCBFoot/AnkleLP (Mon/Tue)Questionable; elite shutdown if active (limited vs. NO).
Isaiah WynnOLToeLP (Mon/Tue)Questionable; backup tackle, O-line vulnerable.
Jaylen WaddleWRFootLP/FP/FPProbable; managed workload, 110 yds last game.
Durham SmytheTEPectoralLP/FP/LPQuestionable; red-zone target if cleared.
Tyreek HillWRShoulderFP (Mon/Tue)Probable; full go, 67 yds vs. NO.
Jaelan PhillipsLBKneeFP (Mon/Tue)Probable; pass-rush anchor.
JetsByron CowartDTAnkleDNP/LPQuestionable; interior pressure key vs. Achane.
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.CBHipDNP (Mon)Questionable; rookie depth in secondary.
Garrett WilsonWRKneeIR (Week 11)Out; minimum four games missed, eligible Week 15—huge void (42 rec, 492 yds).
Joe TippmannCNon-Injury/PersonalDNP/FPProbable; snap issues if not 100%.
Allen LazardWRNeckDNPQuestionable; primary target sans Wilson.

Jets’ receiving options thin without Wilson/Lazard; Dolphins’ secondary gets a boost if Ramsey plays.

Key Player Matchups

Miami’s No. 8 scoring offense (24.7 pts/g) meets the Jets’ No. 22 pass defense (225 ypg allowed), but rain could limit big plays. New York’s ground attack exploits Miami’s No. 25 run D.

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA QB) vs. Jets Front Seven
Tagovailoa (68% comp., 2,500+ yds, 15 TD last seven starts) faces NYJ’s sack-heavy line (No. 5 in pressures). If Jackson/Wynn sit, expect 2+ sacks; Tua’s quick release (2.8 sec avg.) shines in wet conditions.

Justin Fields (NYJ QB) vs. Dolphins Secondary (Ramsey?)
Fields (dual-threat: 1,200 pass yds, 400 rush) vs. MIA’s opportunistic DBs (No. 12 in INTs). Ramsey questionable shadows Allen Lazard; Fields’ mobility (5.2 ypc) could scramble for 50+ yds.

De’Von Achane (MIA RB) vs. Jets Run D
Achane (5.0 ypc, 174 yds vs. BUF) meets NYJ’s No. 10 stop unit (95 ypg allowed). Jets allow 4.1 ypc to RBs; Achane’s speed slips in rain, projecting 75-90 yds.

Breece Hall (NYJ RB) vs. Dolphins Front
Hall (1,100+ yds, 7 TD) vs. MIA’s leaky line (135 ypg allowed). Without Jones, Hall’s vision grinds 100+ yds, controlling clock.

Tyreek Hill/Jaylen Waddle (MIA WRs) vs. Jets CBs
Hill (top-5 in ypc) and Waddle (110 yds last week) vs. Brownlee’s coverage if active. Jets press often (No. 8 rate); rain caps deep shots, but YAC thrives.

Team Records and Standings Context

Dolphins: 5-7 (3rd AFC East, .417 win%). 10th in AFC wild-card hunt, 2 games back. Offense: No. 12 passing (224/g), No. 15 rushing (110/g), T-8th pts (24.7/g). Defense: No. 22 pts allowed (25.1/g).

Jets: 3-9 (4th AFC East, .250 win%). 15th in AFC, eliminated. Offense: No. 28 passing (180/g), No. 7 rushing (133/g), T-25th pts (20.5/g). Defense: No. 27 pts allowed (26.3/g).

Recent Team Forms

Dolphins surging with balanced wins; Jets inconsistent, winning via run but folding in pass protection.

Dolphins Last 5 Games (4-1):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
Nov. 30vs. NOW 21-17Tagovailoa: 205 yds, 2 TD; Achane: 120 yds.
Nov. 16vs. WSHW 16-13 (OT)Defense forces 2 TOs; Waddle: 52 yds.
Nov. 9vs. BUFW 30-13Achane: 174 yds, TD; blowout after early deficit.
Oct. 30vs. BALL 6-28Offense stifled; 4 sacks allowed.
Oct. 26@ CLE?W 34-10Tagovailoa: 205 yds, 2 TD; run game 150 yds.

Jets Last 5 Games (2-3):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
Nov. 30vs. ATLW 27-24Fields: 172 yds, TD; Hall: 68 yds.
Nov. 23@ BALL 10-23Run game limited (44 yds); 3 INTs.
Nov. 14@ NEL 14-27Fields: 116 yds; secondary exposed.
Nov. 9vs. CLEW 27-20Fields: 54 yds, but Hall: 83 yds, 2 TD.
Oct. 26@ CINW 39-38Fields: 244 yds, 3 TD; thriller comeback.

Dolphins 4-1 SU last 5; Jets 0-3 when <100 rush yds.

Series History

Miami dominates recently, winning 7 of last 9 (including playoffs). All-time: Dolphins lead 62-57-1. Last 5 meetings:

Sep. 29, 2025: Dolphins 27, Jets 21 (MIA).

Jan. 5, 2025: Jets 32, Dolphins 20 (NYJ).

Dec. 8, 2024: Dolphins 32, Jets 26 (MIA).

Dec. 17, 2023: Dolphins 30, Jets 0 (MIA).

Nov. 24, 2023: Dolphins 34, Jets 13 (NYJ).

H2H avg. 42.4 total pts; overs hit 4/5 since 2023, but unders in rainy Jets home games.

Betting Trends

Spread: Dolphins 6-6 ATS (50%); Jets 7-5 ATS (58%). MIA 3-3 ATS on road; NYJ 2-5 ATS at home.

Total: Over in 6 of MIA’s 12 (50%); 7 of NYJ’s 12 (58%). Rainy Dec games unders hit 65%.

Key Trends: Dolphins 5-1 SU last 6 vs. NYJ; Jets 6-2 ATS as 3+ dogs. MIA covers 70% after win streak.

Projected score: Miami Dolphins 21, New York Jets 17

DOLPHINS NOTES:

• QB TUA TAGOVAILOA passed for 157 yards in Week 13. Has 75+ comp. pct., 205+ pass yards & 120+ rating in 2 of his past 3 on road. Aims for his 5th in row vs. NYJ with 65+ comp. pct., 175+ pass yards & TD pass. • RB DE’VON ACHANE led team with 134 rush yards & rush TD last week. Has 105+ scrimmage yards in 4 consecutive games, tied 4th-longest active streak. Has 5+ receptions in 4 of his past 5. Has 100+ scrimmage yards & TD in 4 of his past 5 vs. division. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. NYJ with 100+ scrimmage yards & rush TD. • WR JAYLEN WADDLE had 40 rec. yards in Week 13. Has rec. TD in 3 of his past 4 on road. Aims for his 7th in row vs. NYJ with 45+ rec. yards. • WR MALIK WASHINGTON had 30 rec. yards last week. Had 48 rec. yards in last meeting at NYJ. • TE DARREN WALLER had 47 rec. yards in Week 13. Has 2 rec. TDs in 2 of his past 3 vs. NYJ, incl. Week 4 meeting. • LB JORDYN BROOKS led team with 12 tackles & had TFL last week. Only player in NFL with 12+ tackles in 6 games this season. Has 10+ tackles in 4 of his past 5. Had 18 tackles in Week 4 meeting. • LB TYREL DODSON had 8 tackles & PD in Week 13. Aims for his 5th in row with 8+ tackles. Had 9 tackles, 2 TFL, sack & FF in Week 4 meeting. • LB CHOP ROBINSON had 5 tackles & 1.5 sacks last week. Had 3 tackles & TFL in last meeting at NYJ. • LB BRADLEY CHUBB had 3 tackles & sack in Week 13. Has sack in 4 of his past 5 vs. division & TFL in 5 of his past 6 on road. • CB RASUL DOUGLAS had 6 tackles & INT last week. Has PD in 2 of his past 3. Aims for his 3rd in row with 6+ tackles. Had 3 tackles, 2 PD & sack in Week 4 meeting. • S MINKAH FITZPATRICK had 7 tackles, sack & FF in Week 13. Aims for his 5th in row with 5+ tackles & 3rd in row with TFL. Had FR & PD in Week 4 meeting.

JETS NOTES:

• QB TYROD TAYLOR passed for 172 yards, rushed for 44 yards & had 2 TDs (1 pass, 1 rush) in Week 13. Became 6th QB since 2000 to start & win a game for 6+ franchises. Has 65+ comp. pct., 295+ pass yards & TD pass in 2 of his past 3 starts at MetLife Stadium. Aims for his 6th start vs. Mia. with 200+ pass yards. • RB BREECE HALL had 76 scrimmage yards (68 rush, 8 rec.) & rush TD last week. Aims for his 6th in row with 60+ scrimmage yards. Has 75+ scrimmage yards in 3 of his past 4 at MetLife Stadium. Had 111 scrimmage yards (81 rush, 30 rec.) in Week 4 meeting. • WR ADONAI MITCHELL led team with 8 catches for career-high 102 yards & 1st-career rec. TD in Week 13. • TE MASON TAYLOR (rookie) had 21 rec. yards last week. Had 5 catches for 65 yards in Week 4 meeting. • LB QUINCY WILLIAMS had 8 tackles & 2 PD in Week 13. Aims for his 6th in row with 6+ tackles. Has PD in 2 of his past 3 at MetLife Stadium & PD in 3 of his past 4 vs. division. Had 9 tackles, career-high 5 TFL, FF, FR & PD in his last game vs. Mia. (1/5/25). • LB JAMIEN SHERWOOD had 4 tackles & PD last week. Aims for his 4th in row at MetLife Stadium with PD & 4th in row vs. division with 8+ tackles. Had 10 tackles & PD in Week 4 meeting. • DE MICHEAL CLEMONS had 1st sack of season in Week 13. • S MALACHI MOORE (rookie) led team with career-high 10 tackles & had TFL last week. Has 5+ tackles in 4 of his past 5. • S TONY ADAMS had 5 tackles & 1st sack of season in Week 13. Aims for his 5th in row with 5+ tackles. Had 3 tackles & PD in Week 4 meeting. • S ISAIAH OLIVER had 7 tackles & PD last week. Aims for his 3rd in row at MetLife Stadium with 7+ tackles. Had 7 tackles in Week 4 meeting

Game Odds

Miami Dolphins               – 2.5

New York Jets                    40.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, December 6, 2025