NFL Game Preview: Buffalo Bills (7-7) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5)

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Pittsburgh Steelers logo

Venue & Game Details

Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET

Broadcast: CBS: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson (field reporter)

Weather Forecast

High/Low: 39°F / 28°F

Conditions: Cloudy with light snow flurries possible

Winds: 15 mph from the northwest

Precipitation: 30% chance — cold, windy conditions could impact passing and kicking

Injury Report

Buffalo Bills:

QB Josh Allen (shoulder) – Questionable, expected to play

WR Stefon Diggs (hamstring) – Questionable

RB James Cook (ankle) – OUT

LB Matt Milano (knee – IR) – OUT

CB Kaiir Elam (concussion protocol) – OUT

Pittsburgh Steelers:

QB Kenny Pickett (ankle) – Questionable

RB Najee Harris (foot) – Questionable

WR George Pickens (groin) – Questionable

LB T.J. Watt (hip) – Questionable, limited practice

S Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring) – OUT

Team Recent Form

Buffalo Bills: Won 3 of last 4; offense averaging 26.1 points per game.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Lost 2 of last 3; defense allowing 20.9 points per game.

Player Matchups

QB Battle: Josh Allen vs Kenny Pickett. Allen’s dual-threat ability gives Buffalo an edge, but Pickett has shown flashes at home.

WRs: Stefon Diggs vs Steelers’ secondary; George Pickens vs Bills’ CB Dane Jackson.

RBs: Latavius Murray filling in for James Cook vs Najee Harris (if active).

Defense: Von Miller vs Steelers’ O-line; T.J. Watt vs Bills’ tackles — both elite pass rushers could swing momentum.

Series History

All-time: Steelers lead 17–13

Recent: Bills have won 3 of last 4 meetings, including a 38–3 rout in 2022.

Trend: Steelers historically strong at home vs Buffalo, but Bills have closed the gap in recent years.

Betting Trends

ATS Records: Bills 7–7 ATS; Steelers 6–5 ATS

Totals: Bills OVER 8–6; Steelers UNDER 7–4

Home/Away Trends: Steelers 4–2 at home; Bills 3–4 on road

Bottom Line

This AFC showdown features two teams fighting for playoff positioning. Buffalo’s offense has found rhythm, while Pittsburgh leans on defense and home-field grit. Weather favors a physical, defensive battle. Expect Buffalo to control tempo with Allen’s versatility, but the Steelers’ pass rush could make this a nail-biter.

Prediction: Bills 23 – Steelers 17

BILLS NOTES:

• QB JOSH ALLEN completed 24 of 34 atts. (70.6 pct.) for 253 yards & had 20 rush yards in Week 12. Ranks tied-3rd in NFL with 10 rush TDs this season. Has TD pass in 8 of his past 9. Aims for his 5th in row with 250+ pass yards. Has 75 career reg. season rush TDs, tied with Cam Newton for most by QB in NFL history. Had career-high 424 pass yards & 4 TD passes in last meeting. • RB JAMES COOK rushed for 116 yards & TD in Week 12, his 6th game with 100+ rush yards this season, most in NFL in 2025. Aims for his 3rd in row with TD. Has 100+ scrimmage yards in 8 games this season, 2nd-most (Christian McCaffrey) in NFL in 2025. • WR KHALIL SHAKIR had team & season-high 8 catches for 110 yards last week. Aims for 4th in row on road with 6+ catches & 55+ rec. yards. • WR GABE DAVIS had 3 catches for 171 yards, incl. 98-yard rec., & 2 TDs in last meeting. Aims for his 4th in row with TD catch vs. Pit. • TE DAWSON KNOX aims for 25th career TD catch & 2,500 career rec. yards (2,472). • TE JACKSON HAWES (rookie) is 1 of 4 rookie TEs with 2+ rec. TDs (2) in 2025. • LB TERREL BERNARD aims for his 5th in row with 5+ tackles & 4th in row with TFL. • LB MATT MILANO has TFL in 2 of his past 3 on road. Has 4+ tackles in each of his 7 games this season. • S COLE BISHOP had 6 tackles last week. Aims for his 7th in row with 6+ tackles. Has PD in 3 of his past 4. • S JORDAN POYER had 6 tackles & PD last week. Aims for his 6th in row with 5+ tackles & 3rd in row with PD. • CB TARON JOHNSON aims for 3rd in row with 5+ tackles. Has PD in 3 of his past 4 on road. • CB MAXWELL HAIRSTON is 1 of 7 rookies with 2+ INTs this season.

STEELERS NOTES:

• QB AARON RODGERS ranks tied-5th with 19 TD passes this season & 4th alltime with 522 TD passes. Has 65+ comp. pct., 200+ pass yards & TD pass in 3 of his past 4 at Acrisure Stadium. Completed 12 of 18 atts. (66.7 pct.) for 112 yards in his last game vs. Buf. (12/29/24 w/ NYJ). • QB MASON RUDOLPH completed 24 of 31 atts. (77.4 pct.) for 171 yards & TD in Week 12, 1st start of season. Passed for 215 yards & TD in only career start vs. Buf. (10/20/24 w/ Ten.). • RB KENNETH GAINWELL led team with 122 scrimmage yards (92 rush, 30 rec.) last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 105+ scrimmage yards. • RB JAYLEN WARREN had 68 rush yards & rush TD in Week 12. Aims for his 4th in row with 65+ scrimmage yards. Had 63 scrimmage yards (39 rec., 24 rush) in last meeting. • WR DK METCALF had 5 catches & 1st-career rush TD last week. Has TD catch in 3 of his 5 games at Acrisure Stadium this season. Had 7 catches for 108 yards & TD in only career game vs. Buf. (11/8/20 w/ Sea.). • TE PAT FREIERMUTH had TD catch last week. Has 3+ catches in 5 of his past 6. • LB T.J. WATT had 5 tackles, sack & FF in Week 12. Has 115 career sacks, 5thmost by player in 1st 9 seasons since 1982. Has sack in 3 of his past 4 & aims for his 5th in row with TFL. Had 2 sacks & FF in his last game vs. Buf. (9/12/21). • LB PATRICK QUEEN had 5 tackles in Week 12. Aims for his 5th in row with 5+ tackles. • LB NICK HERBIG had TFL & 1st-career FR-TD last week. Aims for his 4th in row with TFL. • DE YAHYA BLACK (rookie) had 1st-career FF & FR in Week 12. • CB JALEN RAMSEY led team with 9 tackles in Week 12. Has 4+ tackles in each of his 5 games at Acrisure Stadium this season. Had INT in his last game vs. Buf. (11/3/24 w/ Mia.). • S KYLE DUGGER had 6 tackles & PD last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with PD.

Game Odds

Buffalo Bills                        – 3

Pittsburgh Steelers         45.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 29, 2025