Venue & Game Details
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Broadcast: CBS: Andrew Catalon, Charles Davis / Jason McCourty, AJ Ross (field reporter)
Weather Forecast (Miami Gardens)
Conditions: Partly sunny, humid
Temperature: Mid-80s °F at kickoff
Wind: 10–12 mph, light coastal breeze
Factor: Heat and humidity could test Buffalo’s stamina, though the Bills’ depth mitigates this
Injury Report
Bills:
DL Michael Hoecht – questionable
Otherwise relatively healthy, with Josh Allen and James Cook both active
Dolphins:
Edge Jaelan Phillips – traded, leaving a void in pass rush
OL depth thin, with multiple linemen questionable
Secondary banged up, no major IR returns expected
Key Player Matchups
Josh Allen (Bills QB) vs. Dolphins pass defense – Allen completed 23/26 for 273 yards vs. Chiefs last week; Miami’s defense ranks bottom-5 in points allowed.
James Cook (Bills RB) vs. Dolphins run defense – Cook is 2nd in NFL rushing (867 yards) and faces a Miami unit allowing 145.6 rush ypg (4th-worst NFL).
Stefon Diggs (Bills WR) vs. Xavien Howard (Dolphins CB) – Diggs remains Allen’s top target; Howard must contain explosive plays.
Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins QB) vs. Bills secondary – Tua threw for 261 yards but 0 TDs vs. Ravens last week; must avoid turnovers against Buffalo’s opportunistic defense.
Recent Team Form
Bills: Coming off 28-21 win over Chiefs, previously crushed Panthers 40-9. Defense forcing turnovers, offense balanced.
Dolphins: Lost 28-6 to Ravens, previously beaten 34-10 by Falcons. Offense has scored just 12 points total in last two losses.
Series History
All-time: Dolphins lead 62-58-1
Recent: Bills have dominated, winning 11 of last 13 meetings
Last meeting: Bills edged Dolphins earlier in 2025 TNF matchup
Betting Trends
Bills: 4-4 ATS; OVER 4-4; 2-1 ATS on road
Dolphins: 4-5 ATS; OVER 6-2-1; 2-2 ATS at home
Bills vs. Dolphins: Buffalo has covered 7 of last 10 head-to-head
Historical Betting Results
Bills games: 50% OVER this season
Dolphins games: 75% OVER this season
Bills have covered in 3 of last 4 divisional games
Projected Final Score: Bills 31 – Dolphins 13
BILLS NOTES:
• QB JOSH ALLEN completed 23 of 26 pass att. for 273 yards & 3 TD (2 rush, 1 pass) in Week 9. Has 7 rush TDs on the season, 1st QB & 6th player ever with 6+ rushing TD in 8 consecutive seasons. Is 1 of 2 (Jalen Hurts – 16) 15+ games with multiple rush TDs. Has 3,950 pass yards, 338 completions, 40 pass TDs & 110.3 passer rating in 15 career games vs. Mia. Has completed 70.4% of passes this season, 5th best in league. Aims for 7th consecutive game with 1+ TD pass this season. • RB JAMES COOK led team with career-high 27 carries & 114 rush yards in Week 9. Has 6 career games with 20+ rushes (3 in 2025). Only player with 100+ rush yards in 5 games this season. Ranks tied for 1st in yards per rush (5.7), 2nd in league in rush yards this season (867) & tied for 4th in rush TD (7). Has 6 TDs (4 rush, 2 rec.) in 7 games against MIA. Has rush TD in 4 of last 5 road games. • WR KHALIL SHAKIR led team with season-high 7 rec. for 43 yards in Week 9. Has 5+ rec. in 4 of last 5. Had 45 rec. yards & TD rec. in last meeting (09/18/25). Needs 8 rec. yards in Week 10 to surpass 2,000 career rec. yards. • TE DALTON KINCAID had team-high 101 rec. yards, 6 catches & TD in Week 9. Has 100+ rec. yards in 2 of last 3. Had 5 rec. for 66 yards & TD in last meeting (09/18/25). • DE JOEY BOSA had 3 tackles & sack in Week 9. Aims for 3rd consecutive game with sack. 1 of 6 with 75+ sacks & 20 FF in the past 10 seasons. • DE GREG ROUSSEAU had 6 tackles & 0.5 sack in Week 9. Has 0.5+ sack in 3 of his past 4. • CB CHRISTIAN BENFORD had 1st sack of season Week 9. Has 2 INT vs. Mia (Week 2 & 18; 2024). • S COLE BISHOP had 4 PDs in Week 9. Only S this season to have 4+ PDs in a game.
DOLPHINS NOTES:
• QB TUA TAGOVAILOA passed for 261 yards & 25 completions in Week 9. Has 20+ completions in 8 of past 9 at home & 1+ pass TD in 12 of past 13 home games this season. Has 1+ pass TD in his last 7 vs. BUF. • RB DE’VON ACHANE had 6 catches, 106 scrimmage yards (67 rush, 39 rec.) last week. Has 880 scrimmage yards (606 rush, 274 rec.) in 2025, 5th most among RBs. His 4 rec. TDs is tied for 1st among RBs in 2025. Has 13 rec. TDs since 2023, tied 4th-most by RB in 1st 3 seasons since 1970. Has scrimmage TD in 4 of past 5 vs. Buf. • RB OLLIE GORDON had rush TD in last meeting with Buf (09/18/25). 1 of 6 rookie RBs in AFC with rec. TD on the season. • WR JAYLEN WADDLE had team-high 82 rec. yards on 6 rec. in Week 9. Has 80+ rec. yards & 6+ rec. in 4 of his past 5. Had 5 rec. for 39 yards & TD in last meeting (09/18/25). Aims for 3rd in row with 1+ TD rec. vs. Buf. • DT ZACH SIELER had 1st PD of season in Week 9. • LB BRADLEY CHUBB has 25 tackles & 4 sacks on the season. Aims for 2nd consecutive game vs. Buf with sack. • LB TYREL DODSON had 9 tackles & TFL last week. Had 11 tackles, sack & PD in last meeting with Buf (09/18/25). Has 8+ tackles in 6 games this season. Aims for 3rd consecutive home game with TFL. • LB JORDYN BROOKS had 8 tackles in Week 8. Leads NFL with 93 tackles in 2025. • CB RASUL DOUGLAS aims for 3rd in row with 6+ tackles at home. Had 7 tackles in last meeting with Buf (09/18/25). 1 of 3 with 3+ sacks, 4 FFs, 3 FRs & 80 PDs since 2017. • S MINKAH FITZPATRICK has PD in 2 of his last 3 at home. His 59 PDs since 2018 are 5th most among safeties in the league. Has 5+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 at home.
Game Odds
Buffalo Bills – 9.5
Miami Dolphins 50.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 8, 2025
