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Illinois’ Per‑Bet Sports Betting Tax Shrinks Wager Volume but Boosts State Revenue

Illinois’ new per‑bet tax structure is reshaping the state’s online sports wagering market, producing fewer individual bets but generating more revenue for the state. According to new analysis from Eilers & Krejcik Gaming (EKG), the tax—implemented in July—has reduced betting activity while simultaneously lifting adjusted gaming revenue (AGR).

The research firm cautions that the data is still early and should be interpreted carefully, but the trend is clear: bet volume is down, revenue is up.

Since the tax increase took effect on July 1, major operators DraftKings and FanDuel added their own per‑wager transaction fees, passing much of the cost directly to customers. As a result, the total number of wagers placed in Illinois has declined, yet state revenue has not suffered.

The Sports Betting Alliance (SBA) recently reported that Illinois bettors placed five million fewer wagers in September compared to the same month last year, reflecting consumer frustration with the new tax and operator fees. However, Illinois Gaming Board (IGB) data shows that tier‑one and tier‑two handle actually increased year over year, indicating that bettors are wagering more money per bet even as they place fewer bets overall.

Fewer Bets, Bigger Stakes

EKG’s analysis highlights two key developments:

  1. Wager volume has dropped, a predictable outcome when a per‑bet tax is largely passed on to consumers.
  2. AGR still climbed roughly 8%, in line with national gross gaming revenue trends, suggesting bettors are compensating for added fees by increasing the size of each wager rather than reducing overall spend.

Illinois’ tax structure applies a 25‑cent levy on the first 20 million online wagers, doubling to 50 cents per bet beyond that threshold. This hits high‑volume operators hardest—particularly DraftKings and FanDuel, which responded with their own 50‑cent per‑bet fees. Fanatics opted for a 25‑cent fee, while smaller operators raised minimum bet amounts instead of adding explicit surcharges.

Unlikely to Become a National Model

While Illinois is currently benefiting from higher revenue despite lower wager counts, EKG notes that the model is unlikely to be replicated elsewhere in the near term. The structure effectively encourages higher‑stake betting, which could raise responsible‑gaming concerns.

Even so, the broader trend is unmistakable: sports betting taxes across the U.S. are rising. In 2025, Louisiana, Maryland, New Jersey, and Washington, D.C. all increased their sports wagering tax rates, and several other states have proposed similar hikes.

For now, Illinois stands alone with its per‑bet tax experiment—one that is reshaping bettor behavior, challenging operators, and delivering a short‑term revenue boost that policymakers will be watching closely.

NFL team transactions report for Thursday, December 18, 2025

0

WAIVER SYSTEM TRANSACTIONS
WAIVER REQUESTS (All are NO RECALL)
DENVER
Throckmorton, Calvin G Oregon (4)* PS: VET – Vested Veteran
PITTSBURGH
Martin, Brodric DT Western Kentucky (2)* PS: STND

CLAIMING DEADLINE: 4:00 p.m., N.Y. Time, Friday, 12/19/25
TERMINATIONS VIA WAIVER SYSTEM
ARIZONA
Jones, Justin DT North Carolina State (7)*
MIAMI
Judon, Matt LB Grand Valley State (9)*
TAMPA BAY
Merriweather, Kaevon DB Iowa (2)*
*Indicates player’s accrued seasons at end of 2024 season.

ACTIVE LIST ADDITIONS
ACTIVATIONS
LOS ANGELES RAMS
Hampton, Nick LB Appalachian State – From Practice Squad (Standard Elevation)
SEATTLE
Akers, Cam RB Florida State – From Practice Squad (Standard Elevation)
Kight, Amari T Central Florida – From Practice Squad (Standard Elevation)
Young, Dareke WR Lenoir-Rhyne – From Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return

FREE AGENT SIGNINGS
NEW ORLEANS
Austin, Kevin WR Notre Dame – From New Orleans Practice Squad
NEW YORK JETS
Page, Payton DT Clemson – From New York Jets Practice Squad
PITTSBURGH
Moon, Jeremiah LB Florida – From Carolina Practice Squad

RESERVE LIST ADDITIONS
DETROIT

Manu, Giovanni T British Columbia, Can. (12/17) – Status Changed to Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return
(Also see OTHER TRANSACTIONS/COMMENTS)
INDIANAPOLIS
Richardson, Anthony QB Florida – Status Changed to Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return
(Also see OTHER TRANSACTIONS/COMMENTS)
Scott, Daniel DB California – Status Changed to Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return
(Also see OTHER TRANSACTIONS/COMMENTS)
NEW ORLEANS
Neal, Devin RB Kansas – Reserve/Injured
NEW YORK JETS
Adams, Tony DB Illinois – Reserve/Injured

PRACTICE SQUAD TRANSACTIONS
ADDITIONS
CAROLINA
Muhammad, Jamil LB Southern California
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
McLachlan, Tanner TE Arizona
NEW ORLEANS
Cooks, Elijah WR San Jose State – Exception
Miller-Hines, Nyheim RB North Carolina State – Veteran
NEW YORK GIANTS
Conner, Tanner TE Idaho State – Exception
NEW YORK JETS
Hooker, Hendon QB Tennessee – Exception
SEATTLE
Bell, D’Anthony DB West Florida – Veteran

CONTRACTS TERMINATED BY CLUB
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Kaltenberger, Josh C Maryland
NEW ORLEANS
York, Cade K Louisiana State
SEATTLE
Hall, Tyler DB Wyoming

CONTRACTS TERMINATED BY PLAYER
CAROLINA
Moon, Jeremiah LB Florida
(Also see ACTIVE LIST ADDITIONS)
NEW ORLEANS
Austin, Kevin WR Notre Dame
(Also see ACTIVE LIST ADDITIONS)
NEW YORK JETS
Page, Payton DT Clemson
(Also see ACTIVE LIST ADDITIONS)

OTHER TRANSACTIONS/COMMENTS
RETURNED TO PRACTICE
DETROIT
Manu, Giovanni T British Columbia, Can. (12/17) – Remains on Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return
INDIANAPOLIS
Richardson, Anthony QB Florida – Remains on Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return
Scott, Daniel DB California – Remains on Reserve/Injured; Designated for Return

TRYOUTS
NEW ORLEANS
Blackshear, Raheem RB Virginia Tech (12/17)
Burgess, Cole WR Cortland State (12/17)
Cooks, Elijah WR San Jose State (12/17)
Dowell, Colton WR Tennessee-Martin (12/17)
McCormick, Sincere RB Texas-San Antonio (12/17)
Miller-Hines, Nyheim RB North Carolina State (12/17)
Wells, Antwane WR Mississippi (12/17)
Williams, Avery RB Boise State (12/17)
NEW YORK JETS
Hooker, Hendon QB Tennessee

VISITS
ARIZONA
Adomitis, Cal LS Pittsburgh
CAROLINA
Muhammad, Jamil LB Southern California

CFB First-Round Playoff Preview: Tulane Green Wave (11-2) vs. Mississippi Rebels (11-1)

Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET (2:30 PM CT)
(Note: Some scheduling references list context around December 19-20; confirmed playoff slot on Dec 20)
Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
Broadcast: TNT/truTV (streaming on Max)
Capacity: ~64,000 (expected raucous sellout for Ole Miss’ first home playoff game)

The expanded College Football Playoff opens with an intriguing rematch as No. 11 seed Tulane Green Wave (11-2) travels to face No. 6 seed Ole Miss Rebels (11-1) in a first-round on-campus clash. The teams met earlier in the 2025 regular season (Week 4), with Ole Miss dominating 45-10 in Oxford. Tulane, the American Athletic Conference champion, earned an at-large bid with a late surge, while Ole Miss secured a top seed and first-round home game despite one loss. The winner advances to a quarterfinal against a higher seed. This SEC vs. AAC matchup highlights playoff depth, with Ole Miss seeking redemption for any doubters and Tulane aiming for a historic upset.

Team Records

  • Tulane Green Wave: 11-2 overall (7-1 AAC, AAC champions)
  • Ole Miss Rebels: 11-1 overall (7-1 SEC)

Tulane capped a strong season with conference title; Ole Miss finished high in SEC standings for playoff seeding.

Recent Team Forms

  • Tulane (Strong finish; 8-2 last 10): Since the early blowout loss to Ole Miss, the Green Wave won 10 of 11, including the AAC championship. Defense tightened dramatically (top-20 nationally post-September), and offense balanced with efficient passing/rushing. Peaking with momentum and improved since first meeting.
  • Ole Miss (Dominant; 9-1 last 10): Lane Kiffin’s squad rolled through SEC play, with elite offense (top-5 scoring) and opportunistic defense. Only loss to a top contender; home form unbeatable, outscoring foes significantly at Vaught-Hemingway.

Conference vs. Conference (AAC vs. SEC in Playoff Context)

SEC dominated non-conference and overall strength in 2025, placing multiple high seeds. AAC solid with Tulane’s title run, but power gap evident—SEC physicality often overwhelms G5 in postseason. Rematches favor the higher-power team, especially at home.

Weather Forecast

Oxford, MS (December 20, 2025 afternoon kickoff): Partly cloudy, temperatures 55-60°F at start dropping to mid-40s by end. Light winds (5-15 mph S), low precipitation chance (<15%). Mild for December—favorable for offenses, minimal impact on passing game.

Injury Report (as of latest December 18-19 reports)

  • Tulane Green Wave:
    • Out: Limited major absences reported; key players available post-conference title.
    • Probable: RB Makhi Hughes (minor knocks, expected full-go).
    • Impact: Mostly healthy; depth tested on road.
  • Ole Miss Rebels:
    • Out: Minor depth pieces; no major opt-outs noted for playoff push.
    • Probable/Available: QB (e.g., Chambliss or starter), DE/LB edges full strength.
    • Impact: Near full health; talent edge amplified at home.

Both teams motivated for playoff—no significant opt-outs.

Key Player Matchups

  • Tulane QB vs. Ole Miss Secondary: Green Wave passer efficient late-season; faces top-10 Ole Miss pass defense—avoid turnovers key after early-season struggles.
  • Ole Miss RB Henry Parrish Jr./Ulysses Bentley IV vs. Tulane Front Seven: Rebels’ rush attack explosive at home; Tulane run D much improved since 45-10 loss (allowed heavy yards early).
  • Tulane WRs/Mario Williams vs. Ole Miss CBs: Speed threats if protection holds; Rebels secondary physical, forces mistakes.
  • Ole Miss WR Tre Harris/Antwane Wells Jr. vs. Tulane DBs: Elite targets exploit if line protects; Tulane secondary opportunistic but overmatched in first meeting.
  • Turnover/Physicality Battle: Ole Miss forced multiples in regular-season win; Tulane better protecting ball lately.

Series History

  • All-time: Ole Miss leads heavily (historical dominance in rare meetings).
  • 2025 Regular Season: Ole Miss won 45-10 (Sept. early; Rebels controlled all phases).
  • Playoff/Postseason: First meeting; rematch adds revenge/upset narrative for Tulane.

Betting Trends & Historical Betting Results

  • Trends: Public on Ole Miss ML (power conference favorite); sharps split on spread (Tulane improved since blowout). Overs hit in Ole Miss home games; first meeting went Over easily.
  • Regular Season Meeting: Ole Miss covered large spread; Over cashed.
  • Historical ATS: Ole Miss strong as big home favorite; G5 underdogs like Tulane cover ~40% vs. P4 in playoffs/bowls but rarely win outright.
  • Playoff analogs: Higher seeds hosting win ~80% first round; rematches often closer if underdog improved.

Game Odds

Tulane Green Wave        56.5

Mississippi Rebels          – 17.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, December 19, 2025

CFB First-Round Playoff Preview: Miami (FL) Hurricanes (10-2) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (11-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET (6:30 PM CT)
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Broadcast: ESPN (streaming on ESPN app)
Capacity: 65,000+ (expected strong turnout with Florida proximity for Miami fans; neutral-site bowl)

The Miami Hurricanes (10-2) face the Texas A&M Aggies (11-1) in the 2025 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, a rewarding postseason matchup between an ACC contender and an SEC powerhouse. Miami earned the bid after a strong regular season with losses only to top-tier foes, while Texas A&M capped an impressive 11-win campaign (their best since 2020) but missed the CFP due to tiebreakers. This neutral-site clash in Tampa features explosive offenses, stout defenses, and intriguing storylines in a prime-time ESPN slot.

Team Records

  • Miami Hurricanes: 10-2 overall (7-1 ACC, finished 2nd in conference)
  • Texas A&M Aggies: 11-1 overall (8-0 SEC, undefeated in conference but missed playoff via head-to-head/tiebreakers)

Miami rode a high-powered offense to double-digit wins; A&M dominated with elite defense and balanced attack under Mike Elko.

Recent Team Forms

  • Miami (8-2 in last 10; explosive offense): Mario Cristobal’s squad peaked late, winning six straight before a competitive loss to a playoff team. QB (e.g., successor to Cam Ward or transfer) led a top-10 passing attack; defense improved dramatically in run stoppage. Strong road/neutral form.
  • Texas A&M (9-1 in last 10; dominant defense): The Aggies rolled through SEC play with only one narrow loss (to a top-5 team). Defense ranks top-5 nationally (points allowed, yards); offense efficient with strong rushing and play-action passing. Peaking with momentum.

Conference vs. Conference (ACC vs. SEC)

SEC edged ACC in 2025 inter-conference play (~.680 win percentage vs. ranked foes). SEC placed multiple CFP teams; ACC had solid depth but fewer elites. Bowls historically favor SEC physicality, but Miami’s speed neutralizes in Florida heat/mild conditions.

Weather Forecast

Tampa, FL (December 19, 2025 evening kickoff): Mostly clear, temperatures 68-72°F at kickoff dropping to low 60s by fourth quarter. Light winds (5-10 mph ESE), negligible precipitation chance (<5%). Ideal Florida winter conditions—comfortable for players/fans, no major impacts on passing or kicking.

Injury Report (as of final December 18 reports)

  • Miami Hurricanes:
    • Out: WR Xavier Restrepo (season-ending lower body), LB Francisco Mauigoa (opt-out for draft), DB Mishael Powell.
    • Questionable: RB Damien Martinez (ankle, expected to play limited).
    • Impact: Offense misses top target Restrepo; defense solid otherwise.
  • Texas A&M Aggies:
    • Out: EDGE Nic Scourton (opt-out/NFL draft prep), OL Trey Zuhn III (upper body).
    • Probable: QB Marcel Reed/Conner Weigman (full-go after minor knocks), DE Shemar Turner.
    • Impact: Pass rush slightly thinned; line protects well with depth.

Both teams mostly healthy entering bowl prep.

Key Player Matchups

  • Miami QB vs. A&M Secondary: Hurricanes’ signal-caller faces top-10 pass defense; must avoid mistakes against aggressive blitzes.
  • A&M RB Le’Veon Moss vs. Miami Front Seven: Moss (1,500+ yards) tests improved Miami run D; physicality key.
  • Miami WRs (Samuel Brown Jr., etc.) vs. A&M CBs: Speed threats exploit if Restrepo absent; A&M corners physical but vulnerable deep.
  • A&M EDGE (post-Scourton) vs. Miami OL: Protecting QB crucial; Hurricanes line strong in pass pro.
  • Special Teams Edge: Both reliable; field position battle in low-wind conditions.

Series History

  • All-time: Texas A&M leads 3-1 (last meeting 2008 Chick-fil-A Bowl, A&M win).
  • Recent: Rare matchups; no meetings since early 2000s. Neutral-site history favors Aggies slightly.
  • Bowl/Postseason: A&M 1-0 in prior bowl vs. Miami.

Betting Trends & Historical Betting Results

  • Trends: Public heavy on A&M ML (one-loss prestige); sharps on Miami + points (speed in home state). Overs hit in recent Miami bowls; A&M Unders common (stout D).
  • Historical ATS: A&M 8-4 ATS last 12 as favorite; Miami 7-3 ATS as underdog under Cristobal.
  • Prior Bowls: Gasparilla often high-scoring; SEC teams 6-2 SU last 8 vs. ACC in Florida bowls.
  • Analogs: One-loss SEC vs. 10-win ACC frequently covers spread.

Game Odds

Miami (FL) Hurricanes                   48.5

Texas A&M Aggies                           – 3.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, December 18, 2025

CFB First-Round Playoff Preview: Alabama Crimson Tide (10-3) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (10-3)

Kickoff: 8:00 PM ET (7:00 PM CT)
Venue: Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Broadcast: ABC/ESPN (with streaming on ESPN app)
Capacity: ~80,000 (expected sellout with playoff atmosphere)

The College Football Playoff kicks off with an SEC rematch as No. 9 Alabama (10-3) travels to face No. 8 Oklahoma (10-2) in the first round. Oklahoma upset Alabama 23-21 in the regular season on Nov. 15, using three turnovers to secure the win in Tuscaloosa. Now, the Sooners host with home-field advantage in cold conditions, while the Crimson Tide seek revenge and a quarterfinal berth. This on-campus playoff game features two proud programs clashing for the second time in 2025.

Team Records

  • Alabama Crimson Tide: 10-3 overall (7-1 SEC, ranked No. 9/11 in CFP)
  • Oklahoma Sooners: 10-2 overall (6-2 SEC, ranked No. 8 in CFP)

Both teams earned at-large bids after strong SEC campaigns. Alabama finished strong despite losses, while Oklahoma’s win over the Tide boosted their resume.

Recent Team Forms

  • Alabama (7-3 in last 10; resilient but turnover-prone earlier): Under Kalen DeBoer, the Tide rebounded from mid-season dips with key wins (e.g., over LSU 20-9). They protect the ball better lately but struggled in the regular-season loss to OU (3 turnovers). Defense ranks top-10 nationally; offense relies on balanced attack.
  • Oklahoma (8-2 in last 10; peaking at right time): Brent Venables’ squad surged late, including the upset at Alabama. QB John Mateer (or similar) has elevated play, with strong rushing and opportunistic defense (forced turnovers key). Home form elite; defense improved dramatically in SEC play.

Conference vs. Conference (SEC intra-conference)

The SEC dominated 2025 with multiple playoff teams (record representation). This all-SEC matchup highlights the conference’s depth—both teams navigated brutal schedules. SEC went ~.624 overall, strongest Power conference. Rematch favors home team in playoff history.

Weather Forecast

Norman, OK (December 19, 2025): Partly cloudy to mostly clear, high around 58-64°F kickoff dropping to low 40s by end. Winds NNW 10-20 mph (gusts higher), low precipitation chance (~10-20%). Chilly for players/fans but playable—no major impacts expected, though wind could affect passing/kicking.

Injury Report (as of December 18 availability reports)

  • Alabama Crimson Tide:
    • Out: EDGE LT Overton, DB Kameron Howard, LB Jah-Marien Latham, DB Dre Kirkpatrick Jr.
    • Probable/Available: RB Jam Miller (key return), TE Josh Cuevas, DB Keon Sabb.
    • Impact: Defense misses pass-rush depth; offense bolstered by Miller’s return.
  • Oklahoma Sooners:
    • Out: DB Gentry Williams, DB Kendel Dolby, DB Jeremiah Newcombe, OL Troy Everett.
    • Available/Returning: DE R Mason Thomas, RB Javontae Barnes.
    • Impact: Secondary thinned but Thomas boosts edge rush; Barnes adds run depth.

Both teams relatively healthy entering postseason.

Key Player Matchups

  • Alabama QB Ty Simpson vs. OU Secondary: Simpson efficient in recent wins; faces depleted but opportunistic OU DBs (forced picks key in first meeting).
  • OU RB Jovantae Barnes/Jaydn Ott vs. Alabama Front Seven: Sooners’ rush attack strong at home; Tide defense stout against run but misses Overton.
  • Alabama WR Ryan Williams vs. OU CBs: Explosive freshman threats downfield; OU secondary injuries could expose mismatches.
  • OU DE R Mason Thomas (returning) vs. Alabama OL: Thomas disrupts if full-go; Tide line protects well but tested by wind/home crowd.
  • Turnover Battle: OU won +3 in regular season; Alabama improved ball security late.

Series History

  • All-time: Oklahoma leads 5-2-1 (or variations; recent OU dominance).
  • Recent: OU won 23-21 on Nov. 15, 2025 (regular season); previous playoff meetings favor Alabama (e.g., 2018 Orange Bowl blowout).
  • Playoff/Postseason: Mixed; this rematch adds intrigue—OU never lost to Bama at home in series.

Betting Trends & Historical Results

  • Trends: Low totals hit in recent SEC playoff games; home teams strong in first round. Public leaning OU ML (rematch revenge narrative flipped); sharps on Under (windy, defensive focus).
  • Regular Season Meeting: OU covered as underdog; Under hit easily.
  • Historical ATS: Alabama strong as road dog historically; OU covers at home vs. ranked foes.
  • Playoff analogs: Rematches often low-scoring, close.

Game Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide                  40.5

Oklahoma Sooners                         – 1.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, December 18, 2025

Gasparilla Bowl Preview: Memphis Tigers (8-4) vs. North Carolina State Gamecocks (7-5)

The Memphis Tigers (8-4) and NC State Wolfpack (7-5) cap their seasons in the Gasparilla Bowl, a Tampa tradition since 2016 pitting AAC finishers against ACC bubble teams in a first-time clash blending Memphis’ high-octane passing with NC State’s gritty run game. Memphis, seeking a third straight bowl win under Ryan Silverfield, enters on a three-game skid but boasts the league’s top-scoring offense (34.5 PPG). NC State, aiming to rebound from a midseason slump under Dave Doeren, rides a two-game win streak highlighted by a rivalry rout of UNC, but must navigate injuries in the secondary. This neutral-site opener favors the Wolfpack’s experience (11th bowl in 12 years), though the Tigers’ tempo (72 plays/game) could force a shootout.

Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida (capacity 65,890; opened 1998, renovated 2016). The pirate-themed venue, home to the Buccaneers and previous Gasparilla hosts (e.g., UCF- Georgia Tech 2016), expects a pro-NC State crowd (Florida drives) but Memphis’ fanbase adds volume.

Broadcast: ESPN (national); streaming on ESPN+ and Fubo.

Weather Forecast

Tampa’s late-December forecast delivers classic Florida bowl vibes: Partly cloudy skies at kickoff with temperatures hovering at 68°F, dipping to 62°F by the fourth quarter. Winds SSE at 8-10 mph (gusts to 15 mph), humidity 75%, and a 20% chance of isolated showers early—negligible on the grass field, but monitor for brief delays. Dress light; no extreme heat or cold risks.

Team Records and Standings

Memphis’ AAC finish (4-4) trails NC State’s ACC mark (4-4), but Tigers edge in scoring (34.5 PPG vs. 28.8). Wolfpack lead defense (24.1 PPG allowed vs. 22.5).

TeamOverall RecordConference RecordAAC/ACC RankATS RecordO/U Record
Memphis Tigers8-44-46th8-46-6
NC State Wolfpack7-54-47th6-67-5

Recent Team Forms

Memphis falters late with turnover woes (3 in each loss); NC State surges post-bye, holding foes under 20 in 3/5 wins. Tigers average 420 total yds in losses; Wolfpack 421 in wins.

Memphis Tigers Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultKey Stats (Memphis)
Nov. 27vs. NavyL 17-28269 total yds, 3 TOs, 33% 3rd down
Nov. 15@ ECUL 27-31312 total yds, 2 INTs, 41% conv.
Nov. 7vs. TulaneL 32-38389 total yds, 3 sacks, 50% red zone
Oct. 31@ RiceW 38-14456 total yds, 1 TO, 67% 3rd down
Oct. 25vs. USFW 34-31478 total yds, 2 INTs, 55% conv.
  • Form Summary: 2-3. Averaging 30.2 PPG scored/30.4 allowed. Skid features QB Lewis’ inefficiency (58% comp. last 3); rushing holds (185 YPG).

NC State Wolfpack Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultKey Stats (NC State)
Nov. 29vs. UNCW 42-19416 total yds, 2 TOs, 60% 3rd down
Nov. 22@ WakeW 34-24406 total yds, 1 INT, 55% conv.
Nov. 15vs. UVAW 35-31389 total yds, 2 sacks, 50% red zone
Nov. 8@ GTW 35-31421 total yds, 3 TOs forced, 67%
Nov. 1vs. PittL 34-53342 total yds, 3 INTs, 44% conv.
  • Form Summary: 4-1. Averaging 36.0 PPG scored/27.6 allowed. Streak showcases Bailey’s passing (318 yds vs. ECU); run D solid (137 YPG allowed).

Conference vs. Conference: AAC vs. ACC

ACC dominates all-time (12-8 SU, 60%; 11-9 ATS, 55%) vs. AAC in bowls since 2014, averaging 31.4-26.2 scores. Overs hit 55% (avg. total 57.6 points). AAC underdogs 3-16 SU/ATS (+7 or less); ACC favorites 28-15 ATS in bowls. Recent: ACC 4-1 SU last 5 crossovers.

Injury Report

Secondaries strained: Memphis’ DBs thin post-Navy; NC State’s CBs questionable from UNC wear. No major opt-outs.

Memphis Tigers Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury/Notes
B. White (LB)QuestionableUndisclosed (Nov. 27)
C. Logan Jr. (CB)QuestionableUndisclosed (Nov. 27)
J. Johnson (CB)OutUndisclosed (Nov. 7, season)

NC State Wolfpack Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury/Notes
A. Johanningsmeier (DL)QuestionableUndisclosed (Dec. 6)
C. Webb (CB)QuestionableUndisclosed
J. Thomas (CB)QuestionableUndisclosed (Dec. 6)

Key Player Matchups

Tampa turf spotlights stars: Memphis’ air raid vs. NC State’s length.

  1. Brendon Lewis (MEM QB, 2,415 pass yds, 18 TD) vs. NC State Secondary (C. Webb/J. Thomas, Q): Lewis’ arm (58% comp.) tests banged-up DBs (139.9 pass yds allowed/gm). Edge: Lewis—280+ yds projected.
  2. Hollywood Smothers (NCST RB, 964 rush yds, 8 TD) vs. Memphis Front: Smothers’ vision (5.2 YPC) exploits Tigers’ 3.8 YPC allowed. Edge: Smothers—over 100 rush yds.
  3. Cortez Braham Jr. (MEM WR, 912 rec yds, 8 TD) vs. NC State CBs: Braham’s routes (15.2 YPC) vs. questionable coverage. Edge: Braham—over 80 rec yds.
  4. CJ Bailey (NCST QB, 2,895 pass yds, 16 TD) vs. Memphis Secondary: Bailey’s efficiency (67.2% comp.) vs. Tigers’ 12 INTs. Edge: Bailey—290+ yds projected.

Bonus Watch: Wesley Grimes (NCST WR, 121 yds high) targets Memphis gaps.

Series History

First-ever meeting—no prior clashes (Memphis’ AAC era vs. NC State’s ACC tenure). Neutral-site debut; avg. G5 vs. P5 bowl score 28.4-31.2 (ACC edge). Trends: AAC 3-7 SU vs. ACC in bowls.

Head-to-Head Meetings: N/A (0-0).

  • Trend: N/A. Bowls: Memphis 2-1 SU/ATS (66.7%); NC State 5-6 (45.5%).

Betting Trends

  • Memphis: 8-4 ATS (66.7%); 4-2 ATS as dog (66.7%). 6-6 O/U; overs in 4/6 road/neutral. 2-1 ATS in bowls.
  • NC State: 6-6 ATS (50%); 3-3 ATS as fave (50%). 7-5 O/U; overs in 5/7 ACC games. 5-6 ATS in bowls.
  • Head-to-Head: N/A (first meeting).
  • Public/Sharp: 65% bets on NC State ML (62% handle); sharps on Memphis +5.5 (58% handle). Bowl overs hit 55% for ACC teams.

Historical Betting Results

Inaugural matchup, no direct history. AAC vs. ACC bowls: ACC 12-8 ATS (60%), avg. total 57.6 (over 55%). Memphis 2-1 ATS in bowls (66.7%); NC State 5-6 (45.5%). Last 10 neutral AAC vs. P5: 4-6 O/U (40% over).

Game Odds

Memphis Tigers                                               56.5

North Carolina State Gamecocks              – 3.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, December 18, 2025

Myrtle Beach Bowl Preview: Kennesaw State Owls (10-3) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (9-4)

The Kennesaw State Owls (10-3) and Western Michigan Broncos (9-4) cap their breakthrough seasons in the sixth edition of the Myrtle Beach Bowl, a coastal showcase pitting CUSA champions against MAC title holders in a first-time matchup blending explosive offenses and opportunistic defenses. Kennesaw State, under first-year coach Jerry Mack, completed a stunning FBS turnaround with a 19-15 CUSA Championship comeback over Jacksonville State, marking their first conference crown and bowl berth. Western Michigan, led by Lance Taylor in year three, grinded out a MAC Championship thriller over Miami (OH) to secure their first league title since 2014, but enter as slight favorites amid a balanced attack. This neutral-site debut favors WMU’s experience (11th bowl since 2014), though Kennesaw’s youth (second FBS-eligible year) and up-tempo pace (68 plays/game) could spark fireworks.

Kickoff is set for 11:00 a.m. ET from Brooks Stadium in Conway, South Carolina (capacity 21,000; opened 2001, renovated 2014). The oceanfront venue, home to Coastal Carolina, expects a split crowd with WMU’s Midwest faithful traveling strong, but Kennesaw’s Georgia proximity tips the energy.

Broadcast: ESPN (national); streaming on ESPN+ and Fubo.

Weather Forecast

Conway’s mid-December forecast offers mild, bowl-friendly conditions: Mostly cloudy skies at kickoff with temperatures around 55°F, warming slightly to 58°F by halftime before dipping to 52°F late. Winds SSE at 12 mph (gusts to 18 mph), humidity 82%, and a 37% chance of scattered showers (0.1 inches total)—minimal impact on the grass field, but watch for slight slipperiness on deep balls. No delays anticipated; dress in layers for coastal chill.

Team Records and Standings

Kennesaw State’s CUSA dominance (7-1) outpaces WMU’s MAC mark (7-1), but Broncos edge in total defense (18.2 PPG allowed vs. 24.3). Owls lead scoring (28.3 PPG vs. 23.6).

TeamOverall RecordConference RecordCUSA/MAC RankATS RecordO/U Record
Kennesaw State Owls10-37-11st9-46-7
Western Michigan Broncos9-47-11st9-3-17-6

Recent Team Forms

Kennesaw surges with championship poise (held Jax State to 15 points); WMU closes gritty but leaky in extras (2 OT wins last 5). Owls average 32.4 PPG in wins; Broncos 21.8 in losses.

Kennesaw State Owls Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultKey Stats (Kennesaw)
Dec. 5vs. JSUW 19-15285 total yds, 1 TO, 41% 3rd down
Nov. 29vs. LibertyW 48-42412 total yds, 3 sacks, 50% red zone
Nov. 8@ NMSUW 24-21389 total yds, 1 TO, 7/12 3rd down
Oct. 28vs. UTEPW 33-20478 total yds, 2 INTs, 55% conv.
Oct. 21@ FIUW 45-26456 total yds, 2 sacks, 67% red zone
  • Form Summary: 5-0. Averaging 33.8 PPG scored/24.8 allowed. CUSA title run features Odom’s dual-threat (308 pass yds vs. Ark St.); defense clamps late (under 20 pts in 3/5).

Western Michigan Broncos Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultKey Stats (WMU)
Dec. 6vs. Miami OHW 23-13312 total yds, 2 TOs, 44% conv.
Nov. 29vs. CMUW 24-21389 total yds, 1 INT, 60% 3rd down
Nov. 22vs. EMUW 42-0478 total yds, 4 TDs pass, 75% red
Nov. 15vs. Ball StW 42-0421 total yds, 3 TOs forced, 67% conv
Nov. 8@ OhioL 31-28342 total yds, 2 sacks, 55% 3rd down
  • Form Summary: 4-1. Averaging 26.4 PPG scored/12.6 allowed. MAC title seals streak; Lowry’s arm (201 yds vs. Toledo) shines, but run game inconsistent (112 yds avg.).

Conference vs. Conference: CUSA vs. MAC

MAC holds a narrow all-time edge over CUSA (44-60 overall, 42.3% for CUSA), averaging 26.0-29.8 scores. In bowls, MAC leads 12-8 (60%) since 2014, with overs in 55% (avg. total 55.2 points). CUSA’s transition teams (like Kennesaw) struggle initially (3-7 in FBS bowls), but MAC’s parity favors underdogs (5-4 ATS last 9 cross-conf).

Injury Report

Secondary concerns dominate: Kennesaw’s CB depth tested; WMU’s DBs questionable amid MAC title wear. No major opt-outs reported pre-bowl.

Kennesaw State Owls Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury/Notes
J. Washington Jr. (CB)ProbableUndisclosed (expected to play)
D. Franklin (LB)QuestionableUndisclosed (uncertain vs. WMU)

Western Michigan Broncos Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury/Notes
A. Johanningsmeier (DL)QuestionableUndisclosed (limited Dec. 6)
C. Webb (CB)QuestionableUndisclosed (uncertain)
J. Thomas (CB)QuestionableUndisclosed (limited Dec. 6)

Key Player Matchups

Dome-like indoor? No, outdoor stadium—matchups favor speed: Kennesaw’s pass vs. WMU’s secondary.

  1. Amari Odom (KENN QB, 2,415 pass yds, 18 TD) vs. WMU Secondary (C. Webb/J. Thomas, Q): Odom’s mobility (101 rush yds vs. Ark St.) tests banged-up DBs allowing 139.9 pass yds/gm. Edge: Odom—projected 250+ yds, over 225.5 prop.
  2. Jalen Buckley (WMU RB, 964 rush yds, 8 TD) vs. Kennesaw Front: Buckley’s vision (5.2 YPC) exploits Owls’ run D (3.8 YPC allowed); wrist fracture lingers but he played through. Edge: Buckley—over 90 rush yds.
  3. Gabriel Benyard (KENN WR, 912 rec yds, 8 TD) vs. WMU CBs: Benyard’s routes (15.2 YPC) vs. questionable coverage; deep threat feasts. Edge: Benyard—over 75 rec yds.
  4. Broc Lowry (WMU QB, 2,895 pass yds, 16 TD) vs. Kennesaw Secondary: Lowry’s efficiency (67.2% comp.) vs. Owls’ 12 INTs; low TOs key. Edge: Even—Lowry 280+ yds projected.

Bonus Watch: Christian Moss (KENN WR, 68 yds high) targets WMU’s gaps.

Series History

First-ever meeting—no prior clashes (Kennesaw’s FBS youth vs. WMU’s MAC tenure). Neutral-site debut adds intrigue; avg. G5 vs. G5 bowl score 27.4-24.1. Trends: CUSA 3-7 vs. MAC in bowls (30%).Head-to-Head Meetings: N/A (0-0).

  • Trend: N/A. Bowls: Kennesaw 0-0 (FBS debut); WMU 5-6 SU/ATS (45.5%).

Betting Trends

  • Kennesaw State: 9-4 ATS (69.2%); 5-2 ATS as dog (71.4%). 6-7 O/U; overs in 4/6 road/neutral. 0-0 ATS in FBS bowls.
  • Western Michigan: 9-3-1 ATS (75%); 6-2 ATS as fave (75%). 7-6 O/U; overs in 5/7 MAC games. 5-6 ATS in bowls.
  • Head-to-Head: N/A (first meeting).
  • Public/Sharp: 62% bets on WMU ML (65% handle); sharps on Kennesaw +3.5 (58% handle). Bowl overs hit 55% for MAC teams.

Historical Betting Results

Inaugural matchup, no direct history. CUSA vs. MAC bowls: MAC 12-8 ATS (60%), avg. total 55.2 (over 55%). Kennesaw N/A (FBS debut); WMU 5-6 ATS in bowls (45.5%). Last 10 neutral G5 vs. G5: 6-4 O/U (60% over).

Game Odds

Kennesaw State Owls                    47.5

Western Michigan Broncos          – 3

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, December 18, 2025

Boxing Match Preview: Jair Valtierra (18-3-0, 9 KOs) vs. Mykquan Williams (22-1-2, 11 KOs)

0

Ringwalk: 9:00-10:00 PM ET / 6:00-7:00 PM PT; card starts earlier at 8:00 PM ET)
Venue: War Memorial Auditorium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA
Broadcast: ProBox TV (live stream, part of season finale card headlined by Ramon Cardenas vs. Erik Robles)
Weight Class: Junior Welterweight (140 lbs, 10 rounds)

Connecticut’s “Marvelous” Mykquan Williams faces Mexico’s Jair “Kaiser” Valtierra in a compelling prospect-vs-emerging-contender matchup on ProBox TV’s year-end card. Williams, a highly-regarded technician returning to action, aims to rebuild momentum after mixed results, while the taller, younger Valtierra looks to score a career-defining upset against a name opponent. This bout adds depth to a stacked Florida card featuring international talent.

Fighter Records

Mykquan Williams (USA): 22-1-2 (11 KOs, ~44% KO rate)

Jair Valtierra (Mexico): 18-3-0 (9 KOs estimated, solid power in wins)

Recent Form

Mykquan Williams (Mixed but active; 3-1-1 in last 5): The 27-year-old from East Hartford has shown flashes of brilliance with sharp boxing and counterpunching. Recent highlights include decisions and stoppages against solid opposition (e.g., TKO over Luis Feliciano in 2024, wins over Lavisas Williams and Willmank Canonico Brito). However, draws and a loss in competitive bouts have tempered his undefeated hype. Williams excels in mid-range exchanges and defense but can be drawn into wars.

Jair Valtierra (Strong recent; 4-1 in last 5 with 1 NC): At just 24, Valtierra has matured quickly, rebounding from early setbacks with a unanimous decision win over Jonathan Navarro (Dec. 2024). Prior losses came against top prospects like Lindolfo Delgado (2023) and Raymond Muratalla (2022), where he showed durability but was outboxed. He’s aggressive, works the body well, and has improved ring generalship.

Injury Report / Status

No significant injuries reported for either fighter. Both expected to be at full strength after making weight (details pending final weigh-in, but no issues anticipated). Williams has a history of activity without major layoffs recently; Valtierra recovered fully from past bouts.

Key Fighter Matchups and Styles

Physical Advantages:

Height/Reach: Valtierra (5’9″, reach ~70-72″) holds a clear edge over Williams (5’6″, 69″ reach), allowing him to jab from distance and control range.

Power vs. Chin: Both have respectable power—Williams with crisp combinations, Valtierra with body shots. Williams has never been stopped; Valtierra durable in losses (went distance against elite prospects).

Style Clash: Williams is a slick, orthodox boxer with excellent footwork, head movement, and counter ability—often compared to a mini-Floyd Mayweather in style. He prefers to pot-shot and frustrate. Valtierra, also orthodox, is a forward-pressure fighter who cuts off the ring, digs to the body, and throws volume. Expect Williams to box and move early, with Valtierra trying to trap him on the ropes for exchanges.

Experience Edge: Williams has faced slightly higher competition and more rounds (139 career rounds). Valtierra’s youth brings hunger but fewer big-stage tests.

X-Factor: Altitude/acclimation neutral in Florida; Williams’ defensive mastery vs. Valtierra’s reach and activity could dictate pace.

This is their first meeting—no prior fight history.

FIGHT ODDS

Jair Valtierra                      + 500

Mykquan Williams         – 750

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Boxing Match Preview: Elias Espadas (23-7-1, 16 KOs) vs. Herbert Conceicao Sousa (9-0-0, 5 KOs)

0

Ringwalk: Co-main expected around 9:00-10:00 PM ET / 6:00-7:00 PM PT)
Venue: War Memorial Auditorium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA
Broadcast: ProBox TV (streamed live on YouTube, card starts at 6:00 PM ET)
Weight Class: Middleweight (10 rounds, co-main event)

Brazil’s Olympic gold medalist Hebert Conceicao Sousa makes his middleweight debut against Mexican veteran Elias Espadas in a classic prospect-vs-journeyman matchup on ProBox TV’s season finale card. Sousa, dropping down from super middleweight, looks to impress and position himself for bigger opportunities in a middleweight division ripe for new contenders. Espadas, a durable gatekeeper with experience against top prospects, aims to pull off a massive upset. This bout replaced a previously announced matchup against Paul Kroll due to a late change.

Fighter Records

Hebert Conceicao Sousa (Brazil): 9-0-0 (5 KOs, 55.6% KO rate)

Elias Espadas (Mexico): 23-7-1 (16 KOs, ~50% KO rate in wins)

Recent Form

Hebert Conceicao Sousa (On a 9-fight win streak): The 27-year-old 2020 Tokyo Olympic gold medalist (middleweight) has been flawless in pros since turning in 2022. His most recent win was a unanimous decision over seasoned Brazilian Yamaguchi Falcao (Sept. 2024), showcasing improved boxing skills and ring IQ. Prior highlights include stoppages and decisions over solid opposition like Esquiva Falcao (2023) and Rowdy Legend Montgomery. Sousa has shown power (opponents down multiple times in several bouts) but also patience in going rounds. Dropping to 160 lbs, he weighed in at 160.4 and reports feeling stronger.

Elias Espadas (1-2-1 in last 4 fights): The 35-year-old “Latin Kid” is a battle-tested veteran with over 150 rounds of experience. Recent results include a loss to rising star Callum Walsh (June 2025), a draw with Sadriddin Akhmedov (April 2025), and earlier stoppage loss to Xander Zayas (2022). He’s coming off activity but has struggled against elite prospects, often going deep but falling short. Espadas is durable—stopped only twice in 31 pro fights—and has wins over journeymen, but his form shows vulnerability to higher-level talent.

Injury Report / Status

No reported injuries for either fighter. Both made weight comfortably (Sousa 160.4 lbs, Espadas 160.2 lbs) at Wednesday’s weigh-in, with intense staredowns but no issues. Full health expected; Espadas has a history of toughness, rarely pulling out.

Key Fighter Matchups and Styles

Physical Advantages:

Height/Reach: Sousa (6’1.5″, 76.5″ reach) towers over Espadas (5’10”, 74″ reach), giving him a significant edge in distance control and jab leverage.

Power vs. Chin: Sousa’s amateur pedigree translates to sharp, explosive punches; 5 KOs in 9 pro fights. Espadas has solid power (16 KOs) but elite chin—only stopped by high-volume pressure (e.g., Zayas).

Style Clash: Sousa is an orthodox boxer-puncher with elite amateur fundamentals: strong jab, combination punching, and counter ability. He prefers mid-range but can box or brawl. Espadas, also orthodox, is a volume puncher who pressures and works the body but can be outboxed at range. Expect Sousa to use reach early, picking shots, while Espadas tries to close distance and make it rough inside.

Experience Edge: Espadas has triple the pro bouts and faced names like Zayas, Walsh, and Akhmedov. Sousa, though less experienced pro-wise, dominated amateurs (Olympic gold via comeback KO in final).

X-Factor: Sousa’s drop to middleweight—could enhance speed/power. Espadas’ durability could frustrate if he survives early rounds.

This is their first meeting—no prior fight history.

Betting Trends

Trends from similar matchups: Olympic prospects like Sousa often win convincingly but go over against durable vets (e.g., similar to early Bivol or Charlo bouts).

H2H analogs: Espadas +500 or higher in recent upsets attempts; rarely cashes but occasionally frustrates (e.g., draw with Akhmedov).

FIGHT ODDS

Elias Espadas                                     + 500

Herbert Conceicao Sousa             – 650

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, December 17, 2025

PWHL Game Preview: Boston Fleet (5-0-0-0) vs. Minnesota Frost (2-0-0-2)

Venue: Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul, Minnesota

The Boston Fleet (5-0-0-0) head to Minnesota to face the Frost (2-0-0-2) in a rematch of their December 7 clash. Boston enters undefeated and atop the PWHL standings after a dominant start to the 2025-26 season, while Minnesota looks to rebound from an early-season stumble and capitalize on home ice following the international break (Dec. 8-15).

Team Records and Standings Context

Boston Fleet: 5-0-0-0 (likely formatted as Regulation Wins – OT Wins – OT Losses – Regulation Losses). This translates to a perfect record through five games, with all wins in regulation. Boston leads the league in points and has established itself as the early pacesetter, boasting the best goal differential and defensive record.

Minnesota Frost: 2-0-0-2. The two-time defending Walter Cup champions (from prior seasons) have split their four games, with both losses coming in regulation. They sit mid-pack in the standings, tied or near teams with similar points but seeking consistency.

Recent Team Form

Boston Fleet: On a five-game win streak, Boston has been unstoppable. Their most recent outing (Dec. 17) was a 2-0 shutout road win over the New York Sirens, where goaltender Aerin Frankel stopped all 33 shots faced. Prior to that, they defeated Minnesota 4-1 on Dec. 7 at home, with strong contributions from defenders like Megan Keller (goal + assist) and multi-point games from forwards. Boston’s form features elite goaltending, disciplined defense, and efficient scoring – they’ve outscored opponents significantly while allowing the fewest goals league-wide.

Minnesota Frost: The Frost have not played since their 4-1 road loss to Boston on Dec. 7, due to the international break. Before that defeat, their record showed promise with two regulation wins but vulnerability in regulation losses. Minnesota’s offense, led by stars like Taylor Heise and Kendall Coyne Schofield, has flashed potential, but defensive lapses and goaltending inconsistencies have cost them against top teams.

Boston enters refreshed and rolling; Minnesota will aim to use the home crowd and extra rest to disrupt the Fleet’s rhythm.

Injury Report

No major injuries reported for either team heading into this game as of December 17, 2025. Both rosters appear largely healthy following the international break. Earlier in the season (pre-December), Minnesota dealt with minor issues (e.g., Taylor Heise managing a knee concern), and Boston had concerns around forward Alina Müller from a hit in late 2024, but all key players are expected to be available. Monitor official PWHL updates for any last-minute changes.

Key Player Matchups

Aerin Frankel (BOS G) vs. Minnesota’s Forward Group: Frankel has been the PWHL’s top netminder early on, posting shutouts (including Dec. 17) and dominating high-danger chances. She’ll face Minnesota’s speedsters like Heise, Coyne Schofield, and Grace Zumwinkle, who can generate rush opportunities.

Hilary Knight/Alina Müller (BOS Forwards) vs. Minnesota Defense: Boston’s captain Knight and skilled forward Müller provide veteran leadership and finishing ability. They’ll test Minnesota’s blue line, which has struggled containing structured attacks.

Taylor Heise (MIN F) vs. Boston Defense (led by Megan Keller): Heise, a dynamic scorer and homegrown talent, needs a bounce-back performance at home. Keller’s physicality and positioning could neutralize Minnesota’s top line.

Goaltending Battle: Frankel vs. likely Nicole Hensley or Maddie Rooney for Minnesota. Boston’s edge in net has been a storyline all season.

This game could hinge on special teams and goaltending – Boston excels in both areas so far.

Series History

2025-26 Season: Boston leads 1-0 after the 4-1 victory on Dec. 7 at Agganis Arena (Boston). The Fleet controlled play, outshooting Minnesota and capitalizing on power plays.

All-Time (including prior seasons): Minnesota holds a historical edge (approximately 10-6 in some aggregations), bolstered by their championship pedigree. However, Boston has won recent meaningful matchups and appears to have flipped the script this year.

Betting Trends

Home underdog trend for Minnesota: As champions, they’ve drawn some contrarian action at plus-money, but volume is low overall for PWHL.

GAME ODDS

Boston Fleet                      – 820

Minnesota Frost               5.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, December 18, 2025