Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET

Venue Type: Pitcher‑leaning park with deep alleys and heavy summer air.

WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS

New York Forecast:

Temp: 83°F

Humidity: 64%

Wind: SE 6 mph (blowing toward RF corner)

Precipitation: 10%

Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy

Weather slightly favors left‑handed pull hitters, but Citi Field remains pitcher‑friendly overall.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Atlanta — RHP Maximo Pérez

2026 Season: 7–3, 3.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

Power righty with elite slider

Mets struggle vs. high‑spin breaking balls

Road ERA: 3.71

Key strength: swing‑and‑miss stuff; top‑tier K%

Key vulnerability: occasional walk spikes; early‑inning command variance

New York — RHP Ty Thornton

2026 Season: 4–6, 4.62 ERA, 1.34 WHIP

Sinker/slider profile

Braves crush sinkers (team SLG .487 vs. sinkers)

Home ERA: 4.28

Key strength: induces ground balls

Key vulnerability: left‑handed power (Olson, Harris II)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Atlanta Braves — Last 10 Games: 7–3

Offense averaging 5.2 runs/game

Bullpen elite (2.98 ERA last 10)

Road record: 29–22

Strength: top‑tier power, elite run prevention

Weakness: occasional swing‑and‑miss issues vs. elite sliders

New York Mets — Last 10 Games: 4–6

Offense averaging 4.0 runs/game

Bullpen inconsistent (4.77 ERA last 10)

Home record: 25–28

Strength: contact hitters (McNeil, Nimmo)

Weakness: bottom‑third MLB in SLG, struggles vs. power RHP

INJURY REPORT

Atlanta Braves

OF Ronald Acuña Jr. — Day‑to‑Day (knee soreness)

RP A.J. Minter — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)

SP Spencer Strider — Out for season (elbow)

C Sean Murphy — Active

New York Mets

1B Pete Alonso — Day‑to‑Day (wrist)

SP Kodai Senga — IL (shoulder)

RP Edwin Díaz — 15‑Day IL (lat)

OF Starling Marte — Active but limited

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Maximo Pérez vs. Francisco Lindor

Lindor vs. sliders: .244 AVG, .421 SLG

Pérez’s slider is his best pitch Edge: Pérez

Maximo Pérez vs. Pete Alonso

Alonso vs. high‑velocity RHP: .271 AVG, .540 SLG

If Alonso plays, he’s the Mets’ biggest HR threat Edge: Alonso (if active)

Ty Thornton vs. Matt Olson

Olson vs. sinkers: .309 AVG, .612 SLG

Thornton’s sinker is his primary pitch Edge: Olson

Ty Thornton vs. Austin Riley

Riley crushes sliders (.298 AVG, .559 SLG)

Thornton’s slider is inconsistent Edge: Riley

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: Braves lead 5–2

Last 20 meetings: Atlanta 13–7

At Citi Field (last 3 seasons): Atlanta 17–10

Braves have dominated Mets in games started by power RHP

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta

Braves are 8–2 in their last 10 road games

Over is 9–4 in Atlanta’s last 13 games

Braves are 7–1 in their last 8 games vs. Mets

New York

Mets are 3–8 in Thornton’s last 11 starts

Under is 10–5 in Mets’ last 15 home games

Mets are 2–6 in their last 8 games vs. teams above .500

Head‑to‑Head

Braves have covered RL in 6 of last 8

Over has hit in 7 of last 10

Atlanta has scored 5+ runs in 5 straight games vs. NYM

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Pérez: 2.7 WAR

Thornton: 1.0 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Atlanta: .764

New York: .703

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Atlanta: 3.12

New York: 4.68

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Atlanta: 5.1–5.8 runs

New York: 3.7–4.3 runs

Game Odds

Atlanta Braves                  8.5

New York Mets                 – 106

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET

Venue Type: Hitter‑friendly park; boosts HRs to LF and RF.

WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS

Cincinnati Forecast:

Temp: 86°F

Humidity: 58%

Wind: SW 10 mph (blowing out toward RF)

Precipitation: 20%

Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy

Weather + park factors strongly favor hitters, especially left‑handed power.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Cleveland — RHP Slade Cecconi

2026 Season: 5–6, 4.32 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Four‑seam / slider / changeup mix

Reds struggle vs. quality sliders

Road ERA: 4.61

Key strength: limits walks, keeps ball in park better than most CLE starters

Key vulnerability: elevated fastballs get punished in hitter‑friendly parks

Cincinnati — RHP Chase Burns

2026 Season: 3–4, 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

Rookie flamethrower; elite velocity (98–100 mph)

Guardians struggle vs. high‑velocity RHP (team OPS .662 vs. 96+ mph)

Home ERA: 3.44

Key strength: swing‑and‑miss slider

Key vulnerability: command volatility; occasional big innings

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Cleveland Guardians — Last 10 Games: 5–5

Offense averaging 4.4 runs/game

Bullpen remains top‑tier (3.21 ERA last 10)

Road record: 25–28

Strength: elite contact hitters, strong bullpen

Weakness: inconsistent power production

Cincinnati Reds — Last 10 Games: 4–6

Offense averaging 4.2 runs/game

Bullpen inconsistent (4.63 ERA last 10)

Home record: 26–29

Strength: young core (De La Cruz, McLain, Encarnacion‑Strand)

Weakness: high strikeout rate vs. command‑first pitchers

INJURY REPORT

Cleveland Guardians

3B José Ramírez — Day‑to‑Day (thumb)

RP Emmanuel Clase — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)

OF Steven Kwan — Active but managing hamstring tightness

SP Gavin Williams — IL (elbow)

Cincinnati Reds

SS Matt McLain — Day‑to‑Day (oblique)

RP Alexis Díaz — 15‑Day IL (forearm)

OF TJ Friedl — IL (wrist)

SP Nick Lodolo — Active

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Slade Cecconi vs. Elly De La Cruz

De La Cruz vs. sliders: .219 AVG, .402 SLG

Cecconi’s slider is his best pitch Edge: Cecconi

Slade Cecconi vs. Christian Encarnacion‑Strand

CES crushes elevated fastballs

Cecconi’s fastball command is inconsistent Edge: CES

Chase Burns vs. José Ramírez

Ramírez vs. elite velocity: .271 AVG, .511 SLG

Burns’ fastball is overpowering but can leak middle High‑variance matchup

Chase Burns vs. Josh Naylor

Naylor vs. sliders: .298 AVG, .550 SLG

Burns’ slider is his primary out pitch Edge: Slight Naylor

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: First meeting

Last 20 meetings: Cleveland 12–8

At Great American Ball Park (last 3 seasons): Cleveland 7–5

Games often trend high‑scoring due to park factors

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland

Guardians are 8–3 in their last 11 interleague road games

Under is 9–4 in Cecconi’s last 13 starts

Cleveland is 6–2 in their last 8 games vs. Cincinnati

Cincinnati

Reds are 5–1 in Burns’ last 6 home starts

Over is 10–5 in Reds’ last 15 home games

Reds are 3–7 in their last 10 games vs. teams above .500

Head‑to‑Head

Over has hit in 6 of last 9

Cleveland has covered RL in 5 of last 7

Games at GABP often produce HR spikes

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Cecconi: 1.4 WAR

Burns: 2.1 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Cleveland: .714

Cincinnati: .726

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Cleveland: 3.44

Cincinnati: 4.71

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Cleveland: 4.6–5.2 runs

Cincinnati: 4.8–5.6 runs

Game Odds

Cleveland Guardians      8.5

Cincinnati Reds                 – 156

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

Scheduled First Pitch: 6:45 PM ET

VENUE / WEATHER

Nationals Park — Washington, D.C. A hitter‑friendly park in summer months, especially to LF and LCF.

Weather Forecast:

Temp: 88°F

Humidity: 63%

Wind: SW 8 mph (blowing out toward LF)

Precipitation: 15%

Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy Weather slightly favors hitters, especially right‑handed pull hitters.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Toronto — RHP Max Scherzer

2026 Season: 5–4, 3.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

Still elite in command and sequencing

Fastball velocity down but slider/changeup remain effective

Nationals struggle vs. veteran command‑first RHP

Road ERA: 4.18

Key strength: suppresses HRs with late‑breaking slider

Key vulnerability: early‑inning fastball leaks → HR risk in hot weather

Washington — RHP Michael Alvarez

2026 Season: 6–6, 4.27 ERA, 1.31 WHIP

Rookie righty with strong sinker/slider mix

Blue Jays struggle vs. sinkerballers (team OPS .681 vs. sinkers)

Home ERA: 3.88

Key strength: induces ground balls, avoids big innings

Key vulnerability: left‑handed power (Bichette, Varsho, Schneider)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Toronto Blue Jays — Last 10 Games: 3–7

Offense averaging 3.6 runs/game

Bullpen inconsistent (4.92 ERA last 10)

Road record: 22–31

Strength: top‑of‑order contact hitters

Weakness: bottom‑third MLB in SLG, inconsistent run production

Washington Nationals — Last 10 Games: 6–4

Offense averaging 4.7 runs/game

Bullpen improving (3.41 ERA last 10)

Home record: 29–24

Strength: young core (Wood, House, Abrams) producing

Weakness: strikeout‑heavy lineup vs. elite command pitchers

INJURY REPORT

Toronto Blue Jays

OF George Springer — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)

RP Jordan Romano — 15‑Day IL (elbow)

SP Kevin Gausman — IL (shoulder)

C Danny Jansen — Active but managing hip soreness

Washington Nationals

OF James Wood — Day‑to‑Day (hamstring)

RP Hunter Harvey — 15‑Day IL (forearm)

SP Josiah Gray — IL (elbow)

C Keibert Ruiz — Active

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Max Scherzer vs. CJ Abrams

Abrams vs. sliders: .241 AVG, .389 SLG

Scherzer’s slider remains elite Edge: Scherzer

Max Scherzer vs. James Wood

Wood crushes elevated fastballs

Scherzer’s fastball is his weakest pitch at age 41 Edge: Wood (if active)

Michael Alvarez vs. Bo Bichette

Bichette vs. sinkers: .302 AVG, .511 SLG

Alvarez’s sinker could be vulnerable Edge: Bichette

Michael Alvarez vs. Davis Schneider

Schneider excels vs. sliders (.288 AVG, .540 SLG)

Alvarez’s slider is his primary out pitch High‑variance matchup

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: First meeting

Last 20 meetings: Toronto 11–9

At Nationals Park (last 3 seasons): Toronto 6–4

Games between these teams often trend low‑scoring due to pitching matchups

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto

Blue Jays are 4–9 in Scherzer’s last 13 road starts

Under is 8–3 in Toronto’s last 11 games

Toronto is 2–6 in their last 8 games vs. NL East teams

Washington

Nationals are 7–3 in Alvarez’s last 10 home starts

Over is 9–4 in Nationals’ last 13 home games

Nationals are 5–1 in their last 6 games vs. teams under .500

Head‑to‑Head

Underdog has covered RL in 6 of last 9

Under has hit in 7 of last 10 meetings

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Scherzer: 1.9 WAR

Alvarez: 1.3 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Toronto: .689

Washington: .728

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Toronto: 4.61

Washington: 3.52

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Toronto: 3.8–4.4 runs

Washington: 4.6–5.2 runs

Game Odds

Toronto Blue Jays                             10

Washington Nationals                   – 119

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Retractable‑roof stadium; roof often closed due to heat/humidity.

WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS

Miami Forecast:

Temp: 91°F

Humidity: 68%

Wind: E 9 mph

Precipitation: 40%

Roof Status: Likely closed (standard for summer humidity)

With the roof closed, run environment becomes neutral‑to‑pitcher‑friendly.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Philadelphia — RHP Zack Wheeler

2026 Season: 10–5, 3.22 ERA, 1.09 WHIP

Elite velocity + command

Heavy 4‑seam / sinker / slider mix

Marlins struggle vs. high‑velocity RHP (team OPS .671 vs. 95+ mph)

Road ERA: 3.41

Key strength: suppresses HRs in pitcher‑friendly parks

Key vulnerability: occasional early‑inning fastball leaks

Miami — RHP Tyler Phillips

2026 Season: 4–7, 4.58 ERA, 1.33 WHIP

Contact‑management righty; relies on sinker/changeup

Phillies crush sinkerballers (team SLG .472 vs. sinkers)

Home ERA: 4.02

Key strength: induces ground balls

Key vulnerability: struggles vs. left‑handed power (Harper, Schwarber)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Philadelphia Phillies — Last 10 Games: 6–4

Offense averaging 5.0 runs/game

Bullpen trending upward (3.38 ERA last 10)

Road record: 26–27

Strength: elite top‑of‑order production (Turner, Harper, Bohm)

Weakness: streaky bottom‑third lineup

Miami Marlins — Last 10 Games: 5–5

Offense averaging 4.1 runs/game

Bullpen inconsistent (4.71 ERA last 10)

Home record: 28–25

Strength: contact‑heavy lineup, good situational hitting

Weakness: lack of power; struggles vs. elite RHP

INJURY REPORT

Philadelphia Phillies

OF Brandon Marsh — Day‑to‑Day (knee)

RP José Alvarado — 15‑Day IL (elbow)

SP Taijuan Walker — IL (shoulder)

C J.T. Realmuto — Active but managing back tightness

Miami Marlins

SP Eury Pérez — Out for season (elbow)

RP A.J. Puk — 15‑Day IL (lat)

OF Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Day‑to‑Day (wrist)

C Nick Fortes — Active

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Zack Wheeler vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz vs. high‑velocity RHP: .229 AVG, .401 SLG

Wheeler’s fastball profile is a tough matchup Edge: Wheeler

Zack Wheeler vs. Josh Bell

Bell handles sinkers well but struggles vs. elevated 4‑seamers Edge: Wheeler

Tyler Phillips vs. Bryce Harper

Harper vs. sinkers: .311 AVG, .587 SLG

Phillips’ primary pitch plays directly into Harper’s strength Edge: Harper

Tyler Phillips vs. Kyle Schwarber

Schwarber vs. changeups: .268 AVG, .540 SLG

Phillips’ changeup is vulnerable to left‑handed power Edge: Schwarber

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: Phillies lead 3–2

Last 20 meetings: Philadelphia 12–8

At loanDepot Park (last 3 seasons): Philadelphia 15–10

Phillies have dominated Miami in games started by Wheeler

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia

Phillies are 9–3 in Wheeler’s last 12 starts

Under is 10–4 in Wheeler’s last 14 road starts

Phillies are 6–2 in their last 8 games vs. Miami

Miami

Marlins are 3–7 in Phillips’ last 10 starts

Under is 8–3 in Marlins’ last 11 home games

Marlins are 2–5 in their last 7 games vs. teams above .500

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 7 of last 10

Phillies have covered RL in 5 of last 7

Wheeler has a career ERA under 3.00 vs. Miami

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Wheeler: 3.9 WAR

Phillips: 1.0 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Philadelphia: .748

Miami: .703

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Philadelphia: 3.62

Miami: 4.55

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Philadelphia: 4.8–5.4 runs

Miami: 3.6–4.2 runs

Game Odds

Philadelphia Phillies      – 175

Miami Marlins                  7.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET

VENUE / WEATHER

PNC Park — Pittsburgh, PA A pitcher‑friendly park with deep left‑center and a quirky right‑field notch that rewards line‑drive hitters.

Weather Forecast:

Temp: 79°F

Wind: NW 6 mph (blowing out slightly toward RF)

Humidity: 61%

Precipitation: 20%

Conditions: Partly cloudy, mild Weather slightly favors hitters, especially right‑handed pull hitters.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Arizona — RHP Merrill Kelly

2026 Season: 8–7, 3.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

Veteran command‑first righty

Mixes four‑seam, sinker, changeup, curve

Pirates struggle vs. elite changeups

Key vulnerability: HR susceptibility on elevated fastballs

Road ERA: 3.92

Pittsburgh — RHP Mitch Keller

2026 Season: 9–6, 3.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP

Heavy cutter/slider usage

Diamondbacks struggle vs. cutters (team OPS < .700 vs. cutter-heavy RHP)

Key strength: induces weak contact early in counts

Home ERA: 3.21 (significantly better at PNC)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Arizona Diamondbacks — Last 10 Games: 6–4

Offense averaging 4.9 runs/game

Bullpen stabilizing after mid-season struggles

Road record: 27–26

Strength: top‑tier baserunning, strong middle‑order power

Weakness: inconsistent bullpen in high‑leverage spots

Pittsburgh Pirates — Last 10 Games: 5–5

Offense averaging 4.2 runs/game

Bullpen has been strong (2.91 ERA last 10 games)

Home record: 29–24

Strength: young core (Skenes, Jones, Cruz, Reynolds) producing

Weakness: lineup streakiness, bottom‑third OBP

INJURY REPORT

Arizona Diamondbacks

OF Corbin Carroll — Day‑to‑Day (knee soreness)

RP Kevin Ginkel — 15‑Day IL (forearm)

1B Christian Walker — Active but managing back tightness

SP Jordan Montgomery — IL (shoulder)

Pittsburgh Pirates

SP Paul Skenes — Day‑to‑Day (fatigue management)

RP David Bednar — 15‑Day IL (lat strain)

OF Jack Suwinski — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)

C Henry Davis — Active

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Merrill Kelly vs. Oneil Cruz

Cruz vs. changeups: .198 AVG, .361 SLG

Kelly’s changeup is his best swing‑and‑miss pitch Edge: Kelly

Merrill Kelly vs. Bryan Reynolds

Reynolds excels vs. command‑first RHP

Kelly must avoid middle‑zone cutters Edge: Slight Reynolds

Mitch Keller vs. Ketel Marte

Marte vs. cutters: .247 AVG, .421 SLG

Keller’s cutter is his primary weapon Edge: Keller

Mitch Keller vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Gurriel crushes sliders (.311 AVG, .587 SLG vs. sliders in 2026)

Keller’s slider usage could be exploited Edge: Gurriel

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: Diamondbacks lead 2–1

Last 20 meetings: Arizona 11–9

At PNC Park (last 3 seasons): Arizona 9–7

Games between these teams often trend low‑scoring due to pitching matchups

BETTING TRENDS

Arizona

Diamondbacks are 6–2 in Kelly’s last 8 starts vs. NL Central

Over is 10–4 in Arizona’s last 14 road games

Arizona is 4–1 in their last 5 games vs. Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pirates are 8–3 in Keller’s last 11 home starts

Under is 7–3 in Pirates’ last 10 home games

Pirates are 5–2 in their last 7 games vs. teams above .500

Head‑to‑Head

Underdog has covered RL in 6 of last 9

Under has hit in 8 of last 12 meetings

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Kelly: 2.6 WAR

Keller: 3.2 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Arizona: .739

Pittsburgh: .701

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Arizona: 4.12

Pittsburgh: 3.27

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Arizona: 4.2–4.8 runs

Pittsburgh: 3.9–4.5 runs

Game Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks                 9.5

Pittsburgh Pirates                            – 111

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET

VENUE / WEATHER

Comerica Park — Detroit, MI A pitcher‑friendly park with deep gaps and a spacious outfield.

Weather Forecast:

Temp: 84°F

Wind: W 7 mph (blowing slightly in from left)

Humidity: 52%

Precipitation: 10%

Conditions: Clear, mild evening Weather slightly favors pitchers; wind reduces carry to LF.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Baltimore — RHP Kyle Bradish

2026 Season: 6–6, 3.58 ERA, 1.17 WHIP

Elite slider/curveball combination

Generates high swing‑and‑miss rates

Tigers struggle vs. high‑spin breaking balls

Key vulnerability: occasional fastball command lapses early in games

Road ERA is slightly higher (4.02)

Detroit — RHP Keider Montero

2026 Season: 4–5, 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP

Fastball/slider mix with improving command

Orioles’ lineup has been inconsistent vs. mid‑velocity RHP

Key vulnerability: left‑handed hitters with plate discipline

Home ERA: 3.98 (better than road)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Baltimore Orioles — Last 10 Games: 5–5

Offense averaging 4.3 runs/game

Bullpen stabilizing after rough June

Road record: 23–30

Strength: top‑half OBP, strong middle‑order power

Weakness: inconsistent run production, streaky RISP hitting

Detroit Tigers — Last 10 Games: 4–6

Offense averaging 3.8 runs/game

Bullpen has been volatile; late‑inning issues persist

Home record: 26–27

Strength: young core (Greene, Torkelson, Keith) showing improvement

Weakness: bottom‑third OPS, struggles vs. quality RHP

INJURY REPORT

Baltimore Orioles

3B Jordan Westburg — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)

RP Yennier Cano — 15‑Day IL (forearm)

OF Anthony Santander — Active but managing oblique tightness

SP John Means — Out for season (elbow)

Detroit Tigers

OF Riley Greene — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder)

RP Alex Lange — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)

SP Casey Mize — Active but on workload management

C Jake Rogers — Day‑to‑Day (hand contusion)

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Kyle Bradish vs. Spencer Torkelson

Torkelson vs. breaking balls: .211 AVG, .389 SLG

Bradish’s slider is his best weapon Edge: Bradish

Kyle Bradish vs. Colt Keith

Keith handles high‑spin breaking balls better than most Tigers

Bradish must avoid middle‑zone sliders Edge: Slight Keith

Keider Montero vs. Gunnar Henderson

Henderson vs. RHP: .284 AVG, .540 SLG

Montero’s fastball sits in Henderson’s power zone Edge: Henderson

Keider Montero vs. Adley Rutschman

Rutschman excels vs. pitchers with command issues

Montero’s walk rate spikes under pressure Edge: Rutschman

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: Orioles lead 2–1

Last 20 meetings: Baltimore 12–8

At Comerica Park (last 3 seasons): Baltimore 10–6

Orioles have consistently outperformed Tigers in pitching‑driven games

BETTING TRENDS

Baltimore

Orioles are 7–3 in Bradish’s last 10 starts vs. sub‑.500 teams

Under is 11–4 in Bradish’s last 15 road starts

Orioles are 5–1 in their last 6 games vs. Detroit

Detroit

Tigers are 4–9 in Montero’s last 13 starts

Under is 8–3 in Tigers’ last 11 home games

Tigers are 2–6 in their last 8 Monday games

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 7 of last 10 meetings

Orioles have covered RL in 4 of last 5 matchups

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Bradish: 2.8 WAR

Montero: 1.1 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Baltimore: .721

Detroit: .676

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Baltimore: 3.89

Detroit: 4.92

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Baltimore: 4.4–5.0 runs

Detroit: 3.6–4.2 runs

GAME ODDS

Baltimore Orioles            8.5

Detroit Tigers                    – 112

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026

— Club signs 20 draftees in addition to nine non-drafted free agents —

SAN DIEGO – The San Diego Padres announced they have agreed to terms with 20 players from their 2026 MLB First-Year Player Draft class, as well as nine non-drafted free agents.

Including the non-drafted free agents, the Padres signed 15 position players (seven outfielders, three shortstops, one second baseman, one first baseman and three catchers) and 14 pitchers (nine right-handed pitchers and five left-handed pitchers). The club selected 25 college players and four from the high school ranks.

SAN DIEGO­ PADRES 2026 FIRST-YEAR PLAYER DRAFT SELECTIONS

RD. | PLAYER | POS. | HT | WT | B/T | SCHOOL

1. Coleman Borthwick | RHS | 6-6 | 255 | R/R | South Walton High School (Fla.)

2. Elliot Lascelles | SS | 6-2 | 185 | L/R | Upper Canada College (ON)

3. Ryan Lynch | RHS | 6-3 | 235 | R/R | University of North Carolina (N.C.)

4. Robbie Lavey | C | 6-2 | 215 | L/R | George Washington University (D.C.)

4-C. Alex Conover | OF | 6-2 | 200 | L/R | Oklahoma State University (Okla.)

5. James Guyette | RHS | 6-3 | 200 | R/R | Kansas State University (Kan.)

6. Nu’u Contrades | SS | 5-11 | 200 | R/R | Arizona State University (Ariz.)

7. Joe Tiroly | 2B | 6-0 | 210 | R/R | University of Virginia (Va.)

8. Sean Fitzpatrick | LHR | 6-0 | 175 | L/L | Arizona State University (Ariz.)

9. Benjamin Stubbs | LHS | 6-0 | 185 | L/L | Troy University (Ala.)

10. Augie Lopez | C | 6-2 | 190 | L/R | University of Southern California (Calif.)

11. Chris McHugh | 1B | 6-3 | 215 | R/R | North Carolina State University (N.C.)

12. Rob Evans | LHP | 6-2 | 230 | L/L | University of Miami (Fla.)

13. Michael Smith Jr. | OF | 6-3 | 230 | R/R | University of Dayton (Ohio)

14. Ty Brachbill | RHS | 6-1 | 185 | R/R | High Point University (N.C.)

15. Ryan Kucherak | SS | 6-2 | 190 | R/R | Northwestern University (Ill.)

16. Albert Roblez | RHR | 6-0 | 220 | R/R | Oregon State University (Ore.)

18. Mark Quatrani | C | 6-0 | 210 | R/R | University of Notre Dame (Ind)

19. Chris Downs | LHS | 6-7 | 230 | R/L | Cal Poly San Luis Obispo (Calif.)

20. Ezekiel Zion | OF | 6-0 | 195 | R/L | Campo Verde High School (Ariz.)

NON-DRAFTED FREE AGENTS

RD. | PLAYER | POS. | HT | WT | B/T | SCHOOL

N/A Aidan Cochrane | RHS | 6-1 | 190 | R/R | East Lyme High School (Conn.)

N/A Andrew Detlefsen | OF | 6-1 | 215 | R/R | University of Texas at San Antonio (Texas)

N/A Ryan Gerety | CF | 5-10 | 185 | L/L | Northeastern University (Mass.)

N/A McCabe “Mac” Moyer | CF | 5-11 | 185 | L/L | University of Nebraska-Lincoln (Neb.)

N/A Jack Pineau | RHS | 6-0 | 185 | R/R | Creighton University (Neb.)

N/A Tyler Pitzer | RHR | 6-1 | 210 | L/R | Mississippi State University (Miss.)

N/A Logan Satter | RHS | 6-0 | 190 | R/R | Legion Collegiate Academy (S.C.)

N/A Josh Skowronski | CF | 6-4 | 215 | L/R | Winthrop University (S.C.)

N/A Andrew Wright | LHR | 5-11 | 205 | R/L | Cal State Fullerton (Calif.)

Scheduled First Pitch: 1:35 PM CT (11:35 AM PT)

WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS

Globe Life Field is retractable‑roof, so weather has limited impact, but the Rangers often adjust roof status based on heat.

Forecast (Arlington, TX):

Temp: 98°F at first pitch

Humidity: 34%

Wind: S 10 mph (minimal effect if roof closed)

Roof Status: Likely closed due to extreme heat

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Seattle — RHP George Kirby (2026 Season: 7–7, 3.41 ERA)

Elite command profile (league‑best BB% among qualified starters)

Heavy reliance on 4‑seam / sinker combo

Generates weak contact; low walk rate keeps WHIP down

Rangers lineup has been inconsistent vs. high‑command righties

Key vulnerability: elevated HR rate when fastball command dips

Texas — RHP Kumar Rocker (2026 Season: 5–4, 4.12 ERA)

Power righty with wipeout slider

Strikeout upside but occasional control volatility

Mariners lineup struggles vs. high‑velocity RHP with strong breaking balls

Key vulnerability: left‑handed hitters with lift (Cal Raleigh, J.P. Crawford)

CURRENT TEAM FORM

Seattle Mariners — Last 10 Games: 4–6

Offense remains streaky; averaging 3.9 runs/game over last 10

Bullpen has been overworked; leverage arms showing fatigue

Road record: 24–29

Strength: starting pitching consistency

Weakness: bottom‑third offense in OPS, RISP hitting

Texas Rangers — Last 10 Games: 6–4

Offense trending upward; averaging 5.1 runs/game

Bullpen still unreliable in late innings

Home record: 29–23

Strength: middle‑order power (Seager, Langford, Carter)

Weakness: strikeout‑heavy lineup vs. elite command pitchers

INJURY REPORT

Seattle Mariners

OF Julio Rodríguez — Day‑to‑Day (wrist soreness)

RP Andrés Muñoz — 15‑Day IL (shoulder fatigue)

1B Ty France — Day‑to‑Day (hamstring tightness)

SP Logan Gilbert — Active

RP Matt Brash — Out for season (elbow)

Texas Rangers

SP Nathan Eovaldi — 15‑Day IL (forearm strain)

RP Josh Sborz — 10‑Day IL (lat)

OF Adolis García — Day‑to‑Day (quad)

C Jonah Heim — Active

RP Jonathan Hernández — IL (elbow)

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

George Kirby vs. Corey Seager

Seager vs. high‑command RHP: .302 AVG, .558 SLG

Kirby’s fastball lives in Seager’s wheelhouse Edge: Seager

George Kirby vs. Wyatt Langford

Langford struggles vs. elevated 4‑seamers

Kirby excels at top‑zone command Edge: Kirby

Kumar Rocker vs. Cal Raleigh

Raleigh vs. sliders: 14 HR off breaking balls in 2026

Rocker’s slider is his best pitch High‑variance matchup

Kumar Rocker vs. J.P. Crawford

Crawford excels vs. power RHP with control issues

Rocker’s walk rate spikes at home Edge: Crawford

SERIES HISTORY

2026 Season Series: Texas leads 4–3

Last 20 meetings: Texas 11–9

At Globe Life Field (last 3 seasons): Texas 18–13

Mariners have struggled in Arlington due to park dimensions and Rangers’ power profile

BETTING TRENDS

Seattle

Mariners are 8–14 in Kirby’s last 22 road starts

Under is 12–5 in Kirby’s last 17 starts vs. AL West

Mariners are 3–7 in their last 10 Monday games

Texas

Rangers are 7–3 in their last 10 home games

Over is 9–4 in Rocker’s last 13 starts

Rangers are 5–1 in their last 6 games vs. teams under .500

Head‑to‑Head

Home team has won 6 of last 8

Underdog has covered RL in 5 of last 7

ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT

Pitching WAR (2026)

Kirby: 3.1 WAR

Rocker: 1.4 WAR

Team OPS (Last 30 Days)

Seattle: .689

Texas: .742

Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)

Seattle: 4.51

Texas: 4.78

Run Expectancy Model

Projected scoring:

Seattle: 3.7–4.2 runs

Texas: 4.8–5.4 runs

GAME ODDS

Seattle Mariners              – 127

Texas Rangers                    8

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026