Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
Venue Information
Progressive Field 2401 Ontario St, Cleveland, OH 44115 A pitcher‑friendly park in early summer, especially for left‑handed starters due to deep right‑center dimensions and heavy evening air.
Weather Forecast
- Temperature: 72–74°F at first pitch
- Wind: 6–9 mph blowing in from right field
- Humidity: 58%
- Precipitation: <10% chance
- Impact: Slight lean toward lower run scoring, especially suppressing right‑handed pull power.
Injury Report
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge — Probable (rest day yesterday, no structural issue)
- Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (hamstring strain, mid‑June return)
- Anthony Rizzo — OUT (forearm fracture, late July)
- Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)
- Clarke Schmidt — OUT (lat strain)
Cleveland Guardians
- Steven Kwan — Probable (mild ankle soreness)
- Josh Naylor — OUT (oblique strain, mid‑June)
- Shane Bieber — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
- James Karinchak — OUT (shoulder)
- Bo Naylor — OUT (hand fracture)
Starting Pitching Matchup
Carlos Rodón — LHP, Yankees
- 2026 Season: 7–3, 3.42 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
- Last 5 Starts: 3.05 ERA, 34 K in 29.1 IP
- Profile:
- Fastball sitting 95–96
- Slider generating a 38% whiff rate
- Vulnerable to right‑handed power when he misses arm‑side
- Matchup Notes: Cleveland’s lineup is left‑leaning and contact‑oriented, which plays into Rodón’s strengths. Guardians lack major right‑handed thump with Josh Naylor out.
Parker Messick — LHP, Guardians
- 2026 Season: 4–4, 3.88 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
- Last 5 Starts: 4.21 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
- Profile:
- Command‑first lefty
- Changeup is his best pitch
- Struggles vs right‑handed hitters with lift
- Matchup Notes: Yankees’ right‑handed core (Judge, Torres, Volpe, Wells) profiles well against Messick’s pitch mix. Messick must keep the ball down to avoid early damage.
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (40–26)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 19–14
- Offense: 4.9 runs/game
- Pitching: 3.78 team ERA
- Trend: Stabilizing after a brief slump; rotation has been excellent the last two weeks.
Cleveland Guardians (37–32)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 20–15
- Offense: 4.3 runs/game
- Pitching: 3.92 team ERA
- Trend: Offense inconsistent without Naylor; bullpen has been overworked.
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Yankees lead 13–8
- At Progressive Field: Yankees have won 7 of last 10
- Rodón vs CLE: 2.89 career ERA
- Messick vs NYY: First career start
Key Player Matchups
Yankees Hitters vs LHP Parker Messick
- Aaron Judge: .311 vs LHP in 2026, 8 HR
- Gleyber Torres: .292 vs LHP, elite contact vs changeups
- Anthony Volpe: .274 vs LHP, improved chase rate
- Austin Wells: .265 vs LHP, strong pull power
Advantage: Yankees
Guardians Hitters vs LHP Carlos Rodón
- José Ramírez: .278 vs LHP, but Rodón has held him to 3-for-17 career
- Steven Kwan: .301 vs LHP, elite bat control
- Andrés Giménez: .244 vs LHP, struggles with high fastballs
- David Fry: .267 vs LHP, best power threat tonight
Advantage: Rodón
Projected Lineups
Yankees
- Volpe — SS
- Judge — RF
- Torres — 2B
- Wells — C
- Verdugo — LF
- Cabrera — 3B
- Grisham — CF
- Jones — 1B
- Taylor — DH
Guardians
- Kwan — LF
- Giménez — 2B
- Ramírez — 3B
- Fry — C
- Manzardo — 1B
- Brennan — RF
- Arias — SS
- Straw — CF
- Rocchio — DH
Betting Trends
Yankees
- 5–1 in Rodón’s last 6 starts
- 7–3 last 10 road games
- Under is 6–2 in their last 8 games vs LHP
Guardians
- 2–5 in last 7 home games vs teams above .500
- Under is 5–1 in last 6 Messick starts
- 4–9 in last 13 vs Yankees
Head‑to‑Head
- Under has hit in 7 of last 10 meetings
- Yankees have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Game Odds
New York Yankees 7.5
Cleveland Guardians – 120
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, June 9, 2026
