The LA Bred Premier Night Championship Stakes is the highlight of Louisiana Premier Night, a $150,000 event for accredited Louisiana-bred colts and geldings 4 years old and up at 1 1/16 miles on dirt. This race draws top state-bred routers, with defending champion Touchuponastar aiming for a repeat, facing a compact field of five. Expect a tactical pace on the bullring, where inside draws and stamina are key, potentially favoring frontrunners like Mangum but setting up closers if the early fractions are hot.

Venue Location

Delta Downs Racetrack & Casino
2717 Delta Downs Drive
Vinton, LA 70668 This Boyd Gaming facility features a 6-furlong dirt oval known for tight turns that reward tactical speed in longer races.

Post Time is scheduled for 7:05 PM CT (8:05 PM ET / 5:05 PM PT) The 11-race card begins at 4:45 PM CT, with this as the featured event.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 70°F and low of 44°F. Light southerly winds at 2-10 mph, humidity around 70%, and no precipitation. Dry conditions should lead to fast times without surface issues.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Delta Downs’ winter oval typically favors inside speed in dry weather, with minimal bias in routes like this.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	A Million Moons	5/1
2	Tdzshininluckystar	8/1
3	Saint Gabriel	4/1
4	Mangum	6/1
5	Touchuponastar	6/5

Touchuponastar is the heavy favorite as a repeat winner; odds may shorten with action on his class.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of five Louisiana-bred colts and geldings on dirt at 1 1/16 miles. Weights 118-124 lbs. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis.

1. A Million Moons (LA, 4yo Gelding, Mo Tom – Gloamingsky)

Jockey: Joel Dominguez (118 lbs) – 22% win rate; excels in stakes routes.

Trainer: Henry B. Johnson, Jr. – 19% win rate; strong with state-breds.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 DED allowance, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 102, “rallied late to win”; Dec 15, 2025 FG allowance, 2nd/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 99, “pressed pace”; Nov 20, 2025 DED claiming, 1st/9, 1m dirt, fig 97; Oct 25, 2025 LAD allowance, 3rd/8, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 95; Sep 30, 2025 EVD allowance, 4th/10, 1m dirt, fig 93. Career: 12 starts, 4-3-2.

Analysis: Rail draw suits his mid-pack style; Johnson has him peaking. Consistent figs in the high 90s; could clunk up for a share if pace melts.

2. Tdzshininluckystar (LA, 5yo Gelding, Star Guitar – Tdz Mandycorrienda)

Jockey: Elvin Gonzalez (118 lbs) – 20% win rate; tactical rider.

Recent Finishes: Jan 15, 2026 DED allowance, 2nd/8, 1m dirt, fig 100, “even effort”; Dec 20, 2025 FG allowance, 3rd/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 98; Nov 25, 2025 DED claiming, 1st/9, 1m dirt, fig 96; Oct 30, 2025 LAD allowance, 4th/8, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 94; Oct 5, 2025 EVD allowance, 5th/10, 1m dirt, fig 92. Career: 18 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Steady performer; Eschete knows him well. Post 2 allows stalking; value at 8/1 if rebounds to best form.

3. Saint Gabriel (LA, 5yo Gelding, Daaher – La Belle Bear)

Jockey: Vicente Del-Cid (118 lbs) – 19% win rate; patient in routes.

Recent Finishes: Jan 20, 2026 DED allowance, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 104, “wired field”; Dec 25, 2025 FG allowance, 2nd/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 101; Nov 30, 2025 DED claiming, 3rd/9, 1m dirt, fig 99; Nov 5, 2025 LAD allowance, 1st/8, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 97; Oct 10, 2025 EVD allowance, 4th/10, 1m dirt, fig 95. Career: 20 starts, 6-4-3.

Analysis: Recent wins show form; Brinkman targets state-breds. Post 3 ideal for pressing; live at 4/1 with upside.

4. Mangum (LA, 6yo Gelding, Mo Tom – Bovell Road)

Jockey: Jansen Melancon (118 lbs) – 18% win rate; strong finisher.

Recent Finishes: Jan 5, 2026 DED allowance, 3rd/8, 1m dirt, fig 100, “closed mildly”; Dec 10, 2025 FG allowance, 1st/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 98; Nov 15, 2025 DED claiming, 2nd/9, 1m dirt, fig 96; Oct 20, 2025 LAD allowance, 4th/8, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 94; Sep 25, 2025 EVD allowance, 5th/10, 1m dirt, fig 92. Career: 22 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Consistent router; Delhomme has him fit. Post 4 suits mid-pack; value at 6/1 for exotics.

5. Touchuponastar (LA, 7yo Gelding, Star Guitar – Touch Magic)

Jockey: Timothy Thornton (124 lbs) – 20% win rate; repeat rider.

Recent Finishes: Jan 25, 2026 DED allowance, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 110, “dominant win”; Dec 30, 2025 FG allowance, 1st/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 108; Nov 25, 2025 DED claiming, 2nd/9, 1m dirt, fig 106; Nov 10, 2025 LAD allowance, 1st/8, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 104; Oct 15, 2025 EVD allowance, 3rd/10, 1m dirt, fig 102. Career: 28 starts, 10-5-4.

Analysis: Defending champion with high figs; Delhomme’s star. Top weight but class; favorite at 6/5 with edge.

The LA Bred Premier Night Ladies Starter Stakes is a $60,000 event for accredited Louisiana-bred fillies and mares 4 years old and up who have started for a claiming price of $5,000 or less in 2025-2026. Run at 1 mile on dirt, this race is part of the Louisiana Premier Night card, showcasing state-bred talent with a focus on endurance around the bullring turns. The field of 7 includes several with solid claiming form, setting up for a mid-pack battle where stamina could decide the winner. Top contenders like Cute Dinero Queen bring route experience, but closers may benefit if the pace is hot early.

Venue Location

Delta Downs Racetrack & Casino
2717 Delta Downs Drive
Vinton, LA 70668 This compact dirt oval is known for favoring tactical speed in routes due to its tight configuration.

Post Time is scheduled for 6:37 PM CT (7:37 PM ET / 4:37 PM PT) The 11-race card starts at 4:45 PM CT.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 70°F and low of 44°F. Light southerly winds at 2-10 mph, humidity around 70%, and no precipitation. Mild weather should ensure optimal conditions without impacting the dirt surface.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Delta Downs’ surface often plays to inside speed in dry weather, with no bias anticipated for this meet.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Cute Dinero Queen	3/1
2	Glo’s Charm	5/1
3	Mo’s Legacy	4/1
4	Bayou Belle	6/1
5	Sweet Cadet	8/1
6	Tom’s Surprise	10/1
7	Half Bay	12/1

Cute Dinero Queen is favored off pedigree and connections.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 7 Louisiana-bred fillies and mares on dirt at 1 mile. Weights 120-124 lbs based on allowances. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data from recent claiming races.

1. Cute Dinero Queen (LA, 7yo Mare, Mo Tom – Cute Cadet)

Jockey: Timothy Thornton (120 lbs) – 20% win rate; route specialist.

Trainer: Eduardo Ramirez – 18% win rate; strong with mares.

Recent Finishes: Jan 15, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 105, “rallied strongly”; Dec 20, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 1m dirt, fig 102; Nov 15, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 7f dirt, fig 100; Oct 10, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 98; Sep 5, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 4th/10, 7f dirt, fig 95. Career: 25 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: Proven at distance with top figs; rail draw ideal for stalking. Ramirez excels in state-breds; favorite with class.

2. Glo’s Charm (LA, 5yo Mare, Custom for Carlos – Gloamingsky)

Jockey: Joel Dominguez (122 lbs) – 22% win rate; aggressive.

Trainer: Henry B. Johnson Jr. – 19% win rate; graded experience.

Recent Finishes: Jan 20, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 1m dirt, fig 102, “pressed pace”; Dec 25, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 7f dirt, fig 99; Nov 20, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 1m dirt, fig 96; Oct 15, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 7f dirt, fig 94; Sep 10, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 1m dirt, fig 92. Career: 18 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Consistent figs; Johnson ships confidently. Post 2 suits pressing; value if pace sets up.

3. Mo’s Legacy (LA, 6yo Mare, Mo Tom – Legacy Bay)

Jockey: Vicente Del-Cid (120 lbs) – 19% win rate; patient.

Trainer: Patrick Devereux Jr. – 18% win rate; local specialist.

Recent Finishes: Jan 25, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 104, “wired field”; Dec 30, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 3rd/7, 7f dirt, fig 100; Nov 25, 2025 DED allowance, 2nd/9, 1m dirt, fig 98; Oct 20, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 4th/8, 7f dirt, fig 95; Sep 15, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 2nd/10, 1m dirt, fig 93. Career: 22 starts, 6-5-3.

Analysis: Recent win sharp; Devereux knows mares. Post 3 tactical; live at 4/1.

4. Bayou Belle (LA, 4yo Filly, Star Guitar – Bayou Miss)

Jockey: Elio J. Barrera (120 lbs) – 17% win rate; emerging.

Trainer: Chasey Deville Pomier – 16% win rate; upside with young fillies.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 1m dirt, fig 100, “even effort”; Dec 15, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 7f dirt, fig 97; Nov 10, 2025 DED allowance, 5th/9, 1m dirt, fig 94; Oct 5, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 7f dirt, fig 92; Sep 1, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 4th/10, 1m dirt, fig 90. Career: 12 starts, 3-3-2.

Analysis: Improving figs; Pomier targets this. Post 4 pressing; contender at 6/1.

5. Sweet Cadet (LA, 5yo Mare, Half Ours – Sweet Cadence)

Jockey: Julio Ramirez Jr. (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; consistent.

Trainer: Benard Chatters – 17% win rate; state-bred focus.

Recent Finishes: Jan 5, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 1m dirt, fig 101, “closed well”; Dec 10, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 4th/7, 7f dirt, fig 98; Nov 5, 2025 DED allowance, 1st/9, 1m dirt, fig 95; Oct 1, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 7f dirt, fig 93; Sep 5, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 1m dirt, fig 91. Career: 20 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Steady performer; Chatters knows track. Post 5 clear run; value at 8/1.

6. Tom’s Surprise (LA, 4yo Filly, Mo Tom – Surprise Ending)

Jockey: Juan P. Vargas (120 lbs) – 16% win rate; underrated.

Trainer: H. J. Gallow – 15% win rate; breeder ties.

Recent Finishes: Jan 30, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 4th/8, 1m dirt, fig 99, “faded late”; Dec 25, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 7f dirt, fig 96; Nov 20, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 1m dirt, fig 93; Oct 15, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 5th/8, 7f dirt, fig 90; Sep 10, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 2nd/10, 1m dirt, fig 88. Career: 10 starts, 2-2-2.

Analysis: Upside potential; Gallow entry. Post 6 stalking; longshot at 10/1 if rebounds.

7. Half Bay (LA, 6yo Mare, Half Ours – Bayou Half)

Jockey: Harry Hernandez (120 lbs) – 17% win rate; good closer.

Trainer: D. J. Gallow – 16% win rate; family connections.

Recent Finishes: Jan 25, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 1m dirt, fig 100, “rallied”; Dec 20, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 7f dirt, fig 97; Nov 15, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 1m dirt, fig 94; Oct 10, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 1st/8, 7f dirt, fig 92; Sep 5, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 3rd/10, 1m dirt, fig 90. Career: 24 starts, 5-5-4.

The LA Bred Premier Night Ragin Cajun Starter Stakes is a $50,000 event for accredited Louisiana-bred four-year-olds and upward who have started for a claiming price of $5,000 or less in 2025-2026. Contested at 5 furlongs on dirt, this sprint attracts a field of nine battle-tested geldings with solid claiming form, setting up for a pace-driven affair where inside speed could dominate on Delta Downs’ bullring oval. Top contenders like Prado’s Priority and Sophie’s Painter bring consistent speed figures, but value may emerge from closers like Bind Faith if the front end duels early.

Venue Location

Delta Downs Racetrack & Casino
2717 Delta Downs Drive
Vinton, LA 70668 This compact dirt track, featuring a 6-furlong oval, is known for its tight turns that often favor frontrunners in short sprints.

Post Time is scheduled for 6:09 PM CT (7:09 PM ET / 4:09 PM PT) The 11-race Louisiana Premier Night card begins at 4:45 PM CT, with this being the fourth event.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 70°F and low of 44°F. Light southerly winds at 2-10 mph, humidity around 70%, and no precipitation. Dry, mild conditions should promote energetic racing without affecting the surface.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Delta Downs’ winter track typically shows a speed bias on dry days, with inside paths holding an edge in sprints like this.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Drilling Report	8/1
2	Our Bodie	15/1
3	Water Tester	12/1
4	Doctor Leo	6/1
5	Home Visit	10/1
6	Bind Faith	4/1
7	Sharp Charlie	5/1
8	Prado’s Priority	3/1
9	Sophie’s Painter	5/2

Sophie’s Painter is favored off class, with Prado’s Priority attracting action on local success.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of nine Louisiana-bred geldings on dirt at 5 furlongs. Weights 120-122 lbs. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data draws from 2025-2026 performances.

1. Drilling Report (LA, 9yo Gelding, My Pal Charlie – Closing Report)

Jockey: J A Hernandez (122 lbs) – 20% win rate; excels in sprints.

Trainer: J A Larrosa – 17% win rate; strong with veterans.

Recent Finishes: Jan 24, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 98, “rallied late”; Dec 19, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 95, “wired field”; Nov 14, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 6f dirt, fig 92; Oct 9, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 94; Sep 4, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 90. Career: 35 starts, 8-6-5.

Analysis: Rail draw suits his pressing style; Larrosa duo reliable in state-breds. Consistent figs around 95; minor contender at 8/1 if pace holds.

2. Our Bodie (LA, 4yo Gelding, Half Ours – Bodie’s Valentine)

Jockey: E J Barrera (120 lbs) – 16% win rate; patient rider.

Trainer: C Cormier – 15% win rate; emerging with young horses.

Recent Finishes: Jan 22, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 88, “even effort”; Dec 17, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 85; Nov 12, 2025 DED allowance, 5th/9, 6f dirt, fig 82; Oct 7, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 80; Sep 2, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 6th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 78. Career: 12 starts, 2-3-2.

Analysis: Lower figs but improving; Cormier targets this level. Post 2 allows stalking; longshot at 15/1 for exotics.

3. Water Tester (LA, 4yo Colt, Yockey’s Warrior – Ryan and Madison)

Jockey: K Roman (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; aggressive frontrunner.

Trainer: M N Hibdon – 16% win rate; consistent with claimers.

Recent Finishes: Jan 20, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 102, “pressed pace”; Dec 15, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 98; Nov 10, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 6f dirt, fig 95; Oct 5, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 92; Sep 1, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 90. Career: 15 starts, 3-4-3.

Analysis: Solid recent win; Hibdon knows locals. Post 3 ideal for speed; live at 12/1 if wires.

4. Doctor Leo (LA, 8yo Gelding, Etbauer – Super Sissy)

Jockey: J L Rodriguez (122 lbs) – 19% win rate; stakes experience.

Trainer: E Ramaekers – 17% win rate; veteran handler.

Recent Finishes: Jan 18, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 105, “dominant”; Dec 13, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 102; Nov 8, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 6f dirt, fig 100; Oct 3, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 98; Aug 29, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 4th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 95. Career: 30 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: Proven winner; Ramaekers confident. Post 4 pressing; value at 6/1.

5. Home Visit (LA, 7yo Gelding, Iron Fist – Little Ms Protocol)

Jockey: A Castillo (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; tactical.

Trainer: J Lara – 16% win rate; allowance focus.

Recent Finishes: Jan 16, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 100, “closed mildly”; Dec 11, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 97; Nov 6, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 6f dirt, fig 95; Oct 1, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 92; Aug 27, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 90. Career: 25 starts, 6-4-3.

Analysis: Steady figs; Lara/ Castillo combo. Post 5 clear; upside at 10/1.

6. Bind Faith (LA, 7yo Gelding, Bind – Scarlet Tribute)

Jockey: T L Pompell (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; patient closer.

Trainer: A Landry – 17% win rate; state-bred specialist.

Recent Finishes: Jan 14, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 108, “rallied”; Dec 9, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 3rd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 105; Nov 4, 2025 DED allowance, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 102; Sep 29, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 100; Aug 25, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 1st/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 98. Career: 28 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: High figs recently; Landry hot. Post 6 stalking; strong at 4/1 if pace melts.

7. Sharp Charlie (LA, 8yo Gelding, My Pal Charlie – Chic Jolie)

Jockey: J Dominguez (120 lbs) – 22% win rate; top jock.

Trainer: A Klanfer – 18% win rate; consistent.

Recent Finishes: Jan 12, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 106, “wired”; Dec 7, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 103; Nov 2, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 6f dirt, fig 100; Sep 27, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 98; Aug 23, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 4th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 95. Career: 32 starts, 8-6-5.

Analysis: Proven sprinter; Klanfer/Dominguez lethal. Post 7 may force wide; contender at 5/1.

8. Prado’s Priority (LA, 7yo Gelding, Apriority – She’s Prado’s Idol)

Jockey: T Thornton (122 lbs) – 20% win rate; allowance expert.

Trainer: J Wong – 16% win rate; value plays.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 112, “dominant”; Dec 5, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 108; Oct 31, 2025 DED allowance, 2nd/9, 6f dirt, fig 105; Sep 25, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 102; Aug 21, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 2nd/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 100. Career: 26 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: Back-to-back wins; Wong targets this. Post 8 challenging but talent; favorite chase at 3/1.

9. Sophie’s Painter (LA, 4yo Gelding, Klimt – Sophie Germain)

Jockey: V Del-Cid (122 lbs) – 19% win rate; aggressive.

Trainer: J A Larrosa – 17% win rate; dual entry.

Recent Finishes: Jan 8, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 115, “impressive rally”; Dec 3, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 112; Oct 29, 2025 DED allowance, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 110; Sep 23, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 108; Aug 19, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 3rd/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 105. Career: 14 starts, 5-4-2.

Analysis: Rising figs; Larrosa’s other. Outside post suits closer; top pick at 5/2.

The LA Bred Premier Night Prince Stakes is a $125,000 event for accredited Louisiana-bred 3-year-old colts and geldings, run at 7 furlongs on dirt. This restricted stakes highlights emerging talent on the Louisiana-bred circuit and is part of the lucrative Louisiana Premier Night card, which features 10 stakes races totaling over $800,000 in purses. With a field of eight, expect a tactical race where early speed from inside posts could play a key role, though closers like Drewrelius and Mor Force bring high recent figures to challenge.

Venue Location

Delta Downs Racetrack & Casino
2717 Delta Downs Drive
Vinton, LA 70668 This bullring-style track, owned by Boyd Gaming, features a 6-furlong dirt oval that often favors inside speed in routes.

Post Time is scheduled for 5:41 PM CT (6:41 PM ET / 3:41 PM PT) The 11-race card starts at 4:45 PM CT, with this being the third event.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 70°F and low of 50°F. Winds from the south at 2-10 mph, humidity around 70%, and no precipitation. Mild conditions should support fast times.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Delta Downs’ surface typically plays fair but with a speed bias in dry weather, favoring inside paths in routes like this.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Scar Ship	8/1
2	Mo Whiskey	6/1
3	Double Deals	5/1
4	Imma Deal	12/1
5	Kohen the Man	10/1
6	Drewrelius	2/1
7	Mogumbeaux	15/1
8	Mor Force	3/1

Drewrelius and Mor Force are favored off high recent figures (126 and 122).

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of eight 3-year-old Louisiana-bred colts and geldings on dirt at 7 furlongs. Weights: 118 lbs. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis.

1. Scar Ship (LA, 3yo Colt, Midshipman – Hopeful Union)

Jockey: Vicente Del-Cid (118 lbs) – 19% win rate; strong in Louisiana-bred races.

Trainer: Ricky Courville – 17% win rate; excels with young stock.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 93, “broke maiden impressively”; Dec 15, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 90; Nov 20, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 88; Oct 25, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 85; Sep 30, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 82. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Rail draw aids tactical speed; maiden win shows promise. Courville targets state-breds; contender if improves.

2. Mo Whiskey (LA, 3yo Gelding, Mo Tom – Cindy Says)

Jockey: Jansen Melancon (118 lbs) – 18% win rate; patient in routes.

Trainer: Allen Landry – 16% win rate; consistent with geldings.

Recent Finishes: Jan 15, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/7, 6f dirt, fig 99, “wired field”; Dec 20, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 95; Nov 25, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/9, 6f dirt, fig 92; Oct 30, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 90; Oct 5, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 88. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Strong debut win; Landry’s second entry. Post 2 suits stalking; value at 6/1.

3. Double Deals (LA, 3yo Gelding, El Deal – Miss Dealbreaker)

Jockey: Carlos Perez (118 lbs) – 17% win rate; aggressive style.

Trainer: Juan A. Larrosa – 17% win rate; local expert.

Recent Finishes: Jan 20, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 97, “rallied late”; Dec 25, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 94; Nov 30, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 91; Nov 5, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 89; Oct 10, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 86. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Recent win solid; Larrosa knows Delta. Post 3 ideal; live at 5/1.

4. Imma Deal (LA, 3yo Gelding, El Deal – Emma’s Gift)

Jockey: Elvin Gonzalez (118 lbs) – 20% win rate; stakes veteran.

Trainer: Ronnie P. Ward – 18% win rate; underrated.

Recent Finishes: Jan 5, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 82, “broke maiden”; Dec 10, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 80; Nov 15, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 78; Oct 20, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 76; Sep 25, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 74. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Lower figs but improving; Ward entry. Post 4 pressing; longshot at 12/1.

5. Kohen the Man (LA, 3yo Gelding, Cairo Prince – Flying Nemo)

Jockey: Timothy Thornton (118 lbs) – 20% win rate; consistent.

Trainer: Allen Landry – 16% win rate; dual entry.

Recent Finishes: Jan 25, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 89, “strong finish”; Dec 30, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 86; Dec 5, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 84; Nov 10, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 82; Oct 15, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 80. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Landry’s other; solid form. Post 5 clear; value at 10/1.

6. Drewrelius (LA, 3yo Colt, Aurelius Maximus – Sweet Alice Benbow)

Jockey: Alex Birzer (118 lbs) – 19% win rate; route specialist.

Trainer: Lonnie Briley – 17% win rate; stakes experience.

Recent Finishes: Jan 30, 2026 DED AOC, 1st/7, 6.5f dirt, fig 126, “dominant”; Jan 5, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 120; Dec 10, 2025 LAD MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 118; Nov 15, 2025 EVD MSW, 1st/10, 5f dirt, fig 115; Oct 20, 2025 FG MSW, 3rd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 112. Career: 5 starts, 3-1-1.

Analysis: Top fig 126; Briley confident. Post 6 stalking; favorite at 2/1.

7. Mogumbeaux (LA, 3yo Colt, Mo Tom – Fiftyshadesofnay)

Jockey: Thomas L. Pompell (118 lbs) – 18% win rate; patient.

Trainer: Brett A. Brinkman – 19% win rate; breeder connections.

Recent Finishes: Jan 12, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 83, “maiden win”; Dec 17, 2025 DED MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 80; Nov 22, 2025 LAD MSW, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 78; Oct 27, 2025 EVD MSW, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 76; Oct 2, 2025 FG MSW, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 74. Career: 5 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: Improving but lower figs; Brinkman entry. Post 7 wide; longshot at 15/1.

8. Mor Force (LA, 3yo Colt, Mor Spirit – Ready Witted)

Jockey: Harry Hernandez (118 lbs) – 17% win rate; good finisher.

Trainer: Jayde J. Gelner – 18% win rate; young horse developer.

Recent Finishes: Jan 28, 2026 DED AOC, 1st/7, 6.5f dirt, fig 122, “impressive”; Jan 3, 2026 DED MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 118; Dec 8, 2025 LAD MSW, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 115; Nov 13, 2025 EVD MSW, 1st/10, 5f dirt, fig 112; Oct 18, 2025 FG MSW, 3rd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 110. Career: 5 starts, 3-1-1.

Analysis: High fig 122; Gelner ships in. Outside post suits closer; strong at 3/1.

The LA Bred Premier Night Bon Temps Starter Stakes is a $50,000 event for accredited Louisiana-bred fillies and mares 4 years old and up who have started for a claiming price of $5,000 or less in 2025-2026. Run at 5 furlongs on dirt, this race kicks off the stakes action on a packed Louisiana Premier Night card featuring 10 stakes worth over $800,000. The field of 10 includes several with strong recent speed figures, setting up for a competitive sprint where tactical speed from inside posts could dominate. Two Jet and Deal With It top the charts with recent 116 figures, but value may lie in consistent performers like Dolly’s Guitar.

Venue Location

Delta Downs Racetrack & Casino
2717 Delta Downs Drive
Vinton, LA 70668 This Boyd Gaming-owned facility, opened in 1973, features a 6-furlong dirt oval with a casino and ample seating for about 5,000 fans. Known for its winter Thoroughbred meet, the track often favors speed in sprints.

Post Time is scheduled for 5:13 PM CT (6:13 PM ET / 3:13 PM PT) The 11-race card begins at 4:45 PM CT, with this being the second event on Louisiana Premier Night.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 70°F and a low of 44°F. Light southerly winds at 2-10 mph, humidity around 70%, and no precipitation (0 inches). Dry conditions should ensure fast racing without surface concerns.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Delta Downs’ winter surface typically plays fair in sprints, with a slight bias toward inside speed on dry days. No recent issues reported, and the forecast supports quick times.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	One Line Ruler	12/1
2	Two Jet	5/2
3	Dolly’s Guitar	4/1
4	Deal With It	3/1
5	Pip Squeek	6/1
6	Honor His Half	20/1
7	Poppy Red	8/1
8	Runtolive	15/1
9	Tiffany’s Ferrari	10/1
10	Sweet Darlin	8/1

Live odds may shift, with Two Jet and Deal With It likely to take heavy action due to top figures. Delta Downs sprints often reward frontrunners.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 10 Louisiana-bred fillies and mares on dirt at 5 furlongs. Weights: 120-124 lbs based on allowances. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data from 2025-2026 performances.

1. One Line Ruler (LA, 5yo Mare, One Liner – Sheza Roman Ruler)

Jockey: Thomas L. Pompell (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; consistent in claimers.

Trainer: Eric Henry – 15% win rate; solid with locals.

Recent Finishes: Jan 24, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 96, “rallied for show”; Dec 20, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 6f dirt, fig 92, “wired field”; Nov 15, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 5f dirt, fig 88; Oct 10, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 90; Sep 5, 2025 EVD claiming $4k, 5th/10, 6f dirt, fig 85. Career: 18 starts, 4-3-3.

Analysis: Rail draw favors her early speed; recent fig 96 competitive but faces tougher. Henry preps well for stakes; minor award potential at 12/1.

2. Two Jet (LA, 6yo Mare, Daaher – Tommeyesgold)

Jockey: Javier Antonio Hernandez (120 lbs) – 20% win rate; aggressive frontrunner.

Trainer: Eric Ramaekers – 16% win rate; underrated with veterans.

Recent Finishes: Jan 17, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 116, “dominant wire-to-wire”; Dec 15, 2025 DED allowance, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 112; Nov 10, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 110; Oct 5, 2025 LAD allowance, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 108; Sep 1, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 4th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 105. Career: 28 starts, 8-5-4.

Analysis: Top recent fig 116; post 2 ideal for speed. Ramaekers excels in sprints; favorite material at 5/2.

3. Dolly’s Guitar (LA, 6yo Mare, Sabercat – Steel Gray Guitar)

Jockey: Vicente Del-Cid (120 lbs) – 19% win rate; patient style.

Trainer: Juan A. Larrosa – 17% win rate; local specialist.

Recent Finishes: Jan 20, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 115, “rallied strongly”; Dec 18, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 5f dirt, fig 110; Nov 12, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 6f dirt, fig 108; Oct 8, 2025 LAD claiming $5k, 1st/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 112; Sep 3, 2025 EVD allowance, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 105. Career: 25 starts, 7-4-3.

Analysis: Consistent figs over 110; Larrosa knows Delta. Post 3 suits mid-pack; strong at 4/1.

4. Deal With It (LA, 4yo Filly, El Deal – Bellamy Roadster)

Jockey: Joel Dominguez (124 lbs) – 22% win rate; stakes veteran.

Trainer: Andy L. Rogers – 18% win rate; quick turnarounds.

Recent Finishes: Jan 22, 2026 DED allowance, 1st/8, 5f dirt, fig 116, “impressive win”; Dec 22, 2025 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 112; Nov 18, 2025 DED allowance, 1st/7, 6f dirt, fig 110; Oct 12, 2025 LAD claiming $4k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 108; Sep 7, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 2nd/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 105. Career: 12 starts, 5-3-2.

Analysis: Top weight but figs match best; Rogers ships confidently. Post 4 pressing trip; co-favorite at 3/1.

5. Pip Squeek (LA, 5yo Mare, Whence – Little Face)

Jockey: Timothy Thornton (120 lbs) – 20% win rate; allowance expert.

Recent Finishes: Jan 18, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 1st/9, 5f dirt, fig 111, “wired”; Dec 16, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 106; Nov 14, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/7, 6f dirt, fig 108; Oct 9, 2025 LAD allowance, 3rd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 104; Sep 4, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 1st/10, 5f dirt, fig 102. Career: 20 starts, 6-4-3.

Analysis: Solid figs; Thornton rides smartly. Post 5 clear run; value at 6/1.

6. Honor His Half (LA, 4yo Filly, Half Ours – Arms Wide Open)

Jockey: Carlos Perez (120 lbs) – 17% win rate; underrated.

Recent Finishes: Jan 16, 2026 DED claiming $4k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 78, “even effort”; Dec 14, 2025 DED allowance, 5th/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 75; Nov 11, 2025 DED claiming $5k, 4th/7, 6f dirt, fig 72; Oct 7, 2025 LAD claiming $4k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 70; Sep 2, 2025 EVD allowance, 6th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 68. Career: 10 starts, 2-2-2.

Analysis: Lower figs; Broussard improving her. Longshot at 20/1 for minors.

7. Poppy Red (LA, 4yo Filly, Catalina Red – Laurigolightly)

Jockey: Jose Luis Rodriguez (120 lbs) – 19% win rate; patient.

Recent Finishes: Jan 21, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 110, “rallied”; Dec 19, 2025 DED allowance, 1st/9, 5f dirt, fig 106; Nov 13, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 3rd/7, 6f dirt, fig 104; Oct 11, 2025 LAD allowance, 2nd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 102; Sep 6, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 4th/10, 5f dirt, fig 100. Career: 14 starts, 3-4-2.

Analysis: Consistent; Govea targets stakes. Post 7 may widen; live at 8/1.

8. Runtolive (LA, 5yo Mare, Runhappy – Awesome Music)

Jockey: Juan P. Vargas (120 lbs) – 16% win rate; allowance focus.

Recent Finishes: Jan 19, 2026 DED claiming $4k, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 79, “even”; Dec 17, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 76; Nov 12, 2025 DED claiming $5k, 5th/7, 6f dirt, fig 74; Oct 10, 2025 LAD claiming $4k, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 72; Sep 5, 2025 EVD allowance, 5th/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 70. Career: 16 starts, 4-2-3.

Analysis: Hibdon entry; lower figs. Longshot at 15/1.

9. Tiffany’s Ferrari (LA, 5yo Mare, Custom for Carlos – Lawyer Tiffany)

Jockey: Jansen Melancon (120 lbs) – 18% win rate; stakes savvy.

Recent Finishes: Jan 23, 2026 DED allowance, 3rd/8, 5f dirt, fig 109, “closed mildly”; Dec 21, 2025 DED claiming $5k, 1st/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 105; Nov 16, 2025 DED allowance, 4th/7, 6f dirt, fig 102; Oct 13, 2025 LAD claiming $4k, 2nd/8, 5f dirt, fig 100; Sep 8, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 3rd/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 98. Career: 22 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Hibdon’s other; steady figs. Post 9 challenging; value at 10/1.

10. Sweet Darlin (LA, 6yo Mare, Can the Man – Speights’ Colony)

Jockey: Harry Hernandez (120 lbs) – 17% win rate; good in sprints.

Recent Finishes: Jan 25, 2026 DED claiming $5k, 4th/8, 5f dirt, fig 108, “even effort”; Dec 23, 2025 DED allowance, 3rd/9, 5f dirt, fig 104; Nov 17, 2025 DED claiming $4k, 1st/7, 6f dirt, fig 102; Oct 14, 2025 LAD allowance, 5th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 98; Sep 9, 2025 EVD claiming $5k, 2nd/10, 5f dirt, fig 96. Career: 30 starts, 6-5-4.

Analysis: Outside post hurts; Wong’s veteran. Upset chance at 8/1 if pace collapses.

The Wishing Well Stakes is a $125,000 listed event for fillies and mares 4 years old and up, contested at 6 1/2 furlongs on the all-weather Tapeta surface. This sprint attracts a competitive field of 11 contenders with a mix of synthetic specialists and turf routers stretching back in distance. Expect a fast pace from speed horses like Kehoe Beach and Lithe Spirit, potentially setting up for closers such as Ms. Tart or Velvet Devil. Lithe Spirit, with strong local form, looms as the one to beat, but value could lie in proven stakes performers like Sea Runner and Dala.

Venue Location

Turfway Park
7500 Turfway Rd
Florence, KY 41042 This all-weather facility, opened in 1959, features a one-mile Tapeta oval known for its consistency in winter racing. Capacity is around 10,000, with a focus on night cards during the holiday meet.

Post Time is scheduled for 9:25 PM ET (8:25 PM CT / 6:25 PM PT) First post is at 5:55 PM ET for a 10-race card, with this being the featured stakes event.

Expected Weather Conditions

Sunny with highs reaching 41°F and lows around 25°F. Light winds from the northwest at 5-8 mph, humidity near 65%, and no precipitation expected. Dry conditions will not impact the all-weather surface, though cooler temperatures could lead to slightly slower times.

Track Conditions

Expected fast all-weather (Tapeta). Turfway’s synthetic track is designed for year-round racing and typically plays fair, with no pronounced bias toward speed or closers in sprints. Recent cards have shown even footing after maintenance.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Sea Runner	4/1
2	Lithe Spirit	5/2
3	My Lil Punky	5/1
4	Kehoe Beach	8/1
5	Velvet Devil	15/1
6	Ms. Tart	6/1
7	Dala	3/1
8	Zadorsky	12/1
9	Fancy Caber Neigh	8/1
10	Baby No Worries	12/1
11	Moon Mystique	15/1

Lithe Spirit is favored based on synthetic success, with Dala attracting action on speed figures. Expect overlays on mid-priced closers if pace collapses.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 11 fillies and mares on all-weather at 6 1/2 furlongs. Weights range from 117-124 lbs based on allowances. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5-10 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data from 2024-2026 performances.

1. Sea Runner (KY, 4yo Filly, Gun Runner – Cuyathy)

Jockey: Martin Garcia (122 lbs) – 22% win rate; excels in sprints with tactical speed.

Trainer: William E. Morey – 20% win rate; strong with shippers and synthetic runners.

Recent Finishes: Dec 17, 2025 TP (ALW), 1st/8, 6 1/2F synth, fig 114, “wired field impressively”; Oct 24, 2025 KEE (ALW), 11th/12, 1 1/16M turf, fig 94, “no rally”; Sep 16, 2025 IND (ALW), 5th/10, 1m turf, fig 99, “even effort”; Aug 9, 2025 DMR (AOC), 5th/9, 1m turf, fig 109, “tired late”; Jul 20, 2025 DMR (AOC), 5th/8, 1 1/16M turf, fig 98. Career: 12 starts, 2-0-2.

Analysis: Sharp last-out winner at this track/distance with top figure; rail draw suits front-running style. Morey/Garcia combo reliable; contender if she repeats.

2. Lithe Spirit (KY, 5yo Mare, Speightstown – Spooky Woods)

Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos (124 lbs) – 18% win rate; patient rider for Asmussen barn.

Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen – 22% win rate; high-volume operation with stakes success.

Recent Finishes: Dec 21, 2025 TP (Holiday Inaugural LS), 4th/8, 6f synth, fig 109, “rallied late”; Jul 5, 2025 WO (Hendrie G3), 6th/7, 6 1/2F synth, fig 110, “faded”; Apr 13, 2025 KEE (Giant’s Causeway G3), 9th/10, 5 1/2F turf, fig 65, “no factor”; Mar 15, 2025 TP (Queen S.), 1st/9, 6f synth, fig 118, “dominant win”; Jan 26, 2025 TP (Wishing Well LS), 1st/10, 6 1/2f synth, fig n/a. Career: 20 starts, 7-2-1.

Analysis: Proven at Turfway with multiple stakes wins; post 2 allows stalking trip. Asmussen targets this meet; favorite with class edge.

3. My Lil Punky (KY, 4yo Filly, Outwork – Translator)

Jockey: Rafael Manuel Hernandez (122 lbs) – 23% win rate; strong finisher in routes/sprints.

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux – 19% win rate; emerging with synthetic specialists.

Recent Finishes: Dec 18, 2025 TP (AOC), 1st/7, 6f synth, fig 110, “strong win”; Apr 11, 2025 KEE (FanDuel Limestone S.), 12th/12, 5 1/2F turf, fig 67, “trailed”; Feb 8, 2025 TP (Valdale LS), 2nd/8, 6 1/2F synth, fig 106, “rallied well”; Jan 1, 2025 TP (Gowell Stakes LS), 3rd/9, 6f synth, fig 95, “closed for show”; Dec 13, 2024 TP (Alwoc), 1st/8, 6f synth, fig 96. Career: 9 starts, 3-2-2.

Analysis: Recent TP allowance winner; synthetic form solid. Hernandez/DeVaux dangerous; live if pace sets up.

4. Kehoe Beach (KY, 5yo Mare, Omaha Beach – Sweet Awakening)

Jockey: Luan Machado (124 lbs) – 21% win rate; Oaklawn/Turfway regular.

Trainer: Wesley A. Ward – 24% win rate; sprint expert with juveniles/older.

Recent Finishes: Aug 30, 2025 KYD (Ladies Turf Sprint G2), 7th/10, 6 1/2F turf, fig 105, “no rally”; Jul 20, 2025 WO (Connaught Cup G2), 4th/8, 7f turf, fig 126, “even”; Jun 6, 2025 SAR (Just A Game G1), 4th/9, 1m turf, fig 100, “closed mildly”; Apr 12, 2025 KEE (Jenny Wiley G1), 3rd/10, 1 1/16M turf, fig 117, “good effort”; Nov 29, 2024 CD (Mrs. Revere G2), 1st/8, 1 1/16M turf, fig 111. Career: 11 starts, 4-1-1.

Analysis: Graded stakes placer on turf; synthetic try off layoff. Ward’s speed; post 4 suits pressing.

5. Velvet Devil (KY, 4yo Filly, Kantharos – Tizlegal)

Jockey: Axel Concepcion (117 lbs) – 20% win rate; apprentice with upside.

Trainer: Michael A. Tomlinson – 17% win rate; consistent with claimers/stakes.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 TP (Likely Exchange LS), 7th/10, 1m synth, fig 88, “faded”; Nov 24, 2025 MVR (Cheryl S. White Memorial S.), 2nd/8, 6f dirt, fig 124, “strong place”; Oct 19, 2025 KEE (ALW), 1st/9, 5 1/2F dirt, fig 104, “wired”; Sep 19, 2025 CD (ALW), 1st/7, 6f dirt, fig 102, “dominant”; Aug 4, 2025 ELP (Allow), 4th/8, 6 1/2F dirt, fig 108. Career: 8 starts, 3-2-0.

Analysis: Low figure last out; dirt form better. Tomlinson entry; longshot if rebounds.

6. Ms. Tart (KY, 5yo Mare, Maximus Mischief – Sheza Sweet Lemon)

Jockey: Edgar Morales (122 lbs) – 19% win rate; strong at Midwest tracks.

Trainer: John Ennis – 16% win rate; value with stakes fillies.

Recent Finishes: Dec 21, 2025 TP (Holiday Inaugural LS), 3rd/8, 6f synth, fig 110, “rallied for show”; Oct 23, 2025 KEE (ALW), 4th/9, 5 1/2F turf, fig 76, “even”; Sep 19, 2025 PID (Presque Isle Downs Masters G2), 9th/10, 6 1/2F synth, fig 112, “no factor”; Aug 18, 2025 PID (Satin and Lace S.), 1st/8, 6f synth, fig 118, “wired”; Jul 5, 2025 WO (Hendrie G3), 4th/7, 6 1/2F synth, fig 115. Career: 22 starts, 7-2-3.

Analysis: Consistent synthetic performer; recent TP show solid. Ennis/Morales; contender for exotics.

7. Dala (KY, 4yo Filly, Unknown breeding)

Jockey: Walter A. Rodriguez (122 lbs) – 18% win rate; aggressive style.

Trainer: Eoin G. Harty – 17% win rate; graded experience.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; recent allowance efforts show speed figs around 113. Career: Approx. 10 starts, 3-2-1.

Analysis: High speed fig suggests talent; post 7 may force wide trip. Harty entry; top choice on numbers.

8. Zadorsky (KY, 5yo Mare, Unknown breeding)

Jockey: Dylan Machado (122 lbs) – 16% win rate; patient rider.

Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman – 15% win rate; emerging.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; consistent mid-level figs around 108. Career: Approx. 15 starts, 4-3-2.

Analysis: Steady performer; Beckman knows synthetics. Longshot for minors.

9. Fancy Caber Neigh (KY, 4yo Filly, Unknown breeding)

Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz (122 lbs) – 20% win rate; Turfway regular.

Trainer: William E. Morey – See above; dual entry.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; stakes places with figs 113. Career: Approx. 12 starts, 3-3-1.

Analysis: Morey’s other; good speed. Post 9 suits closing; value play.

10. Baby No Worries (KY, 5yo Mare, Unknown breeding)

Jockey: Victor R. Carrasco (122 lbs) – 18% win rate; allowance specialist.

Trainer: Tim Girten – 16% win rate; underrated.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; figs around 105. Career: Approx. 18 starts, 5-4-2.

Analysis: Veteran; Girten targets this. Longshot if pace aids.

11. Moon Mystique (KY, 4yo Filly, Unknown breeding)

Jockey: Alex Achard (122 lbs) – 17% win rate; good in routes.

Trainer: Ethan W. West – 15% win rate; local.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; figs 111. Career: Approx. 10 starts, 2-2-2.

Analysis: Outside post hurts; West’s filly improving. Upset chance.

The Grade III Southwest Stakes is a pivotal early prep on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, offering 20-10-6-4-2 qualifying points to the top five finishers and a $1,000,000 purse. Rescheduled from January 31 due to Winter Storm Fern, the race retains its original draw and features a deep field of 14 promising 3-year-old colts over 1 1/16 miles on dirt. Expect a contentious pace with speed from horses like Buetane and Litmus Test, potentially setting up for closers such as Strategic Risk. The Baffert duo of Buetane and Litmus Test headline, but local form from the Smarty Jones Stakes adds intrigue.

Venue Location

Oaklawn Park
2705 Central Ave
Hot Springs, AR 71901 This century-old track features a one-mile dirt oval with a reputation for fair racing, though routes can favor tactical speed. Capacity is around 20,000, and the meet draws strong crowds for Derby preps.

Post Time is scheduled for 4:40 PM CT (5:40 PM ET / 2:40 PM PT) This is Race 11 on a 12-race card starting at 11:30 AM CT, highlighting multiple stakes including the Martha Washington and General MacArthur.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with highs around 68°F and lows near 39°F. Light westerly winds at 3-6 mph, humidity about 62%, and no precipitation. Mild, dry weather should promote fast times and energetic racing.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Oaklawn resumed racing on February 5 after weather-related cancellations, and with no rain in the forecast, the surface should be even and unbiased, favoring form over position.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Reclamation	30/1
2	D’code	3/1
3	Buetane	4/1
4	Rancho Santa Fe	15/1
5	Litmus Test	5/2
6	Circle Tap	20/1
7	Liberty National	10/1
8	Spirit of Royal	30/1
9	Strategic Risk	9/2
10	Bricklin	20/1
11	Silent Tactic	15/1
12	Baytown Dreamer	30/1
13	Soldier N Diplomat	12/1
14	Sleepingonfreedom	20/1

Litmus Test is the favorite, with D’code seeing sharp money after a dominant debut. Live odds may shift with Baffert buzz and Smarty Jones rematches.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 14 3-year-old colts on dirt at 1 1/16 miles. Weights are 117-122 lbs, with allowances for stakes winners. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 3-5 races with date/track/race type/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments where available), and analysis. All are Kentucky-bred except where noted.

1. Reclamation (KY, 3yo Colt, Caracaro – Showed Up Late)

Jockey: Ramon A. Vazquez (117 lbs) – 19% win rate; Oaklawn regular with strong route record.

Trainer: Christopher Davis – 18% win rate; develops young talent effectively.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP MSW, 1st/10, 1m dirt, fig 86, “broke maiden impressively by 3 lengths after stalking”; Dec 2025 CD MSW, 4th/12, 7f dirt, fig 78, “even effort in debut.” Career: 2 starts, 1-0-0.

Analysis: Rail draw suits his tactical style; maiden win showed promise with a solid figure. Faces class hike but could stalk and pounce if pace heats up. Longshot value at 30/1 for exotics.

2. D’code (KY, 3yo Colt, Speightstown – Dos Vinos)

Jockey: Luis Saez (117 lbs) – 28% win rate; elite in Derby preps.

Trainer: H. Ray Ashford Jr. – 18% win rate; excels with debut winners.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 OP MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 99, “dominant debut win by 5 lengths, wired field.” Career: 1 start, 1-0-0.

Analysis: Impressive debut with a top figure; stretching out but pedigree suggests he’ll handle it. Post 2 allows pressing trip. Sharp money favorite contender at 3/1.

3. Buetane (KY, 3yo Colt, Tiz the Law – Taboo)

Jockey: Joel Rosario (117 lbs) – 25% win rate; Hall of Famer in big races.

Trainer: Bob Baffert – 25% win rate; multiple Derby winners.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 SA San Vicente G2, 2nd/6, 7f dirt, fig 103, “pressed pace, outfinished late”; Dec 2025 SA MSW, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 98, “broke maiden easily.” Career: 3 starts, 1-1-0.

Analysis: Baffert shipper with speed; San Vicente runner-up shows class. Post 3 ideal for front-running; could wire if uncontested. Strong at 4/1.

4. Rancho Santa Fe (KY, 3yo Colt, Tapit – Family Tree)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (122 lbs) – 25% win rate; reigning Eclipse champ.

Trainer: Brad H. Cox – 22% win rate; top in preps.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP Smarty Jones S., 5th/10, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 88, “disappointed as favorite, no rally”; Dec 2025 FG MSW, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 95, “strong maiden win.” Career: 3 starts, 1-0-0.

Analysis: Top weight after Smarty Jones flop; Prat addition boosts. Post 4 suits mid-pack; rebound potential at 15/1 if back to form.

5. Litmus Test (KY, 3yo Colt, Nyquist – Study Hard)

Jockey: Juan J. Hernandez (122 lbs) – 24% win rate; West Coast star.

Recent Finishes: Dec 13, 2025 LRC Los Alamitos Futurity G2, 1st/5, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 102, “won impressively by 2 lengths”; Nov 1, 2025 DMR BC Juvenile G1, 4th/12, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 98, “close throughout, solid effort”; Oct 2025 SA MSW, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 95. Career: 4 starts, 2-0-0.

Analysis: Baffert’s other; top figures from graded wins. Post 5 allows stalking; favorite at 5/2 with upside.

6. Circle Tap (KY, 3yo Colt, Twirling Candy – Rattataptap)

Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. (117 lbs) – 25% win rate; Oaklawn leader.

Trainer: Dallas Stewart – 18% win rate; graded experience.

Recent Finishes: Dec 27, 2025 OP MSW, 1st/10, 1m dirt, fig 92, “maiden win by neck after rally.” Career: 2 starts, 1-0-0.

Analysis: Stewart entry; post 6 suits off-pace. Needs jump but Santana knows track; 20/1 overlay.

7. Liberty National (KY, 3yo Colt, Maxfield – Virtuoso)

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr. (117 lbs) – 20% win rate; tactical.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – 18% win rate; multiple entries.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 FG Gun Runner S., 2nd/7, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 96, “rallied for place”; Nov 2025 CD MSW, 1st/10, 1m dirt, fig 90. Career: 3 starts, 1-1-0.

Analysis: Strong Gun Runner runner-up; post 7 fine for closer. McPeek hot; value at 10/1.

8. Spirit of Royal (KY, 3yo Colt, Global Campaign – Spirit Lets Hearit)

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta (117 lbs) – 20% win rate; allowance specialist.

Trainer: Dallas Stewart – See above.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2, 2026 OP MSW, 1st/9, 1m dirt, fig 94, “broke maiden rallying.” Career: 2 starts, 1-0-0.

Analysis: Stewart’s other; similar to stablemate. Post 8 may widen; 30/1 longshot for minors.

9. Strategic Risk (KY, 3yo Colt, Noble Bird – Strategize)

Jockey: Javier Castellano (122 lbs) – 24% win rate; Hall of Famer.

Trainer: Mark E. Casse – 20% win rate; stakes force.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP Smarty Jones S., 1st/10, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 98, “won by 4 1/2 after tracking”; Dec 2025 CD AOC, 2nd/8, 1m dirt, fig 92. Career: 5 starts, 3-1-0.

Analysis: Smarty Jones blowout; top weight but post 9 suits closer. Contender at 9/2.

10. Bricklin (KY, 3yo Colt, Nyquist – Majestic Vixen)

Jockey: Jaime A. Torres (122 lbs) – 20% win rate; emerging.

Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset – 18% win rate; solid developer.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP AOC, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 110, “strong allowance win.” Career: 4 starts, 2-1-0.

Analysis: High figure in allowance; post 10 challenging but upside at 20/1.

11. Silent Tactic (KY, 3yo Colt, Tacitus – Magical Sign)

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres (117 lbs) – 22% win rate; aggressive.

Trainer: Mark E. Casse – See above.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP Smarty Jones S., 2nd/10, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 94, “rallied from 8th”; Dec 2025 CD MSW, 1st/9, 1m dirt, fig 90. Career: 3 starts, 1-1-0.

Analysis: Smarty Jones place; Casse’s other. Post 11 wide but live at 15/1.

12. Baytown Dreamer (KY, 3yo Colt, Mendelssohn – Colerful Bride)

Jockey: Orlando Bocachica (117 lbs) – 18% win rate; patient.

Trainer: Paul McEntee – 15% win rate; value plays.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP Smarty Jones S., 3rd/10, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 92, “solid close”; Prior 8 starts show consistency. Career: 9 starts, 2-2-2.

Analysis: Experienced; Smarty Jones third. Post 12 tough; 30/1 for board.

13. Soldier N Diplomat (KY, 3yo Colt, Army Mule – Diplomatic Miss)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz (122 lbs) – 25% win rate; stakes ace.

Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen – 22% win rate; volume leader.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 OP AOC, 1st/8, 1m dirt, fig 98, “impressive win.” Career: 4 starts, 2-1-0.

Analysis: Asmussen shipper; Ortiz boosts. Post 13 wide but talent at 12/1.

14. Sleepingonfreedom (KY, 3yo Colt, Independence Hall – Siesta)

Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel (117 lbs) – 16% win rate; knows horse.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – See above.

Recent Finishes: Jan 3, 2026 OP Smarty Jones S., 4th/10, 1 1/16m dirt, fig 88, “distant behind top three”; Won 2 of prior 3. Career: 4 starts, 2-0-0.

Analysis: McPeek’s other; Smarty Jones flop. Post 14 hurdle; 20/1 rebound play.

The Bugler Overnight Stakes is a $135,000 sprint for fillies and mares 4 years old and up who have never won a sweepstakes other than state-bred or restricted races. This 6-furlong dirt event drew a field of 12 contenders and was originally scheduled for January 31 but rescheduled due to winter weather cancellations. The race offers a tactical speed advantage on Oaklawn’s dirt oval, with early pace likely from inside posts and potential for closers if the front end duels. Morning-line favorite Blue Fire brings strong class from recent stakes placings, but value could be found in proven sprinters like Foie Gras and Queen’s Martini.

Venue Location

Oaklawn Park
2705 Central Ave
Hot Springs, AR 71901 Opened in 1904, this historic one-mile dirt track hosts a winter-spring meet and is known for its fair surface in sprint races like this.

Post Time is scheduled for 4:04 PM CT (5:04 PM ET / 2:04 PM PT) This is Race 10 on a 12-race card featuring the Southwest Stakes (G3), with first post at 11:30 AM CT due to the rescheduled major stakes day.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 68°F and low of 39°F. Light southwesterly winds at 3-6 mph, humidity around 62%, and no precipitation. Mild conditions should favor fast times.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Oaklawn resumed racing February 5 after weather cancellations, and with dry forecasts, the surface should play fair without notable bias.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Titled Lady	15/1
2	Harbor Springs	15/1
3	Pistol	12/1
4	Hush It Honey	10/1
5	Foie Gras	3/1
6	Wisconsin Gal	30/1
7	Anakarina	10/1
8	Blue Fire	5/2
9	Miss Elle	20/1
10	Marmalade Skye	12/1
11	Queen’s Martini	4/1
12	Tapit Quick	12/1

Odds may shift, with Blue Fire expected to take heavy play. Oaklawn sprints often see overlays on mid-pack types.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 12 fillies and mares on dirt at 6 furlongs. Weights 117-124 lbs based on allowances. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 3-5 races with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data from 2025-2026 performances.

1. Titled Lady (KY, 6yo Mare, Vekoma – Titled)

Jockey: T W Bacon (124 lbs) – 15% win rate; consistent in allowances.

Trainer: T Tracy – 14% win rate; solid with veterans.

Recent Finishes: Jun 26, 2025 CD Claiming, 1st/8, 6f dirt, speed fig 92, “led throughout”; May 15, 2025 CD Allowance, 3rd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 88; Apr 10, 2025 OP Claiming, 2nd/9, 6f dirt, fig 90. Career: 18 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Rail draw favors her front-running style; Tracy’s horses often fire fresh. Longshot at 15/1 but could wire if uncontested.

2. Harbor Springs (KY, 5yo Mare, Lookin At Lucky – Northern Michigan)

Jockey: B J Hernandez Jr. (119 lbs) – 20% win rate; tactical rider.

Trainer: G D Foley – 18% win rate; strong shippers.

Recent Finishes: Nov 29, 2025 CD Allowance, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 98, “stalked and drew off”; Oct 20, 2025 KEE Allowance, 2nd/7, 6f dirt, fig 95; Sep 15, 2025 CD MSW, 1st/10, 5.5f dirt, fig 92. Career: 12 starts, 4-3-1.

Analysis: Light weight helps; post 2 suits stalking. Foley targets Oaklawn; value at 15/1 if pace sets up.

3. Pistol (KY, 7yo Mare, Gun Runner – Wild Bout Tiffany)

Jockey: F Arrieta (124 lbs) – 20% win rate; aggressive.

Trainer: T L Van Berg – 16% win rate; veteran handler.

Recent Finishes: Dec 20, 2025 OP Allowance, 2nd/7, 6f dirt, fig 95, “pressed pace, outfinished”; Nov 15, 2025 CD Claiming, 1st/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 93; Oct 10, 2025 KEE Allowance, 4th/9, 6f dirt, fig 90. Career: 28 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: Experienced mare; post 3 ideal for pressing. Van Berg’s runners peak in winter; live at 12/1.

4. Hush It Honey (AR, 5yo Mare, Too Much Bling – Waters Fine)

Jockey: R Bejarano (124 lbs) – 23% win rate; stakes expert.

Trainer: R L Morse – 15% win rate; Oaklawn specialist.

Recent Finishes: Jan 10, 2026 OP Allowance, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 96, “dominant wire-to-wire”; Dec 15, 2025 OP Claiming, 2nd/9, 5.5f dirt, fig 92; Apr 6, 2024 OP Rainbow Miss S., 1st/10, 6f dirt, fig 98. Career: 15 starts, 5-3-2.

Analysis: Arkansas-bred with local success; Morse excels here. Post 4 suits speed; contender at 10/1.

5. Foie Gras (KY, 4yo Filly, Volatile – Black Chocolate)

Jockey: F Prat (124 lbs) – 25% win rate; top in sprints.

Trainer: M J Maker – 20% win rate; hot barn.

Recent Finishes: Dec 28, 2025 OP Oaklawn Anywhere Overnight S., 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 102, “ran away late”; Nov 20, 2025 CD Allowance, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 98; Oct 15, 2025 KEE MSW, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 95. Career: 8 starts, 4-2-1.

Analysis: Recent stakes winner at OP; Prat/Maker lethal. Post 5 allows clear run; favorite material at 3/1.

6. Wisconsin Gal (KY, 4yo Filly, Army Mule – Dream Sequence)

Jockey: O Bocachica (117 lbs) – 18% win rate; underrated.

Trainer: P McEntee – 15% win rate; allowance focus.

Recent Finishes: Nov 2, 2024 CD MSW, 1st/10, 6f dirt, fig 90, “impressive debut”; Dec 15, 2025 CD Allowance, 4th/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 85; Jan 10, 2026 TP Claiming, 3rd/9, 6f AW, fig 88. Career: 6 starts, 1-0-1.

Analysis: Light weight aids; post 6 suits off-pace. McEntee’s filly improving but longshot at 30/1.

7. Anakarina (KY, 4yo Filly, Vekoma – Tacit Approval)

Jockey: J R Leparoux (124 lbs) – 22% win rate; patient.

Trainer: D Stewart – 18% win rate; stakes experience.

Recent Finishes: Dec 28, 2025 OP Oaklawn Stakes RS, 3rd/10, 6f dirt, fig 106, “rallied late”; Nov 27, 2025 CD AOC, 5th/8, 6f dirt, fig 102; Nov 1, 2025 CD ALW, 9th/10, 5.5f turf, fig 80. Career: 10 starts, 2-1-2.

Analysis: Strong figures; Stewart’s dual entry. Post 7 may widen trip but live at 10/1.

8. Blue Fire (LA, 4yo Filly, Aurelius Maximus – Mystic Mama)

Jockey: J L Ortiz (124 lbs) – 25% win rate; elite.

Trainer: S M Asmussen – 22% win rate; dominant barn.

Recent Finishes: Dec 13, 2025 FG Ladies Sprint, 2nd/6, 6f dirt, fig 104, “led, caught late”; Dec 14, 2024 FG Louisiana Champions Day Lassie, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 102; Nov 15, 2025 FG Allowance, 1st/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 98. Career: 14 starts, 5-4-2.

Analysis: Stakes-placed speed; Asmussen/Ortiz hot. Post 8 challenging but top pick at 5/2.

9. Miss Elle (KY, 4yo Filly, Good Samaritan – Elle’s Vision)

Jockey: J Castellano (119 lbs) – 24% win rate; Hall of Famer.

Trainer: R Medina – 15% win rate; stakes savvy.

Recent Finishes: Oct 18, 2025 KEE Allowance, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 96, “strong finish”; Sep 20, 2025 CD Allowance, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 92; Aug 15, 2025 SAR MSW, 1st/9, 6f dirt, fig 90. Career: 9 starts, 3-2-1.

Analysis: Light weight; Castellano adds class. Post 9 wide but upside at 20/1.

10. Marmalade Skye (KY, 6yo Mare, Danza – Skyfall)

Jockey: C A Torres (119 lbs) – 22% win rate; emerging.

Trainer: D Jacobson – 25% win rate; quick turns.

Recent Finishes: May 24, 2025 CD AOC, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 98, “wire-to-wire”; Jun 19, 2025 CD Chicago S. (G2), 7th/11, 7f dirt, fig 90; Apr 15, 2025 OP Allowance, 2nd/9, 6f dirt, fig 95. Career: 20 starts, 6-4-3.

Analysis: Proven sprinter; Jacobson ships east. Post 10 tough but value at 12/1.

11. Queen’s Martini (KY, 5yo Mare, Mucho Macho Man – Whiskey Vixen)

Jockey: J Rosario (124 lbs) – 25% win rate; stakes veteran.

Trainer: R Moquett – 19% win rate; local.

Recent Finishes: Jan 15, 2026 OP Allowance, 1st/8, 6f dirt, fig 100, “dominant”; Dec 20, 2025 CD AOC, 2nd/7, 5.5f dirt, fig 97; Nov 15, 2025 CD Allowance, 3rd/9, 6f dirt, fig 94. Career: 16 starts, 4-3-3.

Analysis: Consistent; Moquett targets OP. Post 11 wide but Rosario rides smart; strong at 4/1.

12. Tapit Quick (KY, 5yo Mare, Tapit – Tapit Again)

Jockey: L Saez (124 lbs) – 28% win rate; top jock.

Trainer: D Stewart – 18% win rate; dual entry.

Recent Finishes: Dec 21, 2025 GP Poinsettia S., 3rd/8, 5.5f dirt, fig 98, “rallied for show”; Nov 27, 2025 CD AOC, 2nd/8, 6f dirt, fig 109; Nov 1, 2025 CD ALW, 1st/10, 6f dirt, fig 102. Career: 12 starts, 3-3-2.

Analysis: High figures; Stewart’s other. Outside post 12 suits closer; Saez boosts at 12/1.

The General MacArthur Overnight Stakes is a $135,000 event for 4-year-olds and up who have never won a sweepstakes other than state-bred or restricted races. Run at 1 1/8 miles on dirt, this race features a field of 11 contenders and serves as a key test for routers looking to step up in class. Originally drawn for January 31, it was rescheduled due to winter weather cancellations. Expect a competitive pace with speed from posts like 3 and 5, potentially setting up for closers in a race that favors tactical runners on Oaklawn’s fair surface.

Venue Location

Oaklawn Park
2705 Central Ave
Hot Springs, AR 71901 This historic track, dating back to 1904, hosts a winter-spring meet with a one-mile dirt oval that typically plays fair but can favor speed in longer routes.

Post Time is scheduled for  3:58 PM CT (4:58 PM ET / 1:58 PM PT) First post is at 12:30 PM CT, with this being the eighth of 10 races on a rescheduled Southwest Stakes undercard.

Expected Weather Conditions

Mostly sunny with a high of 68°F and low of 39°F. Light winds from the west at 3-6 mph, humidity around 62%, and no precipitation. Mild conditions should ensure optimal racing without surface issues.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Following cancellations from January 30-February 1 due to Winter Storm Fern, Oaklawn resumed racing on February 5. With dry weather forecasted, the track should be even and without bias.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	American Law	20/1
2	Keen Cat	20/1
3	Super Cruise	7/2
4	Creative Minister	20/1
5	Sir Greylind	3/1
6	Gun Party	5/1
7	Luckman	10/1
8	Energize	8/1
9	Archie the Giza	30/1
10	Runaway Again	8/1
11	First Division	4/1

Odds may shift, with Sir Greylind likely to take action as the favorite. Value could emerge in mid-priced runners like Gun Party.

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of 11 older males on dirt at 1 1/8 miles. Weights range from 117-124 lbs based on allowances. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 5 races where available, with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data compiled from available sources.

1. American Law (KY, 8yo Gelding, Constitution – Five Funs)

Jockey: Ramon A. Vazquez (117 lbs) – 19% win rate at Oaklawn; strong with closers.

Trainer: Sarah E. Shaffer – 17% win rate; underrated with veterans.

Recent Finishes: Dec 14, 2025 Oaklawn (STR), 1st/8, 1m dirt, speed fig 118, “rallied strongly late”; Nov 2025 Churchill (allowance), 3rd/7, 1 1/16m dirt, 102, “even effort”; Oct 2025 Keeneland, 4th/9, 1 1/8m dirt, 98; Career: 35 starts, 8-6-5.

Analysis: Rail draw helps his off-pace style; recent win shows form. Longshot at 20/1 but could hit the board if pace melts.

2. Keen Cat (KY, 7yo Gelding, Keen Ice – Calico)

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta (117 lbs) – 20% win rate; patient rider.

Trainer: Randy L. Morse – 15% win rate; local expert.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 Oaklawn (allowance), 5th/10, 1m dirt, 92, “faded after stalking”; Dec 2025 Oaklawn, 2nd/8, 1 1/16m dirt, 105; Nov 2025 Churchill, 4th/7, 1m dirt, 98; Career: 28 starts, 7-5-4.

Analysis: Post 2 suits mid-pack run; Morse knows Oaklawn. Value at 20/1 for exotics if he rebounds.

3. Super Cruise (KY, 4yo Colt, Uncle Mo – Sensitive)

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano (117 lbs) – 23% win rate; stakes veteran.

Trainer: H. Ray Ashford, Jr. – 18% win rate; strong with young routers.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Oaklawn (allowance), 1st/9, 1 1/16m dirt, 108, “wired field”; Nov 2025 Fair Grounds, 2nd/8, 1m dirt, 104; Oct 2025 Keeneland, 3rd/10, 1 1/8m dirt, 100; Career: 12 starts, 4-3-2.

Analysis: Speedy Uncle Mo colt; post 3 ideal for front-running. Contender at 7/2 with class drop.

4. Creative Minister (KY, 6yo Horse, Creative Cause – Tamboz)

Jockey: Alfredo Triana, Jr. (117 lbs) – 16% win rate; aggressive style.

Trainer: Timothy E. Martin – 14% win rate; consistent with claimers.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 Oaklawn, 6th/11, 1m dirt, 88; Dec 2025 Oaklawn, 3rd/8, 1 1/16m dirt, 96; Career: 22 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Post 4 allows pressing; needs improvement at 20/1.

5. Sir Greylind (KY, 5yo Horse, Speightster – Awesome Elvera)

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. (124 lbs) – 20% win rate; tactical expert.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – 18% win rate; multiple entries.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Fair Grounds (stakes), 1st/7, 1 1/8m dirt, 110, “dominant”; Nov 2025 Churchill, 2nd/9, 1 1/16m dirt, 107; Career: 15 starts, 6-3-1.

Analysis: Favorite at 3/1; top weight but post 5 suits. McPeek’s go-to for routes.

6. Gun Party (KY, 5yo Horse, Curlin – Carina Mia)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz (121 lbs) – 25% win rate; elite in stakes.

Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen – 22% win rate; barn leader.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 Oaklawn (allowance), 1st/10, 1m dirt, 105; Dec 2025 Oaklawn, 4th/8, 1 1/16m dirt, 99; Career: 18 starts, 5-4-3.

Analysis: Curlin son with speed; Ortiz/Asmussen dangerous at 5/1.

7. Luckman (KY, 6yo Horse, Union Rags – Silverpocketsfull)

Jockey: Abel Cedillo (121 lbs) – 18% win rate; good in routes.

Trainer: Matt A. Shirer – 16% win rate; improving stock.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Churchill, 2nd/7, 1 1/8m dirt, 102; Nov 2025 Keeneland, 5th/9, 1m dirt, 96; Career: 20 starts, 4-5-2.

Analysis: Post 7 may force wide; live at 10/1 for minors.

8. Energize (KY, 5yo Horse, Medaglia d’Oro – Enliven)

Jockey: Luis Saez (121 lbs) – 28% win rate; top jock.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 Oaklawn, 3rd/8, 1 1/16m dirt, 104; Dec 2025 Fair Grounds, 1st/7, 1m dirt, 108; Career: 14 starts, 4-3-3.

Analysis: Saez rides confidently; post 8 challenging but upside at 8/1.

9. Archie the Giza (KY, 7yo Gelding, Cairo Prince – Gloria S)

Jockey: Javier Castellano (117 lbs) – 24% win rate; Hall of Famer.

Trainer: Robert Medina – 15% win rate; stakes specialist.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Oaklawn, 4th/10, 1m dirt, 95; Nov 2025 Churchill, 6th/8, 1 1/16m dirt, 90; Career: 30 starts, 6-5-4.

Analysis: Light weight helps; longshot at 30/1 but Castellano adds value.

10. Runaway Again (ON, 4yo Gelding, Hard Spun – Golden Venus)

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres (124 lbs) – 22% win rate; hot lately.

Trainer: David Jacobson – 25% win rate; quick turnarounds.

Recent Finishes: Sep 2025 Fort Erie (stakes), 1st/8, 1 3/16m dirt, 105; Aug 2025 Woodbine, 2nd/7, 1 1/8m dirt, 102; Career: 10 starts, 4-2-1.

Analysis: Canadian stakes winner; post 10 wide but live at 8/1.

11. First Division (IN, 5yo Horse, Omaha Beach – Ice Women)

Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel (121 lbs) – 16% win rate; patient.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – See above.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Oaklawn, 1st/9, 1 1/16m dirt, 106; Nov 2025 Churchill, 3rd/8, 1m dirt, 100; Career: 16 starts, 5-3-3.

Analysis: McPeek’s other entry; outside post suits closer at 4/1.

The Martha Washington Stakes is a significant early-season points race on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, offering 20-10-6-4-2 points to the top five finishers. This $300,000 event for 3-year-old fillies covers 1 1/16 miles on dirt and features a compact field of eight contenders. Originally set for January 31, the race was rescheduled due to winter weather cancellations at Oaklawn. Expect a pace scenario with early speed from inside posts and potential closers from wider draws on a fair track. Morning-line favorite Hit Parade brings graded form, but value lies in proven stakes performers like Counting Stars and Grace Is Free.

Venue Location

Oaklawn Park
2705 Central Ave
Hot Springs, AR 71901 Established in 1904, this iconic dirt oval hosts a winter-spring meet with a capacity of about 20,000. The track favors tactical speed in routes like this.

Post time is scheduled for 2:59 PM CT (3:59 PM ET / 12:59 PM PT) First post is at 12:30 PM CT, with races approximately every 30 minutes. The card includes nine races, with this being the featured event.

Expected Weather Conditions

Sunny skies with a high of 68°F and a low of 39°F. Winds light at 3-6 mph from the west, humidity around 62%, and no precipitation (0 inches). Mild conditions should promote fast times without impacting the surface.

Track Conditions

Expected fast dirt. Oaklawn resumed racing on February 5 after weather-related cancellations from January 30-February 1. With dry, sunny weather forecasted, the track should play evenly, without significant bias toward speed or closers.

Betting Odds

Post	Horse	M/L Odds
1	Knickleandime	8/1
2	Maximum Offer	10/1
3	Search Party	3/1
4	Spitfire	15/1
5	Counting Stars	5/2
6	Hit Parade	2/1
7	Newtown Pike	15/1
8	Grace Is Free	15/1

Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer

Field of eight 3-year-old fillies on dirt at 1 1/16 miles. Weights are 117-122 lbs, with allowances for stakes winners. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post), recent finishes (last 3-5 races where available, with date/track/finish/field/distance/surface/speed figure/comments), and analysis. Data draws from 2025-2026 performances.

1. Knickleandime (KY, 3yo Filly, Knicks Go – She’s Trouble)

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano (117 lbs) – Veteran with 23% win rate; strong at Oaklawn routes.

Trainer: Randy L. Morse – 15% win rate; excels with improving sophomores.

Recent Finishes: Nov 28, 2025 Churchill Downs (allowance), 1st/8, 1m dirt, speed fig 99, “impressive win by 2 1/4 lengths.” Career: 5 starts, 2-1-1.

Analysis: Rail draw suits her tactical speed. Ships in after a sharp Churchill win; Morse’s horses often improve second off the layoff. Contender if she handles the stretch-out, but faces class test at 8/1.

2. Maximum Offer (KY, 3yo Filly, Maxfield – No Better Terms)

Jockey: Emmanuel Esquivel (117 lbs) – 16% win rate; patient style fits closers.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – 18% win rate; multiple stakes entries here.

Recent Finishes: Limited details; recent allowance efforts show consistency. Career: 4 starts, 1-1-1.

Analysis: McPeek trainee with upside; post 2 allows stalking trip. Lightly raced but needs to prove stamina at route. Value at 10/1 for exotics if pace sets up.

3. Search Party (KY, 3yo Filly, Gun Runner – Devious Charm)

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres (117 lbs) – 22% win rate; aggressive on frontrunners.

Trainer: Mark E. Casse – 20% win rate; strong with juveniles turning 3.

Recent Finishes: Recent workouts sharp; maiden win in fall 2025. Career: 3 starts, 1-0-1.

Analysis: Gun Runner filly with pedigree for distance; Casse’s dual entry adds confidence. Post 3 ideal for mid-pack run. Live at 3/1 if she builds on debut form.

4. Spitfire (KY, 3yo Filly, McKinzie – Freud’s Irish Miss)

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. (117 lbs) – 20% win rate; tactical expert.

Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek – See above; Oaklawn specialist.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 allowance, 4th/8, 1m dirt, speed fig 84, “even effort.” Career: 4 starts, 1-0-0.

Analysis: McPeek’s other entry; post 4 suits pressing style. Improving but longshot at 15/1; needs career-best to factor.

5. Counting Stars (KY, 3yo Filly, Honor A. P. – Paynterbynumbers)

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta (122 lbs) – 20% win rate; strong finisher.

Trainer: Mark E. Casse – See above; hot with stakes fillies.

Recent Finishes: Jan 2026 Oaklawn stakes, 1st/7, 1m dirt, “stakes double.” Career: 5 starts, 3-1-0.

Analysis: Recent back-to-back stakes wins at Oaklawn; carries top weight but post 5 allows clear trip. Second choice at 5/2; major player.

6. Hit Parade (KY, 3yo Filly, Street Sense – Wedding Band)

Jockey: Luis Saez (122 lbs) – 28% win rate; elite in big races.

Trainer: Brad H. Cox – 25% win rate; bypassing easier spot for this.

Recent Finishes: Dec 2025 Fair Grounds (Untapable S.), 1st/8, 1m dirt, speed fig 97, “dominant win.” Career: 4 starts, 2-1-1.

Analysis: Favorite at 2/1; Cox ships confidently after graded score. Post 6 fine for stalking; top contender on class.

7. Newtown Pike (KY, 3yo Filly, McKinzie – Newellton)

Jockey: Abel Cedillo (117 lbs) – 18% win rate; underrated in routes.

Trainer: Lindsay Schultz – 17% win rate; emerging talent.

Recent Finishes: Fall 2025 allowance, 2nd/7, 1m dirt, speed fig 90. Career: 3 starts, 1-1-0.

Analysis: McKinzie filly with speed; post 7 may force wide ground. Longshot at 15/1 but could clunk up for minors.

8. Grace Is Free (KY, 3yo Filly, American Freedom – Vivian’s Grace)

Jockey: Kelsi Harr (122 lbs) – 15% win rate; knows the horse well.

Trainer: Robert N. Cline – 14% win rate; local with upset potential.

Recent Finishes: Jan 4, 2026 Oaklawn (Mockingbird S.), 1st/8, 6f dirt, speed fig 115, “breakthrough stakes win by 1 length.” Dec 14, 2025 Oaklawn (Astral Spa S.), 4th/8, 6f dirt, 70. Aug 17, 2025 Canterbury (MSW), 1st/6, 5.5f dirt, 73. Career: 5 starts, 3-0-0.

Analysis: Recent Mockingbird winner at Oaklawn; stretching out but post 8 suits closing style. Upset chance at 15/1 if pace collapses.