Main Card: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT (bout expected early main card window ~10:00–10:30 PM ET)
Prelims: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas Strip)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card coverage)

This bantamweight matchup pits veteran striker Rob Font against teenage phenom Raul Rosas Jr. in a generational clash. Font, a durable knockout artist with elite boxing, aims to halt the hype train of Rosas Jr., the youngest UFC fighter ever, who has shown rapid improvement and finishing ability. A win for Rosas could vault him into ranked contention; Font needs a statement victory to stay relevant in a loaded 135-pound division.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Rob Font (USA): 22-9-0 overall (UFC: 12-8 or similar recent). Ranked ~#13 bantamweight. The 38-year-old from Leominster, Massachusetts (New England Cartel) is a technical boxer with power (multiple KOs) and iron chin, known for high-volume striking.
• Raul Rosas Jr. (“El Niño Problema”) (Mexico/USA): 11-1-0 overall (UFC: 5-0 or similar recent). Ranked outside top 15 but rising fast. The 21-year-old is a versatile finisher with strong grappling (subs) and improving striking; youngest UFC debutant and winner ever.

Font enters as the veteran favorite with experience; Rosas Jr. brings youth, momentum, and hype as the division’s future.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Rob Font (mixed; 2-2 in last 4):

• Sep 13, 2025: L UD vs. David Martinez (Noche UFC) – outworked in competitive decision.
• Feb 22/23, 2025: W SD vs. Jean Matsumoto (UFC Fight Night) – split-decision grind.
• Oct 19, 2024: W UD vs. Kyler Phillips – strong volume win.
• Dec 2, 2023: L UD vs. Deiveson Figueiredo – competitive but outpointed.
• Earlier: Losses to top competition but durable and consistent.

Font has been decision-heavy lately, showing elite cardio but limited finishes.

Raul Rosas Jr. (strong; 4-0 in last 4):

• Mar 29, 2025: W UD vs. Vince Morales (UFC Fight Night) – controlled decision.
• Sep 14, 2024: W UD vs. Aoriqileng (UFC 306) – dominant performance.
• Jun 8, 2024: W SUB (RNC, R2) vs. Ricky Turcios – quick finish.
• Sep 16, 2023: W KO/TKO (R1) vs. Terrence Mitchell – explosive debut.
• Earlier: Rapid rise with finishes and decisions.

Rosas Jr. has gone undefeated in recent UFC action, mixing subs, KOs, and decisions.

Injury Report

• Rob Font: Fully healthy. No reported injuries; completed full camp post-Sep 2025 loss with no weight or medical issues.
• Raul Rosas Jr.: Fully cleared. No new injuries; past minor setbacks (youth-related) resolved; full prep without flags.

Both fighters enter 100% — no concerns reported.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Font has the clear edge — technical boxing, high volume, power, and chin. Rosas Jr. counters with athleticism, speed, and improving hands.
• Grappling: Rosas Jr.’s strength — strong wrestling base and submission threat (RNC specialist). Font solid TDD (~60-70% career) but vulnerable if taken down.
• Physicality & Cardio: Similar height (5’8″); Font’s experience and pace shine late; Rosas Jr.’s youth/explosiveness early.
• X-Factors: Font’s veteran savvy vs. Rosas Jr.’s hype and finishing upside. Fight likely striking-heavy early, potential ground if Rosas closes distance.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

First meeting — no prior history. Font is a 12+ year UFC veteran with wins over top names; Rosas Jr. is the young prodigy with rapid progression.

Betting Trends:

• Rosas Jr. recent fights: Decisions/subs (durable opponents).
• Font’s bouts often decisions (high volume, chin).
• Bantamweight prelims/main card openers with youth vs. veteran favor the prospect side ~60% recently.
• Public money split (~55% on Rosas Jr.); sharp action leans Rosas due to age/momentum.
• Over 2.5 rounds cashed in most recent bouts for both.

FIGHT ODDS

Rob Font              + 180

Raul Rosas Jr.     – 230

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026

Main Card: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT (bout expected as opener/main card lead-in ~10:00–10:30 PM ET)
Prelims: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas Strip)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card)

This explosive middleweight rematch opens the main card in a potential barnburner between two Brazilian finishers. Gregory Rodrigues looks to avenge his 2023 first-round KO loss and solidify his top-10 status, while Brunno Ferreira aims to extend his UFC resurgence and prove his early power remains elite. The winner could jump into title contention talks in a stacked 185-pound division.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Gregory Rodrigues (Brazil): 18-6-0 overall (UFC: 9-3 or similar recent). Ranked ~#8–10 middleweight. The 32-year-old is a high-output striker with power (multiple KOs) and improving grappling, known for aggressive pressure.
• Brunno Ferreira (Brazil): 15-2-0 overall (UFC: 6-1). Ranked ~#10–12 middleweight. The 31-year-old is a massive power puncher (high KO rate) with submission upside, but recent wins have come via decisions/subs after early KO streak.

Rodrigues enters as the favorite with better recent activity and durability; Ferreira brings one-punch threat and revenge motivation from their 2023 clash.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Gregory Rodrigues (strong rebound; 3-1 in last 4):

• Nov 15, 2025: W UD vs. Roman Kopylov (UFC 322) – dominant unanimous decision (30-27 x2, 29-28).
• Jun 28, 2025: W KO/TKO (Punch, R1, 4:21) vs. Jack Hermansson (UFC 317) – explosive first-round finish.
• Feb 15, 2025: L KO/TKO (Punches, R4, 0:21) vs. Jared Cannonier – stopped after competitive start.
• Jul 27, 2024: W UD vs. Christian Leroy Duncan.
• Earlier: Consistent finishes and decisions showcasing volume.

Rodrigues has rebounded well post-Cannonier loss with wins over ranked competition.

Brunno Ferreira (resurgent; 3-0 in last 3):

• Dec 6, 2025: W UD vs. Marvin Vettori (UFC 323) – controlled 3-round decision.
• Jul 19, 2025: W SUB (Armbar, R1, 3:35) vs. Jackson McVey (UFC 318) – quick ground finish.
• Mar 8, 2025: W SUB (Armbar, R2, 4:27) vs. Armen Petrosyan (UFC 313) – strong grappling win.
• Oct 26, 2024: L SUB (Arm-Triangle, R3) vs. Abus Magomedov – submitted after competitive fight.
• Earlier streak: Multiple first-round KOs early in UFC run.

Ferreira has adapted post-2024 loss, mixing subs and decisions.

Injury Report

• Gregory Rodrigues: Fully healthy. No reported injuries; completed full camp after Nov 2025 win with no weight or medical flags.
• Brunno Ferreira: Fully cleared. No new injuries; past weight-above-limit issues (Dec 2025 vs. Vettori) resolved; full prep without setbacks.

Both fighters enter 100% healthy — key for Ferreira after early UFC stoppages.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Rodrigues has high volume, crisp combos, and leg kicks. Ferreira counters with massive one-punch power and forward pressure; size/strength edge helps him close distance.
• Grappling: Both capable — Ferreira has recent armbar wins; Rodrigues strong TDD and top control. Fight could stay standing early but scramble to ground.
• Physicality & Cardio: Similar height (~6’3″); Ferreira carries more mass/power. Rodrigues’ pace shines in later rounds.
• X-Factors: Rematch revenge (Ferreira KO’d Rodrigues in 2023 debut). Rodrigues’ durability (never submitted) vs. Ferreira’s finishing threat.

Expect fireworks — likely early KO attempt from Ferreira, volume/pace from Rodrigues if it extends.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

• First Meeting: Jan 21, 2023 (UFC 283) – Ferreira won via KO/TKO (Punch, R1, 1:27). Massive right hand ended Rodrigues’ night early in Ferreira’s UFC debut.
• Overall: No other meetings. Rodrigues has evolved with better defense; Ferreira has added grappling depth.

Betting Trends:

• Rematches in UFC: Favorites win 60%; public leans Rodrigues (60% tickets).
• Both fighters finish high % early (Ferreira 80%+ finishes career; Rodrigues multiple KOs).
• Middleweight main card openers trend toward decisions recently when volume fighters involved.
• Line opened ~ -150 Rodrigues; moved to -200+ due to recent form and Ferreira’s decision-heavy wins.
• Over 1.5 rounds cashed in Ferreira’s last 3; Rodrigues durable.

FIGHT ODDS

Gregory Rodrigues          – 200

Brunno Ferreira                + 170

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026

Main Card: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT (co-main expected ~11:30 PM–12:00 AM ET)
Prelims: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas Strip)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card)

This stacked middleweight co-main event pits two top-10 contenders rebounding from recent setbacks in a potential title-eliminator. Caio Borralho, the Brazilian prospect with elite well-rounded skills, looks to prove his first UFC loss was a fluke. Reinier de Ridder, the former ONE dual-champion and grappling savant, seeks redemption after a shocking cardio-related stoppage loss. Winner likely earns a crack at the middleweight title picture in a loaded 185-pound division.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Caio Borralho (Brazil): 17-2-0 overall (UFC: 7-1). Ranked #7–8 middleweight. The 32-year-old Fighting Nerds product is a complete fighter with strong wrestling, crisp striking, and improving finishing ability.
• Reinier de Ridder (Netherlands): 21-3-0 overall (UFC: 4-1). Ranked #8–9 middleweight. The 29-year-old (6’4″, 84″ reach) is an elite grappler with power and pressure, but his recent output has raised questions about durability under elite pace.

Borralho enters as the slight favorite with better recent consistency; de Ridder brings size, grappling pedigree, and motivation for a statement rebound.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Caio Borralho (1-1 in last 2; 7-1 in UFC before setback):

• Sep 6, 2025: L UD vs. Nassourdine Imavov (UFC Paris main event, 5 rounds) – competitive but outworked over 25 minutes in a title-eliminator style fight.
• Aug 24, 2024: W UD vs. Jared Cannonier (UFC Fight Night) – dominant 5-round masterclass.
• May 4, 2024: W KO/TKO vs. Paul Craig (UFC 301) – highlight-reel ground-and-pound finish.
• Nov 4, 2023: W UD vs. Abus Magomedov.
• Earlier streak: Multiple dominant wins showcasing volume and control.

Borralho’s only UFC loss came against a surging Imavov; he has never been finished.

Reinier de Ridder (1 loss in last 5; 4-1 in UFC):

• Oct 18, 2025: L TKO (corner stoppage) vs. Brendan Allen (UFC Fight Night Vancouver, R4) – dominated early but gassed badly; corner threw in the towel due to exhaustion (de Ridder admitted over-activity toll).
• Jul 26, 2025: W SD vs. Robert Whittaker (UFC Fight Night).
• May 3, 2025: W KO/TKO vs. Bo Nickal.
• Jan 18, 2025: W SUB vs. Kevin Holland.
• UFC debut win (2024).

De Ridder looked unstoppable with four straight UFC wins before the Allen cardio collapse; he has since addressed conditioning publicly.

Injury Report

• Caio Borralho: Fully healthy. No reported injuries; completed a full camp after the Imavov loss with no weight or medical issues.
• Reinier de Ridder: Fully cleared. The October 2025 cardio breakdown vs. Allen led to medical testing and conditioning fixes (publicly confirmed); no lingering structural injuries. Full training camp completed without setbacks.

Both fighters enter 100% healthy — critical for de Ridder after his last outing’s fatigue concerns.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Borralho has cleaner boxing, better volume, and leg kicks. De Ridder uses long range, heavy pressure, and elbows; size advantage (3-inch height, 9-inch reach) helps him control distance.
• Grappling: De Ridder’s elite BJJ (multiple high-level subs) vs. Borralho’s strong wrestling base and scramble ability. Takedowns could decide the fight — Borralho defends well but de Ridder chains relentlessly.
• Physicality & Cardio: De Ridder’s length and power edge early; Borralho’s pace and gas tank shine late. Question mark remains de Ridder’s improved conditioning post-Allen.
• X-Factors: Borralho’s durability (never finished) and fight IQ vs. de Ridder’s finishing threat and redemption narrative. Expect grappling exchanges mixed with stand-up wars.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

First meeting — no prior history. Borralho is 7-1 in the UFC with well-rounded dominance; de Ridder is 4-1 with highlight finishes but one glaring cardio lapse.

Betting Trends:

• Both coming off losses — rebound spots favor the more consistent fighter (Borralho profile).
• De Ridder’s only UFC loss featured a late stoppage due to fatigue; Borralho has never been stopped.
• Middleweight co-mains with size mismatches trend toward decisions when grappling-heavy (65%+).
• Public money split (~55% on Borralho); sharp money leans Borralho due to de Ridder’s recent questions.
• Over 2.5 rounds has hit in 4 of Borralho’s last 5; de Ridder’s recent fights mixed early/late endings.

FIGHT ODDS

Caio Borralho                    – 250

Reinier de Ridder             + 200

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026

Main Card: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT (main event expected ~12:30–1:00 AM ET)
Prelims: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas Strip)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card; ESPN+ in select markets internationally)

This blockbuster main event rematches two all-time greats more than a decade after their first clash. BMF champion Max Holloway defends the symbolic belt against former lightweight king Charles Oliveira in a high-stakes lightweight war that could reshape the 155-pound title picture. The fight carries massive legacy implications for both legends.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Max Holloway (“Blessed”): 27-8-0 (UFC: 23-8). The 34-year-old Hawaiian is the reigning BMF champion (won/defended via iconic performances) and former featherweight king. Ranked #2–3 lightweight; legendary volume striker with elite cardio and durability.
• Charles Oliveira (“Do Bronx”): 36-11-0 (UFC: 23-11). The 36-year-old Brazilian is a former undisputed lightweight champion with the most submission wins in UFC history. Ranked #3–5 lightweight; elite finisher (high KO/sub rate) with dangerous BJJ and striking.

Holloway enters as favorite with recent BMF success and iron chin; Oliveira brings finishing upside and redemption from their 2015 bout.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Max Holloway (strong but injury-impacted):

• Jul 2025: W UD vs. Dustin Poirier (UFC 318) – BMF defense; suffered hand injury post-fight.
• Earlier 2025: Multiple high-profile wins (including BMF capture); no fights since mid-2025 due to hand injury sidelining him through late 2025.
• Pre-2025: Iconic wins over Topuria (KO), Gaethje, etc.; legendary durability.

Holloway returned healthy for this camp after 2025 hand injury (missed rest of year); sharp in training.

Charles Oliveira (resurgent):

• Late 2025: W SUB vs. Mateusz Gamrot (UFC Rio) – dominant submission win; statement performance.
• Earlier 2025: Mixed results (wins/losses vs. top competition like Makhachev/Topuria rematch talks).
• 2024–2025 stretch: Rebounded from setbacks with finishes; no major injuries reported recently.

Oliveira enters motivated after Rio win; healthy and focused on BMF legacy.

Injury Report

• Max Holloway: Fully cleared. Suffered hand injury in 2025 Poirier win (sidelined rest of 2025); recovered fully, no setbacks in camp. Weight cut smooth; no flags.
• Charles Oliveira: Fully healthy. Past neck injury from 2015 Holloway fight (feared career-ending) long resolved; no new issues. Cleared after Rio win; full prep completed.

Both enter 100% — no excuses in this legacy bout.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Holloway’s wheelhouse — unmatched volume (highest significant strikes landed in UFC history), crisp boxing, leg kicks, and durability. Oliveira counters with power shots, elbows, and forward pressure.
• Grappling: Oliveira’s specialty — elite BJJ (record subs), guillotines, and transitions. Holloway solid TDD (~70% career) but vulnerable if taken down.
• Physicality & Cardio: Holloway’s legendary pace/chin vs. Oliveira’s explosiveness early. Holloway 5’11″/69″ reach; Oliveira 5’10″/74″ reach — slight edge to Oliveira in length.
• X-Factors: Holloway’s volume wears foes down; Oliveira’s finishing instinct (KO/sub threat) can end it anytime. Rematch narrative (2015 injury stoppage) adds intensity.

Fight likely high-output war; distance striking favors Holloway, ground scrambles favor Oliveira.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

• First Meeting: Aug 23, 2015 (UFC Fight Night 74) – Holloway won by TKO (injury) R1 (1:39). Oliveira suffered mysterious neck injury (lost left-side movement; feared paralysis); stretcher job. Controversial end; Oliveira has called for redemption.
• Overall: No other meetings. Holloway 27-8 with elite wins; Oliveira 36-11 with most UFC subs.

Betting Trends:

• Holloway’s fights often go distance (high volume, durability); recent BMF bouts decisions.
• Oliveira finishes high % (subs/KOs); recent wins by sub.
• Rematches in UFC: Favorites win 60%; public money on Holloway (65% tickets).
• Lightweight main events with legends trend Over rounds in decisions but high finish % if grappling involved.
• Line opened closer (~ -154 Holloway); moved to Holloway due to recent form/legacy.

FIGHT ODDS

Max Holloway                   – 225

Charles Oliveira                + 185

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026

Prelims start: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT (bout expected ~7:30–8:30 PM ET window)
Main Card: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas Strip)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (full card coverage; prelims and main events)

This featherweight prelims matchup is a short-notice replacement bout after Joo Sang Yoo withdrew due to a foot injury (late February 2026). Gaston Bolaños, the Peruvian-American veteran striker, steps in against South Korean JeongYeong Lee, a Road to UFC alum who has shown solid UFC-level striking and decision-making but is coming off back-to-back losses. The fight promises technical stand-up exchanges with finishing potential on both sides.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Gaston Bolaños (Peru/USA): 8-5-0 overall (UFC: ~2-2 or 3-2 recent; bantamweight/featherweight crossover). The 33-year-old trains at Combat Sports Academy. Explosive striker with power and speed, known for highlight-reel potential but inconsistent results in the UFC.
• JeongYeong Lee (South Korea): 11-3-0 overall (UFC: 2-2 or 3-2; Road to UFC winner). The 30-year-old (DOB Nov 13, 1995) from Daegu (Ssen Gym) is a balanced fighter with KO power (4 wins) and submission threat (3 subs). He earned his UFC spot via Road to UFC Season 1 but has struggled in recent Octagon outings.

Lee enters as the favorite with better recent UFC experience and physical advantages (height/reach edge), while Bolaños brings veteran savvy and knockout upside as the underdog.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Gaston Bolaños (mixed; 1-2 or 2-2 in recent stretch):

• May 3, 2025: L SUB (RNC, R2, 1:54) vs. Quang Le (UFC Fight Night) – caught after competitive striking.
• Nov 9, 2024: W UD vs. Cortavious Romious (UFC Fight Night) – controlled with volume and takedowns.
• Jan 13, 2024: L KO/TKO (Punches, R2) vs. Marcus McGhee – stopped in war.
• Earlier: Wins mixed with decisions and finishes; durable but hittable.

Bolaños snapped a skid with a decision win but has been finished/submitted in losses.

eongYeong Lee (0-2 streak; 2-2 in UFC):

• May 10, 2025: L UD vs. Daniel Santos (UFC 315) – outworked over 15 minutes.
• Jul 20, 2024: L KO/TKO (Punches, R1, 1:05) vs. Hyder Amil (UFC Fight Night) – quick stoppage.
• Feb 3, 2024: W UD vs. Blake Bilder (UFC Fight Night) – strong decision control.
• Feb 4, 2023: W SD vs. Yizha (UFC Fight Night) – split-decision Road to UFC finale win.

Lee has wins via decisions but has been finished once and outpointed recently.

Injury Report

• Gaston Bolaños: Fully healthy and cleared. Accepted short-notice change after Yoo withdrawal; no injuries reported from recent camp or previous bouts (cleared after May 2025 sub loss). Weight cut smooth.
• JeongYeong Lee: Fully healthy. No new injuries; past weight/visa issues (pre-2025) resolved. Cleared after May 2025 decision loss; full camp completed with no flags.

Both fighters enter 100% — no excuses on either side despite the late matchup change.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Both orthodox with power. Bolaños has speed/combinations and “Dreamkiller” timing; Lee has crisp boxing, leg kicks, and 4 KO wins. Lee’s 5’10” height/73″ reach vs. Bolaños’ 5’7″/shorter reach gives Lee range edge.
• Grappling: Limited threats — Lee has 3 subs (armbars); Bolaños has been submitted recently but prefers stand-up. Takedown defense key (both ~60-70% career).
• Physicality & Cardio: Lee’s size/reach advantage; Bolaños more explosive early but can fade. Cardio favors Lee in decisions.
• X-Factors: Lee’s UFC experience (4 bouts) vs. Bolaños’ short-notice prep and finishing threat. Fight likely stays standing with technical exchanges and possible late fatigue.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

First meeting — no prior history. Bolaños brings UFC veteran grit (multiple decisions/finishes); Lee has Road to UFC title and solid wins but recent setbacks.

Betting Trends:

• Lee’s last 4 UFC fights: 2 decisions, 1 KO loss, 1 split win — durable but finish-vulnerable.
• Bolaños’ recent bouts mixed (decision win, sub/KO losses).
• Featherweight prelims with size/reach favorites win ~65-70% historically.
• Public money split (~55-60% on Lee); sharp action on Lee side, line stable around -250.
• Over 2.5 rounds cashed in 3 of Lee’s last 4; Bolaños prone to early endings in losses.

FIGHT ODDS

JeongYeong Lee                – 250

Gaston Bolanos                + 195

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026

Prelims: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT (fight expected in the 7:30–8:30 PM ET window)
Early Prelims (if bumped): 5:00 PM ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (Las Vegas)
Broadcast: Paramount+ (Prelims) | UFC Fight Pass (Early Prelims internationally)

A gritty veteran vs. dangerous prospect flyweight scrap opens the prelims on a stacked Las Vegas card. Cody Durden, a blue-collar grinder with 15 UFC appearances under his belt, desperately needs a win to halt a three-fight skid and stay relevant at 125 lbs. He faces Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, a young Mongolian submission specialist riding high from a Road to UFC finish and looking to establish himself as a top-15 threat.

Fighter Records & Rankings Context

• Cody Durden (USA): 17-9-1 overall (UFC: 6-7-1). The 34-year-old southpaw from Georgia is a high-volume wrestler and pressure fighter with solid cardio, but durability and finishing defense have become concerns.
• Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Mongolia): 9-1-0 overall (UFC: 1-1). The 27-year-old orthodox fighter trains out of Shandas MMA and boasts elite grappling (6 submission wins, including multiple anaconda chokes). He has legitimate one-punch power for the division and improving striking.

Tumendemberel holds the clear physical and stylistic edges in youth, reach, and finishing threat.

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

Cody Durden (0-3 streak; 1-4 in last 5):

• Nov 1, 2025: L SUB (Anaconda Choke, R2, 3:13) vs. Allan Nascimento – short-notice catchweight loss.
• Jun 14, 2025: L KO/TKO (Punches, R2, 0:11) vs. Jose Ochoa – brutally quick stoppage.
• Dec 7, 2024: L UD vs. Joshua Van – outworked in a competitive 15-minute war.
• Sep 7, 2024: W SUB (RNC, R2, 0:29) vs. Matt Schnell – last victory, vintage ground control.
• Earlier 2024: Mixed results with flashes of wrestling dominance but mounting setbacks.

Durden’s gas tank remains elite, but he has been finished in two of his last three and is 0-3 since late 2024.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (1-1 in last 2; 4-1 in last 5 overall):

• Aug 22, 2025: W SUB (Technical Anaconda Choke, R1, 2:53) vs. Terrance Saeteurn – dominant Road to UFC finish.
• Nov 23, 2024: L SD vs. Carlos Hernandez – competitive UFC debut split decision.
• Aug 27, 2023: W SUB (RNC, R1, 1:02) vs. Peter Danesoe – Road to UFC highlight.
• Earlier regional/RTU wins: Multiple first-round subs and knockouts showcasing finishing instinct.

Tumendemberel is 8-1 since his pro debut loss and has never been finished.

Injury Report

• Cody Durden: Fully cleared. Past orbital fracture (UFC 310, Dec 2024) and occasional hand/wrist issues are resolved; he has completed a full camp with no reported setbacks or weight issues. No medical flags this week.
• Nyamjargal Tumendemberel: Fully cleared. Previous weight-management concerns (UFC 312 pullout, Feb 2025) and minor visa/RTU-related absences are long behind him. No injuries noted; he has looked sharp in open workouts and embedded media.

Both fighters enter healthy — a clean, high-stakes matchup with no excuses.

Fighter Matchups & Styles

• Striking: Tumendemberel has a 4-inch reach advantage (71″ vs. 67″) and better one-punch power. Durden relies on volume pressure and southpaw jab, but has been hittable lately.
• Grappling: Tumendemberel’s specialty — elite anaconda and RNC threat (multiple first-round finishes). Durden is a strong wrestler with top control, but has been submitted in 4 of his last 6 losses.
• Physicality & Cardio: Identical 5’7″ height; Tumendemberel’s length and explosiveness give him the edge. Durden’s legendary pace could wear on the younger man if the fight hits deep waters.
• X-Factors: Tumendemberel’s youth (7-year gap) and finishing rate (8 of 9 wins inside the distance) vs. Durden’s Octagon experience and never-say-die mentality.

This fight likely features early grappling scrambles with high submission upside.

Fight History & Head-to-Head

First meeting — no prior history. Durden is the grizzled veteran (15+ UFC bouts); Tumendemberel is the surging prospect with 67% of wins by submission.

Betting Trends:

• Tumendemberel has finished 8 of 9 wins; Durden has lost 4 of last 6 by finish.
• Flyweight prelims with reach/grappling mismatches favor the prospect side ~65% historically.
• Public money is split (~52% on Tumendemberel), but sharp money has moved the line toward the Mongolian slightly.
• Over 2.5 rounds has hit in 70%+ of Durden’s recent fights; Tumendemberel’s bouts often end early.

FIGHT ODDS

Cody Durden                                     + 130

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel     – 150

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026