Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT

Probables: MIL — TBA vs CIN — Brady Singer (RHP)

VENUE: GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK

Location: 100 Joe Nuxhall Way, Cincinnati, OH

Dimensions: 328 LF, 404 CF, 325 RF

Park Factors:

One of MLB’s most hitter‑friendly parks

Top‑5 in HR rate annually

Boosts right‑handed pull power

Surface: Grass

This is a launchpad, especially in warm weather — a major factor for totals and HR props.

WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)

Temperature: 83°F at first pitch

Wind: 6–10 mph out to left field

Humidity: 64%

Chance of Rain: 15%

Impact: Strong hitter’s boost — warm air + wind out = elevated HR potential

INJURY REPORT

Milwaukee Brewers

Christian Yelich — ACTIVE (back tightness, expected to play)

William Contreras — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday)

Rhys Hoskins — OUT (knee)

Robert Gasser — OUT (elbow)

Devin Williams — OUT (back fracture)

Cincinnati Reds

Elly De La Cruz — ACTIVE (quad soreness, probable)

Matt McLain — OUT (shoulder surgery)

TJ Friedl — OUT (hamstring)

Nick Lodolo — OUT (forearm)

Alexis Díaz — ACTIVE (recent IL stint, available)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Milwaukee Brewers — Starting Pitcher: TBA

Milwaukee is lining up for either a spot starter or a bullpen game.

Brewers Bullpen Profile:

ERA: 3.42 (top‑5 MLB)

WHIP: 1.18

Strengths: High‑leverage arms (Uribe, Payamps)

Weaknesses: Middle‑inning depth without Devin Williams

Impact: A bullpen game in Cincinnati is dangerous — Great American Ball Park punishes mistakes.

Matchup Edge: Slight disadvantage

Brady Singer — RHP, Reds

2026 Season:

Record: 6–6

ERA: 3.91

WHIP: 1.26

K/BB: 78/22

Last 5 Starts: 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Heavy sinker/slider mix

Brewers rank top‑10 vs RHP in OPS

Singer struggles vs left‑handed hitters — Yelich, Chourio, Turang all strong matchups

Home ERA (4.48) significantly worse than road

Matchup Edge: Moderate disadvantage

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Milwaukee Brewers (46–29)

Last 10: 7–3

Road Record: 22–16

Run Differential: +61

Trend: Offense rolling, pitching stabilizing

Strength: Balanced lineup + elite bullpen

Weakness: Rotation depth injuries

Cincinnati Reds (37–39)

Last 10: 5–5

Home Record: 19–20

Run Differential: –12

Trend: Offense inconsistent, pitching improving

Strength: Speed + athleticism (De La Cruz, Benson)

Weakness: Bullpen volatility, lack of lineup depth

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Brewers lead 17–11

At Great American Ball Park: Brewers have won 6 of last 9

Singer vs Brewers: 4.20 ERA in 5 career starts

Brewers bullpen vs Reds: 3.10 ERA in last 12 meetings

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee

8–3 in last 11 games

6–2 in last 8 road games

Over is 7–3 in last 10

Cincinnati

5–2 in last 7 home games

Under is 6–4 in last 10

Singer starts: Reds are 7–6

Head‑to‑Head

Brewers have covered RL in 5 of last 7

Over has hit in 6 of last 8 at Great American Ball Park

Game Odds

Milwaukee Brewers       – 141

Cincinnati Reds                 9.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Citi Field, Queens, NY

First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT

Probables: CHC — Shōta Imanaga (LHP) vs NYM — Kodai Senga (RHP)

VENUE: CITI FIELD

Location: 41 Seaver Way, Queens, NY

Dimensions: 335 LF, 408 CF, 330 RF

Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs to center

Surface: Grass

Citi Field plays big in early summer, especially at night — a meaningful factor with two high‑end starters.

WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)

Temperature: 79°F at first pitch

Wind: 8–12 mph in from right‑center

Humidity: 58%

Chance of Rain: <10%

Impact: Pitcher‑friendly — wind blowing in reduces HR carry

INJURY REPORT

Chicago Cubs

Seiya Suzuki — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)

Dansby Swanson — OUT (oblique strain)

Christopher Morel — ACTIVE (ankle soreness, probable)

Jordan Wicks — OUT (forearm)

Adbert Alzolay — OUT (shoulder)

New York Mets

Pete Alonso — ACTIVE (hand bruise, expected to play)

Francisco Lindor — ACTIVE (back tightness, probable)

Starling Marte — OUT (hip)

Luis Severino — OUT (lat strain)

Brooks Raley — OUT (elbow)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Shōta Imanaga — LHP, Cubs

2026 Season:

Record: 8–3

ERA: 2.77

WHIP: 1.05

K/BB: 94/18

Last 5 Starts: 2.41 ERA, 0.98 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Elite command + deceptive fastball

Mets rank bottom‑third vs LHP in OPS

Imanaga’s splitter neutralizes Alonso/Lindor

Road ERA (3.01) nearly identical to home

Matchup Edge: Strong

Kodai Senga — RHP, Mets

2026 Season:

Record: 5–6

ERA: 3.66

WHIP: 1.24

K/BB: 89/33

Last 5 Starts: 3.92 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Ghost fork still elite (41% whiff rate)

Cubs rank middle‑of‑the‑pack vs RHP, but struggle vs elite splitters

Walks remain an issue — Cubs are top‑10 in OBP

Senga excellent at Citi Field (career ERA under 3.00)

Matchup Edge: Moderate

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Chicago Cubs (40–37)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 18–20

Run Differential: +19

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense inconsistent without Swanson

Strength: Rotation depth + plate discipline

Weakness: Middle‑infield production

New York Mets (34–43)

Last 10: 4–6

Home Record: 17–22

Run Differential: –31

Trend: Bullpen shaky, offense streaky

Strength: Top‑heavy lineup (Alonso, Lindor)

Weakness: Bottom‑third bullpen + poor situational hitting

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Cubs lead 12–8

At Citi Field: Cubs have won 5 of last 7

Imanaga vs Mets: First career start

Senga vs Cubs: 3.50 ERA in 3 career starts

BETTING TRENDS

Chicago

7–3 in last 10 vs losing teams

Under is 6–2 in last 8

Imanaga starts: Cubs are 10–4

New York

3–7 in last 10 home games

Under is 5–2 in last 7 at Citi Field

Senga starts: Mets are 6–8

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 5 of last 7

Cubs have covered RL in 4 of last 6

Game Odds

Chicago Cubs                     – 121

New York Mets                 8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

First Pitch: 7:07 PM ET / 4:07 PM PT

Probables: HOU — Hunter Brown (RHP) vs TOR — Dylan Cease (RHP)

VENUE: ROGERS CENTRE

Location: 1 Blue Jays Way, Toronto, ON

Surface: Artificial turf

Roof: Retractable — expected to be closed due to rain threat

Park Factors:

Boosts HRs to left and left‑center

Plays neutral with roof closed

Fast turf increases ground‑ball singles

WEATHER FORECAST (OUTSIDE THE ROOF)

Temperature: 74°F

Wind: 10–14 mph from the southwest

Humidity: 71%

Chance of Rain: 40%

Impact: None — roof expected closed

INJURY REPORT

Houston Astros

Kyle Tucker — OUT (shin fracture)

Yordan Álvarez — ACTIVE (quad tightness, expected to play)

Jeremy Peña — ACTIVE (wrist soreness, probable)

Justin Verlander — OUT (shoulder)

Ryan Pressly — OUT (elbow inflammation)

Toronto Blue Jays

Bo Bichette — OUT (knee sprain)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ACTIVE (back stiffness, expected to start)

Kevin Gausman — OUT (forearm strain)

Jordan Romano — OUT (elbow)

Daulton Varsho — ACTIVE (hamstring tightness, day‑to‑day)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Hunter Brown — RHP, Astros

2026 Season:

Record: 5–6

ERA: 4.39

WHIP: 1.32

K/BB: 84/29

Last 5 Starts: 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Power fastball/curveball combo

Jays rank bottom‑10 vs high‑spin breaking balls

Road ERA (4.92) worse than home

Vulnerable to right‑handed power — Guerrero/Varsho match up well

Matchup Edge: Slight disadvantage

Dylan Cease — RHP, Blue Jays

2026 Season:

Record: 7–5

ERA: 3.48

WHIP: 1.17

K/BB: 102/28

Last 5 Starts: 2.91 ERA, 1.10 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Elite slider (40% whiff rate)

Astros rank middle‑of‑the‑pack vs RHP, but struggle vs elite sliders

Cease thrives indoors — 2.78 ERA in domes

Houston missing Tucker reduces left‑handed threats

Matchup Edge: Strong

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Houston Astros (37–42)

Last 10: 4–6

Road Record: 16–23

Run Differential: –21

Trend: Pitching improving, offense inconsistent

Strength: Top‑tier contact hitting

Weakness: Missing power bats, bullpen instability

Toronto Blue Jays (38–39)

Last 10: 6–4

Home Record: 20–18

Run Differential: –3

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense streaky

Strength: Guerrero carrying lineup, Cease anchoring rotation

Weakness: Middle‑infield depth without Bichette

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Astros lead 10–7

At Rogers Centre: Astros have won 4 of last 6

Brown vs Blue Jays: 3.60 ERA in 3 career starts

Cease vs Astros: 3.12 ERA in 7 career starts

BETTING TRENDS

Houston

3–7 in last 10 road games

Under is 6–3 in last 9

1–4 in Brown’s last 5 road starts

Toronto

7–3 in last 10 home games

Under is 5–2 in last 7 at Rogers Centre

Cease starts: Jays are 8–4

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 5 of last 7

Astros have covered RL in 4 of last 6 meetings

Game Odds

Houston Astros                 7.5

Toronto Blue Jays             – 120

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

First Pitch: 6:45 PM ET / 3:45 PM PT

Probable Starter (WSH): Jackson Griffin (RHP) Phillies starter: TBA (team has not formally announced, bullpen day possible)

VENUE: NATIONALS PARK

Location: 1500 S Capitol St SE, Washington, D.C.

Dimensions: 336 LF, 402 CF, 335 RF

Park Factors: Slightly hitter‑friendly, boosts HRs to left and left‑center

Surface: Grass

Nationals Park plays small in warm weather — a factor for both lineups.

WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)

Temperature: 84°F at first pitch

Wind: 7–10 mph out to left‑center

Humidity: 63%

Chance of Rain: 20%

Impact: Slight hitter’s boost, especially for left‑handed pull hitters

INJURY REPORT

Philadelphia Phillies

Bryce Harper — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)

Trea Turner — OUT (hamstring, IL)

J.T. Realmuto — OUT (knee surgery)

Taijuan Walker — OUT (shoulder)

Orion Kerkering — ACTIVE (recent IL stint, available)

Washington Nationals

CJ Abrams — ACTIVE (minor ankle soreness, expected to play)

Lane Thomas — ACTIVE (wrist, probable)

Josiah Gray — OUT (elbow)

Keibert Ruiz — OUT (concussion list)

MacKenzie Gore — ACTIVE (pitch count monitored)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Jackson Griffin — RHP, Nationals

2026 Season:

Record: 5–4

ERA: 3.71

WHIP: 1.22

K/BB: 68/20

Last 5 Starts: 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Power fastball (95–97) with late life

Phillies rank top‑10 vs RHP in OPS

Griffin struggles when behind in counts

Fly‑ball tendencies could be punished with wind blowing out

Matchup Edge: Moderate disadvantage

Phillies Starting Pitcher: TBA

Philadelphia is lining up for a bullpen game or a spot start from a depth arm.

Bullpen Profile:

ERA: 3.67 (top‑10 MLB)

WHIP: 1.21

Strengths: High‑leverage arms (Alvarado, Kerkering, Hoffman)

Weaknesses: Middle‑inning depth inconsistent

Impact: A bullpen game can work if the Phillies score early — but Nationals Park is not ideal for soft‑contact relievers.

Matchup Edge: Neutral to slight disadvantage

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Philadelphia Phillies (42–35)

Last 10: 5–5

Road Record: 20–19

Run Differential: +27

Trend: Offense streaky without Turner/Realmuto

Strength: Power + elite bullpen

Weakness: Middle‑order depth, defensive lapses

Washington Nationals (40–38)

Last 10: 6–4

Home Record: 21–17

Run Differential: –4

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense improving

Strength: Speed + situational hitting

Weakness: Bullpen volatility, lack of HR power

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Phillies lead 18–10

At Nationals Park: Phillies have won 7 of last 10

Harper vs Nationals: .310 AVG, 1.020 OPS in last 20 games

Abrams vs Phillies: .295 AVG, 6 SB in last 12 meetings

BETTING TRENDS

Phillies

Under is 7–3 in last 10

4–1 in last 5 vs NL East

5–2 in last 7 road games

Nationals

6–2 in last 8 home games

Under is 5–2 in last 7

Nationals RL has hit in 4 of last 6

Head‑to‑Head

Phillies have covered RL in 6 of last 9

Under has hit in 5 of last 7

Game Odds

Philadelphia Phillies                      10

Washington Nationals                   – 121

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

loanDepot Park, Miami, FL

First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT

Probables: TEX — Kumar Rocker (RHP) vs MIA — Trevor Phillips (LHP)

VENUE: LOANDEPOT PARK

Location: 501 Marlins Way, Miami, FL

Surface: Grass (Bermuda hybrid)

Roof: Retractable — expected to be closed due to heat/humidity

Park Factors:

Suppresses HRs

Boosts triples

Neutral for run scoring

A closed roof means neutral conditions and no weather impact.

WEATHER (OUTSIDE THE ROOF)

Temperature: 92°F

Humidity: 68%

Wind: 12–15 mph from the east

Impact: None — roof expected closed

INJURY REPORT

Texas Rangers

Corey Seager — ACTIVE (minor wrist soreness, expected to play)

Josh Jung — OUT (wrist surgery)

Evan Carter — OUT (back strain)

Jon Gray — OUT (forearm tightness)

Nathaniel Lowe — ACTIVE (hamstring tightness, day‑to‑day)

Miami Marlins

Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ACTIVE (quad tightness, expected to start)

Jake Burger — OUT (oblique strain)

Jesús Luzardo — OUT (elbow)

Bryan De La Cruz — ACTIVE (ankle, probable)

A.J. Puk — OUT (shoulder)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Kumar Rocker — RHP, Rangers

2026 Season:

Record: 3–5

ERA: 4.48

WHIP: 1.31

K/BB: 64/22

Last 5 Starts: 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Fastball 96–98 mph, slider is his out pitch

Marlins rank bottom‑10 vs high‑velocity RHP

Struggles with command when behind in counts

Road ERA (5.12) significantly worse than home

Matchup Edge: Moderate disadvantage

Trevor Phillips — LHP, Marlins

2026 Season:

Record: 6–4

ERA: 3.54

WHIP: 1.18

K/BB: 71/19

Last 5 Starts: 3.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Heavy sinker/slider mix

Rangers rank bottom‑third in OPS vs LHP

Texas missing key lefty‑mashers (Jung, Carter)

Excellent at home (2.89 ERA at loanDepot Park)

Matchup Edge: Strong

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Texas Rangers (37–40)

Last 10: 4–6

Road Record: 16–23

Run Differential: –12

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense inconsistent

Strength: Top‑tier defense, Seager/García power

Weakness: Depth issues, struggles vs LHP

Miami Marlins (40–38)

Last 10: 6–4

Home Record: 22–17

Run Differential: +9

Trend: Pitching carrying the load

Strength: Strong rotation, elite bullpen late

Weakness: Streaky offense, limited HR power

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Rangers lead 7–4

At loanDepot Park: Teams split last 6

Rocker vs Marlins: First career start

Phillips vs Rangers: 3.60 ERA in 2 career starts

BETTING TRENDS

Texas

2–7 in last 9 road games

Under is 6–3 in last 9

1–5 in Rocker’s last 6 road starts

Miami

7–3 in last 10 home games

Under is 5–1 in last 6 at home

Phillips starts: Marlins are 8–4

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 4 of last 6

Rangers have covered RL in 5 of last 7 meetings

Game Odds

Texas Rangers                    8.5

Miami Marlins                  – 126

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL

First Pitch: 6:50 PM ET / 3:50 PM PT

Probables: KC — Michael Wacha (RHP) vs TB — Drew Rasmussen (RHP)

VENUE: TROPICANA FIELD

Location: 1 Tropicana Dr., St. Petersburg, FL

Surface: Artificial turf

Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs, boosts line‑drive singles

Roof: Fixed dome — weather will not affect play

WEATHER (OUTSIDE THE DOME)

Temperature: 89°F

Humidity: 72%

Wind: 10–14 mph from the southwest

Impact: None — Tropicana Field is climate‑controlled

INJURY REPORT

Kansas City Royals

Bobby Witt Jr. — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)

Vinnie Pasquantino — OUT (shoulder inflammation)

MJ Melendez — OUT (oblique strain)

Brady Singer — OUT (forearm tightness)

Kyle Isbel — ACTIVE (ankle soreness, expected to play)

Tampa Bay Rays

Wander Franco — OUT (administrative leave)

Josh Lowe — ACTIVE (hamstring tightness, day‑to‑day)

Shane McClanahan — OUT (Tommy John recovery)

Brandon Lowe — OUT (back)

Pete Fairbanks — ACTIVE (recent IL stint, available)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Michael Wacha — RHP, Royals

2026 Season:

Record: 4–7

ERA: 4.62

WHIP: 1.33

K/BB: 68/24

Last 5 Starts: 5.11 ERA, 1.42 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Changeup still his best pitch

Struggles vs teams with high chase discipline

Rays rank top‑10 in walk rate

Vulnerable to right‑handed power (Rasmussen’s run support could matter)

Matchup Edge: Below average

Drew Rasmussen — RHP, Rays

2026 Season:

Record: 6–2

ERA: 3.12

WHIP: 1.08

K/BB: 74/16

Last 5 Starts: 2.67 ERA, 0.98 WHIP

Scouting Notes:

Elite cutter/slider combo

Royals rank bottom‑5 in OPS vs RHP

Excellent at Tropicana Field (career ERA under 3.00)

KC offense missing key left‑handed bats (Pasquantino, Melendez)

Matchup Edge: Strong

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Kansas City Royals (32–46)

Last 10: 3–7

Road Record: 13–25

Run Differential: –58

Trend: Offense inconsistent, bullpen taxed

Strength: Speed + defense

Weakness: Middle‑order production without Pasquantino/Melendez

Tampa Bay Rays (43–31)

Last 10: 7–3

Home Record: 24–14

Run Differential: +41

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, lineup improving

Strength: Deep bullpen + elite situational hitting

Weakness: Power outages when Lowe/Lowe are out

SERIES HISTORY

2024–2026 Combined: Rays lead 11–5

At Tropicana Field: Rays have won 7 of last 8

Wacha vs Rays: 4.50 ERA in 6 career starts

Rasmussen vs Royals: 2.70 ERA in 4 career starts

BETTING TRENDS

Royals

2–8 in last 10 road games

Under is 5–2 in last 7

1–6 in Wacha’s last 7 starts

Rays

8–3 in last 11 home games

Rasmussen starts: Rays are 9–3

Under is 6–3 in last 9 at Tropicana

Head‑to‑Head

Rays have covered RL in 6 of last 8

Under has hit in 4 of last 6

GAME ODDS

Kansas City Royals           7.5

Tampa Bay Rays                – 185

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Comerica Park, Detroit, MI

First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT

Probables: NYY — Gerrit Cole (RHP) vs DET — Framber Valdez (LHP)

VENUE: COMERICA PARK

Location: 2100 Woodward Ave, Detroit, MI

Dimensions: 345 LF, 420 CF, 330 RF

Park Factors: Suppresses HRs, boosts doubles/triples, neutral for run scoring

Surface: Natural grass

Comerica is one of the toughest HR parks in MLB — a meaningful factor with two elite ground‑ball pitchers on the mound.

WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)

Temperature: 78°F at first pitch

Wind: 9–12 mph in from left‑center

Humidity: 54%

Chance of Rain: <10%

Impact: Slight pitcher’s park boost — wind blowing in helps Cole and Valdez.

INJURY REPORT

New York Yankees

Aaron Judge — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)

Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (hamstring, IL)

Anthony Rizzo — OUT (forearm fracture)

Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)

Clarke Schmidt — OUT (lat strain)

Detroit Tigers

Riley Greene — ACTIVE (minor wrist soreness, expected to play)

Kerry Carpenter — OUT (back)

Casey Mize — OUT (shoulder fatigue)

Javier Báez — OUT (hand fracture)

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole — RHP, Yankees

2026 Season:

Record: 7–3

ERA: 2.88

WHIP: 1.06

K/BB: 92/18

Last 5 Starts: 5 QS, 1.95 ERA

Scouting Notes:

Fastball back to 97–98 mph

Slider generating 38% whiffs

Tigers rank bottom‑5 vs high‑velocity four‑seamers

Comerica’s deep outfield helps his fly‑ball tendencies

Matchup Edge: Strong

Framber Valdez — LHP, Tigers

2026 Season:

Record: 4–7

ERA: 4.21

WHIP: 1.34

GB%: 57% (elite)

Last 5 Starts: 4.50 ERA, inconsistent command

Scouting Notes:

Still a heavy sinker/curveball pitcher

Yankees rank top‑5 vs LHP in OPS

New York’s right‑handed bats (Judge, Volpe, Torres) profile well

Comerica helps him, but Yankees’ lineup is a bad matchup

Matchup Edge: Moderate disadvantage

TEAM RECORDS & FORM

New York Yankees (46–30)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 22–15

Run Differential: +63

Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense streaky but dangerous

Key Strength: Power + elite bullpen

Key Weakness: Middle‑order depth without Stanton/Rizzo

Detroit Tigers (33–44)

Last 10: 3–7

Home Record: 15–22

Run Differential: –47

Trend: Offense cold, bullpen overworked

Key Strength: Starting pitching flashes

Key Weakness: Bottom‑third offense, poor late‑inning execution

SERIES HISTORY

2025–2026 Combined: Yankees lead 8–3

At Comerica Park: Yankees have won 5 of last 6

Cole vs Tigers: 2.31 ERA in 7 career starts

Valdez vs Yankees: 4.48 ERA in 6 career starts

BETTING TRENDS

Yankees

7–1 in Cole’s last 8 road starts

10–4 vs LHP this season

Under is 6–2 in their last 8 games

Tigers

2–8 in last 10 home games

1–6 in Valdez’s last 7 starts

Under is 5–1 in their last 6 at Comerica

Head‑to‑Head

Under has hit in 5 of last 7 matchups

Yankees have covered RL in 4 of last 5 meetings

GAME ODDS

New York Yankees           – 125

Detroit Tigers                    9.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026

Corniell is making his first appearance on Texas’ active roster in 2026

Arlington, Texas — The Texas Rangers today announced the following transactions prior to this afternoon’s series finale against the San Diego Padres at Globe Life Field.

• RHP Jack Leiter placed on the 15-day Injured List (right ankle posterior impingement), retroactive to June 19
• RHP Jose Corniell (#59) recalled from Triple-A Round Rock

Leiter, 26, is 3-7 with a 5.29 ERA (47 ER/80.0 IP), 35 walks, and 83 strikeouts in 15 starts for Texas this season. Since debuting with the Rangers in 2024, the Plantation, Fla. product and 2025 Rangers Rookie of the Year has pitched in 53 MLB games (50 starts), posting a 13-20 record with a 4.95 ERA. This marks his second career Injured List stint in the Majors, first since April 2-26, 2025 with a right middle finger blister.

Corniell, who turns 23 tomorrow, has gone 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA (18 ER/26.2 IP), 10 walks, and 19 strikeouts in 7 games/6 starts for Triple-A Round Rock this year. In 2 June starts, the right-hander has allowed just one earned run over 9.0 innings with no walks and 7 strikeouts, covering a season-high-tying 5.0 innings in his most recent appearance on June 12 vs. El Paso. Corniell logged one Cactus League relief appearance with Texas while dealing with back and triceps soreness this spring, was optioned to Round Rock on March 15, and appeared in his first regular season game with the Express on May 8 at Durham.

The Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic native made his Major League debut with Texas on September 28, 2025 at Cleveland on the final day of the regular season. He entered in the 8th inning and pitched 1.2 scoreless frames to force extra innings but was charged with the loss after permitting 4 runs (3 earned) in the 10th inning of a walk-off defeat for the Rangers. The 4th-ranked prospect in the Texas system (MLB Pipeline), Corniell is 13-15 with a 4.25 ERA (128 ER/271.0 IP) and 294 strikeouts (9.8 strikeouts per 9.0 IP) in 78 career minor league appearances (49 starts), all in the Rangers chain since his professional debut in 2021. Originally signed as an international free agent by Seattle on July 2, 2019, Corniell was acquired by Texas on December 15, 2020 when the club sent RHP Rafael Montero to the Mariners.

With today’s transactions, the Rangers remain at the 40-man limit on the club’s Major League roster, along with five players on the 60-day Injured List (RHP Carter Baumler, LHP’s Cody Bradford, Robert Garcia, and Jordan Montgomery, and INF/OF Michael Helman).

Prior to today’s game, the Yankees made the following roster moves:

• Recalled RHP Elmer Rodríguez (#71) from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
• Returned C Austin Wells (#28) from his rehab assignment and reinstated him from the 10-day injured list.

Probables: NYM LHP David Peterson (3–5, 4.44 ERA) vs. PHI RHP Zack Wheeler (7–4, 3.12 ERA)

First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET (10:35 AM PT)

Television: SNY, NBC Sports Philadelphia, MLB.TV

Venue & Weather

Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

• Expected Conditions: 82°F, partly sunny
• Wind: 10–14 mph out to right-center
• Humidity: ~55%
• Chance of Rain: <10%
• Impact:
  • Boost to left-handed pull power
  • Warm air increases carry
  • Run environment projected: +10–12% above league average

Injury Report

New York Mets

• Francisco Lindor (ankle) — Day-to-day, expected to play
• Pete Alonso (wrist) — Questionable, likely to start
• Kodai Senga (shoulder) — Out, rotation depth weakened
• Edwin Díaz (fatigue) — Available but monitored

Philadelphia Phillies

• Trea Turner (hamstring) — Out, major lineup loss
• Brandon Marsh (knee) — Day-to-day, likely bench role
• Seranthony Domínguez (elbow) — Out, bullpen leverage reduced
• Orion Kerkering (shoulder) — Out, late-inning depth weakened

Team Records & Recent Form

New York Mets (34–42)

• Last 10: 4–6
• Road Record: 15–22
• Run Differential: –27
• Strengths: improving OBP, left-handed power
• Weaknesses: rotation inconsistency, bullpen volatility

Philadelphia Phillies (41–35)

• Last 10: 6–4
• Home Record: 23–16
• Run Differential: +31
• Strengths: elite top-of-lineup production, strong rotation
• Weaknesses: missing Turner’s speed/OBP, bullpen instability

Series History

• 2023–2026 Combined: Phillies lead 18–14
• At Citizens Bank Park: Phillies lead 10–6
• Last 6 meetings: Phillies lead 4–2
• Average scoring in Philadelphia: 9.2 runs/game

Pitching Matchup Breakdown

NEW YORK — LHP David Peterson

2026 Stats: 3–5, 4.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 58 K in 64 IP Pitch Mix:

• Sinker: 92–94 mph
• Slider: 84–86 mph
• Changeup: 87 mph
• Curveball: 77 mph

Strengths:

• Generates ground balls
• Effective vs. left-handed hitters
• Slider can be a weapon when sharp

Weaknesses:

• Command volatility
• Prone to HRs vs. right-handed power
• Phillies have multiple RH threats (Harper from left side, Bohm, Castellanos)

Phillies vs. Peterson:

• Harper: 4-for-11, HR
• Bohm: 3-for-8, 2B
• Castellanos: 2-for-7

PHILADELPHIA — RHP Zack Wheeler

2026 Stats: 7–4, 3.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 96 K in 92 IP Pitch Mix:

• 4-seam: 96–98 mph
• Slider: 87–89 mph
• Curveball: 80–82 mph
• Splitter: 88 mph

Strengths:

• Elite command
• Dominant vs. right-handed hitters
• Excellent home splits (2.88 ERA at CBP)

Weaknesses:

• Occasional HR issues vs. left-handed hitters
• Mets have several LH bats with lift (Nimmo, McNeil, Vientos from right side)

Mets vs. Wheeler:

• Nimmo: 6-for-22, HR
• McNeil: 5-for-18
• Alonso: 4-for-20, HR

Key Player Matchups

Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Peterson

• Harper hitting .312 with .590 SLG vs LHP in 2026
• Wind out to right-center boosts his HR profile
• Edge: Harper

Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Wheeler

• Alonso hitting .284 with .540 SLG vs RHP in June
• Wheeler’s slider is the key
• Edge: Even

Alec Bohm (PHI) vs. Peterson

• Bohm hitting .301 with .510 SLG vs LHP
• Peterson’s sinker must stay down
• Edge: Bohm

Brandon Nimmo (NYM) vs. Wheeler

• Nimmo’s OBP skills vs Wheeler’s command is a chess match
• Edge: Wheeler (slightly)

Betting Trends

New York Mets

• 3–7 in last 10 road games
• 2–6 in last 8 vs. NL East
• Over is 6–2 in last 8 Peterson starts
• Mets 1–5 in last 6 Sunday games

Philadelphia Phillies

• 7–3 in last 10 home games
• 6–2 in last 8 vs. losing teams
• Under is 5–2 in last 7 Wheeler starts
• Phillies 5–1 in last 6 vs. Mets

Head-to-Head

• Phillies 4–2 last 6
• Over is 5–2 last 7 at CBP
• Home team is 7–3 last 10

Game Odds

New York Mets                                 8

Philadelphia Phillies                      – 195

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 20, 2026