Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the lightweight bout between Thiago Moises and Gauge Young slotted on the preliminary card.

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Moises vs. Young matchup remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Prelims)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Thiago Moises (Indaiatuba, São Paulo, Brazil): 19-9-0 overall (UFC record 8-7). 5’9″, 70″ reach, orthodox. A veteran grappler/submission specialist (8 career subs) with solid striking improvements and high fight IQ. Trains out of Fighting Nerds/ATT. Known for durability, control, and alternating win-loss patterns in the UFC, but coming off a tough knockout and a lengthy layoff.

Gauge Young (“Gee Money,” USA): 10-3-0 overall (UFC record 1-1). 5’9″, ~70″ reach. A well-rounded Midwest prospect with 6 KO/TKO wins and strong decision-making. Trains out of Ignite Jiu-Jitsu. Explosive early but has shown solid cardio in recent three-rounders; brings youth and momentum as a dangerous debutant-level step-up.

Recent Form
Moises enters on a 1-2 stretch in his last three (with a near-year layoff since his most recent loss):

May 17, 2025 – KO/TKO loss (R1, 3:37) vs. Jared Gordon (UFC Fight Night).

Jan 11, 2025 – Unanimous decision win vs. Trey Ogden (UFC Fight Night).

Jun 8, 2024 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Ludovit Klein (UFC Fight Night).

Mar 16, 2024 – TKO win (R3, 0:15) vs. Mitch Ramirez (UFC Fight Night).
The 31-year-old has alternated results in recent years but was stopped brutally in his last outing.

Young is 1-1 in the UFC after a strong regional background:

Aug 23, 2025 – Unanimous decision win vs. Maheshate (UFC Fight Night).

Apr 26, 2025 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Evan Elder (UFC Fight Night – debut).

Dec 6, 2024 – TKO win (R2, 0:11) vs. Eric Grant (FAC 27).
The 25-year-old has gone the distance in both Octagon appearances but looked sharp in his first UFC victory.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Moises (age 31) is the experienced Octagon veteran with 28 pro fights and a reputation for grinding out tough lightweight scraps, though his recent KO loss and layoff raise questions about timing and chin. Young (age 25) is the hungry prospect with only 13 pro fights but clear upward trajectory and decision durability. This is a classic “veteran gatekeeper vs. young prospect” lightweight prelim. Moises’ grappling and experience could control Young over 15 minutes, but Young’s youth, power, and recent momentum make him dangerous in exchanges—especially against a Moises side that has been stopped in high-level spots. Expect a competitive, technical battle that likely goes the distance or ends via late control; both men have shown strong chins in recent decisions.

FIGHT ODDS

Thiago Moises  + 115

Gauge Young     – 135

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the lightweight bout between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert slotted on the main card (fight 11 of 13).

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Nallo vs. Herbert matchup remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Main Card)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Mandel Nallo (“Mango,” North Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada): 14-3-0 (1 NC) overall (UFC debut). 6’0″, 75″ reach. A finishing machine with all 14 pro wins by stoppage (8 KO/TKO, 6 submissions). Tristar Gym product (Montreal ties) known for explosive first-round pressure, grappling chains, and power. Canadian hometown hero making his Octagon debut after a dominant DWCS run.

Jai Herbert (“The Black Country Banger,” England): 13-6-1 overall (UFC record ~3-5-1). 6’1″, 77″ reach. Veteran striker with 9 KO/TKO wins, elite length, and dangerous counter-punching. Solid wrestling base but has shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent UFC outings. Experienced Octagon regular who has faced high-level competition.

Recent Form
Nallo enters on a 5-fight first-round stoppage streak (all finishes since 2023):

Sep 2, 2025 – KO/TKO win (R1, 3:29) vs. Samuel Silva (DWCS).

Aug 29, 2024 – Submission win (RNC, R1, 4:07) vs. Robert Seres (Samourai MMA).

Jun 7, 2024 – KO/TKO win (R1, 4:19) vs. Deivison Ribeiro (BTC 24).

Earlier 2023-2024 regional finishes.
The 36-year-old has never been finished in his last 11 fights and brings overwhelming finishing rate.

Herbert is coming off a split-decision loss but has shown flashes in recent bouts:

Mar 22, 2025 – Split decision loss vs. Chris Padilla (UFC Fight Night).

Aug 3, 2024 – Unanimous decision win vs. Rolando Bedoya (UFC Fight Night).

Jul 22, 2023 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Fares Ziam (UFC Fight Night).

Mar 18, 2023 – Draw vs. Ludovit Klein (UFC 286).
The 37-year-old has gone 2-2-1 in his last five UFC appearances, mixing power striking with occasional control but struggling against elite finishers.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Nallo (age 36) is the surging Canadian debutant with a perfect finishing pedigree and Tristar-level polish. Herbert (age 37) is the battle-tested veteran with 20+ pro fights and Octagon experience against top lightweights, but he has been out-finished or outpointed in recent high-level spots. This is a classic “explosive home debutant vs. durable veteran striker” lightweight scrap. Nallo’s first-round finishing rate (all recent wins in R1) clashes with Herbert’s 2″ height/reach advantage and counter-striking, but Herbert has been stopped early before. Expect early fireworks in front of a pro-Canadian crowd—Nallo rarely lets fights go deep, while Herbert’s chin has held up in wars but his recent form shows cracks.

FIGHT ODDS

Mandel Nallo    – 170

Jai Herbert          + 145

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the bantamweight co-main event between Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain slotted as fight 12 of 13 (co-main event).

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Phillips vs. Jourdain co-main event remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Co-Main Event)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Kyler Phillips (“The Matrix,” Sacramento, California / Phoenix, Arizona, USA): 12-4 overall (UFC record 6-3). 5’8″, reach approximately 70″. A well-rounded, durable fighter with elite striking, wrestling, and grappling. Never been finished in his career; trains out of The MMA Lab. Known for high fight IQ, body shots, volume, and late-round resilience, but has slipped from rankings after recent setbacks in the stacked 135-pound division.

Charles Jourdain (“Air,” Montreal, Quebec, Canada): 17-8-1 overall (UFC record 8-7-1). 5’9″-5’10”, reach approximately 70″. Explosive striker with 7 KO/TKO wins and improving grappling (including recent submissions). Trains out of a Canadian camp; brings high-volume striking, forward pressure, and home-country energy. Surging as a French-Canadian fan favorite with momentum in bantamweight.

Recent Form
Phillips enters on a 2-fight losing skid (both unanimous decisions against tough competition):

Jul 19, 2025 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Vinicius Oliveira (UFC 318).

Oct 19, 2024 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Rob Font (UFC Fight Night).

Mar 9, 2024 – Unanimous decision win vs. Pedro Munhoz (UFC 299).

Aug 5, 2023 – Unanimous decision win vs. Raoni Barcelos (UFC Fight Night).
The 30-year-old veteran is a decision machine in recent bouts but remains a tough stylistic test with wins over high-level names.

Jourdain is on a 2-fight win streak with strong performances (including a highlight submission):

Recent – Win vs. Davey Grant (submission/guillotine, R1, 3:05).

Recent – Win vs. Victor Henry (veteran-level performance).
The 30-year-old Canadian has looked sharper, mixing striking volume with control and finishing threats.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Phillips (age ~30) is the experienced divisional fixture with 16 pro fights and a reputation for being a tough out—no stoppage losses and notable UFC wins over Song Yadong, Raoni Barcelos, and Pedro Munhoz. Jourdain (age 30) is the surging home fighter with 26 pro fights, bringing Canadian crowd support (even in Winnipeg) and recent momentum after dispatching veterans. This is a classic “well-rounded veteran vs. hot home prospect” bantamweight co-main. Phillips’ durability and all-around game could grind out a decision, but Jourdain’s striking volume, power, and home-edge make him dangerous in stand-up exchanges. Both have similar height/reach; expect a high-pace, technical striking battle that could go the distance or end via Jourdain KO/TKO if he overwhelms early.

FIGHT ODDS

Kyler Phillips                     + 135

Charles Jourdain              – 155

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a five-round welterweight clash between veteran Gilbert Burns and rising Canadian contender Mike Malott.

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Burns vs. Malott main event remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, 5 x 5-minute rounds, Main Event)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Gilbert Burns (“Durinho,” Rio de Janeiro, Brazil): 22-9 overall (UFC record 15-9). 5’10”, ~71″ reach. Elite BJJ black belt (multiple ADCC medals) with world-class grappling, improving striking, and elite cardio. Former UFC welterweight title challenger (lost to Kamaru Usman). Trains out of American Top Team. A battle-tested veteran known for durability and late-round resilience, but showing signs of age-related decline at 39.

Mike Malott (“Proper,” Ontario, Canada): 13-2-1 overall (UFC record 6-1). 6’1″, ~75″ reach. Well-rounded with strong wrestling, 6 career submissions, and improving knockout power (5 KO/TKO wins). Local hero training out of a Canadian camp; explosive forward pressure and high fight IQ. On the rise and making his first UFC main-event appearance in front of a home-country crowd.

Recent Form
Burns enters on a tough 4-fight losing skid against elite competition:

May 2025 – KO/TKO loss (R1, 3:39) vs. Michael Morales (UFC Fight Night).

Late 2024 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Sean Brady (UFC Fight Night).

2024 – Losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Belal Muhammad.
His last win dates back to 2023 (decision vs. Jorge Masvidal). The skid includes high-level opponents, but the recent first-round KO highlights defensive vulnerabilities.

Malott is riding a 3-fight win streak with momentum:

Oct 2025 – Unanimous decision win vs. Kevin Holland (UFC Fight Night).

2025 – KO/TKO win vs. Charles Radtke (UFC 315).

Late 2024 – Win vs. Trevin Giles (UFC Fight Night in Edmonton).
He has looked sharp mixing wrestling, submissions, and striking volume, going 6-1 in the UFC with finishes in key spots.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Burns (ranked #11-12) is the experienced veteran with 31 pro fights and a resume featuring title shots and wins over top names, but he has not won since 2023 and is coming off four straight defeats. Malott is the younger (mid-30s), surging contender on a clear upward trajectory with home-crowd energy in Winnipeg. This is a classic “veteran gatekeeper vs. hot home prospect” welterweight main event. Burns’ elite grappling could neutralize Malott early, but Malott’s size/reach advantage, wrestling, and finishing ability (especially against a fading Burns) make him extremely dangerous over five rounds. Expect a tactical grappling battle that could go deep or end via Malott control/submission; Burns has never been submitted in the UFC, but his recent losses show wear.

FIGHT ODDS

Gilbert Burns     + 260

Mike Malott       – 310

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the bantamweight bout between Jamie Siraj and John Yannis slotted as the opening fight on the preliminary card (fight 1 of 13).

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Siraj vs. Yannis matchup remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Prelims)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Jamie Siraj (“The Gremlin,” Chilliwack, British Columbia, Canada): 14-3-0 overall (UFC debut). 5’8″, orthodox. A well-rounded finisher with 4 KO/TKO wins, 7 submissions, and 3 decisions. Trains out of Pinnacle Combat Martial Arts Academy (with Tristar Gym ties). Known for relentless pressure, submission chains (especially RNC), and durability after overcoming a career-threatening brain infection layoff. Local Canadian favorite making his Octagon debut in front of a home-country crowd.

John Yannis (“The Juice,” USA): 9-4-0 overall (UFC record 0-1). 5’7″-5’8″, 70-71″ reach, orthodox power striker. 5 KO/TKO wins with explosive early finishing ability and solid wrestling base. Trains out of Ambush Muay Thai SA. Dangerous forward pressure but has shown early vulnerability to submissions in high-level spots.

Recent Form
Siraj enters on a 2-fight win streak with back-to-back submissions after a lone regional loss:

Feb 19, 2026 – Submission (RNC, R2, 1:33) vs. Adonilton Matos (BFL 86).

Oct 16, 2025 – Submission (RNC, R2, 4:23) vs. Gustavo Erak (BFL 85).

Mar 14, 2025 – KO/TKO loss (R1, 3:28) vs. Diego Brandao (Tuff-N-Uff 142).
The 31-year-old has won 10 of his last 11 fights overall and dominated regional competition with finishing power.

Yannis is 3-1 in his last four outings but coming off a tough UFC debut:

Aug 2, 2025 – Submission loss (RNC, R1, 3:39) vs. Austin Bashi (UFC Fight Night).

May 25, 2025 – TKO win (R4, 3:08) vs. Nick Aguirre (Fury FC 104).

Dec 15, 2024 – KO win (R2, 0:09) vs. Carlos Jimenez (Fury FC 99).

Sep 22, 2024 – TKO win (R2, 1:59) vs. Dimas Chapa (Fury FC 96).
The 31-year-old showed knockout power in regional wins but was quickly finished in his lone Octagon appearance.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Siraj (age 31) is the surging regional champion and UFC debutant with a 7-submission win rate and momentum from dominant finishes. Yannis (age 31) brings UFC experience (albeit one loss) and heavy hands but has been stopped early twice in recent years. This is a classic “hot home debutant vs. power veteran on rebound” bantamweight opener. Siraj’s grappling pedigree and recent RNC finishes could exploit Yannis’ early-sub vulnerability (exposed in his UFC debut), while Yannis’ KO threat gives him a puncher’s chance if he can keep it standing. Expect an early fireworks scrap—both men finish frequently, and neither has shown elite late-fight cardio in recent stoppage losses.

FIGHT ODDS

Jamie Siraj          – 255

John Yannis        + 215

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the bantamweight bout between John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin slotted on the preliminary card (fight 2 of 13).

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Castaneda vs. Vologdin matchup remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns (Castaneda recovered from an earlier illness that scratched a prior booking).

Focused Fight Preview:

John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Prelims)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

John Castaneda (“Sexi Mexi,” Minnesota, USA): 21-8-0 overall (UFC record 4-4). 5’6″-5’7″, 69″ reach. A battle-tested veteran with well-rounded skills — 8 KO/TKO wins, 6 submissions, and strong wrestling/grappling from The Academy MN. Known for durability, forward pressure, and late-fight resilience, but has shown vulnerability in recent high-level decisions.

Mark Vologdin (Russia): 12-4-1 overall (UFC debut). 5’3″, 65″ reach. Explosive finisher with a Kyokushin karate base and elite finishing rate (6 KO/TKO, 4 submissions — many in Round 1). Trains out of Allstars Training Center; aggressive, high-output striker/grappler who has finished 10 of 12 wins, though his recent DWCS appearance exposed occasional decision vulnerabilities.

Recent Form
Castaneda enters on a 2-fight losing skid (both competitive decisions) after a lengthy layoff:

Apr 26, 2025 – Split decision loss vs. Chris Gutierrez (UFC Fight Night).

Jun 8, 2024 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Daniel Marcos (UFC Fight Night).

Nov 11, 2023 – Unanimous decision win vs. Kyung Ho Kang (UFC 295).
The 34-year-old has split his last eight Octagon appearances but remains a tough out with heart and experience.

Vologdin is coming off his first loss in over four years (a DWCS setback) but was on a dominant run beforehand:

Oct 7, 2025 – Unanimous decision loss vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (DWCS Season 9).

Jun 14, 2025 – Submission win (arm-triangle, R1, 4:05) vs. Francisco Cleiton Monteiro (Allstars Fight Night 10).

Oct 19, 2024 – KO/TKO win (R1) vs. Renan Cesar Baptista (Allstars Fight Night 8).

Mar 9, 2024 – KO/TKO win (R1) vs. Ricardo Monteiro (Allstars Fight Night 5).
The 26-year-old snapped a 7-fight win streak on DWCS but still earned a UFC contract with his finishing pedigree intact.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Castaneda (age 34) is the veteran gatekeeper with 29 pro fights and Octagon experience against ranked competition. Vologdin (age 26) is the hungry young debutant with massive finishing upside (83% finish rate in recent wins) and a clear power/speed advantage. This is a classic “veteran vs. prospect” bantamweight prelim spotlight. Castaneda’s grappling and durability could slow Vologdin down over 15 minutes, but Vologdin’s explosive early pressure, first-round finishes, and youth make him extremely dangerous — especially against a Castaneda side that has been outpointed in recent bouts. Expect a high-pace scrap with finish potential early; Vologdin rarely lets fights go deep when he’s rolling.

FIGHT ODDS

John Castaneda                – 125

Mark Vologdin                  + 105

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026

Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Early prelims: ~3:00 p.m. CT (UFC Fight Pass).

Prelims: 5:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

Main card: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT (Paramount+).

The event features 13 bouts and marks the UFC’s return to Winnipeg. The main event is a welterweight clash between former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9) and Canadian contender Mike Malott (13-2-1). The full card includes several ranked or notable fighters across divisions, with the flyweight bout between Mitch Raposo and Allan Nascimento slotted on the preliminary card.

Injury Report: No injuries or withdrawals have been reported for the card as of April 14, 2026. The Raposo vs. Nascimento matchup remains fully intact with no line movement tied to health concerns.

Focused Fight Preview:

Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento (Flyweight, 3 x 5-minute rounds, Prelims)

Fighter Profiles & Styles

Mitch Raposo (Fall River, Massachusetts, USA): 10-3-0 overall (UFC record 1-2). 5’5″, 64″ reach, orthodox. A compact, well-rounded fighter with knockout power (4 KO/TKO wins) and solid grappling. Trains out of a family-run camp; known for durability and come-forward pressure but has struggled in recent high-level decisions.

Allan Nascimento (“Puro Osso,” Brazil): 22-6-0 overall (UFC record 4-1). 5’8″, 69.5″ reach, southpaw. An elite submission specialist (16 career subs, many early) with strong top control and anaconda choke expertise. Dangerous grappler who mixes in volume striking; trains out of Chute Boxe Diego Lima and brings veteran Octagon experience.

Recent Form
Raposo enters on a 1-2 UFC run but snapped a skid with his first Octagon victory:

Oct 25, 2025 – Unanimous decision win vs. Azat Maksum (UFC 321).

Apr 12, 2025 – Split decision loss vs. Sumudaerji (UFC 314).

Jun 1, 2024 – Split decision loss vs. Andre Lima (UFC 302).
He has shown heart in close fights but has been outpointed by elite prospects in his last two losses before the Maksum win.

Nascimento is on a strong 4-fight win streak (his only UFC loss was a 2021 split decision):

Nov 1, 2025 – Submission (anaconda choke, R2, 3:13) vs. Cody Durden.

May 31, 2025 – Unanimous decision win vs. Jafel Filho.

Jan 14, 2023 – Submission (rear-naked choke, R1, 3:16) vs. Carlos Hernandez.

May 14, 2022 – Unanimous decision win vs. Jake Hadley.
The 34-year-old has finished 3 of his last 4 UFC appearances and dominates with grappling chains.

Fight History & Key Matchup Notes
Raposo (age 27) is the younger, hungry prospect trying to establish himself after two razor-close UFC losses and a regional KO background. Nascimento (age 34) is the experienced finisher with a 4-fight win streak and a clear grappling advantage (68% of his wins by submission). This is a classic “young power vs. veteran submission game” flyweight prelim. Raposo’s forward pressure and durability could test Nascimento’s cardio, but Nascimento’s length, top control, and finishing threat (especially early) make him extremely dangerous on the mat. Expect a grappling-heavy fight—Raposo has never been submitted, but Nascimento rarely lets opponents dictate pace once he closes distance. 

FIGHT ODDS

Mitch Raposo                    + 160

Allan Nascimento            – 185

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 17, 2026