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NBA Western Conference Finals Game 3 Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (0-2)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves face off in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at Target Center, with the Thunder holding a 2-0 series lead after a dominant 118-103 victory in Game 2.

Game Overview

  • Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
  • Broadcast: ABC

Team Breakdown

Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0 series lead)

  • Last Game: 118-103 win vs. Timberwolves
  • Key Players:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Scored 38 points in Game 2, continuing his MVP-level postseason.
  • Jalen Williams – Averaging 21.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 5.1 APG in the playoffs.
  • Chet Holmgren – Provides elite rim protection, averaging 2.8 blocks per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves (0-2 series deficit)

  • Last Game: 103-118 loss vs. Thunder
  • Key Players:
  • Anthony Edwards – Led Minnesota with 32 points in Game 2, but needs more help offensively.
  • Julius Randle – Struggled in Game 2, scoring just six points.
  • Rudy Gobert – Must dominate the paint to slow down OKC’s attack.

Key Matchups & Storylines

1. Thunder’s Offensive Firepower vs. Timberwolves’ Defense

Oklahoma City ranks fifth in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game (34.2), limiting second-chance opportunities. Minnesota must improve its transition defense to slow down OKC’s fast-paced attack.

2. Edwards vs. Gilgeous-Alexander – Superstar Battle

Edwards is averaging 27.6 PPG in the playoffs, but Gilgeous-Alexander has been even better, posting 31.5 PPG on 51.4% shooting. Can Edwards elevate his game to keep Minnesota alive?

3. Timberwolves’ Home-Court Advantage

Minnesota has been strong at home, going 33-19 against Western Conference opponents. Can they use the energy of Target Center to turn the series around?

4. OKC’s Three-Point Shooting vs. Minnesota’s Perimeter Defense

The Thunder average 14.5 made three-pointers per game, while the Timberwolves allow 12.7 per game. If OKC continues to shoot efficiently, Minnesota could struggle to keep pace.

5. Timberwolves’ Urgency in a Must-Win Game

Teams that fall behind 0-3 in a conference final have historically lost the series 98% of the time. Minnesota must win to keep their championship hopes alive.

Prediction & X-Factors

  • Likely Outcome: A close, physical game with Minnesota desperate to avoid a 3-0 series hole.
  • X-Factors:
  • Edwards’ scoring efficiency – Can he take over offensively?
  • Gobert’s rim protection – Can he limit Holmgren’s impact?
  • Thunder’s three-point shooting – If they stay hot, OKC could take full control.

Game Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder                – 2.5

Minnesota Timberwolves            218

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 23, 2025

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