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NBA Game Preview: Toronto Raptors (14-5) vs. Charlotte Hornets (5-14)

Venue and Event Overview

The Toronto Raptors (14-5) visit the Charlotte Hornets (5-14) in a lopsided Eastern Conference tilt that highlights Toronto’s resurgence under new coach Darko Rajaković against a Hornets squad mired in rebuild mode. The Raptors, riding a four-game win streak, aim to solidify their top-3 East positioning with a road victory, leveraging their top-10 offense (119.2 PPG, No. 9) against Charlotte’s porous defense (No. 25 in points allowed at 115.8). For the Hornets, desperate for a spark, LaMelo Ball’s playmaking (8.2 APG) could exploit Toronto’s occasional turnover issues (13.8 per game), but their 1-9 record against teams over .500 this season spells trouble. This matchup at Spectrum Center promises high-scoring potential, with Toronto’s rest advantage (off since November 26) vs. Charlotte’s back-to-back fatigue.

Tipoff: 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT / 4:00 PM CT). Broadcast on FanDuel Sports Network Southeast (CHA) and Sportsnet (TOR), with streaming on NBA League Pass and FuboTV. Pre-game coverage starts at 5:30 PM ET.

Injury Report

Injuries heavily favor Toronto, with Charlotte missing key rotation pieces that exacerbate their depth issues.

Toronto Raptors:

RJ Barrett (SF, OUT – Right Knee; Sprain): The former Knick (18.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG) has missed the last three games and is ruled out, thinning Toronto’s wing depth—team goes 2-1 without him, but offensive load shifts to Scottie Barnes (up 3.2 usage).

Chucky Hepburn (G, Two-Way – OUT – G League Assignment): Rookie guard unavailable; minimal impact on rotation.

A.J. Lawson (G/F, Two-Way – OUT – G League Assignment): Wing depth piece sidelined; no major concern.

Immanuel Quickley (PG, PROBABLE – Right Shoulder Soreness): The sparkplug (16.8 PPG, 6.4 APG) practiced fully after missing one game; expected to play 28-32 minutes.

No other concerns: Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl, and Gradey Dick are fully cleared.

Charlotte Hornets:

Jordan Miller (G, OUT – Left Hamstring; Strain): Reserve guard (6.2 PPG) sidelined for 2-3 weeks, hurting bench scoring (Hornets -7.4 net rating off bench).

Grant Williams (F, QUESTIONABLE – Right Ankle Sprain): Key defender (8.1 PPG, 1.2 SPG) missed the November 27 loss to Miami and is a game-time call; his absence weakens perimeter D vs. Toronto’s shooters.

Josh Green (G/F, PROBABLE – Knee Soreness): Acquired in offseason, the 3-and-D wing (9.4 PPG, 38% from three) is expected available after limited practice.

Mark Williams (C, OUT – Low Back Contusion): Backup big (4.8 PPG, 5.2 RPG) out since November 15; forces Miles Bridges to slide inside, exposing mismatches.

Toronto’s health edge projects a +6.2 net rating advantage, per models.

Team Recent Forms

Toronto Raptors:

Strengths: Balanced attack (No. 3 in assists at 28.4 per game) led by Barnes’ all-around play; elite rebounding (+3.8 margin, No. 7). Defense ranks No. 11 (109.4 allowed).

Weaknesses: Inconsistent from deep (35.2%, No. 18) and vulnerable to fast breaks (opponents 14.6 fast-break PPG).

Recent Form (Last 5 Games: 4-1): W 97-95 vs. IND (Nov 26, Barnes 28 pts, clutch D); W 110-99 vs. CLE (Nov 24, Poeltl 18 reb); W 115-108 at DET (Nov 22, Quickley 22 pts); L 112-105 at PHI (Nov 20, poor shooting); W 120-110 vs. BKN (Nov 18, team balance). Raptors are 9-1 in their last 10, averaging 114.6 PPG (up 4.2 from October), with wins in four straight road games.

Charlotte Hornets:

Strengths: Ball’s creativity (25.3 PPG, 8.2 APG) fuels transition (15.2 fast-break PPG, No. 8); young core (Bridges, Nurkic) shows flashes.

Weaknesses: Dismal defense (No. 25, 115.8 allowed) and turnover machine (15.4 per game, No. 28). Bench production lags (-9.2 net rating).

Recent Form (Last 5 Games: 1-4): L 123-116 vs. CHI (Nov 28, Ball 32 pts in loss); L 110-102 vs. MIA (Nov 26, poor rebounding); L 105-98 at ATL (Nov 24, Bridges 20 pts); W 112-105 vs. WAS (Nov 22, team effort); L 118-110 at ORL (Nov 20, defensive collapse). Hornets are 1-4 in November, averaging 108.2 PPG (down 6.4 from October), with a seven-game skid earlier derailing momentum.

Toronto’s form gives them a 68% win probability; Charlotte’s home splits (3-1 in last four) offer faint hope.

Series History

The Raptors lead the all-time series 52-49 (51.5% win rate) in 101 regular-season meetings since 1995, with a 28-22 edge in Charlotte (56%). Toronto has dominated recently, winning the last five head-to-heads: 110-108 on November 17, 2025 (Barnes 26 pts); 126-96 on April 9, 2025; 108-97 on March 28, 2025; 138-133 on October 30, 2024; and 111-106 on March 3, 2024. Average score in last five: Raptors 118.6-108.0 (Over in 3/5). Key trend: Toronto covers in 4/5 recent games; home underdog Hornets 2-3 ATS last five.

Key Player Matchups

Scottie Barnes (TOR) vs. LaMelo Ball (CHA): Barnes’ versatility (21.8 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 6.1 APG) challenges Ball’s flash (25.3 PPG, 8.2 APG, 1.8 SPG); Ball’s turnovers (4.2 per game) feed Barnes’ transition. Edge: Barnes defensively.

Jakob Poeltl (TOR) vs. Alperen Şengün (CHA): Poeltl’s efficiency (13.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 1.8 BPG) vs. Şengün’s scoring (19.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG); rebounding duel key (TOR +3.8 margin). Edge: Poeltl in paint protection.

Immanuel Quickley (TOR, probable) vs. Tre Mann (CHA): Quickley’s microwave scoring (16.8 PPG off bench) tests Mann’s speed (12.4 PPG, 2.1 APG); bench battle decides pace. Edge: Quickley if active.

Gradey Dick (TOR) vs. Miles Bridges (CHA): Dick’s shooting (14.2 PPG, 40% from three) vs. Bridges’ athleticism (20.1 PPG, 7.2 RPG); perimeter scoring contest. Edge: Bridges at home.

Bench: Toronto’s Depth vs. Charlotte’s Reserves: Raptors’ bench +5.4 net rating vs. Hornets’ -9.2; Poeltl’s minutes restriction (28 avg.) vs. Nurkic’s foul trouble.

Focus: Ball’s usage (34.1%) vs. Toronto’s No. 6 opponent turnover % (13.8); Raptors’ three-point volume (38.4 attempts) vs. Charlotte’s weak perimeter D (37.2% allowed).

Betting Trends

Trends: TOR 8-2 ATS last 10 road; CHA 3-7 ATS home. Last 5 H2H: Over hit 3/5 (avg. 226.6 points). Barnes O21.5 pts (-115) scorching (hit 9/10).

Game Odds

Toronto Raptors               – 9

Charlotte Hornets            227

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025

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