The Orlando Magic (23-22) face the Miami Heat (25-22) in a Southeast Division rivalry matchup as the Magic look to build on recent defensive improvements against a Heat team aiming to extend their home success. Orlando, sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference, has struggled with consistency but boasts strong guard play and rebounding, while Miami, 8th in the East, relies on balanced scoring and elite perimeter defense. This game could hinge on three-point shooting and turnover control, with potential for a high-scoring affair if the Magic’s offense clicks or a defensive grind if the Heat’s veteran core locks in.
Venue Location
The game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This 19,600-capacity arena, formerly known as American Airlines Arena, is the home of the Heat and renowned for its vibrant atmosphere during divisional games.
Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET (4:30 PM PT / 12:30 AM GMT on January 29).
Recent Team Forms
The Magic have been inconsistent, posting a 4-6 record in their last 10 games with a -2.5 point differential. They’ve gone 3-7 ATS, with the total going under in 6 of their last 9 games. Orlando averages 115.0 points per game (20th in league) while allowing 115.4 (14th), with strong rebounding (44.2 per game, 14th) but turnover issues (14.5 per game). Key wins include a recent victory over the Knicks, but losses to top teams highlight defensive lapses.
The Heat have been steady, going 5-5 in their last 10 with a neutral point differential. They’ve gone 6-3 ATS, with the over hitting in 5 of their last 6 games. Miami averages 119.7 points per game (3rd) while allowing 118.0 (23rd), with elite rebounding (46.2 per game, 5th) and assists (28.6 per game, 6th). They’ve played better as home favorites (10-5 ML), but road struggles persist.
| Team | Last 10 Record | Points For (Avg) | Points Against (Avg) | Streak |
| Orlando Magic | 4-6 | 115.0 | 115.4 | L1 |
| Miami Heat | 5-5 | 119.7 | 118.0 | W1 |
Injury Report
Injuries are impacting both teams, particularly the Magic’s frontcourt and Heat’s backcourt.
Orlando Magic:
Franz Wagner (SF): Day-to-Day (Left ankle soreness) – Limited in practice; game-time decision.
Colin Castleton (C): Day-to-Day (Left thumb fracture) – Expected to miss; impacts depth.
Overall: Two key absences thinning the rotation, forcing reliance on Banchero and Black for scoring.
Miami Heat:
Norman Powell (SF): Day-to-Day (Low back tightness) – Questionable; if out, Wiggins starts.
Tyler Herro (SG): Day-to-Day (Toe, rib) – Questionable; status uncertain.
Davion Mitchell (SG): Day-to-Day (Left shoulder contusion) – Questionable; backup guard depth hit.
Kel’el Ware (C): Day-to-Day (Right hamstring tightness) – Questionable; if out, Adebayo plays more minutes.
Terry Rozier (PG): Out (Personal – arrested in sports gambling probe; indefinite).
Overall: Multiple backcourt issues, but core (Adebayo, Wiggins, Jaquez) healthy.
Key Player Matchups
This divisional tilt features exciting individual battles.
Paolo Banchero (Magic F) vs. Bam Adebayo (Heat C): Banchero’s scoring (21.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG) vs. Adebayo’s two-way play (17.9 PPG, 9.7 RPG).
Franz Wagner (Magic SF) vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Heat SF): Wagner’s athleticism (22.2 PPG) challenged by Jaquez’s versatility (15.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG) – if Wagner plays.
Anthony Black (Magic G) vs. Norman Powell (Heat SF): Black’s emerging play (15.6 PPG) vs. Powell’s shooting (23.1 PPG, 39.3% 3PT) – if Powell plays.
Wendell Carter Jr. (Magic C) vs. Kel’el Ware (Heat C): Carter’s rebounding (7.5 RPG) vs. Ware’s interior presence (11.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG) – if Ware plays.
Key X-Factor: Desmond Bane (Magic G) could exploit Heat’s backcourt injuries with his scoring (18.9 PPG).
Series History
The Heat and Magic have played 145 regular-season games, with Miami leading 81-64 all-time. In the last 10 meetings, Orlando has a 6-4 record, but Miami is 6-4 ATS and 5-5 O/U. The average total points is 215.4, with unders hitting in 5 of 10. In Miami, the Heat are 10-1 in their last 11 home games against Orlando, with a 6-4 ATS record in the last 10.
| Last 5 Head-to-Head Games | Date | Result | Total Points |
| Magic @ Heat | 11/15/2025 | Heat 114-110 | 224 |
| Heat @ Magic | 10/20/2025 | Heat 105-102 | 207 |
| Magic @ Heat | 03/10/2024 | Magic 120-118 | 238 |
| Heat @ Magic | 12/05/2024 | Heat 112-108 | 220 |
| Magic @ Heat | 02/28/2024 | Heat 115-110 | 225 |
Betting Trends
ATS Trends: Heat 27-17 ATS overall (6-4 in last 10); Magic 17-28 ATS overall (3-7 in last 10); Heat 20-5 ATS when scoring over 115.4; Magic 11-6 ATS when scoring over 118.0. O/U Trends: Heat over in 55.6% (25/45); Magic over in 48.9% (22/45); under in 6 of Magic’s last 9; over in 5 of Heat’s last 6 at home.
Trends: Heat 4-6 in last 10 vs. Magic; Magic 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs. Miami; under in 6 of Magic’s last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Game Odds
Orlando Magic 228.5
Miami Heat – 2.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, January 27, 2026
