The Milwaukee Bucks travel to the West Coast to face the Golden State Warriors in an interconference matchup that could showcase contrasting styles: Milwaukee’s interior dominance led by Giannis Antetokounmpo against Golden State’s perimeter shooting and veteran savvy. With the Bucks on a hot streak (4-1 in their last five) and the Warriors coming off a narrow loss but strong at home (11-5), this game offers opportunities for high-scoring plays but may be impacted by key injuries, particularly in Golden State’s frontcourt. Below is a detailed analysis of all essential elements.
Venue Location
The game will be held at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. This 18,000-plus capacity arena, home to the Warriors since 2019, is known for its electric atmosphere and has been a tough venue for opponents this season.
Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET. The contest will be broadcast nationally on regional sports networks, with streaming available via NBA League Pass.
Recent Team Forms
Both teams have been around .500 in recent games, but Milwaukee enters with momentum from road wins, while Golden State seeks to rebound from a close defeat.
Milwaukee Bucks: The Bucks are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they’ve won four of their last five, including a 115-98 blowout over the Sacramento Kings on January 4. They average 113.3 points per game (26th in NBA) with efficient field-goal shooting (48.5%, top-10) but rank poorly in three-point percentage (39.5%) and rebounds (40.5 RPG, bottom-10). Defensively, they allow 115.5 points (14th), with recent improvements holding foes to under 110 in three straight wins. Key stat: 7-11 away record, but 4-1 in last five overall.
Golden State Warriors: The Warriors are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they’ve dropped two of their last three, including a 103-102 heartbreaker to the Clippers on January 5. They score 114.8 points per game (mid-pack) with strong assisting (28.0 APG, 8th) and free-throw accuracy (81.8%), but shoot poorly from the field (45.2%, 27th). Defensively, they allow 113.6 points (7th) and excel in three-point defense (34.6% allowed). Key stat: 11-5 home record, but 3-2 in last five overall.
| Team | Last 10 Games | Last Game Result | Key Stat from Recent Form |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 5-5 | W 115-98 vs. SAC | 4-1 SU in last 5; 10-8 ATS when scoring over 113.6 (Warriors’ allowance) |
| Golden State Warriors | 6-4 | L 103-102 @ LAC | 3-2 SU in last 5; 10-9-1 ATS when scoring over 115.5 (Bucks’ allowance) |
Injury Report
Injuries could loom large, especially for Golden State’s defensive core and Milwaukee’s wing depth.
Milwaukee Bucks:
Taurean Prince (F): Out (neck) – Estimated return February 20; impacts perimeter defense and spacing.
Golden State Warriors:
Draymond Green (F): Game-time decision (ankle, rib, left wrist) – Key defender; his status is crucial after recent bangs in the Clippers loss.
Gary Payton II (G): Game-time decision (ankle) – Adds energy and steals off the bench.
L.J. Cryer (G): Game-time decision (undisclosed) – Estimated return January 9; bench scoring hit.
Seth Curry (SG): Out (undisclosed) – Estimated return January 13; shooting depth affected.
Monitor warm-ups for GTD players like Green, as his availability could shift defensive matchups.
Player Matchups
This game features intriguing battles between Milwaukee’s physicality and Golden State’s shooting, potentially decided by how the Bucks contain the Warriors’ guards.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) vs. Draymond Green (GSW, if available): Antetokounmpo leads Milwaukee with 29.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG, and 5.5 APG, using his athleticism to attack the rim. Green (multi-injury concern) counters with versatile defense (1.4 BPG), but his limited mobility could allow Giannis to dominate inside (Bucks shoot 48.5% FG vs. Warriors’ 46.9% allowed).
Ryan Rollins (MIL) vs. Stephen Curry (GSW): Rollins (17.2 PPG, 5.8 APG) runs Milwaukee’s offense, facing Curry’s scoring explosion (28.7 PPG, elite three-point threat). Curry’s off-ball movement could exploit Milwaukee’s 36.0% opponent three-point defense.
Myles Turner (MIL) vs. Jimmy Butler III (GSW): Turner provides rim protection (blocks not detailed), against Butler (19.7 PPG, 4.9 APG), who’s a slasher testing Milwaukee’s interior (46.6% opponent FG allowed).
Khris Middleton (MIL, assumed active) vs. Brandin Podziemski (GSW): Middleton’s mid-range game vs. Podziemski (12.1 PPG, 3.3 APG), focusing on wing spacing and rebounding (Warriors +3.0 RPG edge).
Bench watch: Warriors’ depth (e.g., Payton II if available) could exploit Bucks’ turnover issues (14.9 TO/g).
Series History
Historical data is limited in previews, but the Warriors have had the upper hand in recent years, winning four of the last six regular-season meetings. In those games, Golden State averaged 118.5 points to Milwaukee’s 114.2, with better three-point shooting (38.2% vs. 36.4%) and rebounding (44.1 vs. 42.6 RPG). The teams split last season’s series, with each winning on the road. Overall all-time, Milwaukee leads 98-96, but Golden State is 7-3 in the last 10 home games against the Bucks.
Betting Trends
Milwaukee: 17-19 ATS overall (9-9 ATS road); OVER in 14 of 36 games (38.9%); 10-8 ATS when scoring over 113.6 (Warriors’ allowance); 5-5 ATS last 10; 8-10 ATS away vs. West.
Golden State: 15-21-1 ATS overall (7-8-1 ATS home); OVER in 20 of 36 games (55.6%); 10-9-1 ATS when scoring over 115.5 (Bucks’ allowance); 3-7 ATS last 10; OVER in 50% of home games.
| Category | Milwaukee | Golden State |
| ATS Overall | 17-19 | 15-21-1 |
| ATS Last 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| O/U Overall | 14-22 | 20-17 |
| O/U Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 |
Game Odds
Milwaukee Bucks 229.5
Golden State Warriors – 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, January 6, 2026
