Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun (FDSSUN) / NBC Sports Philadelphia (NBCS-PH)
Recent Team Forms (Last 10 Games)
Both squads are 5-5 over their last 10, but with differing momentum:
- Heat: Averaging 121.0 PPG while allowing 111.3 PPG. They boast elite rebounding (52.1 RPG) and fast-break efficiency (18.0 points per game, 3rd in the league). Recent results include a dominant 136-120 win over Memphis (Feb 21) and a three-game win streak snapped by a 117-128 loss to Milwaukee (Feb 24), where they shot just 33% from three and allowed nearly 50% field-goal shooting.
- 76ers: Averaging 116.0 PPG and allowing 116.7 PPG. They are coming off two impressive road wins: 135-108 over Minnesota (Feb 22) and 135-114 over Indiana (Feb 24). The team endured a five-game win streak followed by five losses in six but has regained rhythm post-All-Star break.
Injury Report
Miami Heat
- Nikola Jovic (F) – Out / Day-to-Day (lower back)
- Davion Mitchell (G) – Questionable (illness / head)
- Terry Rozier (G) – Out (not with team; est. return April)
Key contributors available: Tyler Herro (rib – available), Norman Powell (lower back – available), Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, and others.
Philadelphia 76ers
- Joel Embiid (C) – Probable (right knee injury management / right shin soreness) – Recently returned after missing five games; scored 27 points in 26 minutes vs. Indiana.
- Johni Broome (F) – Out (right knee meniscus tear)
- Paul George (F) – Out (league suspension)
Other roster pieces (Kelly Oubre Jr., etc.) are available or managing minor issues. Embiid’s minute restriction and availability will be the biggest X-factor.
Player Matchups and Projected Starters
Projected Starters
- Heat: G Tyler Herro, G Norman Powell, F Andrew Wiggins, F/C Bam Adebayo, ? (frontcourt adjustments with Jovic out)
- 76ers: G Tyrese Maxey, G/F Kelly Oubre Jr. or wing, F/C Joel Embiid (if active), frontcourt rotation
Key Matchups
- Tyrese Maxey (PHI – career-high 29.1 PPG) vs. Heat perimeter defense (Herro / Powell / Mitchell): Maxey has been unstoppable lately (32 points + near triple-double vs. Indiana; 71 points in last two wins). Miami must limit his pull-up threes and transition play.
- Joel Embiid (PHI – probable) vs. Bam Adebayo (MIA – 18.3 PPG, 9.8 RPG): A premier center clash. Embiid’s scoring/creation vs. Adebayo’s elite defense and versatility. If Embiid is limited, Miami gains a massive rebounding/rim-protection edge.
- Norman Powell (MIA – 22.9 PPG; 32 points in Nov. meeting) & Tyler Herro (20.9 PPG) vs. Philadelphia wings: Powell’s scoring explosion and Herro’s playmaking test the 76ers’ perimeter without George.
- Rebounding/Fast Break: Heat lead in fast-break points (18.0/game); 76ers rely on Maxey (5.6/game) but rank lower overall. Miami’s 52.1 RPG in recent games could dominate if Embiid is restricted.
Series History
This is the second meeting of the 2025-26 season. The Heat won the first on Nov. 23, 2025 (127-117 at Philadelphia), led by Norman Powell’s 32 points and Kel’el Ware’s 20/16 double-double (Maxey had 27 for PHI). Miami has won the last five straight meetings overall and swept the 2024-25 season series 4-0. All-time regular-season record: Heat lead 76-67.
Betting Trends
- 76ers: 30-28 ATS overall; 16-11 ATS as favorites of 1.5+ points; 12-18 ATS at home but improved recently. Games have hit the over 52.5% of the time. Strong when scoring >117.1 (17-5 ATS).
- Heat: 34-25 ATS overall; excellent 17-9-1 ATS as underdogs of 1.5+; 19-11-1 ATS on the road. Also ~52.5% to the over.
- Head-to-head this season: Heat 1-0 (and 1-0 ATS).
- Combined scoring averages slightly below the total line in recent games for both sides.
Game Odds
Miami Heat 239.5
Philadelphia Sixers – 2.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, February 25, 2026
