NBA Game Preview: Miami Heat (27-29) vs. Washington Wizards (14-37)

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The Miami Heat, coming off a narrow loss to the Boston Celtics that snapped a brief win streak, face the Washington Wizards in a Southeast Division clash amid ongoing roster challenges for both teams. Miami, sitting eighth in the Eastern Conference, aims to capitalize on Washington’s rebuilding phase and defensive struggles (allowing 122.7 PPG, league-worst). The Wizards, 13th in the East and winners of two of their last three, seek to build momentum at home despite a lengthy injury list featuring stars like Anthony Davis and Trae Young. This game could spotlight Miami’s efficiency (45.4% FG, top-10) against Washington’s youth movement, but injuries may lead to a sloppy, low-scoring affair.

Venue Location

Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

Tipoff is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET (11:00 AM PT).

Injury Report

The Heat are managing multiple day-to-day issues in their backcourt and frontcourt, while the Wizards remain without their top acquisitions due to long-term injuries, forcing reliance on rookies like Will Riley and Alex Sarr.

Miami Heat Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury Details
Norman PowellGTDRight hand sprain.
Bam AdebayoGTDHip.
Pelle LarssonGTDUnknown.
Tyler HerroDay-to-DayToe, rib.
Aaron WigginsDay-to-DayHamstring.

Washington Wizards Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury Details
Anthony DavisOutHand/groin; expected to miss remainder of season.
Trae YoungOutRight knee MCL sprain; quad contusion.
Dante ExumOutKnee; out for season.
Tre JohnsonOutAnkle.
Bilal CoulibalyQuestionableLower back soreness.
Alex SarrQuestionableAnkle.
Kyshawn GeorgeQuestionableKnee.
D’Angelo RussellDay-to-DayIllness.
Cam WhitmoreOutRight shoulder soreness. Expected return: Oct 1 (future date, likely error or long-term).

Player Matchups to Watch

Injuries thin both lineups, shifting focus to guards and wings. Miami’s perimeter efficiency meets Washington’s youth in the paint, but the Heat’s veterans could exploit the Wizards’ inexperience.

  • Bam Adebayo (MIA, if available) vs. Alex Sarr (WAS, if available): Adebayo (21.5 PPG, 10.2 RPG) tests Sarr’s athleticism (rookie big man with defensive upside); paint battle for rebounding control.
  • Tyler Herro (MIA, if available) vs. Will Riley (WAS): Herro’s scoring (20.8 PPG) vs. Riley’s recent hot streak (18 PPG in wins); guard matchup exploiting Washington’s perimeter defense.
  • Jimmy Butler (MIA) vs. Bilal Coulibaly (WAS, if available): Butler’s all-around game (19.2 PPG, 5.8 APG) vs. Coulibaly’s defense; wing duel for mid-range efficiency.
  • Other Notes: If Adebayo sits, Nikola Jovic steps up vs. thin Wizards frontcourt; Washington’s Bub Carrington (14 PPG) could exploit Miami’s backcourt injuries.

Recent Team Forms

Heat are inconsistent (5-5 last 10), but strong in blowouts. Wizards show flashes (3-7 last 10), with recent wins against weak teams.

Miami Heat (5-5 in last 10 games, averaging 116.0 PPG, allowing 114.2 PPG):

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 6@ BOSL96-98
Feb 3vs ATLL115-127
Feb 1vs CHIW134-91
Jan 30vs PORW127-97
Jan 28vs SACW103-87
Jan 26@ PHIW112-109
Jan 24vs BKNW120-66
Jan 22vs DALL97-114
Jan 20vs TORL127-145
Jan 19vs UTAW135-112

Washington Wizards (3-7 in last 10 games, averaging 112.6 PPG, allowing 121.8 PPG):

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 5@ DETW126-117
Feb 3vs NYKL101-132
Feb 1vs SACW116-112
Jan 30vs LALL111-142
Jan 28@ WAS (self? vs NYK per patterns)L101-132
Jan 27vs DALL102-110
Jan 25vs NOPL102-110
Jan 23@ LALW142-111
Jan 21vs NYKL101-132
Jan 19vs DENL97-107

Series History

The Heat hold a commanding all-time lead over the Wizards at 100-48 in regular-season games. Miami has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, including a 120-94 victory on March 31, 2025, but Washington took the most recent on April 13, 2025 (119-118). The series is 4-0 for Miami in playoffs (2005 first round sweep).

DateLocationResultScore
Apr 13, 2025vs WAS (MIA home)L (MIA)118-119
Mar 31, 2025@ WASW (MIA)120-94
Jan 6, 2025vs WAS (MIA home)W (MIA)109-99
Nov 4, 2024@ WASW (MIA)118-116
Mar 20, 2024@ WASW (MIA)115-102

Heat have won 4 of the last 5.

Betting Trends

The Heat are favored on the road against a struggling Wizards team; trends favor Miami covering as favorites, with overs in recent Heat games but unders in Wizards’ blowouts.

  • ATS Trends: Heat 6-4 ATS last 10; Wizards 4-6 ATS last 10. Heat 1-4 ATS as 10.5+ favorites; Wizards 3-2 ATS as 10.5+ underdogs.
  • O/U Trends: Over in 21 of Heat’s last 28 as 11+ favorites; under in 4 of Wizards’ last 5 home games.

Game Odds

Miami Heat                        – 10.5

Washington Wizards      234.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, February 7, 2026