NBA Game Preview: Miami Heat (22-21) vs. Sacramento Kings (12-31)

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The Miami Heat (22-21) face the Sacramento Kings (12-31) in a cross-conference matchup to conclude the Heat’s five-game West Coast road trip. Miami is coming off a tough loss to Golden State, extending their road skid to four games, while Sacramento snapped a surprising four-game win streak with a home defeat to Portland. This game could feature strong guard play and rebounding battles, but injuries to key scorers on both sides may lead to a lower-scoring affair. Expect the Heat’s experience to prevail against the struggling Kings, who rank near the bottom in defensive efficiency.

Game Details

Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET (7:00 p.m. PT)

Venue: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

TV Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Sun, NBCS-CA

How to Watch: NBA League Pass (streaming available)

Recent Team Forms

The Heat are 2-3 in their last five, struggling defensively on the road but showing offensive flashes. The Kings went 4-1 in their last five before the Portland loss, with improved ball movement during their streak.

Miami Heat Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultScore
Jan 19@ Golden State WarriorsL112-135
Jan 17vs. Oklahoma City ThunderW122-120
Jan 15vs. Boston CelticsL114-119
Jan 13vs. Phoenix SunsW127-121
Jan 10@ Indiana PacersL99-123

Sacramento Kings Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultScore
Jan 18vs. Portland Trail BlazersL110-117
Jan 16vs. Washington WizardsW128-115
Jan 14vs. New York KnicksW112-101
Jan 12vs. Los Angeles LakersW124-112
Jan 11vs. Houston RocketsW111-98

Injury Report

Both teams are missing significant contributors, impacting scoring and perimeter defense. Miami’s backcourt is depleted, while Sacramento lacks forward depth.

Miami Heat: Tyler Herro (G) – Out (Ribs/Toe); est. return Jan. 28.

Terry Rozier (G) – Out (Not Injury Related); est. return Feb. 20.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (F) – Day-to-Day (Knee).

Sacramento Kings: Keegan Murray (F) – Out (Left Ankle Strain); est. return Feb. 4.

Key Player Matchups

This game pits Miami’s interior strength against Sacramento’s veteran guards. The Heat’s slower pace (20th in league) could neutralize the Kings’ transition opportunities, while Sacramento ranks bottom-5 in defensive rating.

Bam Adebayo (Heat) vs. Maxime Raynaud (Kings): Adebayo (23.5 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 4.8 APG) dominates inside with recent 30-point outings. Raynaud (rookie, ~8 RPG) provides rebounding but may struggle against Adebayo’s versatility.

Norman Powell (Heat) vs. De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Powell (21.4 PPG, 40% 3PT) leads Miami’s scoring without Herro. Fox (24.6 PPG, 5.8 APG) is Sacramento’s engine, but Heat perimeter defense ranks top-10.

Davion Mitchell (Heat) vs. DeMar DeRozan (Kings): Mitchell adds playmaking (recent 11 AST games). DeRozan (23.2 PPG, 4.6 APG) excels in mid-range, potentially exploiting Miami’s average wing defense.

Bench Impact: Heat’s Kel’el Ware (1.1 BPG) bolsters the paint. Kings’ Russell Westbrook (20.5 PPG, 7.0 APG) brings energy but high turnovers.

Miami ranks 10th in offensive efficiency and 12th defensively, while Sacramento is 22nd offensively and 28th defensively.

Series History

The Heat lead the all-time series 47-27 in 74 regular-season games.

Sacramento has won the last three meetings, including both this season:

Dec 6, 2025: Kings 127-111 @ Heat

Jan 6, 2025: Kings 118-123 @ Heat (wait, scores vary; Heat loss)

Nov 4, 2024: Kings 111-110 vs. Heat

Average margin in Kings’ last three wins: +10.7 points.

Miami is 2-5 ATS in the last seven head-to-head.

Betting Trends

Spread: Heat are 24-18-1 ATS overall (57.1% cover rate) but 11-10 ATS on the road. Kings are 16-25-2 ATS but 4-1 ATS in last five and 5-1 ATS at home recently.

Over/Under: 236.5-238.5 (-110). Teams combine for 228.1 PPG, but opponents allow 232.4. Heat games hit over 48.8% (21/43); Kings 44.2% (19/43).

Over in 4 of Heat’s last 5; over in 5 of Heat’s last 5 road vs. Kings.

Other Trends: Heat 2-5 SU last 7; 1-4 SU last 5 road. Kings 4-1 SU/ATS last 5; 5-14 SU as underdog last 19.

Miami 7-9 ATS as 2.5+ favorites; Sacramento 5-1 ATS home last 6.

Game Odds

Miami Heat                        – 3.5

Sacramento Kings            238.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, January 19, 2026