NBA Game Preview: Miami Heat (20-18) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (32-7)

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Game Details

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET (6:00 PM CT local time).

Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Broadcast: Available on FDSSUN (Heat local), FDSOK (Thunder local), and NBA League Pass.

Context: This Western vs. Eastern Conference clash features the top-seeded Thunder hosting a middling Heat team. The Thunder are riding a two-game win streak after some recent stumbles, while the Heat are struggling on the road and coming off back-to-back losses. Oklahoma City’s elite defense (leading the league in points allowed) could exploit Miami’s inconsistent offense.

Recent Team Forms

The Heat have gone 2-3 in their last five, with defensive lapses in losses but strong shooting in wins (averaging 117 points in victories). The Thunder are 3-2, showing resilience in close games but vulnerability against high-scoring opponents.

Miami Heat Last 5 Games:

Jan 10 @ IND: L 99-123 (Poor shooting and rebounding).

Jan 6 @ MIN: L 94-122 (Overwhelmed defensively).

Jan 4 vs NOP: W 125-106 (Efficient offense led by perimeter scoring).

Jan 3 vs MIN: L 115-125 (Close but late turnovers).

Jan 1 @ DET: W 118-112 (Strong fourth quarter comeback).

Oklahoma City Thunder Last 5 Games:

Jan 9 @ MEM: W 117-116 (Narrow escape with clutch plays).

Jan 7 vs UTA: W 129-125 OT (High-scoring overtime thriller).

Jan 5 vs CHA: L 97-124 (Rare home blowout).

Jan 4 @ PHX: L 105-108 (Competitive road loss).

Jan 2 vs GSW: W 131-94 (Dominant defensive effort).

Injury Report

Reports as of morning updates; Heat have not submitted final statuses, but key absences could impact depth. Thunder are missing frontcourt pieces.

Miami Heat:

Terry Rozier (G): Out – Not Injury Related (expected return Feb 20).

Bam Adebayo (C): Probable – Back Soreness (played through recently).

Vladislav Goldin (C): Out – G League Assignment.

Other statuses: Not yet submitted; monitor for Jimmy Butler (rest potential on road trip).

Oklahoma City Thunder:

Isaiah Hartenstein (C): Out – Right Soleus Strain.

Thomas Sorber (C): Out – Right ACL Surgical Recovery.

Nikola Topic (G): Out – Surgical Recovery.

Chet Holmgren (C): Probable – Monitoring after recent games.

Key Player Matchups

This game highlights perimeter battles and frontcourt clashes, with the Thunder’s athleticism testing the Heat’s veterans.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC, 31.9 PPG, 6.4 APG) vs. Davion Mitchell (MIA, 7.3 APG): SGA’s scoring prowess against Mitchell’s defense; if Rozier is out, Mitchell handles primary guard duties.

Chet Holmgren (OKC, 18.2 PPG est.) vs. Bam Adebayo (MIA, ~20 PPG est.): Holmgren’s rim protection vs. Adebayo’s physicality in the paint.

Jalen Williams (OKC) vs. Jimmy Butler (MIA): Williams’ versatility challenges Butler’s two-way play (Butler averaging ~20 PPG).

Tyler Herro (MIA, 22.1 PPG) vs. Luguentz Dort (OKC): Herro’s shooting vs. Dort’s elite perimeter defense.

Series History

The Thunder hold a significant all-time advantage, winning 44 of 74 regular-season meetings. Recent matchups favor OKC, with high-scoring affairs.

Last 5 Head-to-Head: Thunder 4-1 (Feb 12, 2025: MIA 101-115 OKC; Dec 20, 2024: OKC 104-97 MIA; Mar 8, 2024: MIA 100-107 OKC; Jan 10, 2024: MIA 120-128 OKC; Jan 10, 2023: MIA 112-111 OKC).

Betting Trends

The under has hit in 5 of Miami’s last 5 road games vs. OKC. Heat are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 but 18-3 straight-up at home. OKC covers large spreads well against sub-.500 road teams like Miami (8-10 away).

Game Odds

Miami Heat                                        233.4

Oklahoma City Thunder                – 13.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, January 10, 2026