NBA Game Preview: Indiana Pacers (15-40) vs. Washington Wizards (14-39)

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The Indiana Pacers, coming off back-to-back wins but riddled with injuries, face the Washington Wizards in a battle of Eastern Conference cellar-dwellers following the All-Star break. The Pacers, 14th in the East, rely on depleted depth to maintain momentum, while the Wizards, last in the conference, seek to end a three-game skid at home where they’ve shown flashes of competitiveness. This matchup highlights Washington’s interior defense against Indiana’s makeshift frontcourt, potentially leading to a low-scoring affair given both teams’ offensive struggles (Pacers 111.1 PPG, Wizards 112.2 PPG).

Venue Location

Capital One Arena
Washington, DC

Tipoff is scheduled 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: FDSIN and MNMT
Live Stream: NBA League Pass

Injury Report

Both teams are severely impacted by injuries, with Indiana missing nearly their entire starting lineup and Washington without key bigs and veterans. This could force reliance on rookies and bench players, affecting pace and efficiency.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusReason
PacersJohnny FurphyGOutRight ACL; Tear (season-ending)
PacersTyrese HaliburtonGOutRight Achilles Tendon; Tear (season-ending)
PacersObi ToppinFOutRight Foot; Stress Fracture
PacersIvica ZubacCOutLeft Ankle; Sprain
PacersT.J. McConnellGOutRight Hamstring; Soreness
PacersPascal SiakamFOutLeft Hamstring; Soreness
PacersAndrew NembhardGOutLow Back; Injury Management
PacersAaron NesmithFOutLow Back; Soreness
PacersJarace WalkerFQuestionableIllness
PacersMicah PotterCQuestionableLeft Ankle; Sprain
WizardsAlex SarrCOutRight Hamstring; Strain (expected 2 weeks)
WizardsAnthony DavisFOutHand/Groin (season-ending)
WizardsTrae YoungGOutRight Knee; MCL Sprain/Quad Contusion
WizardsCam WhitmoreGOutRight Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis (season-ending)
WizardsTristan VukcevicFOutIllness
WizardsBilal CoulibalyFQuestionableLower Back; Soreness
WizardsKyshawn GeorgeFQuestionableRight Knee; Contusion

Indiana’s absences decimate their offense (ORtg drops 5+ without Siakam and Nembhard), forcing Jarace Walker and Bennedict Mathurin into larger roles. Washington’s frontcourt is thin without Sarr and Davis, potentially exposing them to Indiana’s rebounding (43.2 RPG) if Walker plays.

Key Player Matchups

With injuries forcing adjustments, this game could hinge on guard play and bench contributions. Washington’s perimeter defense (opponents 36.6% 3P) faces Indiana’s depleted but spacing-focused attack.

  • Pascal Siakam (Pacers, if available) vs. Khris Middleton (Wizards): Siakam (23.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG) is out, but if cleared, his versatility (3.9 APG) exploits Washington’s 123.1 DRtg. Middleton (averaging 14.2 PPG post-trade) provides scoring, but Wizards’ NRtg worsens -4.2 without Sarr. Backup: Jarace Walker (7.9 PPG) vs. Middleton—Walker’s energy (5.4 RPG) could create mismatches.
  • Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) vs. Bub Carrington (Wizards): Nembhard (17.4 PPG, 7.5 APG) out, shifting duties to Mac McClung or Quenton Jackson. Carrington (10.2 PPG, 4.6 APG) thrives in transition, targeting Indiana’s 15.2 TOV/G. Wizards’ pace (100.4) could force errors from Pacers’ backups.
  • Ivica Zubac (Pacers) vs. Alex Sarr (Wizards): Both out—Zubac (ankle), Sarr (hamstring). Marvin Bagley III (10.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG) vs. Tristan Vukcevic (limited). Bagley’s efficiency (57.3% FG) edges out, but Wizards’ rebounding (43.5 RPG) suffers without Sarr (+7.8 RPG).
  • Bench Impact: Pacers’ Bennedict Mathurin (17.8 PPG) vs. Wizards’ Will Riley (rookie, 14.5 PPG flashes). Mathurin’s scoring (+/- +2.1) boosts Indiana’s second unit; Riley’s athleticism (1.2 SPG) disrupts.

Recent Team Forms

Indiana snapped a four-game skid with road wins, showing resilience despite injuries (averaging 126 PPG in wins). Washington has lost three straight, allowing 132.3 PPG in skid, but upset Detroit recently.

Indiana Pacers Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 11@ NetsW115-110
Feb 10@ KnicksW137-134 OT
Feb 8@ RaptorsL104-122
Feb 6@ BucksL99-105
Feb 3vs. JazzL122-131
  • Form: W-W-L-L-L
  • Key Trend: Road warriors (5-22 away but 2-0 in last two), elite recent offense (126 PPG in wins) but poor DRtg (121.4 in losses). Turnovers rise to 15.6/G without Haliburton.

Washington Wizards Last 5 Games:

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 11@ CavaliersL113-138
Feb 8vs. HeatL101-132
Feb 7@ NetsL113-127
Feb 5@ PistonsW126-117
Feb 3vs. KnicksL101-132
  • Form: L-L-L-W-L
  • Key Trend: Defensive woes (123.1 PPG allowed), but home splits better (15-13). ORtg 100.6 in losses vs. 126 in win; steals (7.8/G) key to forcing 13.5 opponent TOV/G.

Series History

Indiana dominates historically, but Washington has split recent games, showing improvement against the spread.

  • All-Time Record: Pacers 112-88 vs. Wizards
  • Recent Head-to-Head: Wizards won Dec. 14, 2025 (108-89 in Indiana)

Pacers won Nov. 28, 2025 (119-86). Tied 1-1 this season, with Wizards 1-1 ATS

  • Key Stat: In last 10 meetings, Pacers 6-4 SU, but over has hit in 7 of 10.

Betting Trends

  • Trends: Pacers 1-4 ATS in last 5; 4-16 ATS as favorites. Wizards 1-4 ATS in last 5; 10-16 ATS at home. Over has hit in 3 of Wizards’ last 5; under in 6 of last 10 H2H

Game Odds

Indiana Pacers                  – 4.5

Washington Wizards      234.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, February 18, 2026