Game Details
- Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET (5:30 PM PT)
- Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
- Broadcast: ABC, ESPN Radio, SiriusXM
This Western Conference showdown features the struggling Golden State Warriors facing the dominant Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder, atop the West, aim for their 50th win and to extend their home dominance, while the Warriors, battling injuries, seek a road upset to bolster their playoff positioning.
Recent Team Forms
The Warriors have been inconsistent amid injuries, while the Thunder continue their elite play with strong defense and scoring.
Golden State Warriors (4-6 in last 10 games): Golden State averages 115.3 PPG but allows 114.1, shooting 46.2% FG with turnover issues (14.9 TPG). They’ve leaned on perimeter play but struggled inside without key bigs. Key recent results:
- Mar 5 @ HOU: W 115-113 (OT) (Brandin Podziemski: 22 PTS)
- Mar 2 vs. LAC: L 101-114
- Feb 28 vs. LAL: L 101-129
- Feb 26 @ MEM: W 133-112
- Feb 24 @ NOP: L 109-113
- Feb 22 vs. DEN: W 128-117
- Feb 20 vs. BOS: L 110-121
- Feb 18 vs. SAS: L 113-126
- Feb 9 vs. MEM: W 114-113
- Feb 7 @ LAL: L 99-105
Golden State has gone over in 6 of their last 10 and is 4-6 ATS, with 2-3 ATS on the road recently.
Oklahoma City Thunder (8-2 in last 10 games): OKC averages 118.9 PPG while holding opponents to 107.8, leading the league in defensive rating. They’ve dominated with pace (98.6 possessions) and efficiency (50.3% FG). Key recent results:
- Mar 4 @ NYK: W 103-100 (Cason Wallace: 27 PTS)
- Mar 3 vs. CHI: W 116-107
- Mar 1 @ DAL: W 100-87
- Feb 27 vs. NOP: W 123-115
- Feb 25 vs. NOP: L 118-129
- Feb 23 @ HOU: W 125-105
- Feb 20 vs. BKN: W 105-86
- Feb 12 vs. MIL: L 93-110
- Feb 11 @ PHX: W 136-109
- Feb 9 vs. UTA: W 121-93
OKC has covered ATS in 6 of their last 10 and trends under at home (6 of 10), but over vs. Western foes.
Injury Report
Injuries cripple Golden State’s star power, while OKC manages minor issues but misses depth.
Golden State Warriors:
- Stephen Curry (PG): Out (right knee soreness; re-evaluated in 10 days)
- Kristaps Porzingis (C): Day-to-day (illness; missed recent games)
- Seth Curry (SG): Out (back/left sciatic nerve irritation)
- Moses Moody (SG): Out (right wrist sprain)
- Will Richard (SG): Out (right ankle sprain)
- Jimmy Butler (SF): Out for season (right ACL tear)
- Gary Payton II (G): Day-to-day (left ankle sprain)
- De’Anthony Melton (G): Day-to-day (knee)
Oklahoma City Thunder:
- Jalen Williams (G/F): Out (right hamstring strain; re-evaluated in ~2 weeks)
- Alex Caruso (G): Day-to-day (left hip contusion)
- Isaiah Hartenstein (C): Day-to-day (right calf/soleus tightness)
- Ajay Mitchell (G): Out (abdominal strain/left ankle sprain)
- Branden Carlson (C): Out (low back strain)
- Thomas Sorber (C): Out for season (right ACL tear)
- Nikola Topic (G): Out (G League assignment)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG): Probable (abdominal strain; injury management, but played recently)
Key Player Matchups
With Curry sidelined, Golden State’s depleted lineup faces mismatches against OKC’s balanced attack. Focus on perimeter battles and interior control.
- Brandin Podziemski (GSW, G) vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC, PG): Podziemski (12.6 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.1 SPG) steps up as a primary handler, but faces MVP frontrunner Gilgeous-Alexander (31.7 PPG, 6.5 APG, 1.4 SPG). SGA’s efficiency (55% FG) and playmaking could overwhelm Golden State’s guards, especially if Melton/Payton are limited.
- Jonathan Kuminga (GSW, F) vs. Chet Holmgren (OKC, F/C): Kuminga (efficient scorer, ~18 PPG est.) provides athleticism, but Holmgren (double-double threat: 16 PPG, 8 RPG, 2.5 BPG) anchors OKC’s defense with rim protection. Holmgren’s spacing (37% 3PT) exploits Golden State’s weak interior without Porzingis.
- Draymond Green (GSW, F) vs. Luguentz Dort (OKC, G/F): Green (8.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.2 APG) is Golden State’s defensive hub, but production has dipped. Dort (shutdown defender: 1.5 SPG) could limit Green’s facilitation while adding scoring (10 PPG). This matchup tests Golden State’s switches vs. OKC’s physicality.
Other notables: Andrew Wiggins (GSW) vs. Cason Wallace (OKC), where Wallace’s recent hot streak (27 PTS vs. NYK) adds perimeter threat; if Hartenstein plays, he bolsters OKC’s rebounding edge.
Series History
OKC leads the all-time series 149-124, including a 3-game win streak. Recent meetings (2025-26 season):
- Jan 2, 2026: OKC 131-94 @ GSW (Thunder covered)
- Nov 27, 2025: OKC 105-101 vs. GSW
- Nov 10, 2025: GSW 127-116 vs. OKC (last Warriors win)
OKC is 4-1 in the last five, covering ATS in three. Golden State is 3-7 SU in their last 10 visits to OKC.
Betting Trends
- Spread: Warriors are 4-6 ATS in last 10, 2-3 ATS as underdogs; Thunder 31-32-1 ATS overall, but 16-14 at home.
- Total: Over has hit in 7 of Thunder’s last 8 as favorites; Warriors trend under in road games (6 of 10).
- ATS Trends: Thunder 3-2 ATS in last 5; Warriors 4-6 ATS last 10, but 3-2 ATS vs. Western leaders.
Game Odds
Golden State Warriors 220.5
Oklahoma City Thunder – 15.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026
